V-Log: A 2018 Mid-Term Issues Deep Dive For Sept. 19th, 2018

by Shelton Bumgarner
@bumgarls

I really want to start a podcast about the 2018 mid-terms, but for the time being, I’m going to just do a scope or Facebook Live about where things stand each day leading up to election day. I don’t know what I’m going to call this, but I was thinking maybe Daily Mid-Term Deep Dive or something like that. I don’t know when I’m going to do these little videos, but probably later in the day to account for breaking news.

I keep vowing to myself that I’m going to tune out from politics until after Nov. 6th, but I fear that’s just not going to happen. So I might as well wallow in politics and angst if I’m not going to be able to get myself off the grid.

A Speculative Hot Take: What if Cynthia Nixon Wins? #NYPrimary

by Shelton Bumgarner
@bumgarls

I honestly don’t think Cynthia Nixon is going to win, but the conditions are there for at least something interesting to happen. I’m seeing chatter on Twitter of reports of high voter turn out and the country’s mood is such that I could see The Resistance at least getting within shouting distance of a massive upset.

I don’t think we would fully comprehend the significance of a Nixon win. The moment is was confirmed, we would realize we were in a new era. Nixon would be catapulted into the ring of a prospective 2020 Democratic nominee for president and the anger and energy of the Resistance would be hard to deny.

But, like I said, I am not prepared to say she’s going to win. I just think things are going to be…interesting. This is going to be an example of the Democratic Establishment getting the shit scared out of it by the passionate Left of the Resistance. But who knows. It will be interesting.

A Nixon win would be a thunderclap going into the 2018 mid-terms. It would be the first concrete evidence that this year is not going to be run-of-the-mill. Washington would be in total shock and the Republicans would probably be quivering in abject fear as to what might happen to them come November.

Or maybe not. Maybe I’m sensing something that’s not there.

I sure do, on a personal level, need a unexpected upset tonight.

There’s A Real Chance The Trump Administration Will Botch The Hurricane Florence Response

by Shelton Bumgarner
@bumgarls

It seems to me that there’s a decent chance the Trump Adminstration is really going to screw up the Federal response to the aftermath of Hurricane Florence. But who knows. Only time will tell, I guess.

V-Log: Theory — Nick Ayers & A Resistance Sleeper Cell In The White House West Wing

by Shelton Bumgarner
@bumgarls

This v-log is just me rambling about this ever-so-interesting theory.

Theory: Nick Ayers & A Resistance ‘Sleeper Cell’ In The White House

by Shelton Bumgarner
@bumgarls

My current theory about who wrote the anonymous NYT op-ed piece goes something like this — when all is said and done we will learn it was Mike Pence’s Chief of Staff Nick Ayers who wrote it. But, here’s the rub, it will actually have been “edited” by several other people in the White House and that’s why it’s difficult to use linguistic analysis to figure out who wrote it.

The interesting thing about all of this is Ayers is really young and ambitious, so he’s thinking long-term. He knows short-term he would be drummed out of the Republican Party for having submitted it to the New York Times, but he also probably believes that’s worth it because long term — say, about 20 years from now when he’s angling to be a Senator — it will probably reap great rewards to be Anonymous.

One big question, of course, is how and when will we learn who wrote the op-ed piece on way or another. Either we’re going to find out really soon — like within a week — or it could be years. A lot rests, of course, on the ultimate political fate of not only Trump, but what the op-ed piece is seen portending in the future. If there really is a Blue Wave — which a doubt — but if it does happen, there’s a chance that a lot of people will see the release of the anonymous op-ed letter as a turning point.

I still think, given the clues we learned from someone who knows on The New York Times The Daily that it’s Nick Ayers and that the below Tweet is a pretty good indication. I say this because we learned on The Daily that the staff of The New York Times had to do some research into the person before they agreed to publish the op-ed. That leads me to believe it’s not a really big named person in the cabinet.

We’ll see, I guess. It will be interesting to see where the chips ultimately fall.

VLog — My Take: The Anonymous NYT Op-Ed Writer Is Nick Ayers

by Shelton Bumgarner
@bumgarls

I don’t have anything to lose, so I will go on a huge ledge and propose that Nick Ayers, Mike Pence’s COS is “anonymous.” He would be around Pence enough to pick up the use of the term “lodestar.” He’s also young and ambitious, so it would make sense for him to want to stake out a political name for himself in a strategic, long-term kind of way.

I’m not saying I know for sure, but there’s enough logical evidence pointing to him to make me take the leap. I don’t think it’s a cabinet member. It’s just someone who happens to be in the room when discussions are held.

V-Log: Mulling The Trump Endgame

by Shelton Bumgarner
@bumgarls

Some thoughts.

V-Log: Deep State Radio & The Trump Endgame

by Shelton Bumgarner
@bumgarls

It appears that at least according to the Deep State Radio nerds, that it’s more likely that Republicans at some point in 2019 will decided for cold, hard political reasons that they’d rather have Mike Pence as the incumbent in 2020 than Trump and that, not any Blue Wave on the part of The Resistance is what will ultimately be Trump’s downfall.

In this video, I go into great length about this line of reasoning.

V-Log: Mulling The First Draft Of My #Novel At About 17,000 Words — Jennifer Lawrence Bait

by Shelton Bumgarner
@bumgarls

During the course of this one, I talk some about how I hope the novel I’m writing might be Jennifer Lawrence bait.

‘Profit’ — #Lyrics To A Folk Rock Song

This is just me screwing around. I feel like writing lyrics, so I’m trying to tell a story in verse. This is supposed to be about Trump making money off of being president.

Profit
lyrics by Shelton Bumgarner
@bumgarls
please give credit if you produce or perform

well the Constitution tells us what to do
but these days it seems we’ve gone stray
people are making profit off of their position

profit from position
profit from position
profit from position
is what you’re doing

the liar in chief wants me to believe
the deep state is out to get him
that they’re making a profit off their clearence

yet we all know he’s full of it
he’s making a killing off his position
all he does is lie, lie, lie

profit from position
profit from position
profit from position
is what you’re doing

[bridge]
we’re all going to be broke
once this is over that’s the truth
but we still have a chance
just fight

when will we get the truth I wanna know
is it so hard to side with the facts
or is everything just a gass