America Is Now In The Danger Zone

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

It is clear that the bolts are popping off America at an alarming rate and the key issue is how bad things are going to get and if there will be significant political violence starting no later than late 2024, early 205. America is giving off serious Weimar Republic vibes — or late 1850s vibes, take your pick — and all I know is that this level of instability can’t keep going on forever.

At some point, things will finally go septic and we either peacefully turn into an autocracy or we have a civil war (Reds) or a revolution (Blues.) At the moment, I think we’re going to simply shrug and become a MAGA-themed theocratic ethnostate without much fight.

But the key thing is — people need to get woke to the fact that we live in dangerous, unpreceded times. We’re collectively careening towards a dark, unstable endgame, whatever that endgame may be. America is tearing itself apart and the positions of the two sides continue to harden and grow more and more extreme.

Either we slide into autocracy and become “all Red” or we collapse into chaos, civil or revolution. And you can’t just tell me, we can solve all our problems if we defeat MAGA at the polls — MAGA has made it clear that if they can’t win, they’ll cheat and if that doesn’t work, we are probably going to face some sort of secession crisis.

Probably starting with Texas.

And if autocratic, white dominated state governments in the South begin to leave the Union that is the set up for nothing short of a fucking race war. I just can’t see African Americans allowing the former Confederate states leave the Union without putting up some sort of fight.

At a minimum, Blue cities in Red States will become the focal point of significant violence, up to and including “American Killing Fields.” States like Texas and Virginia may simply implode into severe intra-state violence because of the difference between the political sentiment of the population and the government that controls them.

I would advise you to get a passport. Remember, state governments will be at the center of whatever civil war or revolution that might occur starting in late 2024, early 2025 and, as such, you probably also need to start thinking about what you’re going to do if your personal politics don’t fit that of your state. If the worst happens — and I hope it doesn’t — there could be millions of domestic political refugees bouncing around the United States as we have our final death rattle.

But, I can’t predict the future. Maybe we’ll find a “third way” again and punt our severe political problems down the road another four years.

DeSantis Should Drop Out

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I just don’t see why DeSantis is still in the race. In Trump’s mind, at least, the general election campaign has begun and DeStantis continues to sink in the polls.

I continue to feel very depressed about what’s going on politically in the United States. At least with a DeSantis presidency, the possibility that we would have a civil war or revolution would be far lower than it would be with a Trump presidency. Trump is such a chaos agent that he could, unto himself, cause either a civil war (if he loses) or a revolution (if he wins.)

We’ve officially entered a moment in time when we’re careening towards a very fucking dark moment in our nation’s history. This is it, whatever “it” is going to be. I just don’t see us punting our severe political problems down the road another four years.

All macro metrics point towards a “put up or shut up” moment for both sides of the political equation.

But anyway. The plan on the part of DeSantis to be more Trump Than Trump obviously isn’t working. It will be interesting to see if he makes it past Thanksgiving the way things are going.

Twitter (‘X’) Is Now Nothing More Than A Sewer of Disinformation & Bots

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I honestly don’t know why I continue to use Twitter or “X.” It is now nothing more than just a sewer of MAGA disinformation and bots that like my tweets in a weird attempt to catch my attention.

Or, if they’re not bots, they’re catfishing me. I say that because I seem to attract the putative accounts of way too many cute Asian girls who just got onto Twitter in the last month or so and have almost no followers. It’s enough to make me a little bit paranoid.

It makes me wonder if people with ill-intent read this blog and are for some reason trying to fuck with me. Maybe it’s a co-ordinated effort at a mind fuck from whomever that person in California who is obsessed with this site is. But, hopefully, that’s just me being paranoid.

I’m really — at the moment at least — all that important. That’s why anyone who gives me sudden, unexpected attention is suspect. I think that may be my age showing, if nothing else.

It’s too bad that that it’s now impossible for any real innovation in the social media space that doesn’t involve AI. Unless Space Karen unexpectedly pulls the plug on X, we’re stuck with Twitter as a very shitty global town square.

Why Does Trump Hate Windmills So Much?

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I have no inside information, but I do know someone wealthy who lives on the coast of the eastern seaboard and I think I’ve figured out the origin of Trump’s quixotic hatred of windmills. I think what’s going on is Trump plutocrat friends complain about beach windmills cluttering up their expensive beach views and, as such, this plutocrat bitching and moaning leaks out of Trump’s brain as a weird vendetta against windmills.

This seems to make as much sense as any other possible reason.

I will note, however, that it’s clear that the U.S. Government isn’t hiding shit from us about any sort of secret “Hard First Contact” because if it was, Trump would spend all this time having a strange, vague fascination with the subject that none of us could understand.

I say this because Trump’s obsession with not being able to flush toilets the way he likes apparently came from all the government documents he would tear up and try to flush down White House toilets.

Tyrant Trump: The U.S. Military May Determine The Fate Of American Democracy at Some Point in Late 2024, Early 2025

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

The thing that too many political observers miss about how bad things may get with Trump’s looming second term is it’s not like all of his tyrannical, fascist moves will happen in a vacuum. Not only is Trump very stupid and lazy, but the chaos he will have to start to get what he wants could very well lead to significant political violence.

Now, remember, I can’t predict the future, so all of this is very speculative. But one might imagine Trump firing 500,000 Federal employees illegally — as he has stated very clearly this year — and the reaction to do such bonkers behavior could throw the whole country into turmoil.

One rather dark scenario would be Trump goes full tyrant on us, this prompts some sort of an attempt at a “Glorious Revolution” against him on the part of center-Left democratic forces in the United States, which, in turn prompts a violent reaction from MAGA.

At the center of all of this would be, of course, the U.S. Military.

But even the U.S. Military is a reflection of America as a whole and, as such, you could see the officer corp siding with “the Resistance” while the enlisted side with MAGA. One wild card is the fact that the U.S. Pacific Command is headed by Mike Flynn’s brother. Now, I’m not casting any aspersions on him — I’m very different than MY brother, so lulz, but if he’s anything like Mike Flynn then who knows what might happen if the whole country collapses into chaos and the only institution that could possibly hold the country together is the American military.

Having said all that, I still am pretty confident that we’re going to peacefully slide into autocracy without any significant political violence. I just don’t think Blues have it in them to put up much fight. Rather than be the leadership of any attempt to topple Tyrant Trump, about 1 million smug Twitter liberals will simply flee the country the moment is it clear that Trump has been re-elected.

I just hope my Trump-branded concentration camp has wifi.

Mulling The Implications of Trump’s Second Term

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

It definitely seems these days that America has collectively given the fuck up. A solid 38% of the electorate hates democracy and wants the establishment of a white Christian autocratic ethnostate. As such, it makes one wonder what Trump’s second term might be like.

Marjorie Taylor Greene and Donald Trump at a campaign rally in Dalton, Ga., on Jan. 4, 2021.

I think a lot depends on if Democrats take the House in 2024 or not. I don’t think they will be a very effective check on Autocrat Trump, but there is a real chance that he will be impeached again for various dictatorial actions. And given all the pretty dark things we know Trump wants to do in his second term, it does make you wonder about if there are any conditions that might cause the Senate to convict.

The short answer, is, of course, no. And even if they did somehow convict Trump, I can only imagine that his veep would be even fucking worse than Trump for various reasons.

So, I think we have to accept that Trump’s second term will likely cause a significant center-Left brain drain out of the United States starting Election Day night. All those fucking smug Twitter liberals with their circle jerk podcasts will use their second passports to decamp to various places around the globe. We Poors will be forced to fend for themselves.

What’s more, I think early in Trump’s second term, the demand for a Constitutional Convention will reach a critical mass. Soon enough, a MAGA-run Constitutional Convention will reimagine the Constitution so it has MAGA Enabling Acts built into it.

Even before that happens, Trump will fire several hundred thousand members of the “deep state” in an illegal act that will produce chaos and will only eventually be sorted in the courts one way or another. But, lulz, Trump may just ignore whatever rulings go against his tyrannical desires.

And, really, there is one thing that Trump might do that could potentially cause his downfall — if he somehow manages to fuck with America’s self-perception of itself as a democracy. Just as the Romans hated kings, so, too, do Americans perceive themselves as a democracy, even if the MAGA fucktards babble on about how we’re “actually a constitutional republic.”

It is also possible that should Trump do what we all fear he will do — weaponize the existing ICE infrastructure — that a lot of well meaning Traditionalists who, to date, have supported Trump’s bonkers fascist policies might, at last, sit up and take notice because people close to them might be “disappeared.”

So, I think the weakness of apparently inevitable transition into a white Christian ethnostate will be in the implementation. If Trump rushes the final strangle of American democracy because he’s a fucking chaos agent, then it’s possible there COULD be some sort of popular revolt against his tyranny. But that’s very, very speculative.

There are just way too many known unknowns. In general, America is probably going to peacefully transition into a white Christian ethnostate. But….it’s at least possible that something rather historic might happen if Trump manages to fuckup or decent into that new form of government.

Who knows.

Life In Weimar America

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

The United States is far less stable than any of us realize. All the conditions exist on a macro basis for a dramatic shift in everyday life in the United States starting in late 2024, early 2025. The only question is, of course, what shape that dramatic shift will take.

I can’t predict the future. I just don’t know.

At the moment, it seems as though the United States is going to go from the middle status between democracy and autocracy known as anocracy to shifting into full blown autocracy like exists in varying degrees in Russia, Turkey and Hungary.

And it’s not like MAGA Nazis are hiding that sort of transformation is their goal They want the United States to be an autocratic state of blood and soil. They want a one party state. They want to “burn it all down” to the point that the United States leaves NATO, pulls troops out of South Korea and potentially goes so far as to form some sort of alliance with Russia.

But for how big and diverse the United States is, I would say it was all over but the shouting for such a dystopian hellscape to happen. Add to this volatile mix how stupid and lazy Trump is and you have a recipe for fucking disaster. There is at least a small chance that Trump bungles our transition into a full-blown autocracy and there is some sort of “Resistance Revolution” bent on toppling his regime.

And, yet, as I keep saying, I just don’t see that happening — the smug, wealthy Twitter liberals who would lead such a revolution will be too busy using their second passports to worry about the fate of us Poors.

Meanwhile, if the Good Guys “win,” and we think we’ve punted our problems down the road another four years, there is a really good chance that Trump will single-handedly, unto himself, cause a “National Divorce” because he doesn’t want to go to jail.

The point is — late 2024, early 2025 has the potential to live up to its billing as the so-called point at which the “Fourth Turning” will happen. All the conditions, on a systemic basis, are there for absolute chaos to erupt in the United States between Election Day and Certification Day, no matter who the fuck wins.

And, yet, who knows. I didn’t predict the “third way” that we managed to squeeze out in 2020 – 2021, so it’s at least possible that MAGA really is all talk and they just don’t have it in them to burn the country to the ground if they don’t get what they want.

But things aren’t looking so great in late 2023.

Well, On A Personal Note, America’s Transformation Into An Autocracy In 2025 Would Help My Novel Project Be A Success

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I started working on a novel a number of years ago because of my white hot rage against the rise of Trumplandia. I had all this anger that I needed to do something with so I decided to write a novel that would be an analogy about the problems in the modern America.

That one novel turned into two novels and then when Trump lost, I decided to tell the backstory of how the unique situation in the small town I dreamed up came to be. Soon enough, I had six novels I was working on. The novel I’m currently working on is the first and is set in late 1994, early 1995.

If we do, in fact, turn into an autocracy in 2025, then the whole point of the six novel project will be pretty timely. I may have to write the novels in exile because a weaponized ICE might want to murder me for being a loudmouth crank, but, lulz, at least project will be as popular as I believe it should be.

Of course, it’s possible that we’ll have a civil war (Reds) or a revolution (Blues) starting in late 2024, early 2025 and, well, there you go. I may be too busy being a domestic political refugee to worry about finishing any sort of novel.

The General Has Begun: ‘Hysterical Doom Shit’ Edition

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

The 2024 general election campaign has begun — at least in the mind of malignant ding-dong Donald Trump. You know this because of how Trump is banking to the center when it comes to the issue of abortion rights. Trump knows that he has an absolute grip on the nomination so he doesn’t have to pander to the pro-Life absolutists who otherwise have a stranglehold on the Republican nomination process.

This, if nothing else, should make people sit up and take notice that there is no stopping the Trump Train at the moment. Barring something I just can’t predict, Trump is going to win the 2024 election. And if you factor in Biden’s advanced age…oh boy…a repeat of the 1872 nightmare scenario is definitely something you have to ponder.

The fact that even ding-dong Trump has the wherewithal to lean into his lock on the nomination to campaign as if he’s trying to win re-election is rather alarming. We have to accept that there is absolutely nothing that can be done to stop Trump from being president again.

We have to start to prepare for America’s final transition into an autocracy of blood and soil. The entire post World War II liberal order is probably going to come crashing down. The US is going to leave NATO and pull out its tripwire troops stationed in South Korea. Ukraine will have to sue for peace and, that’s it. That’s all she wrote.

Meanwhile, on the domestic front, some pretty dark shit is going to start to happen. Trump will end birthright citizenship, which might be part of a broader attempt to redefine citizenship as narrowly as possible. And it’s at least within the realm of possibility that some of my “hysterical doom shit” may become reality as the existing ICE camp infrastructure is weaponize.

That’s probably our reality starting in early 2025. I can’t predict the future, of course, so it’s possible we’ll manage to punt our problems down the road via some sort of “third way.”

I find this very dubious, however. No matter what happens, 2024 is shaping up to be the most significant election in American history since 1860.

Things Fall Apart

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

It’s definitely interesting how things stay the same for a long time then everything falls apart at the same time. I have a number of mini-crisis taking place in my life at the moment, from a toothache, to computer failing me to my refrigerator’s thermostat malfunctioning.

It makes me wonder if this is some sort of portent about the future. Am I about to enter a transitional phase in my life? And if so, exactly what am I transitioning into? Ugh.

I am definitely feeling my mortality these days. I’m feeling a lot of internal pressure to speed up the pace on this novel. I’m not going to live forever and it would be pretty pathetic if my only legacy was a failed expat magazine and an unfinished novel.

But you have to work with what you got, I suppose. I just have no idea what the future brings me. Things could go a lot of different ways between now and early 2025. It could be that just about the time I begin querying my first novel, the United States collapses into chaos and anarchy.

Though, on the up side, if we just slide peacefully into autocracy, my grand macro plan for this six novel project becomes extremely timely and potentially popular.

But, who knows. No fate but what we make and all that.