Let me be absolutely clear — Elliot Broidy got Shera Bechard pregnant, agreed to pay her $1.6 million and she decided not to keep the child. That’s it. That’s what happened. The Wall Street Journal story today pretty much clears everything up as best I can tell. So you’re wasting your time reading this.
Having said that, let’s do a deep dive into the current conventional wisdom as to how that happened is.
Sometime in late 2017, Shera Bechard discovers she’s pregnant. Of her own volition and completely devoid of any connection to Donald J. Trump, she randomly is referred by a friend Keith Davidson to represent her. Davidson calls Broidy up says Bechard is pregnant and mentions that he noticed Broidy knows Davidson’s good buddy Michael Cohen through the RNC. Broidy panics (or something) agrees to be represented by Cohen. Shera Bechard gets $1.6 million because Broidy was feeling generous and Davidson and Cohen are such noted feminists with the best interests of women at heart and all of this is a big confusion stemming in large part from Bechard picking Davidson in the first place.
So for shits and giggles let’s pick this apart. As I’ve written before, here’s are the lingering questions I have about the Broidy Did It conventional wisdom:
Why Is There No Proof That Elliot Broidy and Shera Bechard Had A Relationship?
I believe that Broidy and Bechard definitely know each other. But this scandal doesn’t play by the rules. What’s supposed to happen is the story breaks along with a picture of the couple — Gary Hart on the Monkey Business with a woman on his lap — and after the scandal runs its course we go back to whatever the fuck we were doing before it happened. But this scandal…nothing. You’d think that by this point Broidy or Bechard by this point would feel it was in their best interest to release a picture of them together. And, yet, to date, nothing. This one is probably just me overthinking. But it is odd.
Why Did Sherea Bechard Pick Keith Davidson to Represent Her?
This, for me, is the most nebulous question of all of this. It’s the one question that is not easily to wave away. I am willing to accept, I guess, the conventional wisdom that she just randomly picked him on reference from a friend…but it’s spooky. It’s really, really spooky that of all the lawyers in Beverly Hills, she would pick not only the guy who had resented Stormy Daniels and Karen McDougal in NDA agreements with Trump, but the same guy Michael Cohen, Trump’s personal fixer, was really, really tight with. It’s just spooky. It is difficult to believe, but apparently that’s what really happened.
Why Did Elliot Broidy Not Use His Own Lawyer?
We now know, from a response to the New York Magazine article, that Broidy has a long-term personal lawyer. This, to me, raises a question — wait, what? One of the central aspects of the Broidy Did It camp is that Broidy picked Cohen because he knew him from the RNC. But if Broidy had his own actual real lawyer to turn to instead of shady faux lawyer Cohen, why pick Cohen at all? I guess the answer, maybe, is Broidy wanted a fixer, not a lawyer. And, yet, it’s surprising he was willing to entrust something he felt was $1.6 million worth of embarrassment with someone who is, at best, an incompetent lawyer. What’s more, that he would go through so much trouble to pick Cohen and not even get Cohen to lowball Bechard through his tight, tight connection to Davidson is kind of weird, too.
Why Did Broidy Stop Paying Shera Bechard?
This one actually seems pretty above board. I would say that while, yes, it’s likely Davidson talked to Michael Avenatti about the case and thus broke the NDA, the more likely answer is Bechard had the abortion, everybody knows and so Broidy is like, fuck this, I’m not paying. You could get all paranoid and say he didn’t feel he was getting his money’s worth after all from the deal, but if a more legitimate paranoia is he knows the story — whatever it is — will be coming out soon enough because of the SDNY getting all those Cohen files and so he did a cost-benefit-analysis and decided he would be saving money in the long run by not paying anymore. Or something. Paul Campos says the firm Broidy’s using in the NDA case now is really expensive, so he’s likely not even saving himself that much money in the long run.
If your entire conventional wisdom is based on the one thing that I think is the spookiest about all of this — that Shera Bechard picked Keith Davidson to represent her out of the blue and that that is simply a sheer coincidence, I don’t know what to tell you. If Bechard had said she ended up with Davidson because Broidy had recommended him, I would really think there wasn’t anything to the #FOTUS scandal theory. That makes sense. That would lead credence to the idea that Broidy knew Cohen through the RNC and thought he might get a better deal if Bechard used someone Cohen had worked with before. Remember, folks, while I’m not casing aspersions on Ms. Bechard’s intelligence, we are talking about a Playboy Bunny. Or, put it another way, from the money Bechard found out she was pregnant, isn’t there a chance she might simply call up her lover Broidy and tell him she was pregnant and go from there? Given the big dummies involved of Davidson and Cohen, it definitely seems as though someone, say, Donald J. Trump, learned that Bechard was pregnant, turned to Cohen and said, “Fix it.”
Logically it makes so much more sense if Trump simply was extremely lazy and fell back to his usual MO. The broad uses Davidson, he uses Cohen and they work out a deal as to how much it will cost to wrap this up. And from Trump’s point of view, this is free money. Unlike Stormy Daniels, Trump doesn’t even have to pay anyone back! Whohoo! Broidy sees visions of $600 million in Arab access money dancing in his head, his wife is cool with it and he agrees to be the fall guy. It’s only after Cohen’s offices are raided that people start to panic and leak the NDA to the WSJ in an effort to get ahead of the story because they know the SDNY will inevitably find out the truth. What’s worse, from Broidy’s point of view, he’s out $1.6 million, his reputation is tarnished needlessly and the jig is up when it comes to him getting access to Trump.
So he says fuck this and stops paying Bechard her NDA agreement money, letting the chips fall where they may.
In the interest of being fair, I am making numerous assumptions out of whole cloth. I really pulling some things out of my ass, assuming that Trump is involved in the first place. I haven’t really gotten back to the cognitive dissidence of a few weeks ago because I feel I’ve learned enough to believe it was Broidy and all of this is just white noise caused by my liberal wishful thinking, but if you put all the datapoints on a corkboard, the weakest link of the current Broidy Did It conventional wisdom is that Shera Bechard out of the blue picked Keith Davidson to represent her. I just don’t believe that. You could give me any number of other explanations that increase the case for Broidy being the father if you didn’t use that datapoint to back up your case.
But having looked over what I just wrote, there’s a reason why people keep thinking Trump was involved. Doesn’t it just sound like Trump to be so lazy as to use his standard operation procedure to wrap something like this up? It makes a whole lot more sense logically if you say, “Bechard told Trump she was pregnant, Cohen knew Broidy through the RNC and that $1.6 million wasn’t abortion money it was the amount of money the three parties involved agreed upon to make this go away. For Broidy it was access, for Bechard it was an abortion and for Trump it was to save his presidency.”
One weakness in the #FOTUS theory is that Broidy wanted access. As I understand it, Broidy pretty much alreay had access. And, yet, if it wasn’t Broidy who panicked by Trump who panicked, it sure does make a lot more sense if Cohen looked around and saw Broidy as an easy make.
And, yet, having said all that, again, I have to say everyone who has looked into this says it was Broidy. End of story. It makes no sense logically, everything definitely seems to point to Trump being the father, but it’s just not the case. Regardless, we’ll know soon enough I guess as the SDNY begins to process all those Cohen files.
Shelton Bumgarner is a writer and reporter living in Richmond, Va. He may be reached at migukin (at) gmail (dot) com.