by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner
First, I can’t predict the future. So this is simply me sketching out a scenario, not some sort of Fourth Turning attempt to predict the future with any sort of certainty. But as I’ve said over and over again, even though MAGA really, really, really wants a civil war so they can start to use all their AR-15s to murder people like me in cold political blood — they really don’t have any reason to do so.

They’re getting everything they want politically and through the courts. Why in the world would MAGA want to start a civil war when they can get everything they want peacefully, without firing a shot?
But MAGA is so hateful, so spiteful that they continue to come to this site with all its dystopian hellscape predictions, looking for some post they can use to stroke one out while they’re fucking their AR-15.
So, the question is — how and when could MAGA get that civil war they want so bad?

As of right now, as far as I can tell, there is only one way that it would be MAGA and not the Blues who start a civil war. If, say, something, God forbid, happened to Biden between now and the 2022 midterms, then there would be no veep. Then a lot would depend on how much Trump wanted to be POTUS again. If, when the House flips Trump hijacks the Republican selection of the Speaker of the House, then Trump would be one heartbeat away from the presidency.
And here’s where the civil war might happen, with Trump and MAGA being the reason.
Trump immediately leads the House Republicans to impeach now President Harris on, say, something to do with the “border crisis.” It goes to the Senate and when it becomes clear that there wouldn’t be a conviction, Trump, in an effort to put pressure on Democratic Senators, threatens to lead Red MAGA States “in to the promise land of freedom” unless they convict Harris and make him POTUS.

Things get out of hand, just like they did on January 6th and what Trump was using as a rhetorical tactic turns into a secession crisis. (I’m aware that Trump plotting to make January 6th an insurrection and things did NOT just get out of hand, but still.)
Republican States, starting with Texas, begin to hold snap secession conventions and away we go. At last, MAGA will have the excuse to use their AR-15s to murder the libtard “groomers.”
But let me clear — I will be flabbergasted if it we have the “Troubles” type civil war that some people seem to believe we will. To me at least, that makes no sense. When you have the resources of an entire political party, the Republican Party to use, why would you leave the death and destruction to amateurs when you can use the instruments of state?

The fact that so many MAGA people are slobbering about the idea of a civil war that would be more like the Troubles gives you a lot more insight into what’s really going on than you might think. Fucking cocksucker MAGA people are so riled up by Fox News and rabid conservative podcasts that they are looking for any excuse to murder liberals.
But if there is a civil war with MAGA starting it, it will be done at the state level. I’m sure there might be some wildcat bombings and political murders here and there, but the state level is where it’s going to be happening.

And, as I keep saying, I just don’t see MAGA doing a National Divorce. I think we’re going to slip peacefully into a MAGA themed autocracy and that will be that. But if there is a civil war, it will start in late 2024, early 2025 and it will happen when Blue States leave the Union.
Overall, any talk of MAGA starting a civil war because they hate the woke cancel culture mob is just bloodthirsty froth.