by Shelton Bumgarner
Honestly, the issue of impeaching Trump is so conflated and muddled at this point that it’s difficult for me to see anything happening on that front for the foreseeable future.
In fact, it’s something of a taboo among the Democratic Powers That Be because they’re “waiting for the Mueller Report.” And, as best I can tell, there aren’t any bombshell hearings planning anytime soon.
So, as of right now, the logic being bombarded on the Democrats in the House goes something like this, “You can’t impeach Trump until you have him dead-to-rights in a bipartisan manner on a crime that would pass muster with 67 Senators.”
And, so, in essence, we wait.
We wait for one of two things to happen — Mueller releases a report that is such a devastating bombshell we have a Goldwater-meets-Nixon in August 1974 type event (in other words, Senate Republicans buckle and tell Trump he doesn’t have the votes survive…and he ignores them) OR something ELSE happens while we wait for Mueller that is so jaw dropping in magnitude that the House says fuck it and impeaches Trump on strictly partisan lines and we have some serious high drama as Senate Republicans begin to weigh exactly how much they’re interested in not having Pence as president going into 2020.
In the immediate future, the thing I could see really, really getting people blood thirsty politically against Trump would be he declare a national emergency and build enough of a wall on the border using already approved DOD funds to give him cover during his 2020 re-election bid.
Such a draconian move on his part might make a lot of people who are otherwise raising their kids, enjoying the humming economy and thinking about their wedding anniversary to sit up and take notice.
Even that isn’t assured.
So the paradox is, we can’t talk about impeachment unless the people who absolutely, under no circumstances, will ever agree to it, agree to it. That’s it. That’s where we are.
Not until the more die hard MAGA deplorable starts to do the Pence Pivot. Otherwise, the people who Make Conventional Wisdom will scream at the top of their lungs that any effort to impeach Trump only makes him stronger.
If you can think of an answer to that riddle, I’m all ears.