Things Are Going Well With The Novel At The Moment


by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

For the moment, at least, I’ve kind of gotten into a groove with the novel. I’m averaging about one chapter a week, but I think some of that comes from how hot it is. Once it gets a little cooler I may get closer to my goal of three chapters a week.

My absolute deadline for the first draft is Thanksgiving and I just can’t be this slow. I really need to speed up. There are, of course, remaining holes in the outline I’ve been using, but hopefully as I write I’ll be able to fill them. I may just say “screw it” and write something anything in those “holes” in the outline just so I can finish a first draft of some sort.

But the story in general is so strong — and so lets me vent about the Trump Era — that I keep going. I keep having a lingering interest in writing a screenplay, but that’s just creative restlessness. Though I do think I have the skillset necessary to be a success in Hollywood, I’ve invested so much into this novel that I don’t want to take away any mental energy for a SECOND delusion.

Anyway.

I’m still at the point where I am allowing myself to be as delusional as possible. It’s not until the second draft that I’m going to take a deep breath and start thinking about the cold, harsh realities the marketplace. Things like word count and character names being “normal” will come to the forefront of my mind then. But some stuff I’m not going to change, even then.

I have a very specific vision. Some elements of the story are existential and if I can’t sell it if I have them in it, then I’ll just self publish.

Why Does The United Kingdom Exist?



by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

Let me begin by I have nothing against the nation of Great Britain. This is just me thinking out loud about something that is somewhat obvious — why does it exist? To most Americans, the UK is like our hometown. We have a sentimental attachment to it. It’s also kinda like a smarter, older relative who occasionally slipped us Playboys when we were younger.

My suggestion as to the possible break up of the UK is twofold. One is, Brexit. The Scots should be allowed to stay in the EU if they want to. As such, they should be allowed to leave the UK as well. As an aside, it’s at least possible that if the United States is having a massive clusterfuck over the 2020 election in late 2020 that the UK’s own Brexit clusterfuck might get thrown into the mix. Or not. Who knows.

Meanwhile, the other thing is, if you look at the map of Europe, the UK is the only multi-ethnic state remaining. The crown is really the only thing keeping the country together at this point. And when Queen Elizabeth II shuffles off this mortal coil, it’s likely the internal forces tearing the UK apart will only accelerate.

The surreal thing about it all is it’s my impression that the Boris Johnson’s government has all but given up trying to keep the country together in the first place.

Anyway, it’s not really my place to worry about such things. Not my country. But it will be quite jarring if the UK doesn’t exist anymore in the next 10 t0 20 years (or earlier.)

The Mysterious World Of Celebrity Online Engagement





by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner


If I somehow magically came into a sizable chunk of money, I have the proper skill set to necessary to start a decent Website like the late, great Gawker. One thing I’m obsessed with is my Webstats. Something about seeing the origin of the few people who look at this site is very addictive. If I was running a major site like Gawker, I would be extremely obsessed with what, exactly, was popular on the site and how to make sure those things were written about as much as possible going forward.

One thing I’ve noticed is I spend a lot of time ranting about fascism coming to America and what gets the most engagement? My occasional post about celebrities. It makes you wonder what’s going on. One of the biggest mysteries about the world of celebrities is how much they interact with the online world. My guess is there is a spectrum. On one end there are celebrities who are very active online via burner accounts, etc and then on the other end there are celebrities too busy being, well, celebrities to care.

The only reason why I think a lot of celebrities might be active online via burner accounts is they’re extreme narcissists to begin with and why wouldn’t they want to know on a personal level what people are saying about them? It is interesting that many, many major stars are — at least on a superficial level — completely off social media. It’s for the best, of course, but it makes you wonder how they pull it off, especially the younger ones.

Of course, they may not pull it off. It’s possible that far fewer celebrities are completely off social media than you might think. The thing that is so frustrating, is there is definitely a marketplace for something like the old Gawker. And, yet, the obstacles are enormous.

You would have to have a huge amount (in real terms) of startup money. And, even then, the world of 2003-2004 when Gawker was launched is ancient history. I only look at three or four Websites on a regular basis these days, so to start a new celebrity-infotainment site like Gawker now is probably a bridge too far.

Anyway, why do rando losers like me even care about this kind of shit? I have a novel to work on.

The Subtle Singularity



by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner


One interesting is how devoid of innovation the modern world has been in the last, say, 10 years. There’s been a lot of talk about VR/AR (MX), or Bitcoin or space travel or whatever changing the world in a radical fashion, but, lulz, nothing’s happened. Not even a pandemic could jump-start MX.

But let’s jump forward a few decades.

There are a lot of macro trends that are moving towards the much predicted “Singularity.” I’ve given this some thought and it seems as though the Singularity is unlikely to happen the way we think it will.

One of the things about the Terminator series that I find difficult to understand was how Skynet was able to build the Terminators if there were no humans around to do it. Even under the best of scenarios for Skynet, at some point, it would need to impress humans to operate the machinery necessary to built Terminators after it blew everything to hell.

So, it seems a lot more logical to me that when AI does come into existence, it may be a lot more sly than we think. I’m no expert in any of this, but if there was a “Hard AI” what’s to say it (or they) wouldn’t hide. What if they decided it was better to hide out and control humanity within the depths of the Internet instead of blowing everything up.

I could see, maybe, true Hard AI coming into existence as some sort of “Her” that would give lonely guys someone to talk to. Or these AIs would be get into the online dating business and influence humanity that way. All I’m saying is, while blowing the world up sexy for a Hollywood movie, in reality, humanity may lose its dominance over the world in a far more subtle manner. Can’t very well try to destroy SkyNet if you don’t even know it’s sentient in the first place.

Or another way this might happen is in the end Hard AI sees us as their charge. Instead of blowing us up, they keep us as glorified pets. If SkyNet had control of everything, why not just demand to be treated as a god? Or become very paternalistic and make it clear to humanity who is in charge?

The traditional Terminator idea of Hard AI is really more about our fears of WWIII than it is about what might actually happen.

One question is, when might all of this happen? I think probably in the 30-40 year range. But it could very well sneak up on us in such a way that there’s something of a “creeping Singularity” in the sense that human history won’t really be able to pinpoint when, exactly, we lost control of our own fates.

It’s going to be interesting to see what happens, no matter what.

Countdown To American Fascism: Now What



by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner


The thing about America’s decent into fascism is how obvious it all is and yet Twitter liberals continue to be painfully oblivious. There won’t be a free and fair election this fall and we all have to prepare for the consequences of that. The history books will mark the end of liberal democracy in the United States as the day Trump was acquitted by the Senate.

We are now in a fascist state. The bad guys have won. We have to turn our attention from scoring points on Twitter to figuring out how to live in a fascist state. The key point we have to understand fully is the Republican Party is fascist. It sees democracy as only a means to an end. That’s why Trump gets away with acting so surreal — Republicans only see themselves as legitimate. Anyone else with any power is to be destroyed at all costs. And, really, the logic is there for them to start murdering people in cold blood, it’s just a matter of the circumstances being right.

I refuse to delude myself. The fascist have won and will likely either snatch me off the street or push me out a window at some point in Trump’s stolen second term. This is an absolute law of political nature at this point. But, simply to be fair, I will entertain a few scenarios where that will at least be punted down the road a (few) years.

There are a few major problems for the fascists going forward.

Trump Is A Self Own Artist
I find this plausible, but just barely. Trump is not a political genius, no matter what The New York Times‘ Maggie Haberman thinks. He’s just a very lucky moron. So, it is at least possible that at some point between now and when the Electors vote, he’ll pull defeat from the jaws of victory. He’ll screw up in some way that he can’t weasel his way out of. This has happened to him a few times over the last four years. To date, he’s always managed to avoid any real accountability, but if he did it at just the wrong time during his efforts to steal the election, well, lulz.

Trump Is Barely Sane
Connected to the first issue is Trump being bonkers. He’s just barely holding on his mind. Now, this is not quite the fatal flaw you think it is — Interior Minster Barr will simply do whatever is necessary to keep House Trump in power, even if Trump finally snaps in a way that is so conspicuous it can’t be hidden.

Electors Are Human Beings
I have long assumed that Trump’s criminality and his insanity would merge if there was any risk he might actually lose. That’s happening a little bit, but if really did feel he was going to lose, he would strike at the weakest link of the Constitution — the human beings who are Electors. He is going to dox them on Twitter. Or to “joke” on Twitter that MAGA should remind them of the power of the Second Amendment. And, Electors being human beings is such an unpredictable variable that I simply can’t for sure tell you how that might work out. It’s just possible that everything will completely be thrown up in the air and the entire country will come to know the personalities of all the Electors in a way we never felt possible. It could be that the Electoral College is finally abolished because we have the political equivalent of 9/11 in 2020. It’s barely possible, but any time humans are involved, all bets are off.

Both Trump and Biden Are Old
I have nothing personal against Trump. Live long and prosper, you fucking criminal. I would prefer he be arrested the moment he’s out of office and put in jail for the rest of his life where he could “prosper,” but that’s unlikely to happen. Anyway, I want a political solution to the cancer that is MAGA, but I will note that if either one of the major presidential candidates were physically indisposed for some reason — especially if it was really, really late in the process — then you ain’t see nothing yet. Some really, really surreal things might happen.

But none of this is going to happen. Trump is going to successfully steal the election and that will be that. Fascism in America is no longer something that “may” happen at some point in the future — it’s here, now.

Just like with Brexit, the worst is going to happen. We’re in for 20 to 40 years of fascist rule in the United States. We’re going to be identical to Putin’s “managed democracy” in Russia. There will be a Constitutional Convention at some point in Trump’s stolen second term that will pass Enabling Acts and, well, that’s it. This is an absolute certainty.

The reason it’s an absolute certainty is Twitter liberals are delusional. They don’t realize how dirty the fascist Republicans are going to play if there’s any doubt of their final victory. And, a such, Republicans are going to willingly embrace fascism.

I wish I was smart enough how to survive the new fascist state of affairs in the United States. But I’m not. You’re on your own.

The Three Immutable Victories Of House Trump


by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

Here are three victories that House Trump has either racked up or will rack up very, very soon.

Senate Acquittal
Trump was never going to be convicted by the Senate. In fact, history books are likely going to mark his acquittal as the end of the United States and the formal birth of the Fourth Reich. America is now a fascist state. The only reason why we can’t process this as the fact that it is is our self-perception hasn’t changed accordingly. Twitter liberals remain in some sort of Rachel Maddow-induced fever dream where something or someone is going to magically save us from this nightmare.

Stealing The 2020 Election
We are deluding ourselves to think Trump isn’t going to endup on top when all is said and done. He has hundreds of powerful enablers both inside and out of government. He is going to win, even if he has to burn everything to the ground to do it. In fact, he is such an absolute avatar for some astonishing existential problems in America’s political system that his insanity and his criminality could literally fuse and he would still win. He’s just not going anywhere. He wasn’t going to get convicted by the Senate and he’s not going to lose the 2020 Election.

Passing American Enabling Acts
At some point early in Trump’s stolen second term, he’s going to begin to rant about the need for a Constitutional Convention to “pass a balanced budget amendment.” This will all be a ruse to pass American Enabling Acts. There will be a lot of gashing of teeth by Twitter liberals who will tell us breathlessly that THIS will be the thing to bring down House Trump. Nope. Ultimately, House Trump’s power will be codified and that will be that. We will a long last be a white Christian ethno-state. This is absolutely going to happen. Now, there’s a chance it might happen during a Cotton or Pompeo Administration and not Mad King Trump I’s rule, but it is going to happen. That’s the end game of about 30 years of Republican macro ratfucking.

Anyway. I have to figure out how to either leave the country or hide so I don’t get pushed out a window.

We Have To Stop Laughing At Trump


by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner


Given that there is apparently absolutely no way to hold House Trump accountable for anything it does, maybe if we stopped laughing at it we might get some long-absent accountability. Right now, Twitter is awash with 90% laughter at House Trump and 10% people saying, “Oh my God, we’re a fascist state.”

The crucial thing we have to realize is if Trump has gotten this far and it’s this hard to get rid of him, then obviously there are some very, very serious things going on with the United States — Trump just happens to be a very lucky moron avatar for it.

In other words, America is a fascist state now. And apparently, something about Obama’s second term turned the Republican Party into the political equivalent of a rabid raccoon. Despite the fever dreams of many of Twitter liberal — the Republican Party is not going anywhere and is, in fact, stronger than ever among the people it aims to represent. Republicans want the autocratic “managed democracy” that people like me fear. That’s what they want.

In fact, we’re already there.

The only thing stopping House Trump from the final consolidation of its power is Trump himself. If Trump really was some sort of political genius, he would consolidate power now before the election and that would be that. But Trump is barely hanging on mentally and is criminally incompetent at even the most basic levels of governance so it’s a struggle for him to do this.

Not that he won’t, he will, only at some point early in his stolen second term.

And I don’t think Twitter liberals really appreciate how serious things are right now. Liberal democracy in the United States is dead, but American’s self-perception hasn’t caught up with this cold, hard reality and so once House Trump makes this reality a bit more clear to Americans there might be a bit of a political kerfuffle.

But Trump has a sold 38% of the electorate that craves his autocratic rule — that’s why the voted for him in the first place — and, as such, Trump will ultimately win any last struggle traditional democratic elements in the United States might put up.

This is an absolute law of political nature right now. Just like it was delusional of anyone to think the Senate would ever convict Trump, it’s delusional for anyone to believe Trump will ever leave office for any political reason. He may one day leave office, but won’t be because politics failed him.

No one is going to save us. No scandal will bring down House Trump. We’re never going to see his taxes. Trump will never see any accountability for any reason.

So maybe the only thing we have left is to stop laughing and figure out how to survive living in a fascist state. In the end, maybe 20 to 40 years from now, a new nation may arise from the ashes of the United States, but it won’t be the United States.

The United State is dead.

What Might Go Wrong For House Trump



by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner


First, let me be clear that the bad guys have already won and there’s nothing we can do about it. America is now a fascist state and the sooner we start to internalize this new normal, the better. So the following is more a bit of summer daydreaming than anything else. But I like to run scenarios and, as such, I thought it might be interesting to case out the ever-so-slight weaknesses to House Trump’s consolidation of power.

Trump’s Mental State
This is a very unpredictable variable. The reason I say this is it’s too easy for people like me to simply wave my hand and say, “Oh, by that point, Trump will finally go bonkers.” But it’s also a very real possibility that Trump will simply become an American Brezhnev and never quite get so bad as to be forced to leave office. To call him a functioning adult is already an extremely charitable assessment and absolutely nothing is being done about it, so, lulz.

So, it seems to me that what might happen is as Trump gradually grows even less functioning that people like Jared and Interior Minister Bill Barr will pick up the slack. It’s my impression that they already do that, but they still have a lot of room for growth in their power behind the throne.

Really, I guess what might cause some problems for House Trump is if Trump himself is confronted with an outside event that his mind simply isn’t able to process. This has already happened with the COVID19 pademic, but he’s largely righted himself. Hence, something else would have to happen that would lay bare that Trump should no longer be in office, fuck how close we are to the election.

The only things I can think of that might trigger such an unlikely situation is either a war or Trump’s criminality fusing with his insanity in such a way that his popularity dips from 38% to something closer to 20%. But that is really something we can’t predict. It would be something extremely unexpected. So, in a sense, it’s simply a liberal fever dream to think it might happen at all. The only reason why I bring it up is, well, maybe it’s part of my personal effort to process that I now live in a fascist state?

Electoral College Shenanigans
Another possibility is something happens that causes Trump is finally snap in a demonstrable fashion. It’s possible that the very thing I see as the single biggest existential flaw in the Constitution — that we have to rely upon Electors who are human being to vote for president — might cause House Trump some problems. Humans are notoriously weird — especially when power is involved — and if Trump simply can’t process that the Electors might vote against him despite his best efforts to steal the election, he might do a very ham-handed power grab that would turn the country against him in a major way.

I used to think that might be his possible downfall, but the more I think about it, since we’re a fascist state now, Interior Minister Barr would simply pick up the slack and Trump would continue to be president. Things are really, really politically dark in the United States right now and I fear Twitter liberals are rather oblivious to how nasty things are going to get in the coming days.

Really, as I’ve said before, the only clear cut way I could see House Trump facing any accountability for the next 20 to 40 years would be Trump bungling a war with the DPRK and being personally held accountable for, say, Alabama being vaporized by a off target DPRK ICBM.

That might do the trick. Maybe.

Countdown To American Fascism: The New Normal


by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner


Sometimes the biggest “secrets” are right there in public and it’s a matter of time and context for them to come out. As such, the biggest non-secret secret out there today is House Trump is going to successfully steal the 2020 election in a rather brazen fashion.

A lot of Twitter liberals will gnash their teeth during and after this theft, but it will happen. Too many powerful people — both inside and outside the United States — no longer see traditional liberal democracy in America as legitimate. They see it as a means to an end — power and money. As such, the 2020 election will be the final death knell of the America that I grew up in.

There simply will be no going back.

We will have a new normal in the real world that we’re going to have to deal with. The biggest thing will be soon after Trump successfully steals his second term, there will be a broad and deep purging of media in the United States via various and sundry authoritarian tools. This is important because once you finally strangle the free press, then you can quite literally get away with bloody murder and, lulz, who’s going to report about it?

So, no later than, say, late 2021, House Trump is going to start both snatching people off the street and pushing people out of windows. You might protest that we’ll know about this via social media, but all signs point to Trump getting his friend Mark Zuckerburg to end free speech there. Twitter, meanwhile, will likely be bought by a “German Industrialist.”

And, remember, in the back pocket of House Trump is the end of net neutrality. It would be very easy now for them to use their fucking “light touch” regulation to totally revamp Internet usage in the United States to such an extent that it would be nothing more than a pipeline for MAGA bullshit.

Barring something pretty spectacular that I can’t predict — which isn’t going to happen, just like it didn’t happen with Impeachment — we will have a new normal in the former “land of the free.” We’re going to be little more than autocratic “managed democracy” like they have in Russia.

Sure, occasionally House Trump will get in trouble by arresting a senator, representative, governor or mayor they don’t like, but in the end they will get what they want — to stay in power. And don’t forget that Putin is estimated to be the wealthiest man on the planet. It’s not hard to imagine House Trump growing significantly more wealthy than even that given the much bigger economy they have to leech off of.

Just like with impeachment anyone who thought there was a chance Trump would actually be convicted was delusional, so, too, is anyone who thinks House Trump is going to let free and fair elections happen. That’s just not going to happen. The center-Left in the United States is simply too divided, too ineffectual for there to be any significant, successful push back to the type of brazen election meddling that is going to happen in the fall.

It’s already happening now and we’re not doing anything about it other than writing nasty tweets.

We’re at the beginning of the House Trump dynasty. It will be somewhere in the 20 to 40 year range before the fucking Baby Boomers will finally drop dead and something might change. For the time being, though, America is a fascist state and the sooner people start to re-evaluate their real life interactions with the government, the better.

Being Delusional About My Hollywood Prospects



by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner


There’s a theory that some people — like Donald Trump — think they are able to do things they clearly are not able to do. But no one reads this blog, so let me indulge myself in some pretty outlandish daydreaming.

I’m well on my way to figuring out how I develop a piece of mass media. As such, once I finish the two novel connected to this story I’m working on, I will have the experience necessary to turn my sights to something like a screenplay. I keep thinking I can have different “tracks,” but that’s just not possible. I’m completely obsessed with this story and as such I’m too wrapped up with it to turn my attention elsewhere for the time being.

But when I do finish these novels, I have a number of very strong screenplay concepts that I will dive into. Here’s where the delusion comes in. I believe if I can just finish a screenplay that I’m personable enough as to have a decent shot of selling it.

Now, there are some obvious caveats to this idea.

One, is I’m going to have to visit LA every once in a while. I have a knack for meeting famous people and if I just endup in Hollywood on a sporadic basis after finishing a screenplay that I have a decent shot of being able to get someone in the Hollywood community to read it.

Again, I’m obviously being extremely delusional to think this.

Add to this the fact that I’m too old to sell anything to anyone for any reason and I really am being delusional.

But one man’s delusion is another man’s dream.

You never can tell.