Category: Hindsight 2020

I’m Definitely Putting My Creative Stick Where The Puck Will Be

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

The premise of this novel is zooming towards becoming a reality at a far faster clip than I might have otherwise imagined. So much so, that I have to prepare myself for a movie of some sort to come out — probably just about when I’m about to query in spring 2026 — that steals a creative march on me.

I say this because the idea for this novel is now, officially, in the zeitgeist. It’s like I predicted the conditions that this novel is based on so well that reality literally is catching up.

A lot of screenwriters are going to think the same thing at the same time — probably starting right about now — and the race will be on to write the first scifi dramedy based on all these androids that are now being built and produced.

But despite the risks, I’ve vowed to myself to keep working on this novel until someone comes out with a novel or screenplay that is so close to what I’ve come up with that I absolutely can no longer, in good faith, continue to work on it.

Though I will admit, I definitely feel some heat to actually get this novel done sooner rather than later. I definitely think spring 2026 is the sweetspot for trying to get this novel queried.

I Think The Female Romantic Lead Of This Scifi Dramedy Novel Now Looks Like Rachel Sennott as I Write it

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I used to think my female romantic lead of this scifi dramedy novel I’m writing looked like bombshell Emrata. But the character, in my mind, is evolving. I think she now looks more like Rachel Sennott.

Not that it matters, of course. Lulz. I have to accept that, barring something amazing happening, this novel is pretty much just me mentally masturbating. But it is a lot of fun writing it.

The High Concept For My Scifi Dramedy Novel

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

If I were forced to think of an “elevator pitch” high concept for this novel, I would say, “Annie Hall meets Her meets Ex Machina with a dollop of The Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind.”

That, at least, is the goal.

My writing, even augmented by AI, is only so good. So, lulz. I have to accept that I going to fall far short of my goals in some respects. And I know that I’m “comping” this novel to three movies. I just love movies and don’t really think in terms of novels when working on a novel.

And, to be honest, if i was 25 years younger, I probably would be in Hollywood, slaving away as a screenwriter. But, alas, that is not to be. I’m stuck where I am at the age I am.

An Update On My Scifi Dramedy Novel For October 28th, 2025

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

Really, my only complaint at the moment about this novel is I keep letting myself drift towards my goal instead of hunkering down and actually working. I could probably wrap this draft up in a few weeks if I just did that.

But, as it stands, I keep drifting towards my goal and it seems like it will be probably spring 2026 before I get to the point where I ready to query. And even then, it could take months, if not years of querying before I get anywhere near to traditional publishing of this novel.

While I’m waiting, I’m going to work on a different novel, I suppose.

I’ve learned a lot about novel writing working on this scifi dramedy. And that has a lot to do with AI. I just can’t afford a personal editor or manuscript consultant, so I lean into the ability of AI to be those things for me. Claude LLM, in particular, is really, really good at being an editor.

Anyway, I think — think — I have the “fun and games” part of this novel figured out. The “bad guys closing in” part of the novel may be a lot more difficult to deal with for various reasons. But I have a pretty good sense of what I want to do with it.

And, I think, I may have the third act figured out as well.

All Republicans Do Is Cheat

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I don’t know what to tell you, folks. Things are dark in the United States and getting darker. All Republicans do is cheat and eventually, at some point, they’re going to do something so bad that Blues finally get upset and the country collapses into revolution and or civil war.

I just don’t see Blues wanting a National Divorce, so that’s why I think something like this may happen: what starts off as a revolution on the bar of major Blue states is only half-successful and the country collapses into civil war. Both sides use WMD on each other and, lulz, we the most powerful nation in the world bombs itself into the stone age of its own volition.

I could see such a civil war lasting between five to 10 years. There will be a WW3 while we’re busy blowing ourselves up and once we come out the other side, if we’re lucky and Blues win, THEN maybe we’ll finally have some sort of global government, probably in the context of living in a post-Singularity world with ASIs running around.

But that’s the best case scenario. Worst case scenario is ultimately ASI has to step in and rule a semi-post nuclear hellscape and we only unite as a species in that context. And who knows, maybe Elon Musk programs the One-ASI-to-Unite-Us to be MAGA.

That’s a very real possibility, the way things are going.

Someone May…Care?

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I keep a very, very close eye on my Webstats and something strange happened recently — a person from LA looked at my “replicants” tag. Given the nature of the novel I’m working on, this is causing some creative existential angst.

Is someone going to steal a march on me? Is someone going to come up with a screenplay identical — or nearly identical — to the premise of my novel? I just have to, of course, write such fears off as a hazard of being a creative person.

And given how personal and unique my novel is, I hope — hope — that even if someone comes out with a screenplay SIMILAR to what I have with this novel, it won’t be so similar that I have to stop working on the novel.

If anything, if someone else came out with a *somewhat* similar concept, but my idea was still as personal and unique as it is now, it might be seen as a “13th Floor Vs. The Matrix” type situation.

The moral of the story — don’t overthink things. Shut up and write.

The Great Restructuring: Of Blue Collar Transportation Jobs

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I once talked to a guy from UPS or FedEx and he talked about their drivers like they were robots. I keep thinking about that with the inevitable fusion of AI research with android development.

There is going to come a point when we stick LLMs (or whatever) into humanoid android bodies and they’re going to deliver packages to people’s door instead of human worker drones. The way it looks, this is going to happen a lot sooner than any of us might otherwise expect — like between 2030 and 2035.

And that’s just the beginning.

There are 3 million high paying transportation jobs connected to semis that could go poof! in the next 10 years as self-driving semis are rolled out safely. All of this makes me think about not just the economic consequences, but the political consequences.

Is it possible that AI and androids could totally shake up our existing Right – Left divide, just like the rise of Trump did? Is it possible that there will be a serious Neo-Luddite movement? Will there be demands for UBI and job carve outs whereby humans are the only ones who can do some jobs?

I just don’t know the answer to any of these questions, but I do know we’re going to need — or get — some answers sooner rather than later.

The Great Restructuring & Trump’s Ultimate Political Fate

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

The thing about Nixon was he was safe until he wasn’t. The economy went to shit just as Watergate was accelerating and it was the economy more than anything else that cooked his political goose in the end.

But there are a lot of differences between Nixon and Trump, to say the least. Trump is an autocratic tyrant without any honor, without any shame and getting that man out of office is going to be like pulling a huge fucking tick off a hound dog.

So, AI could prompt the Great Restructuring, the economy could take a nose dive…and nothing will happen. Trump will still run for an illegal third term, or he could even go so far as to YOLO it and ignore any election altogether. I’m still not so sure he would *cancel* an election, but he might fuck with whatever elections we have in 2026 and 2028 to the point that they’re meaningless.

The point is — we’re stuck with Trump. He’s going to destroy everything, burn everything to the ground before he will willingly leave office. And the American center-Left is so meh that they probably will let him do it, too.

But there is, of course, a small chance that if Trump really does go as far as I fear, that the country will implode into civil war or revolution. So, there you go!

The Great Restructuring

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

Given some of the layoff news of late, I’m beginning to wonder if some of my “hysterical doom shit” when it comes to AI’s scrambling of the corporate work world may actually be coming true.

I have long proposed that once AI was “good enough” that if we went into a recession, it would be come a severe one because of it. All this talk about “10x” employees sounds to my ears like an ready excuse to get rid of a shit ton of employees because you can squeeze a lot more productivity out of those that you have.

Now, obviously, this leads to the idea that we need Universal Basic Income. But the only way I see such a thing happening is if we “bribe” the elites by doing away with income tax and switching over to something like a 30% VAT. That’s pretty much what happened with stimulus checks during the pandemic — poor people got their stimmies, while the rich got their PPP loans forgiven.

Or, given how fucked up the world is, nothing may bring about UBI. The idea of UBI could be seen as a lulz and we anyone who isn’t in AI just starves to death. Good times!

And I will note — with the rise of androids with LLMs (or whatever) in them, not even blue collar jobs will be safe…eventually. In fact, the whole point of LLM androids will be to get rid of plumbers or Amazon truck drivers or whatever. There just won’t be any jobs and it will all happen a lot sooner than any of us could possible imagine.

Like, between now and 2030.

A Nation On Edge (Or Maybe It’s Just Me)

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I feel bad juju in the air right now. I feel like people are on edge. Maybe it’s the lingering government shut down. Maybe it’s all the talk on Trump’s part of running for a third term.

Or, maybe, it’s just me.

Maybe I just feel on edge because I know my life is about to change rather dramatically pretty soon. In a really sucky way. All I have to cling to is this scifi dramedy novel I’m working on.

That gives me hope, if nothing else.