Just from casual observation, it definitely seems as though — if Twitter is any indication — MAGA is getting rather riled up at the moment over the Trump indictments.
I’m wrong all the time, but it’s possible — possible — that things might grow unstable in Miami because of Trump’s arraignment. It’s a happening within easy driving distance of a bunk of fucking bonkers MAGA people, so….I don’t know. It’s something to think about.
I have no idea what might happen….but I’m growing more and more concerned that SOMETHING violent might occur. And, that doesn’t even take into account that there is going to be a lot of pressure on House Republicans to make a snap impeachment of Biden in a an eye-for-an-eye type situation of total political war.
So. We continue to learn that the Federal government has growing evidence that ding-dong Trump was actively working to hide documents from them when they realized he had stolen them.
Now, the conventional wisdom at the moment is that it was pure vanity — Trump thought it was cool to have top secret documents and he was too stupid to care about how badly he was breaking the law.
But if there is one thing equal to how stupid Trump is, or his sense of self-preservation…it’s his greed. As such, I’m not prepared to dismiss the idea that idiot Trump realized the potential value of the classified documents he stole and he had some sense, in the back of his mind, that maybe he might be able to profit from them in some way.
This is, of course, pure speculation on my part, but I’m just not prepared to let that idiot off the hook so easy. Trump is so fucking stupid and is graded on such a fucking curve by people who should now better that it definitely makes you wonder what all his doughface defends would say if we finally, finally caught him doing a big boy crime: treason.
But, lulz, who knows with Trump. It definitely, at the moment, seems as though that idiot is going to force the issue of civil war or autocracy in 2024 and single handedly put America at the bring of collapse.
Nothing sums up how dangerous idiot Ron “Unfrozen Caveman Lawyer” DeSantis is than the following tweet:
The reason why this is so dangerous is the type of mentality it indicates. Unfrozen Caveman Lawyer knows damn well that the Constitution is very explicit that a govenor can do jackshit to stop a criminal being extradited to another state.
And, yet, he says it anyway.
Unfrozen Caveman Lawyer loves, loves, loves to, like Trump, stress test the system to see what he can get away with. So, God forbid, Trump decides to hunker down in Mar-a-Lago after giving the issue some though, DeSantis could very well be put in a position where he is forced to lose face AGAIN when the Federal government swoops in and handles extradition itself.
But it’s clear that if Unfrozen Caveman Lawyer becomes POTUS, he will be America’s Putin. I’m beginning to think, however, that he’s going to hold off running until 2028. Even though if Trump wins in 2024, DeSantis may be president of just the Red States, given how we’re careening towards a very, very dark future in late 2024, early 2025.
It seems as though — as of now — whatever happens with Trump and his (first?) indictment will be historic but mundane. Allegedly, Trump plans to surrender himself next week in NYC and that will be that. He may not even have a perp walk. Though his mug shot will be so historic that it will be the “Candle in The Wind” of anti-Trump merch.
There is, of course, a greater-than-zero-sum chance that ding-dong will give it some thought over the weekend and change his mind. What better way to cause as much fucking damage as possible than to hold up in Mar-a-Lago. And Unfrozen Caveman Lawyer DeSantis has already — despite the U.S. Constitution not giving a shit what he thinks — made it clear he won’t help with any extradition.
My current concern is what happens between now and when Trump is arraigned. If Trump really goes transactional and insane — maybe even returning to Twitter along the way — how many people within the MAGA ranks will be willing to cause problems? If there are any problems, I would suggest you keep an eye on Arizona, D.C., Florida and NYC.
But one thing is clear — the longer this process drags out, the more momentum will build for significant political violence of some sort. That’s what happened with January 6th — Trump had several months to rant and organize the violence that almost successfully staged America’s first coup.
Another issue — is it possible that the political equation has changed now that this particular boil has been sliced and a veritable calicade of indictments will now rain down on ding-dong because it’s been proven that it’s not the end of the world to indict a former president? Trump has so successfully bent the law to his will because of politics that when things snap back into place, it may be a sight to see.
In a sense, this is just the beginning of a series of potentially historic, jaw-dropping events. Stay tuned.
I don’t know what to tell you folks. I’m of an age where I so jaded that I automatically assume that anything that seems too good be true — is. But you just try to be the best person you can be, I suppose.
I look at what’s going on with American politics these days and I can’t help but be alarmed that my predictions of the United States having the existential choice of autocracy or civil war in late 2024, early 2025 will come true. And here I am, trying to get my first novel sold.
But, lulz, nothing matters.
The novel is getting better by leaps and bounds. At the moment at least, I feel like I have a pretty good handle on how to step up the pace when it comes to writing the second draft. I say this all the time and then I reach a crucial point where everything falls apart and I have to pick up the peices.
But, who knows, maybe this time things will work out and I will get back on track to querying as early as this fall, no latter than about a year from now.
Anyone who doesn’t think House Republicans are going to wallow in some pretty stupid shit for the next two years is a fool. They don’t care that they’re going to massively self-own by overreaching. That’s not the point. The point is to suck their own cocks in an effort to stroke the MAGA base.
The MAGA base lives in its own la la land to the point that some pretty stupid shit is going to be investigated to such an extent that Republicans are going to do serious political damage to themselves — and the country as a whole. But the United States isn’t a democracy anymore, but rather an “anocracy” so, this is it — the final countdown.
It’s at least possible that Trump will win the 2024 nomination and in 2024 the administration of elections will be corrupted by MAGA cocksuckers AND there could be real political violence.
So, lulz, it doesn’t matter, in real terms, what House Republicans do. They are going to impeach a lot — A LOT — of people in the Biden Administration and they’re just going to wallow in Hunter Biden to the point that it will be lodged in the average voter’s mind like BENGHAZI! (Which is the point.)
What the fuck is going on with this sudden surge of Russian propaganda coming from Silicon Valley Tech Bros? It’s like they all agreed, all at once, to en masse become Fifth Columnists and Fellow Travelers of the Russians.
I get much of the sentiment that these Tech Bros espouse. They look at the cold hard metrics and say that Ukraine isn’t worth risking WW3 for. I find this dubious, however, because what do they expect to happen if we don’t support Ukraine? That Russia won’t see this as weakness and turn around and go after the Baltics? Estonia has a huge Russian population and it definitely would be the prime target for Russia if it was able to crush Ukraine because the West listened to the Russian Fellow Travelers of Silicon Valley.
In fact, they have begun to deride the war in Ukraine as “Woke War III.” Which doesn’t put them in a very good light because what are they trying to say — that WW1 and WW2 were “woke?”
All this has me thinking about how, even though it’s obviously astrology for dudes that the book The Fourth Turning definitely continues to have an eerie relevancy as we careen towards 2025. The very ideas that that book talks about — how in the Third Turning, people forget what war was like and why it was fought to begin with — definitely seems to have some meaning in today’s political world.
The alarming thing is, of course, that all of this is happening in the context of a very possible Counter-Revolution in the United States as Republicans take control of at least the House, if not the Senate too in November. With Republicans in control of Congress in 2023, there’s every reason to believe every moment they’re not impeaching Biden or trying to hold the social safety net hostage they’re going to be doing everything in their power to prevent the US from helping Ukraine.
So, it definitely seems as though we’re on the cusp of a very, very turbulent moment in our nation’s history. It’s going to happen no matter what, obviously, but if the fucking fascist Republicans take the House in November, that is only going to accelerate a very, very dark trend.
I’m a Very Online person and just in the last few days — maybe 24 hours even — I’ve seen a huge uptick in my exposure to bullshit Russian propaganda about Ukraine. It could be that Twitter has tweaked it’s interface a little bit so I see more Right wing echo chamber bullshit.
Which, in an ideal world, would be good because it would force me to leave my own center-Left echochamber. But what I’m seeing on Ukraine just pisses me off and I mute the person so I don’t have to tolerate it anymore.
If what I’m seeing on Twitter from the Right wing echo chamber is any indication of what is being said on the other end of the political spectrum about Ukraine….oh boy.
The MAGA Right is all-in being appeasers and apologists for the Russians. No good will come of this. If, God forbid, the Republicans take control of the House, then every moment it’s not impeaching someone in the Biden Administration for some bullshit reason it will be figuring out ways to stymie any continued military support of the Ukrainians.
Anyway, things are weirdly dark politically in the United States right now and are bound to only get better as we approach a potential “Fourth Turning” in late 2024, early 2025.
I suppose it’s been so long since we had to fight fascism that the Smartest Guys In The Room think more about the cold, hard metrics of what’s going on in Ukraine with the Russians as opposed to what is just and right.
While they’re all obviously far more successful than me and probably a lot smarter, Tech Bros continue to come across as appeasers. They want Ukraine to just give up and let Putin take at least 20% of the land if not more. And, really, using Tech Bro logic, the United States should just become Fortress America, gut the social safety net and make only the Poors pay taxes because they’re rubes who don’t realize taxation is theft.
It’s all very annoying.
It’s annoying because Tech Bros should know better. They should realize that sometimes in global affairs, you have to take a stand against tyranny even if it comes at a cost.
And it was, after all, Russia who invaded Ukraine. They started and just because Ukraine is going on the offensive, doesn’t mean the United States should just throw up its hands and give up. Yes, the risk of nuclear war has increased of late, but who’s to say if we don’t support Ukraine that Putin might not go after the Baltics next, and then where are we?
We definitely would have a WW3, then, because NATO would get involved. So, there is no easy solution to what’s going on with Ukraine and Russia. The reliance on cold, hard metrics that serves Tech Bros so well, falls apart when you’re dealing with geopolitics.
While there are some alarming signs that something is brewing, I find the idea that the Russians would actually use nukes of any sort on Ukraine very dubious. Yes, a few of Russia’s close allies have told their citizens to get out of Ukraine, but that could mean anything. It doesn’t mean that something as dire as the use of tactical nukes against Ukraine by the Russians is imminent.
If the Russians did use tactical nukes on Ukraine, what would that look like?
I am not an expert, but just a back of the envelope scenario would suggest that if Russia was going to go through the trouble of breaking a 75 year taboo against the use of nukes of any sort, they would probably strike Kyiv pretty hard in an effort to decapitate the Ukrainian government. You could make the argument that what might happen is this: Russia nukes Kyiv a few times and then the Belarusian army would swoop in and take control of the city, demanding the Ukrainians sue for peace.
Also, logically, they would use a number of tactical nukes up and down the existing front line in an effort to soften it up. And, the Russians would likely, while they were at it, strike a number of other major cities across Ukraine in an effort to get their point across.
The use of any WMD by the Russians would probably start WW3 because it would set off a cascading series of events where other simmering hotspots across the globe would flair up rather dramatically.
If this all happened before the 2022 midterms, it could really change the political dynamic going into November in a rather dramatic fashion. There would be a “rally around the flag” type thing, which would probably help Biden’s poll numbers significantly.
Anyway, I don’t think we have anything to worry about.