by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner
Jason Calacanis is one of the All-In podcast tech bros and generally he is the most even keeled of them all. But when it comes to the impact of AI on workers, he is way too sanguine.
He keeps hyping up AI and how it’s going to allow people laid off to ask for their old jobs back at a 20% premium. That is crazy talk. I think 2026 is going to be a tipping point year when it’s at least possible that the global economy finally really begins to feel the impact of AI on jobs.
To the point that the 2026 midterms — if they are free and fair, which is up to debate — could be a Blue Wave.
And, what’s more, it could be that UBI — Universal Basic Income — will be a real policy initiative that people will be bantering about in 2028.
I just can’t predict the future, so I don’t know for sure. But everything is pointing towards a significant contraction in the global labor force, especially in tech and especially in the USA.
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