by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner
- He doesn’t want escalate things.
It could be that Biden isn’t Federalizing the Texas National Guard — and any other National Guard that gets in his way — because he just doesn’t want to escalate things at the moment. - He doesn’t want to blow up the immigration reform package
It’s also possible that for similar reasons, he is afraid that if he Federalizes the Texas National Guard that that, by definition, will blow up the immigration reform package that is working its way through Congress at the moment.
It’s clear, of course, that something’s gotta give sooner rather than later and that there is a lingering risk of an insurrection or even a secession crisis if Biden doesn’t handle things right.
I also think that the main event — whatever it might be — will happen in late 2024, early 2025 after the 2024 Election happens.