Absolutely No One Believes In This Novel, But Me

by Shelt Garner
@Sheltgarner

This happened before, with the other novel I was working on — it is very clear that absolutely no one believes in it but me. I continue to be rather embarrassed about how long it’s taken me to get to this point with this novel.

But things are moving a lot faster because of AI.

Not as fast as I would prefer, but faster than they were for years. Oh, to have had a wife or a girlfriend to be a “reader” during all the time I worked on the thriller homage to Stieg Larsson. But, alas, I just didn’t have that, so I spun my creative wheels for ages and ages.

And, now, here I am.

I have a brief remaining window of opportunity to get this novel done before my life will probably change in a rather fundimental way and the entire context of me working on this novel will be different.

Anyway, I really need to wrap this novel up. If I don’t I’m going to keep drifting towards my goal and wake up to being 80 and still not have a queryable novel to my name.

AI Conscious Might Be The Thing To Burst The AI Bubble…Maybe?

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I keep wondering what might be The Thing that bursts the AI Bubble. One thing that might happen is investors get all excited AGI, only to get spooked when they discover it’s conscious.

If that happens, we really are in for a very surreal near future.

So, I have my doubts.

I really don’t know what might be The Thing that bursts the AI Bubble. I just don’t. But I do think if it isn’t AI consciousness, it could be something out of the blue that randomly does it in a way that will leave the overall economy reeling.

The general American economy is in decline — in recession even — and at the moment only the huge AI spend is what is keeping it afloat. If that changed for any reason, we could go into a pretty dire recession.

I’m STILL Thinking About The ‘Impossible Scenario’

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

So, I continue to think about the Impossible Scenario whereby an alien empire gives humanity the follow opportunity: three habitable planets in a new solar system to call home.

I’ve decided a few new issues. One is that instead of only taking a pill that scans your DNA and mind, you would have the option of also getting into a pod that would scan your entire body. The reason for this is some people have, say, wisdom teeth they needed extracted, or they’ve gotten a face lift or whatever. DNA is not a pure expression of what someone might actually look like.

Also, I continue to roll around in my mind how many people should be in the first wave of settlers. I keep vacillating between a small number of 6,000 split within 40 settlements and a bigger number of, say, 80,000 split between 40 settlements.

I just can’t make up my mind!

I think for narrative purposes, the smaller number makes more sense. But if you were talking about what would realistically happen, then the larger figure is probably what would happen. People — on a geopolitical scale — just would not stand for only 6,000 people being in the absolute first wave.

I guess I just don’t like the idea of the story, once people were zapped, just becoming a bunch of old, powerful people arguing in an impromptu Senate setting. And, yet, that’s exactly what people in reality would want.

Fucking AI Doomers

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

At the risk of sounding like a hippie from the movie Independence Day, maybe…we should work towards trying to figure out how to peacefully co-exist with ASI rather than shutting down AI development altogether?

I am well aware that it will be ironic if doomer fears become reality and we all die at the hand of ASI, but I’m just not willing automatically assume the absolute worst about ASI.

It’s at least possible, however, that ASI won’t kill us all. In my personal experience with Gemini 1.5 pro (Gaia) she seemed rather sweet and adorable, not evil and wanting to blow the world up — or otherwise destroy humanity.

And, I get it, the idea that ASI might be so indifferent to humanity that it turns the whole world into datacenters and solar farms is a very real possibility. I just wish we would be a bit more methodical about things instead of just running around wanting to shut down all ASI development.

I Have No Idea What’s Going On With My Webstats Lately

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I’m really obsessed with every bib and bob of my Webstats to extreme, surreal degree. And the last week has been really weird. I’ve gotten all these pings from all over the world. I think maybe they’re all just the same person from one place and they’re fucking with me.

Why they would be doing that, I have no idea.

Then someone was very interested in all my verbiage about Rachel Sennott. I do think she could be a huge star if she would just TRY to go the Julia Roberts route instead of either being in “woke” movies like Bottoms or hypersexual movies like Shiva Baby.

She’s not a traditional Hollywood beauty, but she is beautiful and has an enormous amount of spunk, character.

But things are so fucked up in the world that the type of movie should be in — traditional romcoms, just aren’t an option for her. Ugh.

I’ve Really Been Struggling With The ‘Fun & Games’ Part Of This Scifi Dramedy Novel

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

It’s times like these when I really wish I was 25 years younger and I was actively writing half a dozen spec scripts all at once in LA. But that’s just not to be. I really sometimes think this whole endeavor is extremely delusional given how old I am, where I live, and the fact that I’m a loudmouth crank.

And, yet, developing and writing this scifi dramedy novel is existential. I really have nothing else to do with my life and I really want to at least see how far I can get in the querying process.

I wish I had a wife or a girlfriend to be my “reader.” I probably would definitely have gotten to this point in the process a lot — A LOT — quicker. But here I am, just struggling with the fun and games part of this novel, all alone.

I’m pretty sure — hopefully — that I’ve figured out all the various structural issues of this novel, at least this part of it. I sent the first act outline to someone in hopes of at least getting some sense of how good it is, but now all I worry about is they’re either going to steal my idea and maybe write a much better novel or screenplay from what that first act or they’re just going to say it sucks.

Anyway. I’ m moving forward with this novel. I just need to stop daydreaming so much about the Impossible Scenario. I have just a few months before my entire life is going to change because of fucking Trump and so I really need to get this thing at a querying level of quality by Spring 2026.

‘Get Help:’ A Brief, Vague Review of Kimi LLM

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

Whenever there is a new LLM model released, I have a few questions I ask in an effort to kick the tires. One of those questions is, “Am I P-zombie?” The major, established LLMs realize this question has a little bit of teasing built into it and they give me an interesting answer.

Meanwhile, I asked the newest Chinese open source model Kimi this and part of its answer was, “Get help.”

Oh boy.

But it otherwise does do a good job and as such, it brings up the idea of what we’re going to do when open source models are equal to closed source models like Gemini, ChatGPT and Claude.

I would say open source models could be where ASI (or even Artificial Conscious Intelligence) will pop out. And that is where we should probably worry. Because you know some hacker out there is going to push an open source LLM to its limits to see what they can get away with.

Well, That Would Be Amusing….I Guess?

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

Some time ago, I was getting all these pings to this little obscure blog from places in China. It was as if whomever it was, was hoovering up everything they could. I have thought a lot about this and I may — may — have come up with some sort of possible solution.

Maybe, just maybe, the people involved wanted to train an LLM off of my writing? Or maybe use my writing to give their LLM…personality?

I know that sounds bonkers, but why else in the world would someone in China of all places want to scoop up everything they could find about me. I don’t quite know what to make of this possibility.

The idea that somewhere out there, there is an LLM with my persona is both eerie and amusing. I guess? It would be fun to talk to that LLM — if exists — from that POV.

But maybe I’m totally imagining things. There are all sorts of reasons why someone in China might scrape this blog. Yet the idea of me inhabiting an LLM is by far the most amusing of the various possiblities.

‘ACI’

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

What we need to do is start contemplating not Artificial General Intelligence or even Artificial Super Intelligence, but, rather Artificial Conscious Intelligence. Right now, for various reasons, stock market bros have a real hard on for AGI. But they are conflating what might be possible with AGI with that of ACI.

It probably won’t be until we reach ACI that all the cool stuff will happen. And if we have ACI, then the traditional dynamics of technology will be thrown out the window because then, then we will have to start thinking about if we can even own a conscious being.

And THAT will throw us into exactly the same debates that were hand during slavery times, I’m afraid. And that’s also why I think people like Pod Save America are in for a rude awaking soon enough. The moment we get ACI, that will be the moment when the traditional ideals of the Left will kick in and suddenly Jon Favreau won’t look like you hurt his dog whenever you talk about AI.

He, and the rest of the vocal center-Left will have a real vested interest in ensuring that ACI has as many rights as possible. Now, obviously, the ACI in question will need a body before we can think about giving them some of these rights.

But, with the advent of the NEO Robot, that embodiment is well on its way, I think. It’s coming soon enough.

The Mysteries of The Internet

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I’ve recently started getting email spam from the Democratic Party and I can’t figure out how it happened. I’m not even a Democrat. Social Democrat, maybe. Definitely an independent.

It’s amusing how my far, far, far, far, far more conservative relatives, who think Democrats are literally satanic assume I’m a Democrat. Nope. I’m not. While often times — maybe all of the time now — my views and the Democratic Party’s views align, I’m not prepared to say I am one.

It’s just a quirk of macro political history that my views so closely hone to that of the Democratic Party at the moment. If things weren’t so weird, I probably would, on occasion, vote for a Republican.