Why A Traditional Civil War In The United States Is Unlikely

by Shelton Bumgarner

While conservative nutjobs appear to be waiting with baited breath to let slip the dogs of civil war so they can finally have excuse to murder “libtards” in coldblooded rage, I suspect it’s not going to go down quite like that.

The reason I say this is simple: the American Military.

The thing people miss whenever they start stroking it over all the murder and mayhem a civil war will allow them to do, is the American Military is not only the lone institution most people respect, it’s also extremely apolitical. It sees itself as the guardian of the “American way” and I find it extremely doubtful that they would sit back and let the homeland descend into chaos. The thing about the first Civil War people forget is that the notion of “the United States” hadn’t even come into being yet. People often said “these United States.” As such, when the South left the Union, they took all their best generals with them.

This is unlikely to happen in the Second American Civil War.

What’s more likely to happen is the already tenuous — in real terms — connection between the civilian government and the military will completely evaporate and should the Federal government go completely nuts in the context of an impending civil war, it’s likely the military would step in, establish some sort of temporary junta, and then go back to minding its own world-domination business after a few months.

Also, all the Red State people who want to rise up and murder everyone who disagrees with them forget that it’s far more likely that Blue States would actually be the ones to leave the Union. And, as such, they would face an interesting conundrum — do they hate Blue States enough to say, “wayward sisters, part in peace,” or would they crave the economic power of the Blue States enough to kill the goose that laid the golden egg. All of this ignores the obvious likelihood of Purple States like Virginia which probably would devolve into bloody chaos as the population liberal portions of the state went at it with the rural MAGA parts.

But, in general, we’re fighting the last civil war, as it were. Yes, MAGA will likely have a window of opportunity to murder all the “libtards” on Twitter they hate so much, but in the end the military will likely step in now and again going forward (for the next 20 years) until the youngest of the Baby Boomers start to drop dead and the browning of America finally reaches a tipping point.

Of course, don’t get me started about how dystopian the Federal Judiciary is going to be for the next 40 years. I’m of the opinion that while conservatives will have a sold 20 years of making life hell for liberals, there might come a point when their macro gaming of the constitutional system might come back to bite them in the ass.

Or not.

We’re doomed.

V-Log: Idle Rambling About Mattis & A Coming Civil War

By Shelton Bumgarner

Some thoughts.

V-Log: Trump’s ‘New Rules’

by Shelton Bumgarner

Thinking Seriously About A Second American Civil War

by Shelton Bumgarner

I am not the first, and definitely will not be the last, to ponder what a possible Second American Civil War might look like. It seems pretty obvious that America is hurdling towards some sort of armed conflict for no other reason than much of the same mentality that existed in the 1850s exists today in the United States.

Really, all that blocks armed conflict at this point is that Democrats and The Resistance are still playing by the “old rules” of politics while the Republicans and MAGA are playing by the “new rules” of running slipshod over any and all opposition using white knuckled hard ball politics.

Once that changes, once both sides play chicken with the government in an absolute rage, then the entire system freezes up and we have the “politics through other means” that Mao mentioned. But what are some of the scenarios one might concoct about an actual modern Civil War in the United States?

Well, here’s the thing: Republicans have land mass, while Democrats have concentrated population. While Red States are contiguous and Blue States aren’t, the sheer concentration of people in Blue State areas will make any attempt to quell them should a war break out. I’m not entirely sure that outside of some “purple” states that there would even be any violence at all. If the two sides grow so polarized that they simply have nothing in common politically or culturally, there’s a good chance whomever is running the government when the actual split happens will do the whole “wayward sisters, part in peace” bit.

It definitely seems at this point that the trends are Blue States will leave the Union and work actively to align themselves with Canada. That definitely seems like one scenario. Again, I doubt seriously there will actually be violence if things get bad enough that individual states want to leave the union. This is where who happens to be in control of the government would have a lot to say about the outcome of these events.

If it’s a Democratic president and Republican states bold en mass, things will go a lot differently than if its reversed. Really, it could all be avoided if we had, like, effective leadership in the first place but that’s not going to happen. It definitely feels as though the United States is careening towards some sort of division on the state level, the exact nature of which is still very much in the air.

Talk To Me Internet: Joe Arpaio, Hope Hicks & #Writing A Short Story & #Lyrics

by Shelton Bumgarner

I am feeling creatively restless, so I’m going to try to do some creative things today and tomorrow. But we’ll see. Anything could happen, I guess.

Some Thoughts On Roger Stone & The Possibility of Civil War

by Shelton Bumgarner

I consider myself an amateur historian and it definitely seems as though the United States is hurdling towards some sort of armed domestic conflict because of Trump. What’s going on in the United State is much like what — after the fact — was obvious about the late 1850s — America is tearing itself apart.

It will be interesting to see how all this plays out. Things could get pretty hot over the next 10 years

Is Trump The Only Thing Stopping A Second American Civil War?

by Shelton Bumgarner

I am concerned that in hindsight, this decade will be look back upon as the same as the 1850s. During that decade, the United States was tearing itself apart slowly and in hindsight it seemed obvious that a Civil War was in the making.

I worry that maybe the only thing stopping a bloody Second American Civil War is the simple fact that the surreal, extreme bizarre Right is content with the president. If something happens to Trump politically, is it possible that all bets are off? Is it possible there will be real bloodshed?

It definitely seems as though should a center-Left person win in 2020 or 2024 (more likely) that the same forces that elected Donald Trump in the first place will destroy the United States. And, really, at that point it’s a question of if our elected leaders are up to the challenge or not.

Nothing indicates right now, alas, that they are .