Lordy, There Are Tapes — How Does Shera Bechard Factor Into Michael Cohen’s Tapes?

by Shelton Bumgarner
@bumgarls

If anything, the existence of Michael Cohen tapes would seem to disprove completely the notion that Elliot Broidy was Trump’s fall guy in the Shera Bechard matter. I say that because of all the juicy tapes Cohen’s team could leak at this point, you’d think they’d leak a tape of Michael Cohen, Keith Davidson and Donald Trump working together to screw Shera Bechard over.

But it’s pretty obvious such a tape doesn’t exist because Trump had nothing to with her despite how much logic says he does. So That’s it, that’s the end of the Shera Bechard – Elliot Broidy — Donald Trump theory. It was fun while it lasted.

Really, at this point for me, the Holy Grail of Trump Scandals is audio of Donald Trump through Michael Cohen pressuring Shera Bechard to have an abortion. But it doesn’t exist. It just doesn’t exist.

#FOTUS: Just A Little Idle Noodling About Elliot Broidy, Shera Bechard & Trump

by Shelton Bumgarner
@bumgarls

I feel confident that the theory that Trump, not Elliot Broidy, was Shera Bechard babydaddy has been put to rest. There’s totally no there there. Any number of things might ultimately save us when it comes to our tyrant American Caligula leader, but, alas, it’s not going to be Paul Campos of New York Magazine no matter how hard he may try or we may wish it.

Having said all that, there continue to be lingering, somewhat puzzling, issues with fact that it was, in fact, Elliot Broidy who is responsible for all this pointless, useless speculation.

1. There’s no proof of a Bechard – Broidy romance.
Someone who knows a lot more about this than me says, “meh” to this, saying he’s not surprised. That doesn’t stop me from cocking an eye, tapping my noggin and saying, “Hmmm.” You’d think that there would be some proof, somewhere that would put an end to all of this continued — and unfounded — speculation. A picture, a voice mail, hell, even a text or an email. No one stray email exists between the two of them that someone could leak? What the what?

2. Bechard picking Keith Davidson to represent her.
I used to think she was lying about this, but now I don’t. But all I gotta say is, history is pretty freaky. The entire Broidy Did It theory rests on Bechard picking Davidson completely independent of Trump. Apparently, that’s what happened. Doesn’t stop me from scratching my head incredulously, but that’s actually 100% apparently what happened.

3. Broidy picking Michael Cohen to represent him.
What really gets people talking about this is not so much Keith Davidson representing Shera Bechard, but that Elliot Broidy would have the president’s personal fixer Michael Cohen represent him in this legal matter as well. Of course, we know it happened because Davidson looked up Broidy, saw he was on the RNC with Cohen and the rest took care of itself. That’s why the notion that Bechard was casually referred Davidson by a friend grows in significance every time you find yourself reviewing this issue. That Broidy “wasn’t thinking straight” when he passed over his actual lawyer (yes, I know his wife represents him in most things) to use doofus Michael Cohen in an NDA that he felt was $1.6 million’s worth of embarrassment is unusual. (At least to me.) But that, apparently, is what actually, in fact, did happen.

4. That $1.6 million figure for the NDA.
I think that’s a lot of money, and given that Broidy’s stopped paying, apparently he does, too. He’s only paid, I think, $400,000 of the total and that seems generous to me. Given who he is and how chill his wife is, I would see him being a lot more comfortable with something closer to $200,000.

5. That Broidy stopped paying Bechard.
Why would Broidy stop paying Bechard if it was so embarrassing? But not paying, he only brings the whole thing back into the news again. Broidy has a knack for doing something really stupid PR-wise that stirs the pot and gets people talking again about the very subject he doesn’t want people to talk about: his relationship to Shera Bechard. But maybe sees his romance as a given now and he just doesn’t want to spend any more money than he has to. For him, to a certain extent, this is over for him.

This is over for me, too, but I keep going for my morning walk and finding reasons to if not doubt the Broidy Did It theory, at least have cause to revisit it. But I would definitely say that barring something really astonishing dramatic in the near term, that this will fade away. Broidy had better not screw up AGAIN if he wants everyone to forget about this.

Shelton Bumgarner is a writer and photographer living in Richmond, Va. He may be reached at migukin (at) gmail (dot) com.

#FOTUS: Woah Buddy. The Elliot Broidy, Shera Bechard, Trump Train Rumbles Along

by Shelton Bumgarner
@bumgarls

Now, before I begin let me get some stuff out of the way. I’m just some shmo with no life, no career and obsessive personality. That’s all I got. Meanwhile, Paul Campos is a law professor and he gets published in New York Magazine while I write a self-published blog that usually gets about 20 page views a day.

Having said all that, let’s get into it.

Campos, bless his heart, is still completely convinced that Elliot Broidy was Trump’s fall guy in the Shera Bechard matter to the tune of $1.6 million. I will give him this — the logic of his argument is absolutely, 100% airtight. Logically, Donald Trump, not Elliot Broidy banged Shera Bechard, got her pregnant ’cause he raw dogs and using his now well-established script, used Michael Cohen and Keith Davidson to fix the problem. Along the way, there was probably — so goes the argument — a quid pro quo for an abortion that may, or may not, have been coerced.

So why am I so sure that it was Broidy and not Trump? Good question. Let’s just say I have my sources and they are enough for me to pretty much feel completely comfortable thinking this all stems from the somewhat surreal co-incidence of Bechard picking Keith Davidson randomly to represent her.

Now let’s go through what Campos thinks and pick it apart.

(1) Broidy, who has a history of bribing public officials, met twice in the Oval Office with Donald Trump, to lobby for the interests of his client, the United Arab Emirates. The second of these meeting took place on December 2nd, 2017, that is, the day after the first payment was made to Shera Bechard. A few days after that, Broidy’s defense contractor firm signed a $600 million deal with the U.A.E.

This is a prime example of how the airtight internal logic of the Broidy as fall guy theory leads you to what you think are obvious conclusions. But in reality, if you work from the assumption that Broidy is the father, then the above is just white noise. Broidy also met Trump (as I understand it) BEFORE the first payment occurred to Bechard, so what we’re using as some indication that Trump is the father is really just another bit of circumstance that doesn’t really mean what we think it means. Remember, once you work on the assumption that Bechard randomly picked Davidson to represent her, then the sequence of events that disproves Trump as the father makes a lot more sense.

(2) Last week, Broidy suddenly announced that he considered the NDA “void,” and he wasn’t going to make any more payments (he had made two of the scheduled eight). Significantly, he announced his decision to do so to the WSJ.

The reason this is significant is, because, like so many other aspects of this strange case, announcing to the media his decision to stop making payments seems to make no sense in terms of basic litigation strategy. If Broidy’s lawyer on this matter, Chris Clark, thinks he actually has some legal ground for voiding the NDA, the standard tactic would be to approach Bechard’s lawyer Peter Stris, present the argument, and try to hammer out some sort of settlement that would make sense to both parties under the circumstances. Simply announcing to the world that you’re not going to pay any more guarantees that you’ll be sued. It also throws this story, which Broidy’s lawyers keep swearing he’s desperate to keep out of the news, back onto the front page.

I can honestly say Campos makes a very strong point with this point. Even though I feel this issue is settled and Broidy’s the father he keeps committing forced errors that make no sense what so ever. It’s like he wants to screw Trump over as much as possible by keeping the story in the news. It really doesn’t make any sense. But if you work on the assumption that Trump has nothing to do with any of this, then Broidy’s just a screw up.

(4) Two days later Bechard sued Broidy, Bechard’s original lawyer Keith Davidson, and Stormy Daniels’ lawyer Michael Avenatti filing her complaint under seal, meaning that, unless a judge ruled otherwise, the complaint would remain unavailable to the public. Yesterday, Avenatti went to court to get the complaint unsealed. The judge refused to do so, but did provide him with a copy (he hadn’t seen the complaint until then). Avenatti has already scheduled a deposition with Bechard for next week.

Per the Daily Beast, the lawsuit includes “troublesome claims that Broidy wouldn’t want to become public.”

To me, the fact that Avenatti would know what’s under seal and hasn’t said anything publicly to indicate that there might be some there there definitely seems to mean that there really isn’t any there there. Avenatti is a lawyer, he’d figure out some way to freak out, to get the speculation going without breaking the court seal. But as far as I know, he’s not said anything at all about what he may or may not have learned about any Trump connection.

A little later down the post, Campos writes:

(5) There is still not a shred of evidence that Elliott Broidy had ever met Shera Bechard, at least not before he started forking over huge tracts of cash to her last December.

This is another one where I will concede the point to Campos. It’s a head scratcher that there’s no photographic evidence of any affair between Bechard and Broidy given the continued interest in the matter.

Anyway, as I keep saying, if there was any rock hard evidence that Trump was somehow involved that came out, I might black out in shock for a few minutes. I totally, 100% believe Broidy is the father and I only keep writing about any of this because it’s interesting and Broidy keeps screwing up.

Shelton Bumgarner is a writer and photographer living in Richmond, Va. He may be reached at migukin (at) gmail (dot) com.

#FOTUS: Michael Cohen, Elliot Broidy, Shera Bechard & The Trump Crazytrain Express

by Shelton Bumgarner
@bumgarls

I have finally come up with an easily understandable explanation for what happened with Shera Bechard and Elliot Broidy. What happened with them is the same thing that happened when John Wilkes Booth decided to kill Lincoln. There was an existing assassination plot floating around Washington D.C, he heard about it, and decided to use it. So the reason why it’s so difficult for people to believe it wasn’t Trump is because what they’re seeing is Trump’s existing method of dealing with a problem being used by someone else.

Some news — first, our favorite blowhard opportunist Michael Avenatti got the goods on whatever is inside the sealed complaint that Shera Bechard filed in her effort to get the rest of her $1.6 million hush money from Elliot Broidy. Avenatti has been completely silent on this issue, so that would indicate that he knows 100% that there’s no there there.

Meanwhile, a Huffington Post article says two anonymous sources say Bechard and Trump have never met each other. But they provide no proof that Broidy and Bechard know each other. And they’re anonymous. So the crazy train continues to rumble along for another day.

#FOTUS: Another Trip To Crazytown – Was Elliot Broidy Trump’s Shera Bechard Fall Guy?

by Shelton Bumgarner
@bumgarls

I have to be careful what I write on this one because people who absolutely believe it was Trump who got Shera Bechard pregnant will rage if I don’t at least give some credence to the #FOTUS theory, while those who actually know what happened will shame me for giving the theory any remaining credence at all.

The latest weird thing to happen to give the #FOTUS (Campos) Theory people something to cling to is the Shera Bechard’s complaint demanding she get paid by Elliot Broidy was immediately sealed for 20 days. Given all the embarrassing things that could possibly be included in the complaint, it makes sense that this would happen.

At the crux of the #FOTUS theory is how if you don’t know the truth — that it was Elliot Broidy who got Shera Bechard pregnant — the logic of it being Trump who did is so addictive, so nearly absolute in its obviousness that it’s damn near impossible to shake off. I say this as someone who feels he knows what really happened.

What really, absolutely happened, the thing that caused all this confusion and speculation in the first place is Shera Bechard picked Keith Davidson to represent her. Once that happened, the rest took care of itself. Davidson looked up Broidy, saw that he knew the president’s fixer Michael Cohen through the RNC and ta-da: a conspiracy theory is born.

In hindsight, it seems as though the people involved were not thinking very clearly. I mean, I know apparently Broidy’s wife is his lawyer, but we know for a fact that he does, in fact, have an actual lawyer he could have used instead of doofus Michael Cohen. And Broidy was actively trying to weasel his way into the good graces of the Trump Administration so he could sell access to Arabs for something like $600 million. But it’s not that they weren’t thinking clearly, they just didn’t think any of this would come to light. They had no idea that Cohen’s offices would be raided.

So if you simply say that Bechard was lying about randomly being referred Davidson, then the whole thing falls apart and it becomes pretty clear that it was, in fact Trump. Too bad that even I now think she’s telling the truth. It’s surreal that it happened, yes, but unless something truly astonishing happens, unless something that makes my mouth literally drop in shock occurs pretty quick, then the conventional wisdom is correct — Elliot Broidy got Shera Bechard pregnant and because she was referred Keith Davidson, for a few days we all thought Trump was the father.

It’s a testament to the low opinion we have of Trump that it’s so addictive for us to think he was somehow involved in all of this. But he wasn’t. We have to stop kicking the can down the road in some sort of vain attempt to keep our conspiratorial hopes alive. There’s no there there. None. Zip. Zilch.

It really hurts me as a liberal to admit that, to admit that Trump is in the clear on this one, but it’s the truth. For once Trump just happened to be connected to some shady — not thinking clearly — characters while he, himself, didn’t actually do anything wrong.

The sooner all of us come to grips with that, the better.

#FOTUS: Remaining Unusual Aspects To Shera Bechard & Elliot Broidy’s Romance

by Shelton Bumgarner
@bumgarls

While I am now 100% convinced that Elliot Broidy had an affair with Shera Bechard, got her pregnant and signed an NDA agreement with her, there are some lingering curiosities to this affair that will keep you thinking about it, if nothing else. So, I feel that Paul Campos’ New York Magazine article theory — that it was Trump, not Broidy who got Bechard pregnant is now completely debunked. Though I totally believe it was Broidy, the only way you get to that point is by saying we know for a fact it was Broidy then working backwards from that.

1. Lack of proof that they were romantically involved.
Now, someone I know who knows even more about all of this than me says the lack of proof is a meh. He also says if it was Trump instead of Broidy who was the father, that would be a huge story and people would be coming out of the woodwork with proof of it. My counter argument is the buzz about this whole situation has grown to the point that the Trump-leaning National Enquirer would probably be willing to pay a little bit for proof photographic proof that Broidy and Bechard knew each other. So complete lack of evidence one way or another at this point is…unusual.

2. The lawyers
That both Bechard and Broidy would be represented by lawyers with direct connections to previous NDA agreements on the part of Trump is unusual as well. But that is easily answered by it all happened the moment Bechard was referred Keith Davidson by a friend. Davidson, in turn, looked up Broidy, discovered he knew Cohen through the RNC and that was that.

3. Broidy stopping payment
We know why he has stopped payment — Davidsion talked to Michael Avenatti about the case, thus breaking the NDA. Ok, that’s what happened. But Broidy is doing Trump no favors at this point. Him stopping payments is news not only because it gets people scratching their heads again, but that, in turn forces Bechard to sue for the money, which doubly gets people talking about the Campos Theory again. (I call it #FOTUS, but there you go.) And Broidy using a high-end law firm to represent him is unusual because according to Campos, those guys are so expensive Broidy may actually lose money in the end relative to the remaining part of the $1.6 million he owes Bechard.

The intensity that some people want to believe the #FOTUS theory shows you how much people have come to hate the Trump Administration. Being able to prove that Trump fathered a child and got another man to not only be the fall guy, but pay her $1.6 million so he could get access to Trump is so delicious, so perfect in its corruption that even for people like me who feel they know the truth — it was Broidy — you keep coming back to the #FOTUS theory, hoping to find something new that might prove it to be correct.

But it’s not. I’m not saying I won’t keep writing about this, but I totally, absolutely, 100% believe it was Broidy. As I keep saying, something truly astonishing would have to happen at this point for me to think otherwise. And, alas, that isn’t going to happen.

Shelton Bumgarner is a writer and photographer living in Richmond, Va. He may be reached at migukin (at) gmail (dot) com.

#FOTUS: Michael Avenatti & A Minor Plot Twist In The Shera Bechard, Broidy, Trump Daydream

by Shelton Bumgarner
@bumgarls

Again, let me be clear that I am now 100% sure that Elliot Broidy had an affair with Shera Bechard, not Donald Trump, and all the confusion that’s been generated on by the sequence of events that began from when Bechard picked Keith Davidson to represent her. The only reason why I even write this blog post is it’s nice summer day and there’s some news on this front.

As you can tell from the above image, Bechard has sued for her money (Brody’s stopped paying the NDA money) and along the way sued seemingly ubiquitous media lawyer cum TV personality Michael Avenatti as well. This comes from the fact that Broidy thinks Keith Davidson gabbed to Avenatti about the details of the case, thus breaking the NDA.

This is all white noise in my view. There’s nothing to see here. The only thing of note at this point is Avenatti — probably because he couldn’t resist a bit of a sop to the enraged crowds who are his main supporters — threw in a “or may not have had” in his statement. It’s pretty clear to me at this point that Avenatti should know better. If he did talk to Davidson, then he knows that it was Broidy, not Trump in the first place. But I think it’s all part of his style of brinkmanship lawyering.

Anyway, this was all to be expected. I’ve had my fun looking into this and now it’s done. As I’ve said before, if something dramatic happened to change my views on what I feel is absolutely established — that Broidy is the father — I might black out for a moment or two. It would be a complete and total shock to me.

Shelton Bumgarner is a writer and photographer living in Richmond, Va. He may be reached at migukin (at) gmail (dot) com.

#FOTUS: Shera Bechard, Elliot Broidy & A Trump Summer Daydream.

by Shelton Bumgarner
@bumgarls

From what I can tell at this moment, the #FOTUS Theory has been completely debunked. All the lingering questions I have are simply white noise. But let’s walk through again what happened just to be clear once and for all how all the confusion occurred.

In late 2017, Shera Bechard learns she’s pregnant. All of this confusion, all this assuming Trump is involved, comes from what she did next: on the advice of a friend, she picks Keith Davidson to represent her in an NDA agreement. That’s it. All of this wasted time comes from that simple decision. That decision set in motion a sequence of events that made it inevitable that people would look at each other and say, “It’s gotta be Trump.” Once she picked Keith Davidson, he turns around and calls his good friend Michael Cohen who in turn talks to his good friend Elliot Broidy. You can debate all you like about why Broidy would pick Cohen over his existing lawyer, but it’s white noise. Trump had nothing to do with this and they weren’t even thinking about it at the time because they didn’t expect Cohen’s offices to be raided.

Now, having said all that, I’m not going to suggest that what is described above is not what happened. But I will at least make some observations about the curious nature of all of this. I do not believe Trump is involved at all, but it’s surreal how much from the outside it seems as though Trump was involved and he was just really lazy.

It would make so much sense if what really happened was Bechard called Trump, told him she was pregnant, Trump turned to Cohen and said “fix it” and the rest took care of itself. And, yet, to me the fact that they leaked the NDA to the WSJ in an effort to get ahead of the story indicates it was Broidy, not Trump. Broidy does himself no favors by not being a little bit more forthright in his denials. Instead of putting out an airtight denial, he gives us these weirdly worded ones that only feed the flames of people’s paranoia.

Unless something pretty shocking happens pretty soon, all my liberal fever dreams of us debating Shera Bechard’s state of mind at the time of her abortion as we debate a SCOTUS pick are just that — liberal fever dreams. I really enjoy writing about this and it’s fun to look at it from different angles, trying to see something you haven’t seen before. But it is all a waste of time because you come up against the cold hard facts. There’s no there there. None. Zero.

That’s not to say that Broidy won’t commit a few unforced errors in the next few weeks, given how prone he is to them. All that will do is prompt more speculation and I’ll get excited and waste more time. That doesn’t even begin to address all the people who will hear about the FOTUS theory second and third hand and demand I tell them why I’m so absolutely sure it wasn’t Trump. As I understand it, the ball is in Shera Bechard’s court at this point. She’s going to have to sue if she wants the rest of her $1.6 million payout. When she sues, that will generate news and we go through this all over again.

A lot of all of this is caused by the intense, seething hatred of the Trump Administration on the part of liberals. The idea that Trump is such a screw up as to do something like as is suggested in the #FOTUS theory is just too perfect not to entertain seriously for a significant amount of time. One the face of it, it seems like the political silver bullet we’ve all been waiting for to end this nightmare.

But, alas, it’s not. This was just a summer daydream and it gave me something to write about, to talk about for a few weeks while I should have been looking for a job.

Shelton Bumgarner is a writer and photographer living in Richmond, Va. He may be reached at migukin (at) gmail (dot) com.

#FOTUS: A Deep Dive Into The Curious Lingering Issues Of Elliot Broidy, Shera Bechard & Trump

Let me be absolutely clear — Elliot Broidy got Shera Bechard pregnant, agreed to pay her $1.6 million and she decided not to keep the child. That’s it. That’s what happened. The Wall Street Journal story today pretty much clears everything up as best I can tell. So you’re wasting your time reading this.

Having said that, let’s do a deep dive into the current conventional wisdom as to how that happened is.

Sometime in late 2017, Shera Bechard discovers she’s pregnant. Of her own volition and completely devoid of any connection to Donald J. Trump, she randomly is referred by a friend Keith Davidson to represent her. Davidson calls Broidy up says Bechard is pregnant and mentions that he noticed Broidy knows Davidson’s good buddy Michael Cohen through the RNC. Broidy panics (or something) agrees to be represented by Cohen. Shera Bechard gets $1.6 million because Broidy was feeling generous and Davidson and Cohen are such noted feminists with the best interests of women at heart and all of this is a big confusion stemming in large part from Bechard picking Davidson in the first place.

So for shits and giggles let’s pick this apart. As I’ve written before, here’s are the lingering questions I have about the Broidy Did It conventional wisdom:

Why Is There No Proof That Elliot Broidy and Shera Bechard Had A Relationship?
I believe that Broidy and Bechard definitely know each other. But this scandal doesn’t play by the rules. What’s supposed to happen is the story breaks along with a picture of the couple — Gary Hart on the Monkey Business with a woman on his lap — and after the scandal runs its course we go back to whatever the fuck we were doing before it happened. But this scandal…nothing. You’d think that by this point Broidy or Bechard by this point would feel it was in their best interest to release a picture of them together. And, yet, to date, nothing. This one is probably just me overthinking. But it is odd.

Why Did Sherea Bechard Pick Keith Davidson to Represent Her?
This, for me, is the most nebulous question of all of this. It’s the one question that is not easily to wave away. I am willing to accept, I guess, the conventional wisdom that she just randomly picked him on reference from a friend…but it’s spooky. It’s really, really spooky that of all the lawyers in Beverly Hills, she would pick not only the guy who had resented Stormy Daniels and Karen McDougal in NDA agreements with Trump, but the same guy Michael Cohen, Trump’s personal fixer, was really, really tight with. It’s just spooky. It is difficult to believe, but apparently that’s what really happened.

Why Did Elliot Broidy Not Use His Own Lawyer?
We now know, from a response to the New York Magazine article, that Broidy has a long-term personal lawyer. This, to me, raises a question — wait, what? One of the central aspects of the Broidy Did It camp is that Broidy picked Cohen because he knew him from the RNC. But if Broidy had his own actual real lawyer to turn to instead of shady faux lawyer Cohen, why pick Cohen at all? I guess the answer, maybe, is Broidy wanted a fixer, not a lawyer. And, yet, it’s surprising he was willing to entrust something he felt was $1.6 million worth of embarrassment with someone who is, at best, an incompetent lawyer. What’s more, that he would go through so much trouble to pick Cohen and not even get Cohen to lowball Bechard through his tight, tight connection to Davidson is kind of weird, too.

Why Did Broidy Stop Paying Shera Bechard?
This one actually seems pretty above board. I would say that while, yes, it’s likely Davidson talked to Michael Avenatti about the case and thus broke the NDA, the more likely answer is Bechard had the abortion, everybody knows and so Broidy is like, fuck this, I’m not paying. You could get all paranoid and say he didn’t feel he was getting his money’s worth after all from the deal, but if a more legitimate paranoia is he knows the story — whatever it is — will be coming out soon enough because of the SDNY getting all those Cohen files and so he did a cost-benefit-analysis and decided he would be saving money in the long run by not paying anymore. Or something. Paul Campos says the firm Broidy’s using in the NDA case now is really expensive, so he’s likely not even saving himself that much money in the long run.

If your entire conventional wisdom is based on the one thing that I think is the spookiest about all of this — that Shera Bechard picked Keith Davidson to represent her out of the blue and that that is simply a sheer coincidence, I don’t know what to tell you. If Bechard had said she ended up with Davidson because Broidy had recommended him, I would really think there wasn’t anything to the #FOTUS scandal theory. That makes sense. That would lead credence to the idea that Broidy knew Cohen through the RNC and thought he might get a better deal if Bechard used someone Cohen had worked with before. Remember, folks, while I’m not casing aspersions on Ms. Bechard’s intelligence, we are talking about a Playboy Bunny. Or, put it another way, from the money Bechard found out she was pregnant, isn’t there a chance she might simply call up her lover Broidy and tell him she was pregnant and go from there? Given the big dummies involved of Davidson and Cohen, it definitely seems as though someone, say, Donald J. Trump, learned that Bechard was pregnant, turned to Cohen and said, “Fix it.”

Logically it makes so much more sense if Trump simply was extremely lazy and fell back to his usual MO. The broad uses Davidson, he uses Cohen and they work out a deal as to how much it will cost to wrap this up. And from Trump’s point of view, this is free money. Unlike Stormy Daniels, Trump doesn’t even have to pay anyone back! Whohoo! Broidy sees visions of $600 million in Arab access money dancing in his head, his wife is cool with it and he agrees to be the fall guy. It’s only after Cohen’s offices are raided that people start to panic and leak the NDA to the WSJ in an effort to get ahead of the story because they know the SDNY will inevitably find out the truth. What’s worse, from Broidy’s point of view, he’s out $1.6 million, his reputation is tarnished needlessly and the jig is up when it comes to him getting access to Trump.

So he says fuck this and stops paying Bechard her NDA agreement money, letting the chips fall where they may.

In the interest of being fair, I am making numerous assumptions out of whole cloth. I really pulling some things out of my ass, assuming that Trump is involved in the first place. I haven’t really gotten back to the cognitive dissidence of a few weeks ago because I feel I’ve learned enough to believe it was Broidy and all of this is just white noise caused by my liberal wishful thinking, but if you put all the datapoints on a corkboard, the weakest link of the current Broidy Did It conventional wisdom is that Shera Bechard out of the blue picked Keith Davidson to represent her. I just don’t believe that. You could give me any number of other explanations that increase the case for Broidy being the father if you didn’t use that datapoint to back up your case.

But having looked over what I just wrote, there’s a reason why people keep thinking Trump was involved. Doesn’t it just sound like Trump to be so lazy as to use his standard operation procedure to wrap something like this up? It makes a whole lot more sense logically if you say, “Bechard told Trump she was pregnant, Cohen knew Broidy through the RNC and that $1.6 million wasn’t abortion money it was the amount of money the three parties involved agreed upon to make this go away. For Broidy it was access, for Bechard it was an abortion and for Trump it was to save his presidency.”

One weakness in the #FOTUS theory is that Broidy wanted access. As I understand it, Broidy pretty much alreay had access. And, yet, if it wasn’t Broidy who panicked by Trump who panicked, it sure does make a lot more sense if Cohen looked around and saw Broidy as an easy make.

And, yet, having said all that, again, I have to say everyone who has looked into this says it was Broidy. End of story. It makes no sense logically, everything definitely seems to point to Trump being the father, but it’s just not the case. Regardless, we’ll know soon enough I guess as the SDNY begins to process all those Cohen files.

Shelton Bumgarner is a writer and reporter living in Richmond, Va. He may be reached at migukin (at) gmail (dot) com.

#FOTUS: Shera Bechard, Elliot Broidy & Trump’s Nightmare Scenario

by Shelton Bumgarner
@bumgarls

I feel with about 98% certainty that Elliot Broidy got Shera Bechard pregnant and I’m really wasting my time at this point even writing about anything to the contrary. The only reason why I even write this is someone else interested in the #FOTUS theory said the latest unforced PR blunder by Elliot Broidy was “odd” and that is enough to generate a post like this. The following is a rank liberal fever dream and you don’t have to read it if you don’t want to.

Before I get into the fever dream, here are the lingering questions I have about the near airtight argument that it really was Elliot Broidy who got Shera Bechard pregnant, regardless of what I might want to think otherwise.

Why Is There No Proof That Elliot Broidy and Shera Bechard Had A Relationship?
I believe that Broidy and Bechard definitely know each other. But this scandal doesn’t play by the rules. What’s supposed to happen is the story breaks along with a picture of the couple — Gary Hart on the Monkey Business with a woman on his lap — and after the scandal runs its course we go back to whatever the fuck we were doing before it happened. But this scandal…nothing. You’d think that by this point Broidy or Bechard by this point would feel it was in their best interest to release a picture of them together. And, yet, to date, nothing. This one is probably just me overthinking. But it is odd.

Why Did Sherea Bechard Pick Keith Davidson to Represent Her?
This, for me, is the most nebulous question of all of this. It’s the one question that is not easily to wave away. I am willing to accept, I guess, the conventional wisdom that she just randomly picked him on reference from a friend…but it’s spooky. It’s really, really spooky that of all the lawyers in Beverly Hills, she would pick not only the guy who had resented Stormy Daniels and Karen McDougal in NDA agreements with Trump, but the same guy Michael Cohen, Trump’s personal fixer, was really, really tight with. It’s just spooky. It is difficult to believe, but apparently that’s what really happened.

Why Did Elliot Broidy Not Use His Own Lawyer?
We now know, from a response to the New York Magazine article, that Broidy has a long-term personal lawyer. This, to me, raises a question — wait, what? One of the central aspects of the Broidy Did It camp is that Broidy picked Cohen because he knew him from the RNC. But if Broidy had his own actual real lawyer to turn to instead of shady faux lawyer Cohen, why pick Cohen at all? I guess the answer, maybe, is Broidy wanted a fixer, not a lawyer. And, yet, it’s surprising he was willing to entrust something he felt was $1.6 million worth of embarrassment with someone who is, at best, an incompetent lawyer. What’s more, that he would go through so much trouble to pick Cohen and not even get Cohen to lowball Bechard through his tight, tight connection to Davidson is kind of weird, too.

Why Did Broidy Stop Paying Shera Bechard?
This one actually seems pretty above board. I would say that while, yes, it’s likely Davidson talked to Michael Avenatti about the case and thus broke the NDA, the more likely answer is Bechard had the abortion, everybody knows and so Broidy is like, fuck this, I’m not paying. You could get all paranoid and say he didn’t feel he was getting his money’s worth after all from the deal, but if a more legitimate paranoia is he knows the story — whatever it is — will be coming out soon enough because of the SDNY getting all those Cohen files and so he did a cost-benefit-analysis and decided he would be saving money in the long run by not paying anymore. Or something. Paul Campos says the firm Broidy’s using in the NDA case now is really expensive, so he’s likely not even saving himself that much money in the long run.

Ok, having said all that, if you really, really wanted to wallow in a delusional, surreal liberal fever dream, this is the scenario that would make that ardent Resistance member in your family swoon:

Just as Trump’s SCOTUS pick nomination process heats up — one focused almost entirely on the fate of Roe v. Wade — the SDNY drops an H-Bomb on the proceedings by leaking absolute proof that Donald Trump was involved, despite everything I’ve generally come to accept otherwise. Or Shera Bechard changes her tune.

Anyway, instantaneously, the focus of the entire nation’s attention turns to the state of mind of Shera Bechard at the time she got her abortion. If there was proof that her then-lawyer Keith Davidson and Elliot Broidy’s attorney Michael Cohen actively worked to pressure her into having an abortion for $1.6 million at the behest of Donald Trump…well, talk about a Bonfire of the Vanities. Twitter would probably crash from the rage.

I honestly do not believe anything like that is going to happen. I swear. But I do like to write and wallowing in liberal fever dreams is my thing.

Shelton Bumgarner is a writer and photographer living in Richmond, Virginia. He may be reached at migukin (at) gmail (dot) com.