Welp, Maybe I Called It

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner


I was just being rhetorical when I suggested that ding-dong Trump might pull the United States out of NATO and align with Russia. Now, given that Musk agrees with this nightmare….maybe it’s actually going to happen?

I still don’t know if any Americans would care. NATO and the UN are largely abstract concepts to Americans obsessed with the price of eggs, so… lulz? Maybe Trump really could do as I fear and do an “Axis of Evil” with the United States, Russia, Turkey and Hungary being members.

Then what. Then what would happen?

There might be some protests, but not enough to change Trump — or Musk’s — mind. So, lulz? It continue to think that the next five years could be some of the most dramatic years since at least the end of WW2, if you factor in the issue of the Singularity rushing towards us at a fast clip.

‘Five Years’

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I suspect we have about five years until the Singularity. This will happen in the context of Trump potentially destroying the post-WW2 liberal order. So, in essence, within five years, everything will be different.

It’s even possible we may blow ourselves up to a limited degree with some sort of limited nuclear exchange because Trump has pulled the US out of the collapsed post-WW2 liberal order.

My big question is how ASI is going to roll out. People too often conflate AGI with ASI. The two are not the same. A lot of people think that all of our problems will be fixed once we reached AGI, when that’s not even the final step — ASI is.

And, in a way, even ASI isn’t the endgame — maybe there will be all sorts of ASIs, not just one. My fear, of course, is that somehow Elon Musk is going to try to upload his mind or that of Trump’s into the cloud and our new ASI ruler will be like the old one.

Ugh.

But, I try not to think about that too much. All I do know is that the next five years are likely to be…eventful.

If Trump Destroyed The Post-WW2 Liberal Order, Would Any Americans Care?

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

It is increasingly clear that we may be but one Truth Social post away from completely re-aligning the global order by trying to form some alliance with Russia. The specifics are up in the air, but I could totally see him taking “America First” to its logical conclusion by ending American involvement in NATO and forming some sort of new military alliance between the United States, Russia, Turkey and Hungary.

And that, as they say, would be that.

Given the absolute power Trump has over the Republican Party, I suspect within hours of the announcement the talking points would be distributed and everyone would fall into line. This, especially if Trump pitched it as a way to cut the military budget significantly so he could cut takes even more for plutocrats.

I do sense that the United States is growing just a wee bit more unstable than it used to be just months (weeks?) ago. Trump flipping out on the president of Ukraine in the Oval Office recently may be seen as a watershed in our long national MAGA nightmare.

It reminded a lot of people that, “Hey, is Trump a Russian spy?” And, yet, I have my doubts that even if my nightmare scenario came to be that anything of note would happen. MAGA would tow the line while the already pointless Democratic leadership would just wince and grit its teeth, not actually doing anything worthwhile.

So, I do think it’s at least possible that by the time Trump is Moscow in May to celebrate the end of WW2 that, lulz, we may be living in a totally different geopolitical world than we do now.

The Eagle & The Bear: Thinking The Unthinkable

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

Given what happened today at the White House between Trump and the president of Ukraine, we have to contemplate Trump taking things to the next logical step — destroying the post-WW2 liberal order entirely and aligning the USA with Russia.

Here’s how I think it would happen — Trump, at some point between now and when he goes to Russia for the anniversary of the end of WW2, will announce that the US is not only pulling out of NATO, but forming a new alliance with Russia, Turkey and Hungary.

He will also say that the USA is pulling out all of its troops from Europe and South Korea and cutting the defense budge severely.

It definitely *seems* as though the events of the last few weeks are leading up to something like that. Now, of course, the question is, will Trump do it?

Well, At Least Russia Is Too Weak To Invade Europe

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

Russia is just too weak to invade the Baltics or Poland. If it was not so weak, then, yeah, I would assume they would invade much of Eastern Europe pretty soon, no question.

But Russia is too tied up in Ukraine at the moment to pose too much of a threat to Europe. Yet, I do think that Trump is probably going to make NATO moot soon enough. I think the whole post-WW2 liberal order is officially dead and something new — something unknown — is going to be formed soon enough.

It make take another World War for it to finally be birthed, but I do think that it’s at least possible something *better* might arise from the ashes of the old order.

Trump Is A Russian Agent

I have no proof that Trump is a Russian op, but he definitely is doing all the things a Russian agent would do to destroy the West. You never can tell with Trump if he just loves Putin’s autocratic power or if there’s more to it.

Anyway, buckle up, folks. This is getting real and it’s only going to get worse. Every day, Trump — and Musk — are going to find new and exciting ways to fuck with things in ways we didn’t even know were possible.

I still think Musk is going to do something so bad that Trump pays a severe political price for it. But time will tell, huh.

I Fear The United States May Invade Canada — YIKES

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

Because we live in the dumbest timeline, it seems as though the United States could very well invade Canada. I have talked about this possibility over the years, but I never actually thought it might happen.

And, yet, here we are.

The thing we have to appreciate is that we’re in a new era. The entire post-WW2 liberal order is collapsing at its center — the United States — and something new is about to take its place.

What that is, I don’t know yet. I could be tyranny, it could be some sort of Third American Republic. But, at the moment, it really could go either way I’m afraid.

If the United States did something as dumb as invade Canada…oh boy. That would totally throw everything out of whack. It’s bullshit like this that makes me think Trump is a Russian agent.

Invading a friend like Canada is just the type of thing Putin would want the United States to do. Anyway, buckle up.

Trump’s Idiotic Canada Annexation Idea

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

And here I was, thinking it would take Trump a few years to get around to the autocratic idea of annexing Canada to “free” it from the “woke cancel culture mob.”

Man, have I been naive.

Now, obviously, at the moment, Trump’s desire to make Canada — all of fucking Canada — the 51st State is beyond stupid and crazy on a number of different levels.

But history has a force of its own sometimes and lulz, who knows, Trump could be in desperate need for a major distraction at some point in the near future and what starts off as “we’ll force a union with Canada via a pressure campaign” turns into, “let’s bomb those fuckers.”

Will it come to that? I doubt it, but there is a greater than zero chance that Trump might decide to invade Canada at some point over the next eight or so years (I doubt he will ever leave office willingly.)

I still think this part of a broader plan on the part of Putin to destroy the post-WW2 liberal order. Ugh.

Anyway. Only time will tell, I suppose.

Tsar-A-Largo: Trump’s Plot Against America

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

Trump’s idea to turn all of Canada into the 51st state is so fucking stupid that you couldn’t write a novel or movie with that as a plot point. The idea that ALL of Canada would be ONE FUCKING STATE is so astonishingly stupid that it is like we’re living in a simulation.

But, here we are.

We’ve been so focused on the domestic political hellscape that Trump promises, that we have totally forgotten about how Trump could single handedly destroy the post WW2 liberal order. If he really does go after Canada, Greenland and the Panama Canal…that is like a Russian wet dream.

And remember, all that bullshit comes in the context of Trump planning on rounding up and deporting 20 million people.

All of this is seriously fucked up.

It definitely seems as though MAGA is determined to destroy everything to the point that it can never be rebuilt, even if Blues somehow, magically come to power again at some point in the future.

It could be that something akin to WW3 is going to happen specifically because of Trump and after a few billion people die because of him, personally….maybe the good guys will come back to power?

Maybe we’ll have the Singularity and be able to regulate it as species so we don’t get snuffed out by some sort of Artificial Super Intelligence? Only time will tell, I guess. But I am growing more and more alarmed.

It Seems Inevitable That Trump Will Arrest Congressional Democrats One Day

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

With all the talk of the coup attempt in South Korea, I find myself thinking about how something similar could happen here. The most obvious way is at some point after the Congressional mid-terms (should the Democrats win) they decide to impeach Trump for something and he decides to arrest them all en masse.

I think *that* would be the last shiver of American democracy, more than anything else because I think he would get away with it. SCOTUS has already said he’s above the law, so, lulz, seems like he could pull off such a coup scenario pretty easily.

All the lawmakers would be in jail by the time enough people realized what was going on, given how big and distracted the country is, in general. I have a very low, dark view of how things are going to play out over the course of the next four years.

I think 2024 will be the last free-and-fair election in America history for the rest of my life — at least. We’re going to become a legalistic autocratic state like in Russia and that will be that. And because I will never bend a knee, Trump — or one of his successors — will order my death.

Good times!