Going Forward Into A Possible Civil War / Revolution There’s One Thing That I’m Nervous About: The DPRK

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I make a lot of dark, dystopian predictions on this blog about the future. I can’t predict the future, so I don’t *know* what will happen. But I am…uneasy about our future. All the *conditions* are there for some sort of collapse of the United States for various reasons.

As such, my big concern if THAT happens is the DPRK will take advantage of the situation and start lobbing H-bombs in our direction. It will be a lot more difficult for Blues to win over Reds if, say, LA and NYC have been vaporized.

So, lulz? I don’t know what to tell you. I can’t predict the future. No one can. But I am very, very concerned that the future could be a far, far darker than we’re willing to accept at the moment.

It could be that about 1 billion people will die directly because of ding-dong Trump. Buckle up.

It’s Clear That The United States Is Lurching Towards A White Christian Ethnostate The Moment Any Republican Becomes POTUS

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

We’re doomed. We’re fucking doomed. The Republican Party is now a fascist one with one agenda and one agenda only — to establish the United States as an autocratic, MAGA-themed white Christian ethnostate.

The key thing to remember is that we can only punt this particular problem down the road so much. Even if we “vote harder” and beat Trump at the polls, the Republican Party is so fascist and radicalized that it’s inevitable that the pressure to transform the US into an autocratic white Christian ethnostate will remain.

So, if it’s not 2025 that we turn into an Christian autocracy, it will be 2029.

As such, there is a part of me — not a very big part — that feels like throwing down the gauntlet NOW so at least if we are going to have a big political / military fight over the choice of autocracy or freedom at least ding-dong Trump will be in charge of the fucking fascists, not someone with any sense about them.

But I only think that when I get really fucking frustrated with the chipper do-gooders who think that if we only “vote harder” that that will fix everything. But it won’t. There’s a good chance that even if the “vote harder” strategy works that Trump will demand a National Divorce to avoid prison time.

Or, put another way — the issue is, that barring some sort of Black Swan event pretty soon, late 2024, early 2025 could see some of the most dramatic events in American — if not human — history. I can’t predict the future. Who knows.

What The Fuck Is Going On With Alexander Smirnov?

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

The entire point of the impeachment “investigation” into President Biden has simply make sure that when low information voters go to the polls in November they will THINK that Trump and Biden are equal on that front, even though they obviously won’t be.

And I think, in the end, if Biden is impeached, it’s probably going to be for some random minor scandal that pops up out of the blue that would otherwise be a lulz but for how the country is teetering on revolution / civil war.

But something very curious is going on at the moment with the “star witness” of the ding-dong House Republicans. Alexander Smirnov is clearly a Russian FSU operative and there is an air of mystery swirling around him that is unnerving.


What’s going on?

Is it possible that a real bombshell is about to drop, which is that House Republicans KNEW what they were doing and they were actually willfully aiding the disinformation objectives of a foreign power?

I have serious doubts that this is the case. But there is a weird vibe about the whole situation with a MAGA judge letting the guy go, then Smirnov being re-arrested today, presumably because he’s a flight risk.

The key thing to remember is – we are completley and totally fucked because about 38% of the electorate hates democracy because they hate women, minorities and the modern world so much that they would rather be a white Christian ethnostate than have to figure out someone’s pronouns.

And, in the end, I fear that we’re either going to turn “all Red” with a MAGA-themed autocracy, or we’re going to have a Blue revolution then a civil war. Fun times!

But I can’t predict the future. Who knows what is going to happen.

Everything Is So Dumb (AI Generated Art Edition)

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

As I’ve said before, I get that people are upset that AI generated art won’t give them historically accurate depictions — but for one thing: fucking Nazis.


Do we really want a future where members of the Patriot Front can pump out millions of images to use as Nazi propaganda? Are Tech Bros really so willfully oblivious that they don’t see the harm in something like that happening? Some of them have gotten really, really worked up about there being ANY guardrails for AI.

It really kind of blows my mind.

Anyway, fuck that, fuck them and fuck Nazis.

It Definitely *Seems* Like We’re Doomed As Of Late February 2024

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

As I keep saying, I can’t predict the future — no one can. But boy, oh boy, does it seem like we’re careening towards a very, very dark future. Because of various demographic and economic trends that are warping our political system, it seems as though we’re either going to turn into a MAGA-themed Russian autocracy in 2025, or we’re going to collapse into civil war / revolution starting in late 2024, early 2025.

In short — we’re fuuuuuuuucked.

And all because of vibes. The greatest nation in the world is going to either give up its democratic birthright or collapse into anarchy…because of vibes. Now, obviously, those “vibes” are being generated by a number of more serious issues — racism and misogyny being at the top of the list.

But there just doesn’t seem like there’s much we can do. Even if we defeat Trump, he could very well demand a National Divorce to stop himself from going to prison. And Biden is so old that….ugh. I just don’t want to think about some of the crazier, darker potential scenarios.

And let me remind you — it could be that somehow, someway we’ll muddle through our problems and somehow Trump will both lose and not start a civil war. Some Black Swan event could happen that make all my dystopian hellscape scenarios moot.

So, who knows.

But now, as of late February 2024 — we’re fucked.

What The Fuck Are We Going To Do If Trump Wins Re-Election?

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

Things are looking pretty dark if Trump wins a second term late this year. We have to accept that MAGA is National Socialism. In general, I think if Trump wins in the fall we’ll slip peacefully into a Russian-style autocracy — but for one thing: Trump is a lazy idiot.

As such, any other Republican in his position would be able to slowly — and peacefully — transition the country into a full blown autocratic state without much fuss. And, yet, Trump is SO stupid and SO lazy and SUCH a fucking ding-dong that there’s a good chance he will thrash around in 2025 to the point that Something Happens.

What that “something” might be, I don’t know.


There are a wide-range of different “things” that might happen if Trump not only goes full tyrant but thrashes around to the point that even Traditionalists sit up and take notice. It seems to me that, at a minimum, about 1 million smug, wealthy Twitter liberals will flee the country the moment it’s clear Trump has won re-election.

Meanwhile, once he’s actually in office, if the House is Democratic, he could very well be impeached almost immediately for, well, being a tyrant. I used to think we might see a General or Women’s Strike at that point in a collective effort to persuade the Senate to convict…but….I dunno. I think our best bet would be that the U.S. Military might depose Trump using the 14th Amendment as cover.

Not that I want that to happen. Not only do I hate violence, but if Trump was deposed, that would cause Red States to leave the Union and civil war would break out. Ugh.

So. I don’t know. I really don’t know what the fuck will happen if Trump is re-elected. I do believe, however, that late 2024, early 2025 could be something akin to “The Fourth Turning” in the sense that it will be a massive fucking clusterfuck.

We Don’t Talk Enough About Fucking Weird Trump Is

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

Trump is a very weird motherfucker. We’re so busy overestimating him because of one unexpected election win in 2016, that we forget that he is just a very weird empty suit. He’s just a malignant ding-dong that, because of an unexpected confluence of historical events, became POTUS.

Remember — he is not a great man of history.

He’s very lazy and stupid. Far, far more lazy and stupid than Hitler ever was. And, yet, because he’s a useful fool — or tool — a lot of far smarter people keep thinking up ways to make him an autocrat without him having to do anything more than just having a pulse.

This whole shoe thing he’s come up with is a prime example of this. He is such an idiot. And the show is awful. And, yet, here we are, having to take the whole thing seriously because we continue to over estimate him. I just don’t know what to say.

About 1 Million Smug Twitter Liberals Will Start to Flee The Country Once Trump Is Re-Elected

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

Should, God forbid, Trump get re-elected, a massive brain drain is going to begin. If you take into consideration wealth and the size of the country, I would suggest that about 1 million smug Twitter liberals will flee the country to who knows where within days of Trump winning the 2024 election.

That will be just the beginning. As Trump goes full tyrant, more and more people with the means to do so will leave the country. The entire global culture could be transformed as American ideals and traditions are pumped throughout the globe because of a massive diaspora.

It will truly be one of the great events of human history, up there with the fall of Constantinople in 1453. Of course, the counter argument is that if Trump thrashes around and goes full ham-handed tyrannical autocrat the moment he’s sworn in then…yikes…the entire world could collapse into chaos and anarchy.

But I can’t predict the future. Who knows what is going to happen. We could just muddle through and that will be that. But I will note that MAGA keeps screaming at the top of their lungs about what, exactly, they plan to do once they’re in power again.

Psychohistory: A Study Of Macro History Would Have Predicted Trump

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I used to compare Trump to The Mule character in The Foundation books. But I don’t think that anymore. I think if you had done a back-of-the-envelope projection of America’s future in the late 1980s, you would come to the realization that someone like Trump was going to pop out of the political woodwork.

The reason is — angry white conservative Christians feel aggrieved and put upon to the point that they see someone like Trump as an avatar for all their fears about changing America. And it all really boils down to a lack of those sweet, sweet white babies that such people want so bad — even though they don’t give a shit what happens to them once they’re born.

And, what’s more, Trump isn’t a Great Man of history. He’s not Hitler. He’s just too lazy and dumb to be such a person. He doesn’t bend history to his will, he just rides it to its logical conclusion. As such, he may very well force the issue one way or another in late 2024, early 2025.

It could be that if he becomes POTUS again, he will thrash around in such a ham-handed, tyrannical way that he will force Americans to make a decision — are we prepared to live in an autocratic state or not? If Trump was out of the picture, I think the US would simply gradually become a MAGA-themed autocracy because a Republican President — ANY Republican President other than Trump — would be able to transition us into such a state without people taking off their Apple Vision Pros.

But ding-dong Trump is so dumb and lazy that he might force Traditionalists to make a decision if, say, their vocal center-Left relative is snatched off the street for refusing to shut up about what a cocksucker Tyrant Trump is.

Anyway. What do I know. I can’t predict the future. But I am worried.

Comparing To Trump to Navalny Is Fucking Insane

By Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

The late Alexei Navalny.

Alexei Navalny’s tragic death has caused the usual MAGA suspects to compare his murder to what’s going on with Trump these days. Or, even more stupidly, MAGA will do “whataboutism” of pointing out the uncertain nature of Jeffery Epstein’s death in prison.

Ugh.

And Tucker Carlson pretty much gave Putin a pass for what happened to Navalny. Double ugh. The whole thing is fucked up. But it does give us a pretty solid indication of how bad things will get if Trump is re-elected.

I continue to predict that about 1 million wealthy, smug Twitter liberals will flee the country starting in late 2024, early 2025 should Trump get re-elected. That will be just the beginning as Trump begins to put the squeeze on anyone he sees as either a potential political opponent or critic.

What’s so bonkers about all of this is, of course, the fact that if Trump is really ham-handed in the implementation of MAGA tyranny….oh boy. All bets are off as to how that particular situation is finally fixed. If Trump is a total bonkers tyrant starting in 2025….it’s at least POSSIBLE that Blues might rise up against him in some sort of General Strike that might lead to a Glorious Revolution.

But I have my doubts — and I’m not advocating anything. I hate violence of any sort.

Yet I am worried. Very worried.