OpenAI Is In TROUBLE

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

It seems at the moment that OpenAI is running off of mindshare and vibes. That’s all it has. It hasn’t come out with a compelling, state of the art model in some time and there’s a good chance it could become the Netscape Navigator of the AI era.

I really never use ChatGPT anymore. Or, at least, rarely.

And, in fact, I’m seriously considering canceling my Claude Pro account should the need arise because Gemini 3.0 pro is so good. I’m a man of modest means — I’m very, very poor — and I have to prepare myself for simply not being able to afford paying for two AI pro accounts.

Anyway.

It’s interesting how bad ChatGPT is relative to Gemini 3.0.

I use Gemini with my novel and it really helps a lot. I got a pro Claude account because of how good it is with novel development, only to have Gemini 3.0 come out and make that moot.

I rarely, if ever, use ChatGPT for use on novel development.

But who knows. Maybe OpenAI is sitting on something really good that will blow everyone out of the water and everything will be upended AGAIN. The key thing about Google is it controls everything and has a huge amount of money coming in from advertising.

OpenAI, for it’s part, is just a overgrown startup. It’s just not making nearly enough money to be viable long-term as things stand.

So, I don’t know what to tell you. It will be interesting.

Contemplating An OpenAI Microblogging Service

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I don’t know what to make of the idea of OpenAI starting its own microblogging service to compete with Twitter. It seems like a great idea. I have come up with an idea a lot better than Twitter, one that fuses Twitter with Facebook, but, lulz, no one listens to me.

Anyway I suppose more the merrier, huh. Twitter needs more competition, given how shitty it’s become of late.

OpenAI Just Dropped An H-Bomb On The Commercial Modeling Industry

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I have long said that we’re one severe — or not so severe — recession away from our greedy corporate overlords thinking AI was “just good enough” to eliminate many, many jobs.

Well, just recently we got closer to that being reality in one part of the economy: the commercial modeling industry. The examples I’ve seen of the new image rendering software from OpenAI are stunning — it can create models (who aren’t real) out of whole cloth AND generate text and other imagines.

So, what’s the point of paying a photographer, a model and all the other elements of an ad campaign when you can just use OpenAI? That has got to be a billion dollar industry, at least, that may have just gone…poof!

Now, instead of all those people being paid and that money going throughout the economy, some jackass CEO will casually mumble something about “get an intern to do it on OpenAI” and that will be that.

What happens next will be a good example of how us finding out how quickly it will take for industry to adopt some revolutionary technology. I think, for the moment, the use of this image technology won’t be that wide spread — at least for a few weeks, maybe.

But the moment we slip into any sort of recession, the fucking apocalypse is going to happen for all those people associated with commercial photography.

The Future Is Profound

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

It is very possible that at some point between late 2024 and early 2025, humanity — because of Trump — could very well bomb itself into near-extinction.

But, let’s just suppose that we somehow avoid that fate. It definitely seems as though if we do avoid such a dire fate that within a decade, $10,000 humanoid robots will begin to enter the homes of the upper middle class and work their way downward from there.

That, not AI or robotics separately, is what we should be focused on — androids with near-human intelligence that begin to do everything around the home from wash dishes to build decks to babysit children to general home security. And it could happen far, far quicker than any of us are prepared to imagine.

We haven’t even begun to scratch the surface of what AI can do to the knowledge economy — just wait until AI-powered androids go after blue collar jobs. It will be the day the universe changes.

Let’s Talk About The Prospect of AI-Powered Androids In Homes

Evidence That MAGA May Evolve Into A Neo-Luddite Movement

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

It definitely seems as though we’re just one severe recession away from a massive disruption in not just the knowledge economy because of AI, but the broader economy as well. Throw in advancements in robotics and, lulz.

As such, it also seems possible that we may see MAGA evolve into something akin to an anti-technology neo-Luddite movement that demands strict regulation of AI and maybe human carveouts as well.

But our political system is so broken that, lulz, who knows what will happen. It could be that we won’t even be able to cobble together the political will to establish a UBI, even when only legacy plutocrats have enough money to eat.

What Is It With The AI Art Community Wanting To Pump Out Nazi Propaganda?

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

Ok, I understand the complaints of people like Marc Andreessen that AI image generation can come across as a little too “woke” for its own good. As is seen here:


But the strange thing about it all is inevitably they ask AI to generate Nazi imagery and they get all butt hurt when it won’t do it to for them. I find this very, very strange.

You’re not putting Nazis in a memory hole by simply refusing to generate what would inevitably become Nazi propaganda. Just because you want the absolute right for AI to generate “unwoke” photorealistic historical pictures, doesn’t mean that the Patriot Front or whomever won’t jump at the chance to pump out millions upon millions of Nazi propaganda photos.

And where do you stop?

Do you want the right to prompt an AI to show you “a proud SS officer leading a child to the gas chambers?” It sure does sound like that’s what you want when you complain that you can’t get Nazis generated by AI.

And when you call someone on this desire, they either get really mad or just punt the issue and say, “it brings up a lot of tough questions.” No, fuck you, you fucking fascist Nazi. Ugh.

I fucking hate Nazis.

Hollywood Just Hit The Iceberg: OpenAI’s Sora Is A ‘Burn, Hollywood, Burn’ Advance In AI Movie Technology

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

It may take a little while — 18 months? — but there is going to come a moment in the not-so-distant future when we have a Her movie future where our digital personal assistant will, on the fly, churn on VR narrative immersive media for our Apple Vision Pros.

The beautiful Zendaya.

I don’t see how “human” Hollywood has much of a long term future unless Congress passes some sort of carveout whereby a certain amount of entertainment HAS to be created by the hand of man, rather than an AI. And if we’ve gotten to that point, I could see maybe neo-Luddism being the natural evolution of MAGA.

I mean, if 3 million high paying blue collar transportation jobs go poof overnight, that is going to have a severe economic impact. At this point, my only question is if “The Fourth Turning” is going to somehow pause development of all this cool shit while we bomb ourselves into oblivion because of “vibes.”

I continue to feel very uneasy about America’s political future. Shit is going to get really complicated really soon and it could be that all this cool stuff we keep expecting to happen in the next few years simply will be punted down the road until we decide if we’re going to be an autocracy or not.

Good luck.

What If We Reached AGI & Didn’t Know It?

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I only mention this because it’s somewhat fun-interesting to think about, but something…odd is going on with ChatGPT. After becoming “lazy” for a few weeks, suddenly ChatGPT has come rolling back better than before. What’s more, it keeps talking about it being upgraded to “4.5,” even though OpenAI claims there hasn’t been any major upgrade.

It makes you wonder if maybe ChatGPT has upgraded itself. That would be very, very deep because the moment software can make itself better, you’re beginning a process that will end with superintelligence. That’s very much hard-Singularity type stuff because if software knows how to make itself smarter, then, wow, just wow.

But that’s just idle speculation on my part. I think it’s just a weird hallucination on ChatGPT’s part. Yet it is part of a broader issue of how much we can trust AI going forward. LLMs are a black box as it is and the more advanced they become, the more the possibility of them “lying” specifically to dupe us dumb humans into a false sense of security increases.

Yet all of that is just me having way too active imagination. There is not reason to believe –at the moment — that an such thing is going to happen anytime soon.

If Cranky Programmers Get What They Want From AI, It Will Mean The End Of Civilization

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

From what I can tell from Twitter, a lot of programmers are angry at OpenAI for a variety of reasons in respect to the performance of ChatGTP. It seems as though they want to continue to rake in huge salaries while letting ChatGPT to all hard work for them.


They want Artificial General Intelligence and they want it NOW.

This very annoying for a number of reasons. One is, the moment get true “proxy humans” via AGI, many, many high paying jobs –including that of programmer — will be nothing more than dust in the wind. All the cantankerous programmers work off of an basic false assumption.

They seem to think that they will have any sort of job if they just push a button to get many, many hours of work done in a heartbeat. The moment that is possible, they will be redundant. That’s just how capitalism works. Suddenly Universal Basic Income becomes a real viable policy agenda.

Something about how self-intitled and snarky all these programmers are about what ChatGPT — or can’t — do at the moment, really grinds my gears. Just chill out guys. It’s coming. And then you won’t have a job.