by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner
At the moment, it definitely seems as though the United States is careening not towards civil war but autocracy. There might be a it of a frantic spasm in late 2024 – early 2025, but in the end the forces of autocracy will be too great. Then at least a million wealthy liberals will flee the country en mass — maybe more. They’ll flee to Canada, Europe and Oceania, taking wealth and the cream of American thinking and culture with them.
Despite all the demands that people “vote harder,” the United States will become a Turkey – Hungary style autocracy with permanent minority rule. That’s what happens if we’re lucky. If we’re not lucky, we become a political clone of Russia.
I say all this because of the limp wristed reaction on the part of Establishment Democrats to the the end of Roe. There have been no major protests. No general strike. Nothing. The center-Left just gave up. So, as such, it seems as though the same thing will happen between Election Day 2024 and Certification day 2025.
We’re just going to give up.
There’s no indication that the center-Left is going to make any type of last stand for democracy or that there will be any sort of “National Divorce” that would lead to civil war. About 250 years of democracy will end not with a bang but with a whimper.
Nothing will change at first — especially if it’s President DeSantis we’re talking about — but gradually, year by year, white minority rule will be established and a whole host of very unpopular Republican policies will be enacted without any viable recourse for now largely disenfranchised Americans.
And, remember, for all the talk about Reds starting a civil war, they have no reason to. They have a vested interest in keeping the peace since they’re getting everything they want via SCOTUS and regular old anocracy politics. We’re fucked and get out of the country while you still can — even though I still think it should be taboo to do so in the face of our impending doom.
If there is a civil war in late 2024 – early 2025, it will be because officially losing our democracy will just be too much for American self perception and because of macro forces individual center-Left people will bubble up to the surface and be the leadership of some new Blue State Union.
But that seems extremely doubtful. We’re fucked. The bad guys are winning and will ultimately win.
