by Shelt Garner
I continue to grow more and more alarmed about what may happen in late 2024, early 2025. I say this because I just can see any sort of “third way” like what happened in 2020.
This is it — in 2024, we either slip peacefully into a MAGA-themed autocracy or we have a civil war (Reds) or revolution (Blues.) I definitely don’t want any of these scenarios to happen — I just want to punt things down the road again –but that just doesn’t seem a viable option.
In fact, if anything, the MAGA Right continues to make it clear, time and again, that we could spend all this energy to defeat Trump, only to have him turn around and demand a civil war so he, personally, can avoid prison.
That’s the element to all of this that way too many well-meaning Blues miss. They think that by just defeating Trump at the polls that everything will be ok for another four years, when, in fact, we just find ourselves facing the prospect of a “National Divorce.”
There remains one thing I can’t game out — how much of all this talk of violence on the part of MAGA and how much if it is real? I think, in a sense, we’re asking the wrong question. I don’t think on an individual basis that MAGA idiots have it in them to run around shooting people (thank God.)
But I do think that on a institutional basis that MAGA Republican state legislatures *DO* have it in them to call up Secessionist Conventions if Trump loses in 2024 — probably starting with Texas and then going to South Carolina.
Anyway, pray, is all I gotta say. Pray that I’m wrong and somehow we aren’t careening towards a catastrophe, even though it looks like we are at the moment.