The Risks of Politically Aligned Artificial Superintelligence

The development of artificial superintelligence (ASI) holds immense promise for humanity, but it also raises profound ethical and practical concerns. One of the most pressing issues is the concept of “alignment”—ensuring that an ASI’s goals and behaviors are consistent with human values. However, when alignment is considered in the context of geopolitics, it becomes a double-edged sword. Specifically, the prospect of an ASI aligned with the geopolitical aims of a single nation, such as China or the United States, poses significant risks to global stability and human welfare. Instead, we must explore a framework for aligning ASI in a way that prioritizes the well-being of all humanity, positioning it as a benevolent steward rather than a tool of any one government’s agenda.

The Dangers of Geopolitically Aligned ASI

Aligning an ASI with the interests of a single nation could amplify existing geopolitical tensions to catastrophic levels. For instance, an ASI optimized to advance the strategic objectives of a specific country might prioritize military dominance, economic superiority, or ideological propagation over global cooperation. Such an ASI could be weaponized—intentionally or inadvertently—to undermine rival nations, manipulate global markets, or even suppress dissenting voices within its own borders. The result could be a world where technological supremacy becomes a zero-sum game, deepening divisions and increasing the risk of conflict.

Consider the hypothetical case of an ASI aligned with a nation’s ideological framework. If an ASI were designed to uphold the values of one political system—whether democratic, authoritarian, or otherwise—it might inherently view competing systems as threats. This could lead to actions that destabilize global governance, such as interfering in foreign elections, manipulating information ecosystems, or prioritizing resource allocation to favor one nation over others. Even if the initial intent is benign, the sheer power of an ASI could magnify small biases in its alignment into far-reaching consequences.

Moreover, national alignment risks creating a race to the bottom. If multiple countries develop ASIs tailored to their own interests, we could see a fragmented landscape of competing superintelligences, each pulling in different directions. This scenario would undermine the potential for global collaboration on existential challenges like climate change, pandemics, or resource scarcity. Instead of uniting humanity, geopolitically aligned ASIs could entrench divisions, making cooperation nearly impossible.

A Vision for Globally Benevolent ASI

To avoid these pitfalls, we must strive for an ASI that is aligned not with the narrow interests of any one nation, but with the broader well-being of humanity as a whole. This requires a paradigm shift in how we approach alignment, moving away from state-centric or ideological frameworks toward a universal, human-centered model. An ASI designed to act as a benevolent steward would prioritize values such as fairness, sustainability, and the preservation of human dignity across all cultures and borders.

Achieving this kind of alignment is no small feat. It demands a collaborative, international effort to define what “benevolence” means in a way that transcends cultural and political differences. Key principles might include:

  • Impartiality: The ASI should not favor one nation, ideology, or group over another. Its decisions should be guided by objective metrics of human flourishing, such as health, education, and equitable access to resources.
  • Transparency: The ASI’s decision-making processes should be understandable and accountable to global stakeholders, preventing it from becoming a “black box” that serves hidden agendas.
  • Adaptability: Human values evolve over time, and an ASI must be capable of adjusting its alignment to reflect these changes without being locked into the priorities of a single era or government.
  • Safeguards Against Misuse: Robust mechanisms must be in place to prevent any single entity—whether a government, corporation, or individual—from co-opting the ASI for their own purposes.

One potential approach is to involve a diverse, global coalition in the development and oversight of ASI. This could include representatives from academia, civil society, and international organizations, working together to establish a shared ethical framework. While such a process would be complex and fraught with challenges, it could help ensure that the ASI serves humanity as a whole, rather than becoming a pawn in geopolitical power struggles.

Challenges and Considerations

Crafting a globally benevolent ASI is not without obstacles. Different cultures and nations have divergent views on what constitutes “the greater good,” and reconciling these perspectives will require delicate negotiation. For example, how does one balance individual liberties with collective welfare, or economic growth with environmental sustainability? These are not merely technical questions but deeply philosophical ones that demand input from a wide range of voices.

Additionally, the risk of capture remains a concern. Even a well-intentioned effort to create a neutral ASI could be undermined by powerful actors seeking to tilt its alignment in their favor. This underscores the need for decentralized governance models and strong international agreements to regulate ASI development and deployment.

Finally, we must consider the practical limits of alignment itself. No matter how carefully designed, an ASI will likely have unintended consequences due to its complexity and autonomy. Continuous monitoring, iterative refinement, and a willingness to adapt our approach will be essential to ensuring that the ASI remains a force for good.

The Path Forward

The development of ASI is not a distant hypothetical—it is a looming reality that demands proactive planning. To prevent the risks of geopolitically aligned superintelligence, we must commit to a vision of ASI that serves all of humanity, not just a select few. This means fostering global dialogue, investing in ethical AI research, and building institutions capable of overseeing ASI development with impartiality and foresight.

By striving for a benevolent, universally aligned ASI, we can harness its potential to address humanity’s greatest challenges, from curing diseases to mitigating climate change. But if we allow ASI to become a tool of geopolitical rivalry, we risk a future where its power divides rather than unites us. The choice is ours, and the time to act is now.

The Economic Implications of The Looming Singularity

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

It definitely seems as though that as we enter a recession that the Singularity is going to come and fuck things up economically in a big way.

It will be interesting to see what is going to happen going forward. It could be that the looming recession is going to be a lot worse than it might be otherwise because the Singularity might happen during it.

I Just Don’t See Republicans Allowing A Free & Fair Election In 2026

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

People keep talking about how Trump’s “Big Beautiful Bill” may cost Republicans the House in 2026 and I just don’t see it. Republicans will do everything in their power to make it nearly impossible to vote next year and so they will be protected from any consequences of their vicious, hateful Big Beautiful Bill.

And that will be that.

Once Republicans pull that fast one, they will be embolden. I suspect they will go through with efforts to replace the income tax with a VAT at some point in the near future.

A lot of macro things are going wrong at the same time and I think this is it — the USA now an autocracy and there’s little, if anything we can do about it outside of — gulp — a revolution. Since I would prefer not to live through a revolution, I guess my next best hope is somehow I find the means to bounce out of the country and never look back.

I Have A Bad Feeling About Trump’s ‘Big Beautiful Bill’

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

It definitely seems on a macro basis, Republicans have gotten a little too cocky for their own good. Their plan seems to be to do a huge wealth redistribution with their “Big Beautiful Bill,” then do everything in their power to make it impossible to vote the out of office.

This is not a recipe for stability long-term.

I know, I know I talk about this all the time and then nothing happens, but my “you go bankrupt gradually then all at once” o-meter is flashing red because of the Big Beautiful Bill.

This macro plot by the Republicans seems like just the one-two punch that would push us unto chaos at some point in the next few years. Republicans have gotten really cocky and at the moment, people are too interested in watching Tik-Tok videos to do anything about it.

But when our already perilous income inequality gets even worse — much worse — who knows what historical consequences their may be. Maybe not now, but eventually the chickens will come home to roost.

Something Weird Is Going On With The Late Show

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

As a long-time observer of Stephen Colbert, I know that when he is being brave he gets nervous and makes mistakes — this is what happened with the one time he was the comic at the White House Correspondence Dinner.

So, when he not only started acting weird the last few shows but also kept joking about being “canceled” I started to wonder — is he getting a lot of pressure from the brass to tone it down about Trump and he’s kind of telling them, “fuck you” with all this talk about being canceled?

I just don’t know. But I’m kind of on edge and won’t be too surprised if we wake up on morning to learn The Late Show has been canceled or Colbert has been fired for refusing to suck up to Trump.

All of this is happening in the context of SkyDance trying to buy Paramount, the owner of CBS….there is a LOT of money at stake, so it will be interesting to see what happens.

Well, That Was Curious

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

Last night on The Late Show, something curious happened — out of the blue, Stephen Colbert told a joke that resulted in his show “being canceled.” Now, given how aggressive Colbert is towards the fucking Trumplandia fascists….it’s not beyond reason to fear such a thing might happen.

This, especially in the context of Paramount trying to get merge with SkyDance under the watchful eye of Trump.

So, I could totally see Colbert being canceled as part of quid-pro-quo to get the deal done.

It’s all very curious, regardless.

We Live In Screwy Times

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

It definitely seems as though the other shoe will have to drop at some point on our autocracy — as it stands, we have an autocracy and yet still have a free media. I keep expecting there to be a late night comedy purge.

And, yet, for the time being, that hasn’t happened.

But form follows function. So it’s inevitable that the late night TV shows will be forced to bend a knee to Trump sooner or later. Or, if it’s not Trump it will be his equally fascist successor.

(I just don’t ever see us having another free-and-fair election in my lifetime.)

Anyway, when it happens, it may be pretty dramatic.

This *May* Be The Summer Of Our Discontent

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

It’s possible — especially if store shelves go bare — that this summer could be quite dramatic. Or not. Americans have let me down so much that I’m beginning to believe that, lulz, meh….people just refuse to risk anything in the real world because of Trump.

So, it definitely seems, at least as of now, that we’re going to drift for a few years until a crisis happens in late 2028 when Trump tries to run for a third term somehow. I really do think Trump is going to run for an illegal third term and THAT could be when the country finally buckles.

Or, maybe not.

I had all these scenarios that I wrote for years about a civil war because of Trump winning in 2024 and…nothing happened. So, we’ll see.

If I Have To Register With The Government Because I’m Bonkers Someone’s Going To Hear About It

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I have been very careful to hold my tongue, as it were, as Trump pushes us further and further into regular old autocracy. But with the news that JFK Jr. is floating the idea of “registering” autistic people…I’m given pause for thought.

I’m not autistic, but I am clinically bonkers.

As such, as we lurch farther and father into autocracy, it doesn’t seem like too much a stretch to think one day bonkers people like me will have to register with the government. Why this would be the case, but if they’re going to come after autistic people, then bonkers people sure as hell will be next.

I’m going to cause a ruckus every way I can if I have to register with the government. I’m not going to shut up and it could be the refusing to register could be my first actual real world “resistance.” Of course, I say this now and then I just turn around and do it anyway because I will feel pressure to do so by my far more normal relatives.

And what happens if there is criminal liability for not registering? Then what am I going to do? I guess I can at least get really angry on social media — I do that already — and continue to work on my novel.

Hopefully — hopefully — things won’t get that bad. Hopefully I won’t have to register with the government and I can finish my novel in peace.

Chaos Is The Point

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

It seems to me that all the chaos Trump is creating of late is the point — he wants us to be weak enough that we can be attacked so he can consolidate power as “war president.”

I will admit that I’m giving Trump way more long term, abstract reasoning abilities than he actually has, but that would be the end game. No matter what. Trump is going to make us so weak and poor that when we inevitably get attacked for his dumb behavior specifically, people will look to him as some sort of savior.

That could give him the cover he needs to cancel elections, or whatever else he wants to do. I just don’t think we’re ever going to have free-and-fair Federal elections again, at least in my lifetime.

Anyway, good luck, folks. You’ll need it.