Long answer: We are faced with something of a spectrum of endgames.
On paper, the moment Cyber Ninjas do their job for the MAGA New Right, which is to pull a mysterious Trump “victory” out of their asses, we have all the conditions for a sudden, severe political crisis.
It’s easy to imagine, at a minimum, the Arizona Republican Party to convene some sort of “convention” with the aim of “decertifying” Biden’s Arizona win. This is where things are way too up in the air for me to be able to tell you what will happen.
Either they never get that far, and the whole thing is just a talking point for Trump at one of his Nuremberg Rallies, or the Cyber Ninjas bullshit sets of a chain reaction with a totally unknown outcome.
Everything from the Arizona GOP “decertifying” Bidens win to a series of other states approving similar bongus recounts, to us skipping that middle step and Trump’s one “win” in Arizona is seen as enough for the GOP-Controlled legislatures of Georgia and Pennsylvania to hold snap decertification conventions. These “decertification” conventions turn into nullification conventions which turn into secessionist conventions — and we have a civil war by the end of the year.
At the moment, at least, it seems what will happen is things are going to be a lot more methodical than I fear, in the sense that Cyber Ninjas will have to pull their bullshit in a series of states before we have the severe political crisis I fear. And, really, it could be that we spend the next year with Cyber Ninjas prompting the decertification of Biden wins so when the House flips to the GOP, Trump will demand he be elected Speaker.
I will be flabbergasted if Cyber Ninjas doesn’t produce the goods for the MAGA New Right and give Trump a “win.” So, when they do exactly as I expect, they’re going to throw our political system into a lot of turmoil. The question is, how much?
This is just a scenario, but the conditions now exist for a catastrophe at the Kabul Airport. You have about 6,000 American troops there with a huge mob of people trying to flee the country — and nearby you have the Taliban lurking out in the darkness.
It’s very easy to imagine a situation where the Taliban attack the airport ASAP and there’s a pretty sizable massacre. Historic, even.
And because of social media, we would see it happen in real time.
But, let me note — I’m always wrong. So, I’m probably, thankfully, wrong this time, too. Hopefully, the Taliban will simply wait until everyone gets out and swoop in once they can avoid any bloodshed.
At just about 2:30 p.m. today, I started thinking about something in a very concreat fashion. I could see the thing I wanted and I began to game out how I would get it.
It occured to me that since my phone was in my lap as this happened, if Tik-Tok really does have the ability to read my mind in some way, I will be pushed a very specific video on that subject in the next few days.
I won’t tell you what I was thinking now, but if I get pushed a spooky video on my FYP, I will.
I did not go up to Washington D.C. on January 6th for one reason: it was too cold.
Now, I wasn’t going to go up there to participate in anything, I just wanted to be around in case anything big happened — which, of course it did. But once you get past being hysterical about the idea of me being near the Insurrection, any idea that I would have been arrested in some sort dragnet falls apart.
First, I wasn’t going up there with my old digital camera. All I would have had is my smartphone and my access to being able to recharge it would have been limited or non-existent. So, it’s very possible that I would have gone to the Stop The Steal rally near the Capitol and simply come home because I didn’t feel I could cover the event anymore.
Next, if I go up to D.C. for a daytrip, I start heading home as soon as it starts to get dark. I have reasons to be at home in the evening and I just can’t see any way I wouldn’t have left really early relative to the actual attack on the Capitol.
The only way I could see myself actually being around the actual attack on the Capitol would be if, in the heat of the moment, I followed the crowd inside. Again, this is where if you’re simply hysterical about the idea that I would be anywhere near the situation, I just can’t help you.
While, yes, there would have been the possibility that I would have gotten so wrapped up in covering the situation that I would have go in with the mob, that’s a very unlikely scenario given what was going on otherwise. And, again, if you just calm down long enough, I would have not be considered a member of the Insurrection itself because I would have been there to cover it, not be a part of it.
I feel it’s safe to say that all that would have happened if I had gone to DC on January 6th is I would have gone up there, my phone would have died just about when Trump finished speaking (because of what time it was) and my regret would be that I was on my way home when the event itself happened.
I’ve decided to answer searches that bring people to this site. So, let me answer this question. The short answer is: maybe.
The long answer is, well, it’s one of a series of potential endgames. MAGA New Right people get a lot of things wrong in their overheated need to glorify political violence.
The first thing they get wrong is thinking that somehow a violent civil war would be better for them than simply being patient and staying within the quickly dying norms of our undead democracy. The MAGA New Right’s best option is we turn into a MAGA themed autocracy — which, right now, is theirs to lose. No one will get hurt — other than people like me who won’t shut up about what a fucking cocksucker our new autocratic ruler is — and they get what they want, which is a white Christian ethno state.
But, no, just like how Europe in 1914 went to war with great gusto, the obviously self-defeating gorification of political violence on the part of the MAGA New Right is probably going to cause a civil war — but not the one the New Right thinks.
What is likely to happen is, if there is, in fact, a Second American Civil War, it will be when Blue States attempt to leave the Union in January 2025 when a MAGA controlled Congress balks at allowing Biden (or whomever) to become president. As such, President DeSantis (or whomever) will freak out, attack the secessionist Blue States and we get the civil war that all the fucking cocksucker MAGA New Right assholes think is going to happen when they stumble across this site looking for my “doom shit” on the subject.
Of course, the wild card is the U.S. Military. We might find ourselves with the third option — a military junta — if it steps in to calm things down should there be a 2025 Nullification Crisis.
It seems as though at the moment there is just a lot of abstract interest in a civli war on the part of a lot of MAGA New Right shitheads. They feel as though liberals are forcing them to radicalize and the goalposts have been moved to much that we’re officially in, “Welp, let’s have a civil war to end Cancel Culture once and for all.”
This is such a dumb fucking thing to think because a Second American Civil War would be such a fucking tragedy — because of the likely use of WMD — that even the most diehard MAGA New Right fucktard might regret being so excited at the prospect.
But, back to the question at hand: will there be a Second American Civil War?
At the moment, I don’t think so. I think we’re going to slip peacefully into a MAGA-themed autocracy and the New Right will enjoy minority rule for generations to come after January 2025. If that doesn’t happen, it will because the leadership of the MAGA New Right, specifically fucked things up and bungled that peaceful transition.
I’m not exactly in a situation where anyone will listen to me if I get upset over what I might hear on a liberal podcast, but I’m a devoted student of history and when I hear bullshit, I call it out.
So, there I was, listening to Deep State Radio when a historian they had on as a guest said some pretty weird things. I’m not questioning her credentials — I mean, she was on Deep State Radio, not me — but some her historical interpretations left me cold. I don’t remember her name and don’t care to spend the energy to look it up — which is probably for the best — but here’s what is eating away at me.
First, she said that Lincoln and Grant’s decision not to throw the book at the leaders of the Confederacy after the Civil War was a huge mistake because it led to the “Lost Cause” mythos. As a Southerner, I can tell you that is complete and total bullshit.
The Lost Cause was a macro trend that was inevitable given how ingrained slavery was in Southern culture and the lingering sense of nascent nationhood within the defeated CSA. By the end of the war, the North just wanted to put the whole thing behind it — enough blood had been shed — and so it was decided that in the name of mending the nation’s wounds that Jefferson Davis, Gen. Lee, et al would be given a pass.
And, remember, Lincoln’s Second Inaugural address was all about forgiveness and compassion. It would have been pretty weird for him to be in favor of prosecuting the leaders of the defeated Confederacy. What’s more, the United States was very, very lucky that once the CSA was defeated that everyone was so chill as Reconstruction changed everything.
A note on Reconstruction — one of my pet peeves is when someone talks about the missed opportunity of Reconstruction. This bothers me because at the time, nobody knew nothing about how to handle the situation, so there were a lot of mistakes, half-starts and dumb compromises. It just was not practical to fix 300 odd years of servitude within the two year period of time that Reconstruction really had to do anything.
And if Reconstruction had been as radical as it could have been, there’s a good chance that all the prosperity that the United States enjoyed in the latter part of the 19th century would not have happened. What I’m saying is — don’t superimpose the woke expectations of the 21 century on what was going on during Reconstruction. It was probably doomed to fail no matter what happened, because to fix the systemic problems left over from slavery, you probably would have had to kill a lot of people over and above the number of people who died in the Civil War itself.
Reconstruction was, in fact, a unique moment in American history because for a brief moment the ideals of America actually were done in a real, practical manner. But, like I said, there was a lot going on at the time and there came a point when the victorious North grew tired of the South and gave up. This was going to happen eventually, no matter what. Americans, by nature, aren’t very radical for great lengths of time and Southern whites were just way too fucking racist to do a yadda, yadda, yadda, we’re going to have a society without any systemic racism anymore. Race is called America’s original sin for a reason.
The other thing that really fucking annoys me about what the historian said was her statement that some big event happened in 1879 that was almost the death of American democracy. I know my American political history fairly well and there was nothing that happened that year that could have possibly be interpreted as some sort of autocratic path not taken.
She brought this year up and there was no follow up by anyone else on the postcast. Either she misspoke the year in question or her interpretation of something that happened that year is so off the wall that her wokeness has warped her historical perspective.
Like I said, no one is going to listen to me. I’m kind of in the same situation Twitter is in whenever we all collectively gang up on the Trump Whisperer Maggie Haberman — powerful liberals are always — and I mean always — going to circle the waggons around her because she’s a member of the elite and they look after their own.
The next few hours in Kabul are going to be pretty shocking, it seems. History has shown that once things get rolling in Afghanistan, they happen really fast. I remember 20 years ago how quickly the Taliban were overthrown with far fewer troops than anyone expected.
Afghanistan, August 2021
And, now, it’s our turn.
My biggest concern is, of course, we’re going to have a Saigon 1975 meets Teheran 1979 type situation with maybe a little bit of America’s involvement in Somalia thrown in for good measure.
The key issue for me is as many of the American support staff in Kabul (and beyond) get pulled out of Afghanistan as quickly as possible. We’re a big country, we can afford to bring in a few hundred thousand Afghani allies if need be. If I was in charge — which I’m not — I would make sure to snatch as many women and girls as I could from the situation. Grab everyone available and then sort them out in Guam, if need be.
This is a crisis and in such situations we need to stop fucking around with visas and just make sure as many people are as possible are safe.
Again, my fear is the Kabul will fall so fast that the American troops in the city sent to get people out will get trapped themselves and, I don’t know, something really, really bad will happen to them.
I just got back from the Ryan Reynolds vehicle “Free Guy”and it was pretty good. For once I didn’t walk out from a movie the moment it reached the inciting incident.
I can see how this movie was probably pitched as “The Matrix meets Ready Player: One meets The Truman Show.” It definitely had the vibe of a movie drafting off of movie-going race memory of The Matrix. “What if The Matrix was a comedy?”
The movie sells itself, in that respect.
But this definitely being a Ryan Reynolds vehicle is all over this movie. One thing that was interesting to me was that Jodie Comer was given a make under. She’s a beautiful woman and yet the producers made sure to make Reynolds the center of attention. Though, there were a few times during the movie when I couldn’t figure out who the protagonist was supposed to be.
And, yet, I was pleased with the movie overall. It was sold entertainment and it had Reynolds’ established sensitive male sense of humor that has been pretty consistent throughout much of his Hollywood career.
It is notable that the female lead’s name was “Mille” and the guy who was in love with her is one of the stars of Stranger Things. Makes you wonder how the decision to name the character that was made.
Anyway, I really liked Free Guy. It even gave me some inspiration as to how to make the third act of the first book in the thriller series I’m working on more — thrilling.
I don’t think we appreciate how bad things are going to get the moment Republicans gain power again. The January 6th Insurrection has radicalized them on a systemic level to the point that once they gain power again, they’re unlikely to ever let it go peacefully.
I could see the crisis happening something like this — because of gerrymandering, the Republican Party gains power again in the House and then impeaches both Biden and Harris because, lulz.
Once the GOP has absolute and never-ending control of the House, they use it as the cornerstone of a white Christian ethno state. But once you know you’re completely detached from any accountability, you’re bound to overreach. As such, that’s why if a MAGA controlled House simply nullies any Biden win, that, in itself, could make the United States so unstable that we have a civil or a military junta is established.
That is just one of a number of different scenarios where we are faced with the choice as a civil war, autocracy or military junta. As such, it is clear to me that having that choice is now an immutable force of political history. We’re fucked.
Our absolute best option is we get a military junta that sorts this clusterfuck out. While an autocratic white Christian ethno state would probably at first be not all that bad until, well, people start getting pushed out of windows like they do in Putin’s Russia.
I hate that a taboo exists about discussing the fact that Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is the type of woman that Juvenile would sing songs about. I mean, damn, girl, back that thang up. But as AOC is obviously thinking about taking her political career to the next level by challenging Chuck Schumer in next year’s Democratic primary we have to talk about her beauty.
Here’s what she wants us to think about her — she’s just another young, ambitious politician in D.C. with the best interests of her constituency at heart.
Ok, yadda, yadda, yadda, but she’s a bombshell — and an unmarried one without kids, to boot.
AOC
AOC does everything in her power to downplay her natural beauty. She usually wears black to mute her figure. And when she does wear white, it’s to send a political message — she’s living the dream of the suffragettes.
The argument could be made that it’s her beauty more than her political views that have made her the FOX News lightening rod that she is. Many, many conservatives who watch FOX News feel they know AOC’s “type” — she’s that sassy Bronx-Queens bartender they banged that one time who wouldn’t shut up about marginal tax rates the morning after.
The issue is — if she wants to be president, she’s going to have to start to think about getting married and having kids. I mean, even Bill and Hillary Clinton got married and had at least one (1) child. I don’t make the rules, folks, I’m just telling you what they are.
Of course, the counter argument is in the modern era a progressive woman like AOC isn’t expected to do the traditional political home-and-hearth pandering that politicians have been doing since Alexander the Great died in Babylonia. In fact, she could very well simply do exactly what she’s been doing and become president — what do I know, I’m a moron rando in a flyover state.
It just grates on my nerves that the mainstream media refuses to talk about the subject of how hot she is. It’s — quite literally — staring us in the face. To date, only that one video of her dancing on a rooftop has come out that bucks her personal brand management. And I say, good for her, if she has managed to get this far without a sexxxy bikini pic mysterioius popping up on FOX News, then she definitely has the forethought and discipline to be president one day.
And, remember, the United States is careening towards the existential choice of autocracy, civil war or military junta by January 2025– just the type of situation that would push AOC into a pretty extraordinary and historic situation.
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