by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner
I like to make my abstract fears concrete and after giving it some thought it seems as though here’s one possible scenario for Something Bad happening in the United States in the next few years.

Here’s what could happen — at some point around the 2026 or 2028 Federal elections Trump throws as many Red state National Guard members as he can at Blue state to fuck with free and fair elections. And this would happen in the context of general fuckery against Blue states on Trump’s part.
Someone gets a little too excited and a Molotov Cocktail gets thrown at National Guard unit and they live fire back. This causes a huge rush of uprisings in Blue states and a revolution — not a civil war — starts. I call it a revolution because the point would not be to leave the Union, but to topple Trump’s regime.

Weird propaganda from Twitter.
I do not want this to happen — I hate violence of any sorts, but it’s something to take into consideration. In some respects, our politics are so taunt at the moment, that one instance of Trump really fucking with Blues could be enough to ignite something akin to a revolution in Blue states.
Of course, the issue of what would happen to the U.S. Military is something to think about. A lot would depend on how big the attempted revolution was. If the U.S. Military found itself in the position of attacking a united front of Blue states in open rebellion, it could just collapse itself rather than having to do that.
Once that happened, then, of course, WW3 happens and about 1 billion people would die from the effects of a few limited nuclear exchanges — those would be deaths that would happen specifically because of Trump.
Anyway, I don’t really think any of this is going to happen. I think despite all the radical talk on the part of MAGA Republicans that, in the end, they know they’re politically ascendant and that they will get everything they want just by being patient.
No need for a National Divorce, or massive suppression of Blues.