Category: Cold Civil War

My Personal January 6th


by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I did not go up to Washington D.C. on January 6th for one reason: it was too cold.

Now, I wasn’t going to go up there to participate in anything, I just wanted to be around in case anything big happened — which, of course it did. But once you get past being hysterical about the idea of me being near the Insurrection, any idea that I would have been arrested in some sort dragnet falls apart.

First, I wasn’t going up there with my old digital camera. All I would have had is my smartphone and my access to being able to recharge it would have been limited or non-existent. So, it’s very possible that I would have gone to the Stop The Steal rally near the Capitol and simply come home because I didn’t feel I could cover the event anymore.

Next, if I go up to D.C. for a daytrip, I start heading home as soon as it starts to get dark. I have reasons to be at home in the evening and I just can’t see any way I wouldn’t have left really early relative to the actual attack on the Capitol.

The only way I could see myself actually being around the actual attack on the Capitol would be if, in the heat of the moment, I followed the crowd inside. Again, this is where if you’re simply hysterical about the idea that I would be anywhere near the situation, I just can’t help you.

While, yes, there would have been the possibility that I would have gotten so wrapped up in covering the situation that I would have go in with the mob, that’s a very unlikely scenario given what was going on otherwise. And, again, if you just calm down long enough, I would have not be considered a member of the Insurrection itself because I would have been there to cover it, not be a part of it.

I feel it’s safe to say that all that would have happened if I had gone to DC on January 6th is I would have gone up there, my phone would have died just about when Trump finished speaking (because of what time it was) and my regret would be that I was on my way home when the event itself happened.

‘Will There Be A Civil War?’


by Ender

I’ve decided to answer searches that bring people to this site. So, let me answer this question. The short answer is: maybe.

The long answer is, well, it’s one of a series of potential endgames. MAGA New Right people get a lot of things wrong in their overheated need to glorify political violence.

The first thing they get wrong is thinking that somehow a violent civil war would be better for them than simply being patient and staying within the quickly dying norms of our undead democracy. The MAGA New Right’s best option is we turn into a MAGA themed autocracy — which, right now, is theirs to lose. No one will get hurt — other than people like me who won’t shut up about what a fucking cocksucker our new autocratic ruler is — and they get what they want, which is a white Christian ethno state.

But, no, just like how Europe in 1914 went to war with great gusto, the obviously self-defeating gorification of political violence on the part of the MAGA New Right is probably going to cause a civil war — but not the one the New Right thinks.

What is likely to happen is, if there is, in fact, a Second American Civil War, it will be when Blue States attempt to leave the Union in January 2025 when a MAGA controlled Congress balks at allowing Biden (or whomever) to become president. As such, President DeSantis (or whomever) will freak out, attack the secessionist Blue States and we get the civil war that all the fucking cocksucker MAGA New Right assholes think is going to happen when they stumble across this site looking for my “doom shit” on the subject.

Of course, the wild card is the U.S. Military. We might find ourselves with the third option — a military junta — if it steps in to calm things down should there be a 2025 Nullification Crisis.

It seems as though at the moment there is just a lot of abstract interest in a civli war on the part of a lot of MAGA New Right shitheads. They feel as though liberals are forcing them to radicalize and the goalposts have been moved to much that we’re officially in, “Welp, let’s have a civil war to end Cancel Culture once and for all.”

This is such a dumb fucking thing to think because a Second American Civil War would be such a fucking tragedy — because of the likely use of WMD — that even the most diehard MAGA New Right fucktard might regret being so excited at the prospect.

But, back to the question at hand: will there be a Second American Civil War?

At the moment, I don’t think so. I think we’re going to slip peacefully into a MAGA-themed autocracy and the New Right will enjoy minority rule for generations to come after January 2025. If that doesn’t happen, it will because the leadership of the MAGA New Right, specifically fucked things up and bungled that peaceful transition.

Anyway, fuck MAGA and fuck you if you support it.

America On The Edge Of Darkness


by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I don’t think we appreciate how bad things are going to get the moment Republicans gain power again. The January 6th Insurrection has radicalized them on a systemic level to the point that once they gain power again, they’re unlikely to ever let it go peacefully.

I could see the crisis happening something like this — because of gerrymandering, the Republican Party gains power again in the House and then impeaches both Biden and Harris because, lulz.

Once the GOP has absolute and never-ending control of the House, they use it as the cornerstone of a white Christian ethno state. But once you know you’re completely detached from any accountability, you’re bound to overreach. As such, that’s why if a MAGA controlled House simply nullies any Biden win, that, in itself, could make the United States so unstable that we have a civil or a military junta is established.

That is just one of a number of different scenarios where we are faced with the choice as a civil war, autocracy or military junta. As such, it is clear to me that having that choice is now an immutable force of political history. We’re fucked.

Our absolute best option is we get a military junta that sorts this clusterfuck out. While an autocratic white Christian ethno state would probably at first be not all that bad until, well, people start getting pushed out of windows like they do in Putin’s Russia.

Good luck.

AOC’s Extraordinary Personal Brand Management


by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I hate that a taboo exists about discussing the fact that Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez  is the type of woman that Juvenile would sing songs about. I mean, damn, girl, back that thang up. But as AOC is obviously thinking about taking her political career to the next level by challenging Chuck Schumer in next year’s Democratic primary we have to talk about her beauty.

Here’s what she wants us to think about her — she’s just another young, ambitious politician in D.C. with the best interests of her constituency at heart.

Ok, yadda, yadda, yadda, but she’s a bombshell — and an unmarried one without kids, to boot.

AOC

AOC does everything in her power to downplay her natural beauty. She usually wears black to mute her figure. And when she does wear white, it’s to send a political message — she’s living the dream of the suffragettes.

The argument could be made that it’s her beauty more than her political views that have made her the FOX News lightening rod that she is. Many, many conservatives who watch FOX News feel they know AOC’s “type” — she’s that sassy Bronx-Queens bartender they banged that one time who wouldn’t shut up about marginal tax rates the morning after.

The issue is — if she wants to be president, she’s going to have to start to think about getting married and having kids. I mean, even Bill and Hillary Clinton got married and had at least one (1) child. I don’t make the rules, folks, I’m just telling you what they are.

Of course, the counter argument is in the modern era a progressive woman like AOC isn’t expected to do the traditional political home-and-hearth pandering that politicians have been doing since Alexander the Great died in Babylonia. In fact, she could very well simply do exactly what she’s been doing and become president — what do I know, I’m a moron rando in a flyover state.

It just grates on my nerves that the mainstream media refuses to talk about the subject of how hot she is. It’s — quite literally — staring us in the face. To date, only that one video of her dancing on a rooftop has come out that bucks her personal brand management. And I say, good for her, if she has managed to get this far without a sexxxy bikini pic mysterioius popping up on FOX News, then she definitely has the forethought and discipline to be president one day.

And, remember, the United States is careening towards the existential choice of autocracy, civil war or military junta by January 2025– just the type of situation that would push AOC into a pretty extraordinary and historic situation.

DeSantis’ ‘Blip’ Is Driving Me De Bonkers


by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

Unfrozen Caveman Governor Ron DeSantis said recently he did not want to hear a “blip” from Biden about his COVID response until Biden addressed the border crisis. (This is whataboutism bullshit, but, lulz.)

Ron DeSantis

But it’s his use of the term “blip” that really bothering me. Why did he use the strange phraseology? Usually, one would say, “I don’t want to hear a word…” about this or that thing.

DeSantis’ team must have workshopped that statement because of this “blip -> flip — > fuck.” So, in essence, DeSantis, with a wink and a nod was saying, “I don’t want to hear a fuck…” in a very round about way.

Anyway, fuck — or blip — DeSantis. What a fucking autocratic piece of shit.

What Did Trump Know About The January 6th Insurrection?


by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I have no inside knowledge about what Trump may have known about the January 6th Insurrection, but I do have a sense of how he thinks. I also have noticed some things about him over the last five years of terror and here’s my general sense of what Trump knew — or didn’t know — about what happened on January 6th.

Given what Trump was ranting about leading up to the event, it seems safe to believe that the goal of the “plot” was to scare the shit out of Mike Pence specifically. So, in general, the plot was to gather a bunch of bonkers MAGA people together near the Capitol, give them a bunch of hype speeches then direct them to attack the Capitol where they would either a) simply buy them time b) succeed in scaring the shit out of Mike Pence so he wouldn’t certify the vote.

Other than that, there was a lot of vague activity with the general goal of either buying time or scaring Mike Pence, but I doubt Trump, himself, knew all that many details. Because, Trump is so incapable of keeping a secret that we would know specific what he did know! So when he tweeted something like “January 6th is going to be lit!” that’s a direct indication of what was rolling around Trump’s mind.

But there is a caveat to all of this.

One is, even if we learn specifically what Trump knew and when he knew it, Trump continues to be politically above the law so…lulz. There is absolutely nothing we can do to hurt Trump politically. He will continue to linger in the shadows of America politics, waiting to pop out to destroy American democracy once and for all.

But wait, there’s more! Even if somehow we magically end Trump’s political career, there are a dozen would-be autocrats who will use what they learned from what happened on January 6th, then do exactly the same thing or worse in an effort to nullify a Biden 2024 win.

Texas Will Only Go Blue As Part of a Second Reconstruction After Blue States Win The Second American Civil War


by Ender

There’s a lot of hype within the center-Left echo chamber about how Texas is “one day” going to swing Blue because of macro economic trends. All things being equal, if we were still a functioning liberal democracy — and if Texas Republicans were collectively lobotomized — this would be true.

But we’re not a functioning democracy and Texas Republicans know damn well they’re on the cusp of losing power if people vote so — they don’t want people to vote.

Texas Republicans are growing more and more autocratic in leaps and bounds to the point that I believe the only way they will ever allow Texas to turn Blue is if they’ve been destroyed and no longer have the ability to do anything about it. In other words, only after a Second American Civil War has destroyed the state of Texas as we know it and it’s being Reconstructed afterwards will Texas ever be allowed to vote for a Democratic president.

A Blue Texas would doom Republican hopes for the presidency to such an extent that not even Florida being a safe Red state now could help the situation. Add to this how fucking hysterical and anti-democratic Texas Republicans are on an systemic, existential basis and there is absolutely no fucking way they will ever allow the state to shift Blue peacefully.

The absolute white hot rage that Texas Republicans have about the mere notion of the state turning Blue is pretty much what’s going on in general with the national Republican Party. It is very tragic, but it’s clear to me now that only as the by product of a tragic, avoidable civil war will the United States ever be a functioning liberal democracy again. It’s possible that the U.S. Military might step in to fix all the problems necessary to get us back on the democratic track, but unlikely.

So you can add an autocratic Texas to the long list of macro trends that indicate we’re either going to slip peacefully into the autocratic rule of a white Christian ethno state — or we’re going to have a fucking civil war.

I have no idea what is going to happen at this point.

Modern Problems: The Paradox Of The MAGA New Right’s COVID19 Media Narrative


by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

From what I’m able to glean, the MAGA New Right wants us to believe that COVID19 is just part of modern life now AND they want to attack the Biden Administration for “not doing as well” as the Trump Administration did handling the pandemic.

My reaction to the MAGA New Right’s views on COVID19.

As such, the MAGA New Right is absolutely against mask and vaccine mandates and changing people’s lives in any way to address the lingering COVID19 crisis — and yet also wants to scream bloody murder that Biden hasn’t solve it, which apparently Trump was on his way to doing but for the evil Deep State “stealing” the 2020 election from him.

Now, I have to note that for the time being, this working — and may ultimately work to the extent necessary to flip Congress for the MAGA New Right in 2022. So, in essence, this paradoxical media narrative will be a success.

And, yet, the MAGA New Right has a problem — there is a real risk that the metrics that matter most will start to hurt their political chances. If it becomes clear that something, anything has to be done to mitigate the COVID19 uptick currently happening in Red States, then there might be a frantic too-little, too-late struggle to reverse course in mid stream.

This will be even more the case if some variant pops out that blows past our existing vaccine regimen and throws us back to square one.

But as it stands, Republicans literally would rather have a lot of people die of COVID than miss a chance to “own the libs.” To that extent, the MAGA New Right is a literal personality death cult.

If people like Ron DeSantis have a come-to-Jesus moment about COVID19, it will be so sudden, so unexpected that we will all be left in shock. And, honestly, the only way that will happen is if they see some sort of political advantage — a way to “own the libs,” if you will — by doing so.

Why Unfrozen Caveman Governor Ron DeSantis Is Willfully Killing De Voters


by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

Ron DeSantis

I continue to see a lot of shock and puzzlement on the part of Twitter liberals as to the behavior of putative 2024 Republican presidential nominee, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis. But to me, DeSantis’ behavior seems completely logical relative to his goal of being elected president. Here’s why:

Negative Polarization Is Now Absolute
I can’t stress enough how absolute negative polarization is now in the United States, at least from my practical experience. It’s so absolute that the base of the Republican Party would rather people die than accept that COVID19 is a national health crisis. So, in a sense, yes, the MAGA New Right is a personality death cult. The wild thing is that, on an individual basis, the average MAGA New Right person doesn’t see themselves as being racist or misogynistic or any of the things that collective the MAGA New Right obviously is.

2022 (Or 2024) Is A Long Ways Away Politically
DeSantis is calculating that given how popular being an autocrat to “own the libs” is with the base of the Republican Party that he can actively work to kill voters and by the time 2022 (or 2024) rolls around it will all be a lulz. The pandemic will be over and the only thing stopping him from slingshotting himself into the presidency will be the 300 pound sack of shit known as Donald Trump. Lulz!

Autocracy Is Popular
Even though most MAGA people don’t really think in terms of autocracy, they definitely support it. My fear of a white Christian ethno state based on “blood and soil” is their dream — they fully embrace the “cruelty is the point” of Trumplandia. Of course, what will happen is autocracy will arrive and they will be shocked when a family member is murdered in cold blood by ICE or they can’t say what they like freely in a bar. But by that point, it will be too late and they, at least will have “owned the libs” forever.

The National MAGA New Right Electorate
What DeSantis is doing is the political equivalent of finger banging the national MAGA New Right base. They love, love, LOVE all his “lib owning” and autocratic, thuggish behavior that puts him on the national stage. They want MAGA without Trump so everything is strictly a policy debate. If that’s the case, then they win because they can both sides everything or simply shrug and say fuck you, lib.

The Politics Of Tragedy


by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I’ve seen enough. The conditions are now in place for some sort of major political-related tragedy to happen just about any moment in the United States. I have no inside information from the Dark Web (or whatever) I just have a hunch. The MAGA New Right’s rhetoric has reached a point where it’s just a matter of time before someone takes them both literally and seriously and someone important gets hurt.

A lot, of course, would hinge on who got hurt, how badly and how. I don’t like to articulate exactly the kinds of things I fear might happen because I don’t want to put it out into the universe, but needless to say, whatever happened might be Big.

Oh boy.

If such a tragedy happened, here what I think would we see. First, there would be silence on the part of the MAGA New Right. They might vaguely say something about “thoughts and prayers” but that would be it. They would be hunkered down, trying to figure out what their talking points would be.

After about 24 – 48 hours of radio silence, the media narrative they would want us all to believe would be it was the act of someone who was “mentally unstable” and nothing they said or did had anything to do with it — even if there was some sort of manifesto that directly said they did! In other words, for their bullshit echo chamber, they would nullify reality with this event just like they did with January 6th.

“It wasn’t me,” they would say in unison until the faithful believed it.

Now, this has always worked in the past. But there is a small chance that if the Something Big I fear might happened was Big Enough that this wouldn’t work. Remember, the two sides are so absolute in their views now that politics only functions on the edges. So, if it was absolutely proven that Trump’s ranting about being re-instated was specifically and directly responsible for someone getting hurt, then the reaction of that crucial 1% of the electorate that open minded would determine everything.

There’s a huge but to all of this — the MAGA New Right is a macro issue. So whatever happened would have to be not just big, but fucking HUGE to actually put them on the back foot for, say, an election cycle or so. Again, while I have a few scenarios in my mind, I just don’t like to write them out.

So, in general, I think we’re just too divided for any type of tragedy to unite us, even briefly. It would have to be international terrorism, and only then it would be for about 24 hours. Or, if it was domestic political terrorism, it would have to be a huge fucking event.

In general, we’re fucking doomed. The macro trends are too powerful and the trendlines are all pointing towards the existential choice of autocracy, military junta or civil war.