Category: Cold Civil War

The Biden Endgame Enigma

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I’m of the general opinion that a crisis is, by definition, when you don’t know how things are going to end. Well, we definitely seem like we’re in a crisis now — what the fuck is going to happen with Joe Biden?

All things being equal, Biden should drop out of the race and there be an open, brokered convention. It would be astonishing TV and the country would be glued to the proceedings. The dark horse canaidate would be, of course, Jon Stewart.

Stewart — even though he’s short (like me) would make for an amazing POTUS. He would be an American Zelensky — maybe in more ways than one if Red states start to leave the Union because he’s elected and not Trump. But there are plenty — PLENTY of great Democratic candidates that could fill the void left by Biden leaving the race.

I have two concerns — the President Hindenburg analogy and the possibility of an Election of 1872 situation happening. Biden is so old that he may just be too old to stop the rise of fascism, like President Hindenburg. Meanwhile, the Election of 1872 situation….yikes.

Anyway, no one listens to me. It seems like things might go either way between now and the Democratic Convention. Only time will tell.

Of Trump & ‘The Mule’

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I’m getting some traffic on a post I did some time ago comparing Trump to the Isaac Asimov character “The Mule.” I’m assuming that either the Foundation series on Apple+ is going to feature the character. Or a movie is being made using the character. Or maybe someone, somewhere — with a lot more credibility — has also made the comparison, or is about to publish something that does.

But I’ve come to think maybe Trump isn’t The Mule — in strict terms the Seldon Plan would predict that someone like Trump would occur at some point. So, as such, Trump isn’t The Mule.

The Mule destroyed the Plan because he was totally unaccounted for.

But, in general terms, the point of the comparison remains — you could definitely use The Mule as a political allegory for Trump. I say this because only nerds would know something as strict as I do about The Plan and the point of the comparison is there — Trump is very Mule-like.

The Fascist MAGA Right Doesn’t See The Biden Administration As Legitimate

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

The key thing we have to accept is the fascist MAGA Right is not only politically ascendant, but also fucking bloodthirsty. They have finally reached the point, it seems, where they’re willing to physically hurt people in the real world if they don’t get what they want.

The fascist MAGA Right clearly wants to murder people like me in cold blood if I stand in their way. Now, obviously, it’s all couched in the context of their anger being rhetorical.

But just on the face of it, it seems as though in the fascist MAGA Right mind, anyone who has power who isn’t them isn’t legitimate. By definition. They are craven and want absolute autocratic power to the fullest extent that society will give them.

And all of that leaves me very alarmed going forward. These facts leave me worried that even if we defeat the fascist MAGA Right in November, there will be a civil war because on a structural basis the Republican Party at the state level is so radicalized that they will leave the Union in protest.

Who knows. I can’t predict the future. I am very, very worried.

What A Dumb Idea

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

Jesus Christ is that a dumb idea.

Ugh. It should be a brokered convention or nothing — just let the guy run.

Oh boy

I’ve written a great deal about this.

Trump’s Inevitable Third Term

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

It is inevitable that if Trump wins in the fall that he will be allowed to run for a third term. Probably what will happen is a “creative” interpretation of the Constitution by SCOTUS as is meant by a president being limited to two terms.

Or, it could be, that Trump is so lazy and dumb that he just runs without care for what SCOTUS has to say. It would be an “official act” for him to break the Constitution, so lulz.

In short, the USA is far, far more unstable than any of us realize. I want peace, but I am worried.

‘American Terminators?’

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

If things get as dark as I fear and the USA collapses into chaos, war and destruction, it would make a lot of sense if two ideas fuse together — LLMs and all those androids that Boston Dynamics is working on.

So, as the war between Blue and Red drags on and more and more of the country is consumed by hate, I could see Blue and Red essentially using “Terminators” on each other. This is a very, very dark scenario. I do not want it happen, but it has to be broached.

The USA is on the cusp of collapse for macro historical reasons. This is a prime example of “you go bankrupt gradually, then all at once.”

And, yet, there is a real possibility that I’m overthinking all of this. It’s possible that Agenda 2025 will be implemented peacefully, about 1 million smug wealthy liberals will leave the country and that will be that.

Only time will tell.

We Have To Talk About That Kamala Harris Blind Item Rumor

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

A long time ago, maybe years ago, I saw a blind item about Kamala Harris that stunned me — allegedly, she made a sex-tape with her former beau Montel Williams. Or something like that, it was a long time ago, but who it was with isn’t as important as the rumor — imagine what would happen if there WAS a Harris sex tape.

I do not believe one exists. I think it’s all bullshit. But given how, well, fucking hateful Trump is — and how he’s already tipped his hand on how he’s going to attack her dating history — one can just imagine him ranting about the existence of a non-existent sex tape.

Then we all have to think about such a sex tape for the next few months while the future of our fading democracy hangs in the balance. Ugh.

Again — I do not believe it’s real. Most, maybe all, blind items are fake. But it is a testament to how white knuckled and hateful Trump is that if Harris became the president or nominee he would probably latch on to the idea that a Harris sex tape DID exist.

Deposing Trump

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

First, some context: I do not see myself as any sort of “revolutionary.” I just love to run scenarios. So, relative to me, this is just running the, “How would you depose Trump?” scenario. I mean no harm. I don’t actually want any of this to happen in the real world.

But I do love a good scenario, so here goes.

The key thing to remember is to remember both how decentralize the USA is on an existential basis and how Godawful dumb and lazy Trump is. So, if Trump manages to become POTUS again — which looks like he is as of right now — his natural inclination will be to go “full tyrant” within moments of being sworn in.

This is where things get….uhhh….interesting.

Way, way, way, WAY too many people — especially older well-meaning white liberals on Facebook — seem to think just posting a sick burn of Trump on social media means jack shit. It does not. It just makes you look like a fool. So, if Trump really does go “full tyrant,” well, some one somewhere is going to have to risk some “lives and sacred honor” in the real world.

In general, it seems like easiest course of action for Blues if Trump goes full tyrant would be a General Strike — people in Blue States just don’t go to work until their conditions are met.

I could see the main condition being Trump and his veep stepping down (if the Speaker of the House is a Democrat) or in some way forcing SCOTUS to “review” their decision about the 14th Amendment and Trump. But even if the “good guys” won this initial victory, a civil war would break out because Texas, etc., would be enraged that Trump had to step down.

And that doesn’t begin to address how Trump would not leave office easily. A lot of people would get hurt because he would send Red National Guard troops into Blue States — even if there was no General Strike!

So, let’s call the whole thing off. Rather than any talk of “deposing” Trump, just leave the country if you can.

‘General Strike’

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

All I got when it comes to “deposing” Tyrant Trump, should it come to that, is a Blue General Strike. If the general American economy cratered because Blues — and specifically women — just didn’t show up to work for a few days, maybe the U.S. Military might be…persuaded…to get SCOTUS to review its 14th Amendment ruling about Trump?

Maybe?

Anything that happened would have to have a thin veneer of legality to it. But, of course, even if Trump just quit, him being forced out would cause a civil war because Reds would leave the Union — even if they were ok with the new MAGA veep turned POTUS.

(Talk about surreal.)

Though, I suspect if Trump were deposed that….arrangements….would be made so a non-MAGA POTUS would become president soon afterwards. I don’t want any of this to happen because….uhhh…the whole thing would be a total catastrophe.