Tag: A Very American Autocracy

We’re Doomed — Goodluck

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

Unless something really, really, really unexpected happens, we’re totally fucked in regards to MAGA going forward. Or, put another way, there seems to be a spectrum when it comes to MAGA: either we go full blown autocracy or there’s a civil war / revolution.

I just don’t see us having a civil war / revolution, so autocracy it is. Though, I will admit that we have something of a slow cold civil war going on at the moment. The country is being torn apart by macro forces beyond anyone’s control.

There are all sorts of solutions had Democrats gotten there act together, say, in 2015, but we were all so busy assuming the good times would last forever that we didn’t realize how important it would when Biden decided NOT to run in 2016.

And, yet, because Trump is such a both weird and inevitable historical character, he, or someone much like him, was inevitable in American political history starting around 2016. Something about the social progress that happened during Obama’s second term really cracked the minds of conservative white Americans. As such, I fear someone like Trump was going to arise as an reaction.

But, the point is — it’s over. The America I knew and loved is no more. The plum of autocratic smoke from Mt. Trump has reached the horizon, to use an extended metaphor. Even under the best of circumstances, it would take a generation to fix all the fucking damage that Trump and MAGA have done to the country.

So, America is going to grow weaker, have more income inequality and probably eventually align itself with other autocratic states. And that doesn’t even begin to address what the fuck is going to happen when the technological Singularity finally happens.

Anyway. It’s over, folks. Good luck.

There Are No Quick Fixes To MAGA

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

Twitter was a twitter with a rumor last night that Trump had died. This is so dumb. Trump is going nowhere. We will be amazingly lucky if he doesn’t run for an illegal third term the way things are going, much less him dying.

But there’s an even more important point to consider — Trump is just a symptom to some pretty deep systemic problems with the United States. As such, he could die and the problems that led to him being popular in the first place would remain and someone just as bad — or worse — would take the reigns.

I’m pretty much clueless about JD Vance’s ability to press forward with the MAGA autocratic ethnostate experiment. He seems, at least, to be a far more traditional politician.

And, yet, who knows. Maybe the genii that Trump let out of the bottle can never be put back in and, by definition, Vance will be just as autocratic as Trump. It could be that we really are fucked in the sense that it’s autocrats all the way down no matter what.

I do believe that 2024 was our last free and fair election. We’re an autocratic state now and we just have a weird quirk — for the time being — where we have free speech on an individual basis. Only time will tell how long that particular issue lasts.

We Could Really Use Some ‘Radical Moderates’ Right About Now

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

It’s clear with these weird mid-decade redistricting efforts that Red States are doing that the centrifugal forces tearing the USA apart are only accelerating. The thing is, if Democrats step up and do what they should do — redistrict too — the likelihood of revolution or civil war grows significantly.

It’s all a prime example of how fucked the country is. If Republicans don’t get what they want, then they seem willing to literally destroy the country. They have become a Trump death cult equal to the Nazis and Hitler.

I continue to mull the possibility of a civil war or revolution and for the moment I have my doubts that any such thing will happen. Blues just don’t have it in them to go mano-to-mano with the absolutely terrifying Reds.

And when they ever get around to be willing to do that, that’s when the bad stuff happens. That’s when the country implodes, race wars break out in the South and WMD are used by both sides. Then we hope the “Good Guys” (Blues) win and we wait about 40 years for the country to recover while the world moves on and China takes over the world.

Sigh.

To put it another way — either the USA slides into an autocratic managed democracy peacefully or a lot and I mean A LOT of people die in a revolution / civil war that will reduce much of the United States to rubble.

Good times!

I Have To Prepare Myself To Be Detained By ICE Eventually

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I don’t know how or why it’s going to happen, but I am — have always been — a loudmouth crank and, as such, as we zoom towards full blown autocracy I’m sure to cross the State at some point.

I’m a man of peace, a man of ideas, but I’m also a man of principles. As such, if some fucking cocksucker ICE agent comes after me simply for using my 1st Amendment rights, I’m going to stand my ground.

Of course, I say that now when who knows what will happen when I’m getting the shit beat out of me by some GED failing tubby piece of shit.

And let me be clear — it’s not like I’m going to be violent or hostile in any way in this hypothetical scenario. In my imagination, they will come for me for what I post on this blog or just because I happen to be at the wrong place at the wrong time.

That’s the specific point I’m trying to make — if I’m not doing anything illegal and some fat fuck ICE agent comes for me, I’m prepared to be detained. Fuck ICE and fuck MAGA.

‘New World Order’

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

All of this is very speculative, but if you take Trump’s expressed desires to their logical conclusion, it seem inevitable there will be some sort of “New World Order” established by him soon.

What I imagine it would look like is something like this — the USA will destroy NATO and, instead, align itself with Russia, Hungary and Turkey. It will begin to pull troops out of nations across the globe, the better to police the streets of an ever-more-militarized America.

All of this will happen in the context of taxes being cut and cut and cut for the wealthy — probably to zero, the rise of AI / androids and maybe, just maybe the replacement of the entire social safety net with a very weak and low UBI. And there probably will be a 30% VAT.

That, my dear friends, seems to be our “day after tomorrow” future.

The only potential “zag” that might happen is, well, some sort of revolution / civil war. If that happened, it would be very, very nasty. I could definitely see a race war happening in the USA as well as the use of WMD throughout the country by both sides.

Anyway. That seems like one potential future for us going forward.

We Live In A Luminal Space Where We’re An Autocratic State With Free Speech

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

The thing that gives us a false sense of security in the United States is while otherwise we’re an autocratic state, we still have free speech. I can still tell ICE — and the broader Trump regime — to fuck off and not expect a knock on my door.

This leads to the question of how long that is going to last.

Give how precious free speech is to Americans and how Trump clamping directly down that would make even the most ardent MAGA person at least have pause for thought, I think it’s going to be a while.

Or, put a different way — I think that will be the last thing that Trump fucks with. Going directly after people’s right to free speech is going to be when the ash from the MAGA volcano reaches the horizon and we’re absolutely fucking doomed.

So, probably it would be during Trump’s illegal third term that that kind of thing happens. But it is going to happen. I just can’t image we will go full white Christian autocratic ethnostate and the powers that be will allow traditional freedom of speech to linger.

Of course, there is the theory that if Trump really consolidates power as much as he would like that he — or the people around him — might see clamping down on individual free speech as too much of a hassle. And, besides, it would be a pressure valve.

It is clear that the center-Left is very, very weak in the USA and there’s really nothing stopping Trump from going full autocrat (like he is now) so, at least for a historical beat longer than you might expect…maybe individual freedom of speech is a little bit safer than you might expect?

Two New Autocratic Moves Of Note By Trump

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

Here are two interesting autocratic moves on the part of the Trump Regime.

  1. Rummaging Through Mortgages
    Just like Nixon sicked the IRS on people back in the day, I think Trump is going to rifle through people’s mortgages in search of “irregularities” he can put them in jail for. It definitely seems as though Trump is working his way towards, say Obama or Hillary Clinton so he can finally spooge that particular wet dream out.
  2. Seizing of D.C.’s Union Station
    This is a good chokepoint for people coming in the area from outside to protest. So, when Trump finally drops the next autocratic shoe, he will be able to prevent people from coming into D.C. to protest — or more — his autocratic behavior.

‘Zombie Democracy’

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

The curious thing about everything happening politically in the United States is for the most part it’s happening in broad daylight. MAGA cocksuckers haven’t come directly for free speech — yet — so we know damn well about how Trump is consolidating power at a rapid rate.

But I think the last few weeks is when we crossed over into a “zombie” or “managed” democracy. We’re never going to have free-and-fair Federal elections again and this is it — democracy in America is finally dead.

Yes, we’ll continue to have elections and they may even be free-and-fair on a state and local level, but on a Federal basis, MAGA is well on it way to consolidating power to the point that this is it — we’re always going to have a MAGA Federal government, at least for the rest of my life.

It was nice while it lasted, I guess.

‘The Pizza Guy’

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I have a fuzzy idea for a short story about a dystopian near future where the only free speech is porn and the only political speech is delivered by the pizza guy in the porn’s setup.

That’s how I feel about the Taylor Swift engagement news. Here we are, careening towards a zombie democracy bordering on an actual dictatorship and…lulz? It is going to be interesting to see how long it takes for MAGA to stop pussy footing around cracking down on free speech and actually do it.

At the moment, they are mostly using intimidation, but that is going to inevitably change. At some point, MAGA is going to come directly for free speech in a big way and it will be interesting to see what the reaction to that will be.

One thing is for sure, I just don’t see us having another free-and-fair Federal election. Somehow, someway, Republicans are going to cheat in 2026 and definitely 2028 and that will be that.

The only thing that is up in the air is Trump’s fate. But, even then, no one and nothing is going to save us. Trump is just a symptom. So, he could magically disappear at any moment and JD Vance (or someone else) would just keep doing exactly what Trump has been doing.

Yes, the exact persona the tyranny we would live under would be different

‘A Lot Of People Are Saying…’

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I keep having to recalculate my “hysterical doom shit” about the future of what’s left of America’s democracy. Trump said in the last few days that “A lot of people are saying we need a dictator,” and that leads me to believe we definitely won’t have free-and-fair Federal elections in 2026, much less 2028.

So, this is it.

We’re now a dictatorship and that just happens to have zombie elections on a regular basis. We’re now no better than Hungary or even Russia. The key question is, of course, do we go full Russia or do we linger around Hungary?

At the moment, that’s something of an open question.

I think a lot of it depends on who replaces Trump. If it’s JD Vance, then I think we might, just might linger in the Hungary zone. But if it’s someone who is far more craven and focused on absolute power, then, lulz, we zoom towards the Russia model and I endup in some sort of gulag.

That, or I get pushed out a window.

Fuck MAGA, bunch of cocksuckers.