The Last Question

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

It definitely seems as though This Is It. The USA is going to either become a zombie democracy like Hungary (or Russia) or we’re going to have a civil war / revolution.

We’re going to find out later this year one way or another, now that the SAVE Act seems like it’s going to pass.

At the moment, I think we’re probably going to just muddle into an autocratic “managed democracy” and not until people like me are literally being snatched in the street will anyone notice or care what’s going on.

But by then, of course, it will be way, way too late.

So there you go. Get out of the country if you have the means.

Tucker Carlson & The Quest For A Trump Successor

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I firmly believe that Trump’s historical purpose is to destroy the American Constitutional order to the point that it either implodes into a pure Russian-style autocracy or we are forced to have a Constitutional Convention to ride the ship of state.

I honestly don’t know which one will happen.

Regardless, Trump isn’t going to live forever. And he’s old. So, someone has to pick up the tyrannical mantle in his name. J.D. Vance currently has the best shot of being that dude…and, yet, Tucker Carlson is lurking in the shadows, ready to pop out.

Carlson is the perfect guy to take over for Trump, I suppose. Though I think he is kind of short. (Of course, given how history works, this could be negated if Democrats nominate a woman or…Jon Stewart.)

Anyway, it definitely will be interesting to see what happens. I still think Trump is going to run for a third term, destroy everything and then we’ll all sit around, scratching our heads as to what we’re supposed to do next. I do think if Trump ran for a third term that that, in itself, would start a civil war /revolution.

Stop The Steal 2026

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

There probably won’t be free-and-fair elections later this year. As such, the possibility of severe political chaos when Trump seizes ballot boxes (or whatever) is very real. This severity could be up to and including something a lot like a civil war.

Though, probably what would happen is it would be closer to Blues doing a January 6-the type insurrection. (Ugh.)

And, yet, I just don’t think Blues have it in them. They are too feckless and probably will get really mad on Twitter and that will be that. Trump will steal the election in a very brazen manner and we’ll become a “managed democracy” like they have in Hungary and Russia.

But only time will tell, I suppose.

Minneapolis Is A Turning Point, But…

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

While I do agree that what’s going on in Minneapolis is a “turning point,” I just don’t see it as anything that might lead to the downfall of Trumplandia. We’re stuck with MAGA for decades to come.

We’re just fucked.

The only way we get rid of MAGA is if Blues win a revolution or civil war and I just don’t want to go through that. So, lulz? I guess I just need to wrap up this novel I’m working on, hope I can sell it and get the fuck out of this country.

‘Those who make peaceful revolution impossible will make violent revolution inevitable.’ — JFK

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

Politically, the USA is in a luminal space. We have a nasty fascist staph infection that is only getting worse by the day. And, as such, I just don’t see us having free-and-fair elections ever again.

And, with that in mind, I do think there is a greater-than-zero chance of a revolution / civil war in the USA between late 2026 and early 2029.

I have said such things repeatedly in the past and nothing happened. And I can’t promise you I’ll get it right this time — I sure hope I don’t. The American population is just too blasé, too copacetic. I would be stunned if they did anything untoward like a revolution or civil war.

What’s more likely to happen is we’ll implode politically into a “zombie” democracy like they have in Hungary or Russia and probably Trump will divide the world up between the US, China and Russia.

And that, as they say, will be that.

Good luck, folks. Get out if you can.

I Don’t Know What To Tell You, Folks

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

We are at a crossroads. Either we implode into autocracy or we explode into civil war and / or revolution. At the moment, at least, it definitely looks as though we’re just going to slowly transform into a “managed democracy” like Russia or Hungary and that will be that.

I just can’t believe that the Americans would actually risk their “lives and scared honor” in the real world to the point that we might actually have a revolution and / or civil war.

It just doesn’t seem possible at this point.

The only way I could maybe, just maybe see a civil war or revolution happening is if the SAVE Act passes. That might cause enough frustration to build up within the American political system that we might actually collapse into revolution and or civil war.

Or, I could see if Trump tried to cancel the 2026 midterms for some reason. Then, yeah, I could see a civil war / revolution (prompted by the Blues.)

And, lastly, if Trump ran for a third term in 2028, that, too, would probably be enough for the country to be pushed into chaos that would resemble a civil war or revolution.

We Creep Closer To The Invocation Of The Insurrection Act In Minnesota

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I can’t predict the future, but I am worried that the new shooting in Minneapolis will be enough to be the tipping point so Trump invokes the Insurrection Act. I have been feeling weird the last few days, as if something big was about to happen and maybe that is it.

Though, to be fair, in real terms, the Insurrection Act is more a issue of perception and introducing the idea of marital law later down the road than it is some sort of magical-mystery device to make all of Trump’s problems go away.

And I really don’t think even the Insurrection Act or martial law would produce a civil war or revolution. People continue to be way too blasé about Trump and only should Trump try to literally try to cancel the 2026 midterms do I think we get a civil war or revolution.

Only time will tell, I suppose.

A Second American Revolution / Civil War & ‘Threads’

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

The movie Threads has got to be the scariest non-horror movie ever. It depicts a post-nuclear holocaust world in which humans descend into extreme savagery. It’s insane and, tragically, probably right about what would happen if there was a nuclear-tipped Third World War.

I keep thinking about Threads because America is pretty unstable at the moment. If there was a second revolution or civil war between now, and say, 2029, it would not be sweet and nice like the recent movie Civil War, it would be horrific like Threads.

Take the American South, for instance.

Probably what would happen is a huge race war in the context of an extreme white Christian ethnostate being established — think “The Turner Diaries.” It would be incredibly horrific.

And, in general, if the US imploded, the entirety of North America — maybe the world — would be sucked into the chaos. WW3 would happen, for sure, with at least 1 billion people dying because of some sort of limited nuclear exchange. And the US would use WMD on itself in a gratuitous manner.

What’s worse is, even if there isn’t a second American civil war or revolution, the US is going to probably become a thuggish autocracy — or at least a zombie democracy once the SAVE Act is passed.

Anyway, I like to think of myself as a survivor. So it will be interesting to see what happens next.

Jesus Christ, Are Things Dark

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I just don’t see us having free-and-fair elections again in my life time. I have a feeling the SAVE Act is going to pass and that will be that. We’ll become a zombie democracy like Hungary and, lulz, I’ll end up in some sort of camp.

I say this in the context of how ICE is slowly, but surely strangling our freedoms.

And Trump seems to be itching for an excuse to use the Insurrection Act (or martial law?) where ever he can.

AND, add to this, the very real possibility that Trump is going to run for an illegal third term. If he does that, man, am I going to pop a gasket. And, yet, I’m powerless. No one listens to me or takes me seriously.

So, all I got is just my usual blathering. But I will note that if Trump does attempt to run for a third term that there is a very good chance that he will literally destroy the United States.

The country will implode into chaos.

And, yet, lulz, like I said, there’s absolutely nothing I can do about it. I guess I can double down on the novel I’m working on, sell it, and get the hell out of the country.

Renee Good’s Murder At The Hands Of ICE As The First Shot Of A Second American Civil War / Revolution

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I don’t know what to tell you with this one. While it definitely seems as though things are coming to a head, every time in the past I started to rant about the possibility of a civil war and or revolution…meh. Nothing.

And I’ve done that a lot over the years. A whole lot.

So, I dunno. It could be that I fear — some sort of shooting war between the Minnesota National Guard and the U.S. Military won’t happen and there will be some sort of uneasy peace that just tapers away into nothing. That’s, at least, what I hope happens.

I have a novel I’m working on. I would prefer not to have to become a domestic political refugee because my politics don’t fit where I live — and they definitely don’t. But I’m a survivor and if that’s what I have to do to survive, that’s what I’ll do. I guess.

Anyway, while I do feel the country is a little…unstable…I’m not prepared to give up hope just yet. And, yet, it would make a lot of sense if things got out of hand and we had a fighting war in the middle of the country between the US Military and a state right about now.

This does bring up the question of if there is literally anything Trump could possibly do to be impeach and convicted at this point. I mean, starting a civil war or instigating a revolution is…bad, right? To someone?

But we live in surreal times. So, lulz.