by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner
Things are very surreal right now in the United States. It’s beginning to sink in with our deranged ding-dong of a president that his options for staying in power are limited. Add to this that Trump has done none of the prep work necessary to successfully stage a coup and…well…you ain’t see nothing yet.
We’re going to enter the Upside Down soon, like potentially within hours. But let me clear — all of this happening in the context of Trump thrashing around. There’s going to be limited planning or co-ordination. And because the U.S. Military will not follow an illegal order, I just can’t see any hard coup attempt on Trump’s part being successful.
What’s more, Trump seems to be actively aggravating the a number of political figures he would need if actually was of sane mind enough to want his coup to succeed. That’s why, in a sense, Trump’s coup efforts are more connected to his tenuous connection to reality than his political goals.
His sense of self-preservation is what’s driving these outwardly whacky coup attempts. What makes them dangerous is there are MAGA people in positions of power who are willing to entertain his coup dreams and, as such, get him a lot closer to success than any of us would like.
But even the use of the world “success” in this context is problematic. He might be able to seize power in some extra-political manner, but I struggle to imagine any scenario where he gets to keep it. American civil society is just too strong. There would be a very, very quick and very, very strong reaction because on a political level, America has moved on.
Yes, a lot of MAGA people think Biden “stole” the election, but there are plenty of conservative-but-not-MAGA people who don’t think that and won’t support Trump’s effort to stage a coup.
Trump may surprise me and get away with it, but more likely to happen is the whole thing will be a massive self-own that destroys Trump political once and for all. But we’ll see.
