2027 Is Going To Suck

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

For variety of reasons, but public and private, I have a feeling 2027 is going to suuuuuuck. It’s going to be horrible. The chief issue is a lot of the shittier elements of Trump’s Big Beautiful Bill will kick in, causing a lot of heartache for poor people like me.

Meanwhile, if somehow, miraculously, Democrats don’t blow it and manage to win big in the 2026 midterms, there is always a risk that Trump will fuck with the outcome after the fact or simply not recognize it as legitimate.

And, of course, there’s the possibility that Trump will do something so horrible, so heinous that Democrats will actually get off their asses and impeach him. He won’t be convicted, of course, unless, I don’t know, he commits treason or murders someone live on TV.

Even then, given how corrupt our political system is, it would probably be iffy.

Anyway, there’s little I can do about any of this. I just have to hunker down and prepare.

Contemplating Martial Law Ahead of The 2026 Midterm Elections

Even President Abraham Lincoln, amid the Civil War, did not impose martial law for the purpose of disrupting free and fair elections. While Lincoln suspended the writ of habeas corpus and established martial law in limited areas (including parts of Kentucky in 1864), his proclamations explicitly provided that these measures “will not be deemed or taken to interfere with the holding of lawful elections.” The 1864 presidential election proceeded on schedule; Lincoln insisted on holding it despite unfavorable wartime conditions and personal political risk, viewing the continuation of democratic processes as central to the Union cause.

Today, serious discussion has arisen about the possibility of extraordinary executive actions—including speculation about martial law—ahead of the 2026 midterm elections. Concerns persist regarding the integrity of future elections. Although the federal Safeguard American Voter Eligibility (SAVE) Act has not been enacted into law (having passed the House in various forms but stalled in the Senate), related state-level measures requiring documentary proof of citizenship or stricter identification have advanced in multiple jurisdictions.

Under these circumstances, some observers anticipate that the administration may pursue significant pre-election measures. Declaration of martial law is frequently cited as one potential option. Legally, however, a president lacks authority to cancel or suspend federal elections. Election dates are fixed by statute and the Constitution; only Congress can alter them. Martial law—itself a contested and rarely invoked power with no clear statutory basis for nationwide application—does not confer the ability to override these constitutional and statutory frameworks. Historical precedent, Supreme Court rulings limiting military authority over civilian functions (such as Duncan v. Kahanamoku), and analyses of emergency powers confirm that elections have continued through prior wars and crises.

Any attempt to cancel elections would likely provoke profound institutional, political, and public resistance, potentially escalating into severe domestic conflict. A purely symbolic or power-asserting declaration of martial law, absent a genuine and overwhelming public-safety justification, would also carry substantial political costs. Decision-making in this domain remains difficult to predict with certainty.

In short, while historical practice and constitutional design strongly constrain the use of martial law or emergency powers to interfere with elections, vigilance regarding electoral integrity remains warranted as the 2026 midterms approach.

A Darkness At Noon: You Get What You Vote For

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

This is it, folks. This fall will mark the end of our democracy. MAGA will “win” the midterms and they will learn that they no longer have any connection to the people and they can do whatever the fuck they want going forward.

We should have seen this coming — I know I did — when Trump and MAGA won in 2024. But there’s no going back now. we’re fucked.

What will happen, probably, is we will have a sold 20 more years of MAGA rule until we finally get so upset that we organize and successfully change political rulers. And, just like in Hungary, I think the only way it happens is if we nominate someone who is a former MAGA person.

But that’s years — maybe decades — from now. We’re fucking doomed. America will grow poorer, more inward looking and more autocratic along the way.

Stop The Steal 2026: There’s A Greater-Than-Zero Chance Of Civil War or Revolution If Trump Fucks With The Midterms

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

Oh boy. Trump is totally going to fuck with the 2026 midterms in some way and if Blues stop dicking around long enough to notice, the country may collapse. But that’s a big, big “IF.”

It could all be a lulz.

Trump declares martial law, or SCOTUS gives him some of the Executive Order power he craves, or maybe even the SAVE Act passes. But I, regardless, I got a bad feeling about what happens this fall.

If Trump goes as far as we all fear, Blues may get so angry that Something Bad happens. What that might be, I can’t fathom. But it’s definitely a possibility.

‘Stop The Steal’ 2026 (Blues This Time)

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

All signs point to Trump fucking with the 2026 mid-terms. I don’t quite know what to tell you. People continue to be too distracted to hit the streets or whatever to demand this not happen.

So, probably what will happen is Trump will fuck with the 2026 midterms and THEN there will be a lot of protests that will come to no effect. And if they do come to any effect the country will get very close to a civil war.

I know have repeatedly predicted that over the years, and this time is no different — it probably won’t happen. But it is something to think about, something to ponder.

It will be interesting to see how things work out if Trump literally does fuck with the 2026 midterms to the point that it changes the obvious outcome.

Stop The Steal! (2026)

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

Trump is going to steal the 2026 midterms. And I fear he may even go so far as to use extra-legal means to do it. The question, of course, is what we’re going to do in response once he does it.

I fear we’re either do nothing or we’re going to have a civil war / revolution.

I really would prefer not to have a civil war or revolution — I have a novel to query at a minimum — but…I suppose what will happen is…nothing. People will get really mad but ultimately nothing will happen and Trump will push and push to the point that him running for an illegal third term might be a done deal by the time 2028 rolls around.

Stop The Steal 2026

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

There probably won’t be free-and-fair elections later this year. As such, the possibility of severe political chaos when Trump seizes ballot boxes (or whatever) is very real. This severity could be up to and including something a lot like a civil war.

Though, probably what would happen is it would be closer to Blues doing a January 6-the type insurrection. (Ugh.)

And, yet, I just don’t think Blues have it in them. They are too feckless and probably will get really mad on Twitter and that will be that. Trump will steal the election in a very brazen manner and we’ll become a “managed democracy” like they have in Hungary and Russia.

But only time will tell, I suppose.