by Shelt Garner
On paper, in the abstract, there is almost no downside to Blue States seceding from the Union. This is because Blue States for all the legitimate griping about the “woke cancel culture mob” dominating Blue States, the economies of the Blue States are bigger, more modern and more prepared for the global challenges of the 21st century.
But that’s in the abstract.
There are a lot — a lot — of complications to any National Divorce. The chief among them being — which state is a Blue State? Which state is a Red State. There a number of states that either swing Blue to Red every so often or are, as states like Virginia are, actually two different states fused together who hate each other.
So, any National Divorce would be very messy, complicated and destructive. There would be coups and counter-coups across the United States at the state level. And states like Texas which are, long-term, shifting Blue but are being held back by an autocrat Republican state government, would likely turn into a Yugoslavia-sized internecine bloodbath.
And, as I’ve written repeatedly before, there is the issue of the U.S. Military and the potential use of WMD by both sides. So, once the dust settled and Blue and Red were finally rid of each other, the two new nations could very well be in rubble that would take a generation or more to recover from.
But the issue remains — the ideological underpinnings for the successful secession of Blue States now exists. There would probably be an unpreceded amount of people who would flee to one new nation or the other during the process of divorce and, of course, there is always the risk that the two sides would hate each other so much that there would always be a risk that a war between the two would flare up now and again.
And, of course, there is also the very real risk that for all their talk about wanting a National Divorce that Red America will dramatically reverse their thoughts on the matter and do everything in their power to crush Blue States on the field of battle so all of America is Trumplandia.
In short, a National Divorce would suck. It would be horrible. It would not only destroy America in the short term, it would also be something akin to a “Great Reset” in the sense that World War 3 would happen across the globe at the same time.
I don’t want a National Divorce, but if it happens, it will be Blue States who serve the papers and the ones who will, in the long term, be better off for it if they succeed.