Don’t Count Malignant Ding-Dong Trump Out Just Yet For 2024

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

There are three things that if they happen in conjunction between now and Election Day 2024 could make Trump a real contender for a second term and, as such, single handedly causing a Second American Civil War.

Indictment
If Jack Smith indicts Trump, then ding-dong Trump instantly becomes a far Right martyr — again — and, as such, he gets a lot of momentum again. Because, as we know, Republicans are in love with “idea” of Trump. They don’t really like Trump as a person, they like what a fighter he is.
A Perfect Storm
If there is a chatbot revolution in the context of a moderate to severe recession in 2023 – 2024, then, suddenly, an indicted Trump really becomes a powerful force in American politics. Again. Even if he continues to be an absolute lazy idiot, if the country was reeling from millions of jobs being rendered moot by a chatbot revolution in the middle of a severe recession…Trump is going to the show.
Ron DeSantis Flames Out
It could be that DeSantis just isn’t ready for a primetime, national audience once he leaves the favorable confines of Florida. He could just not be someone who can handle the direct spotlight of the national press. Who knows.

The Theoretical Power Politics Of Nominating Trump For Speaker of The House

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

This is very dumb and a waste of time, but I guess I’ve had enough soju that I feel compelled to run this particular scenario. How, exactly, might someone put Trump’s name forward to be Speaker of The House?

Remember, the key thing is, at this point, whomever did it — presumably a Republican — would be playing with fire because Trump might lose. At the same time, even AOC wouldn’t risk nominating Trump– to troll Republicans — because he might win.

But, let’s say, some GQP backbencher grows so frustrated with what’s going on that they go nuts and put Trump’s name up for consideration to be Speaker. This is where things grow curious. If Trump really was a Great Man of History like, say, Hitler, he would be all over the idea of being Speaker, if, for no other reason than he puts him in line of succession to be POTUS again.

And, yet, Trump is so very fucking lazy and so fucking dumb that he just doesn’t have the cognitive ability to do an obvious autocratic play like trying to be Speaker. If Trump wasn’t so lazy, he would threaten to primary anyone who didn’t vote for him to be Speaker the moment it became a real possibility.

But, here we are, with Trump sitting this whole process out.

And, yet, I think if he was nominated, he would get at least 60% of the Republican caucus to vote for him on the first ballet. Just that might be enough to pique ding-dong’s interest to the point that he would start demanding he be nominated again so he could win.

If Trump became Speaker, it would be a total fucking shitshow which could very well directly lead to a Second American Civil War if Trump impeached both Biden and Harris then threatened Red States would leave the Union if the Senate didn’t vote to convict.

But, again, I’m really, really overestimating Trump’s cognitive ability. He’s an idiot.

My Theory About The Real Problem With Picking A New House Speaker

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I don’t know anything about anything, but my general hunch is the reason why House Republicans can’t seem to manage to name a Speaker is what they really want is a Speaker Trump. Or, at least, a sizable number of House Republicans would only really be satisfied if they could put his name up for a vote.

Speaker Trump

Or, put another way, a big chunk of House Republicans want an actual fucking fascist to be Speaker of the House. But because that chunk isn’t 218 votes, we are where we are now — with no Speaker. Because that’s the general sense I get from the MAGA Nazi chatter on Twitter: they really want a far, far Right Speaker who will burn the whole system to the ground in an effort to move us as close to an autocratic fascist state as possible.

It will be interesting to see how far all of this progresses. It will be interesting to see if we have to wait a few weeks for all of this to get sorted out or if it will wrap up pretty quick. At the moment, it seems as though this particular crisis isn’t going anywhere.

It makes you wonder what we would don if there was a major domestic or international crisis that would require the entirety of the Federal government to be functioning.

It also makes one wonder what a Speaker Trump would be like in practical terms. I think it would be a complete shit show — just like the first Trumplandia — and it would be a lot of Trump thrashing around looking for an excuse to crash the economy and or impeach as much of the Biden Administration as possible.

If An Equitable Answer From A Chatbot Is ‘Woke’ We’re All In A Lot Of Trouble

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

One of the more recent pings from a very dark future is how the intellectual framework for a massive battle over the supposed “wokeness” of chatbots like ChatGPT is now being built out on Twitter in real time.

It definitely seems as though the battle over “woke chatbots” could be the “critical race theory” of 2023 – 2024. The reason why I say this is from just my own personal use of ChatGPT, the answers aren’t really “woke” at all so much as rather equitable.

It’s just that we live in such an era of hyperpolarization that any answer on the part of a chatbot that isn’t hate filled like MAGA itself is considered “woke.” So, in the end, I think one of the aims of the next Republican Administration is going to be to regulate chatbots so they don’t “indoctrinate” people.

I find it darkly amusing that MAGA people go apeshit about how they want free speech, but the moment someone wants to espouse their own free speech that doesn’t fit MAGA doctrine, then, THEN it’s “indoctrination.” MAGA can be so wrapped up in its own bullshit that they don’t even realize what fucking hypocrites they are.

Anyway. Lulz. We’re doomed. Buckle up.

My Hot Take On The Clusterfuck Going On In The House of Representatives Right Now

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

Just from what I can glean on Twitter, it seems as though the crux of the problem when it comes to electing a new Speaker is this: all the momentum is with the fascists, but the fascists don’t have the votes. So, you have a situation where a core group of MAGA fascists won’t be placated unless they elect an actual Nazi as Speaker.

But they don’t have the votes, there is some of a standoff going on between the fascists and the moderates how are queasy at the naming an actual fascist as speaker. It will be interesting who blinks first on this subject. I’m seeing a lot of chatter within far Right MAGA circles around Chip Roy. He makes Jim Jordan look like AOC and, as such, is perfect for what the dyed in the wool fascists want in a Speaker.

Really, what MAGA Republicans want is to cut out the middle man and have a Speaker Trump.

It could be that the House is going to give Trumplandia levels of “entertainment” when it comes to being out of control and generating vast sums of bullshit. Once they figure out who the Speaker is going to be, then the which hunts will be gin about “the Big Guy” and the border “crisis.” The number of people in the Biden Administration who are probably going to get impeached this year will be shocking.

And remember — we’re in for a moderate to severe recession this year and or next, which would be a perfect storm if you want to get the public behind successfully impeaching a president and or vice president for made up bullshit.

There Is A Temptation To Burn It All Down: ‘If You Talk About Destruction, You Can Count Me Out (In)’ {Not Really}

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I talk to my Traditionalist relatives and they are enraged, apoplectic about the soft power of the “woke cancel culture mob.” They really, really are interested in burning the entire system down so they can be “left alone” to believe being gay is a sin, rather than having to worry about pronouns or “woke” movies they believe are part of the homosexual agenda.

Ugh.

The crux of all this bullshit is, of course, our hyperpartisan political environment. And I have come to believe that what’s really going on income disparity in the United States has, at last, reached a critical mass. I say this because higher education is out of reach for a lot of young men from blue collar homes and, as such, they are more ripe for the picking for authoritarian fascism.

And income disparity is only going to get worse with the rise of chatbots that may wipe out what remaining high paying blue collar jobs continue to linger in the economy. And, what’s worse, a lot of creative jobs may also go poof as well.

But I have to say, a little part of me finds the idea of burning the system to the ground somewhat, mildly appealing. But I would becoming at it from a populist and Leftist point of view, rather than the Right wing populism of the MAGA New Right.

And, yet, I’m not really all that interested in any such thing. It is very annoying how fucked up the American economy is — I mean, why to billionaires even exist? — but, lulz, I’m a nobody in the middle of nowhere.

I have a novel to work on.

The Predicted 2023 Recession Could Reinvigorate The MAGA Republican Movement

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

If history has taught us anything, it’s that economic hardship helps fascist movements. So, while MAGA Republicans are kind of on the backfoot at the moment with their ding-dong leader Trump selling ill-conceived NFTs of all things, it’s possible that a severe 2023 recession could seriously juice their political fortunes going into the 2024 election cycle.

So, it’s at least possible that a severe 2023 recession — especially in the context of a simultaneous chatbot revolution — could be enough to return has-been Trump into most powerful man in American politics. And as I have often said — if Trump is the 2024 Republican nominee the risk a Second American Civil War increases dramatically.

Either because of Trump’s radical second term policies or Trump is so brazen in how he steals the 2024 election that Blues decide the time is ripe for a National Divorce and, as such, a civil war.

A lot can happen in 18 months on a political basis and so this could very well be the quiet before storm. It’s highly likely we’re going to go through a few impeachments in 2023 – 2024, with the reasoning behind them being all very dumb.

Anyway, as I keep saying, I’m always, always wrong. But I am really uneasy about the political fate of the United States at the moment. We have some existential late-empire bullshit floating around our political system at the moment and there are no easy answers. An what answers that may exist we’re not prepared to use until it’s way, way, too late.

People In Oklahoma Really Have An Impending Second American Civil War On The Brain

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I vacillate wildly from day to day about the idea of the United States having a something akin to a Second Civil War, probably starting in late 2024 – early 2025. At the moment, I just don’t know if we’ll have a civil war, turn into an autocracy or simply somehow manage to punt our existential problems down the road one more election cycle.

But if my Webstats are any indication, one specific set of people are obsessed with the possibility of an impending Second American Civil War: Oklahomans. The last few months have seen a noticeable uptick in my Webstats of people from Red States — especially Oklahoma — looking all my dystopian scenarios gaming out exactly how a Second Civil War might happen.

I suppose it comes from how fucking conservative Oklahoma is. They really take the idea of a second civil war seriously and the idea of being able to kill libtards under the rules of war so they don’t go to jail is probably icing on the dystopian hellscape cake.

I still don’t know what’s going to happen on the potential Second American Civil War front. I have a pretty specific scenario gamed out….and yet….I’m always wrong. And it definitely seems as though while 2024 – 2025 is going to be very turbulent the way that Trump has faded politically indicates that maybe DeSantis is going to be the 2024 nominee and, as such, we’re just going to turn into some form of autocracy rather than descend into political violence.

The MAGA Slogan ‘Go Woke, Go Broke’ Is Performative Bullshit — It’s Hollywood’s Poor Storytelling That’s The Problem

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

Conservatives of all stripes feel really, really put upon by the “woke cancel culture mob.” They to the point that they are willing to destroy American democracy so they can use the hard power of the government to end the “wokeness” they perceive is hurting their feelings.

One of the favorite slogans of the MAGA New Right is “woke woke, go broke.” This is bullshit. It’s bullshit because it fits the narrative of the greater MAGA New Right echochamber of podcasts and Fox News. The issue isn’t so much that Hollywood has “gone woke” as it is showbiz has lost sight of their power: telling a good story.

I could watch a pretty “woke” movie without blinking an eye if it told me a good story and the representation that it strove for was organic to the story. It’s when the story is lacking that I start to roll my eyes, check my watch and dwell upon how the movie is trying to browbeat me with a “woke” message.

If the story was good — I wouldn’t care because I would be so engrossed by the tale I was consuming.

The issue is, of course, that America is cleaving into two nations, one Red, one Blue. And the moment Blues get as angry as Reds — that’s it, the country will probably have a National Divorce and, as such a Second American Civil War. At the moment, Blues are pretty oblivious to the dangers they face when the ascendance of Reds because Reds are such cry babies that you wouldn’t believe that they are going to push majority Blues out of the country with their extreme policies once they’re in power again.

But, here we are. There’s a real risk that that very thing might happen.

It’s all very bonkers and, as such, 2023 – 2025 could be one of the most turbulent eras in American history since 1865.

The MAGA New Right Wants To Burn American Democracy To The Ground…Because They’re Getting Their Fee-Fees Hurt?

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

The interesting thing about the MAGA New Right is how upset they are about the soft power of smug, very online wealthy Twitter liberals. MAGA would do anything to be accepted by this tiny sliver of the American electorate. Anything. But because they can’t get the validation they crave, they are prepared to burn 250 years of American democracy to the ground because they’re getting their fee-fees hurt.

I’m not kidding.

I talk to my Traditionalist relatives and that’s the thing they keep bitching and moaning about — the soft power of the “woke cancel culture mob.” The “woke” nature of “cancel culture” makes them feel….uncomfortable. They “just want to be left alone” unless we’re dealing with female reproductive agency, then, sucks to be you, libtard.

As I’ve said before, the MAGA New Right not only has a huge fucking chip on its shoulder, but they love to conflate the soft power of the “woke cancel culture mob” with the hard power of the government. So, yeah, maybe there were some Twitter shinaignans…but that was soft power. It’s not like anyone was going to jail over that.

But, no, that’s not how the fucking MAGA New Right cocksuckers see it. They get REALLY worked up about the soft power of the center-Left to the point that they want America to be an “illiberal democracy” like Hungary rather than a bastion of traditional Western democracy.

It’s all very fucked up. Get ready, though — 2023 – 2025 is going to be lit.