Biden Being So Frail Is Historical Bad Ju-Ju

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I’m very uneasy about what is going on with President Biden. He’s demonstrably old and frail — if mentally still smart as a tack. My fear is that things will get so bad with Biden that we’re going to have to invoke the 25th Amendment in some way.

I continue to believe that late 2024, early 2025 could be one of the momentous few months in American history. The fact that Biden is so frail and old just as a number of major historical trends are all coming to a head all at the same time. And remember, Trump is chomping at the bit to exploit any possible weakness that might occur in late 2024, early 2025.

Look up the election of 1872.

If we manage to escape this catastrophe, I will be very pleased. I’m just worried. Really worried. But maybe the strange thing to happen will be not that something shocking happens, but rather….we muddle through.

I dunno. It will be curious going forward.

A Disturbance In The Force

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

There are a number of destabilizing things floating around these days that make me very uneasy. The chief amongst them is the weird far Left bullshit focused on the “Free Palestine” movement. It definitely seems as though some crazy person might use the Free Palestine agenda as the underpinning of something very dramatic and unexpected.

What that might be, I don’t know.

I am very empathetic to Free Palestine, I just don’t think violence is ever the proper way to achieve an objective. And I worry that some weird thing is going to come at us from left field between now and early 2025 that we just can’t predict that will totally put a different spin on things.

To the point that it might be the “Black Swan” even that forces us to rethink everything. I have no idea what that might be, but I am worried that something might happen that is so historic that it’s up there with 9/11. It could be that whatever bad juju we should have to worry about has already been excised as part of the January 6th Insurrection.

Who knows. But I do, in general, sense Something Big is brewing out there in the historical aether.

Big Gretch For POTUS

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

In an ideal world, Biden would step down ASAP and we would have a President Harris who would be thrown into the mix of who would be the next Democratic nominee. But even if Biden just decided not to run again, I know who I would support — Gretchen Whitmer. And I think Josh Shapiro should be her veep.

Big Gretch

That would be my personal ideal ticket, if nothing else.

I would throw Jon Stewart into that mix, but I would prefer if he got some experience in government before he ran for POTUS.

But all of this is just mental masturbation. Fighting Joe Biden isn’t going anywhere and so we just have to hold our collective breath for a few months to see if he can not only beat malignant ding-dong Trump but actually function as a human being.

I just don’t want to have to get a flood of hot takes about the intricacies of the 25th Amendment if Biden’s health really deteriorates. But, hopefully, that won’t happen.

Every Revolution Eats Its Young

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

It’s surreal to me that someone as good as Jon Stewart is now the subject of political vitriol from…the Left. People have been picking apart is first show back at They Daily Show…and a lot of people are pissed.

We’ve reached the point where anyone — ANYONE — who tries to give some sort of even handed approach to the issues that divide us…is yelled at for “bothsiderism.” Now that IS a real problem in American political discourse. A lot — A LOT — of people simply do not want to address the fact that MAGA is American Nazism and should be shunned accordingly.

A lot of people actually agree — or are complicit towards — American Nazism and they just can’t brook the idea of siding with the Blues against them. But from what I saw of Stewart’s show, he did a pretty good job of saying that both Biden and Trump have problems that we have to deal with, it’s just that Trump is worse because he’s an old, malignant ding-dong.

I continue to believe that in an ideal world Jon Stewart would one day become POTUS. Too bad the only way such a thing might happen at this point is if we had a Blue Glorious Revolution because Trump went full tyrant on us.

I hate violence. I don’t want that.

I’ve Seen Enough: Biden Should Probably Resign Because Of His Age

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

The only thing stopping me advocating Biden resigning the presidency because of his age is we just have no precedent for such a thing happening. It’s just not something presidents in the US do.

So, I guess we’re stuck with Biden. A very, very old Biden who looks dodders around like he should be in a nursing home. But he does continue to be really sharp mentally, so, lulz, what do I know.

Look up the Election of 1872.

I continue to grow more and more worried that SHOULD — God forbid — something happen to Biden, that we may find either there being a massive political firefight at a brokered Democratic Convention, or, worse still something really fucked up AFTER Election Day.

But, here we are. There’s just not much any of us can do but hold our collective breath.

America Continues To Careen Towards A Dark Future

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

Sometimes, you can’t make this shit up. Trump has such absolute control over Republicans that they are now also sucking his cock on foreign affairs. If Tyrant Trump becomes POTUS again….I just don’t see how NATO surivives.

What The Fuck Is Wrong With The New York Times?

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

Sometimes, I just don’t get The New York Times. It continues to, on a systemic basis, fumble the bag when it comes to framing the growing threat that MAGA poses to American democracy. (See below)

It definitely seems as though The Old Gray Lady simply can not, will not ring the alarm to the general public about what dangerous political territory we are in at the moment.

And, yet, here we are.

Of course, in the end, what’s probably going to happen is when Tyrant Trump is re-elected that he’ll put the squeeze on the paper and it will be sold to some Trump-friendly oligarch who will remake it in a MAGA image.

Lulz. Good times!

Joe Biden Is Elderly & Frail — But He’s Still Better Than Deranged Ding-Dong Trump

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

It’s times like these that make me think we live in a simulation. I say this because all of the conditions are there for late 2024, early 2025 to up there with 1917 – 1918 in sheer number of astonishing and historic things happening in a very, very short amount of time.

Just imagine how the history books might describe what we’re careening into. We have an elderly, if very capable president doddering around while a dangerous and deranged would-be fascist dictator is absolutely determined to become president again. It’s like something out of Shakespeare.

Things are so bad that I’m extremely worried about our nation’s fate from the moment the ballots are printed until the moment the 2024 president election is certified in early 2025. Trump is such an avatar, a vessel for white Christian rage that if Something Bad happens to Biden — especially after a very close election the fall of 2024 that he may have lost….HOLY SHIT.

Look up Horace Greeley and the election of 1872.

Total. Complete. Chaos.

And that might set off a chain of events whereby the whole world goes tits up and about 1 billion people die because of all the nukes that start to whiz around as the US consumes itself because “vibes.”

I just don’t know what to tell you. All the signs indicate that late 2024, early 2025 could be EXTREMELY DRAMATIC on a macro historical basis. But I can’t predict the future, so, who knows. It could be that we just somehow muddle through like we always do and nothing of note will happen.

But the thing about Trump and his plans for a second term is he definitely seems to be determined press some pretty important issues to the breaking point. They say you go bankrupt gradually then all at once and that’s exactly what might happen in late 2024, early 2025.

Or not. Again — I can’t predict the future. I couldn’t predict a global pandemic would be enough to stop Trump in 2020 and there are any number of Black Swan events that might happen that might make all my hysterical fears seem silly in hindsight.

The Economic & Political Implications of The Petite Singularity: AI, Robotics & The Future Of MAGA

By Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner


Any discussion of what I’m about to talk about must address the huge MAGA elephant in the room — it’s very possible that we may have to go through something along the lines of WW3 before we reach any sort of Singularity, petite or otherwise.

But, for the sake of argument, let’s assume that Trump somehow doesn’t manage to kill about 1 billion people when he is re-elected and in an effort to remake the global order in his image causes WW3 to break out. Let’s say we continue to have relative peace and prosperity.

It definitely seems as though by about 2030 that some combination AI and android technology make totally upend and disrupt the currently human-dominated service industry. There would likely to be an number of unexpected side effects.

The most obvious is, of course, a real push for some sort of Universal Basic Income. I could see this being paid for by some combination of a 30% vat and the taxation of the economic activity of non-human actors. (Though I know some Objectivists who think ANY taxation is theft, even if the “thing” being taxed isn’t even human. Ugh.)

The other, less obvious side-effect of the wide spread use of AI and androids would be that there would be no DDD jobs for undocumented immigrants to fill. Now, apparently some conservatives are soooooo racist that they somehow think that undocumented people will still come to America even if they’re going to starve to death because there are no jobs for them.

But, I think any reasonable person can assume that if all service jobs and all DDD jobs are done by AI androids that, well, that might single-handedly solve a few macro problems in the American body politic. There’s a reason why Japan has been obsessed androids for decades — they knew they would need them because of a lack of new babies.

So, if there was a snap, massive rollout of AI androids in the US it’s possible that the weird bending of in America’s political system that has caused MAGA to warp everything might subside and we might go back to “normal.” Or not, maybe things will just get worse because the plutocrat oligarchs who would control the AI androids would use those very same androids to control the everyone.

Ugh.

It Definitely Seems Like We’re Careening Towards A MAGA-Themed Autocracy Or Revolution / Civil War

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

With Trump’s comments about NATO, I don’t know what to tell you. It definitely seems as though he’s going to get elected and something akin to WW3 is going to happen. And it will happen in the context of either the US becoming a MAGA-themed autocracy…or collapsing into revolution / civil war.

I hope Biden wins in 2024.

Of course, I can’t predict the future, so, lulz, anything might happen. But Trump and MAGA have a huge amount of momentum on their side. I guess all good things must come to an end.

It will be interesting to see if there is ANY Red Line for conservative Traditionalists. Is there ANYTHING that Trump might do that might give them pause for thought. I don’t think there is.

If anything is going to save us, it’s going to be us — Blues specifically. Good luck.