I’m at a loss. I could have sworn I saw some mention of the “right of revolution” in the U.S. Constitution. But I checked again just now and…not there. Couldn’t find a thing.
Oh well. I hate violence anyway.
But the fact remains — I simply refuse to believe that Trump will be able to go full tyrant on Blues and….nothing will happen. I just refuse to believe that “vote harder” is our only option. We have to start to think about what we’re going to do if Trump wins and goes full tyrant and literally begins to snatch people off the street without due process.
Something’s gotta give.
(But I do hate violence — and guns — a great deal.)
Given how we’re careening towards what seems like the inevitable fate of Trump winning a second term, we have to start gaming out what the fuck we’re going to do. We can’t just put all our chips in the “vote harder” gambit and assume that will be enough.
As of now, early February 2024, it seems as though Trump is going to win and attempt to establish some sort of white Christian ethnostate the moment he’s in office. As such, we have to game out what the fuck we’re going to do.
A lot depends on Traditionalists. If Trump goes full tyrant and traditionalist conservatives just keep their head down and become good Germans then, well, we’re totally and completely fucked.
But if they actually show some of that principle that they’re so well known for, then, well, we’re going to the show. While they may not participate in any sort of Direct Action against Trump if he goes full tyrant, they MIGHT look the other way if there was a massive General or Women’s Strike specifically designed to cripple the government so Trump is deposed.
I have my doubts. No matter what, late 2024, early 2025 could be one of the most historic eras in America history.
You know, I try. I try my best to validate the political views of my far, far more conservative relatives. I really do. But sometimes, out of the blue, they say something that stops me cold.
Apparently, within the Right wing echo chamber, a lot of people believe Michelle Obama is a Leftist Trump lurking in the shadows to pop out and run for president.
There is so much wrong with this. First and foremost Michelle Obama is far smarter, focused and driven than Trump. As much as I hate to say this — if you think Michelle Obama is a Leftist Trump, then, well, there’s a word for that. To be polite, I’ll use a phrase instead — confirmation bias.
Spouting off about how Michelle Obama is a Leftist Trump in waiting buys you time. Every moment you’re talking about that, you’re not talking about what a fucking fascist piece of shit Trump is.
And, what’s more, none of this even addresses how as far as I can tell, Michelle Obama has in private it made it ABSOLUTELY CLEAR that she has zero interest in running for ANY office. Racism is a hell of a drug, MAGA.
I just refuse to believe that our only option at this point is to “vote harder.” Everything I’ve read about what happened in Germany indicates there is no historical 1-to-1 between Germany 1933 and America 2025. And it’s not just beyond the obvious, “there’s never a 1-to-1” between historical events.
The reasons why about 38% of the electorate wants a white Christian ethnostate instead of a democracy are just really, really different from why the Nazis — barely — took power in January 1933. Where is the MAGA SA to knock the heads of Blues who don’t want to abide by fascism? The list goes on.
The issue for me is that too many people think that if Trump comes to power again and he goes full tyrant on us that all the Blues in the USA will simply shrug let him consolidate power and fucking snatch people off the street because he doesn’t like them.
These people are being extremely short sighed and simplistic. Trump has already caused some pretty unprecedented things to happen, there may come a point where his corruption of the administration of the leavers of power grows so bad that, on principle, the populace might rise up and depose him. (I’m not advocating anything, just musing. It really grates on my nerves when people refuse to contemplate how we might combat MAGA autocracy if Trump becomes POTUS again.)
Anyway, in general, we’re fucked going forward. There is a chance that Trump will get re-elected and that will be that. We’ll become a white Christian ethnostate and I’ll die in a Trump-branded ICE concentration camp because I won’t shut the fuck up about how I think Trump is a fucking cocksucker.
I’m well aware of all the problems with both Apple Vision Pro and existing AI models. But I’m old enough to remember the early days of the Internet and how in fits and starts that technology gradually took over the world.
Again, remember, before I continue that there IS the issue of The Fourth Turning to worry about. It could be that much like WW2 delayed the development of TV, so, too, will the collapse of the US and WW3 could delay the actual Petite Singularity from happening.
But back to the point — when AI Generated Media is available on something like an Apple Vision Pro, then, lulz, we’re definitely in a Burn, Hollywood, Burn type scenario. In fact, the only way I could see Hollywood surviving such a thing is Washington passing some sort of carve outs for humans created art.
I could also see passive, human Hollywood surviving in some way if we, as a society, begin to give human-made media some sort of specific cultural value. In line with that, I could see Broadway really becoming culturally white-hot because Hollywood has been consumed by the technologies associated with the Petite Singularity.
And that doesn’t even begin to address how things might be disrupted if we can figure out a way to stick LLMs into android technology. It’s at least possible that if all the DDD jobs that immigrants come to the US to fill simply are done by androids…that MIGHT solve our border crisis. (Though, I will not that the racism of the Right is white hot that it could take decades for them to calm down about the lack of those sweet, sweet white babies — even if technology makes their concerns moot.)
Who knows. I can’t predict the future. But I do think that the next 18-odd months could be some of the most eventful on both a technological and political manner in recent human history.
Either America turns all Red in 2024, or we there’s some sort of civil war / revolution and we fight it out see if Blues can win. I say this because there is a Hitleresque cult of personality that surrounds Trump at this point that is really destabilizing the country.
I can’t predict the future, but I find it really, really hard to imagine a scenario whereby we just muddle through like we always otherwise do. It seems like we’re careening towards a very, very dark future. One where we either become a MAGA-themed autocracy or we collapse into a type of political violence not seen since the Civil War.
I really hope neither one of those things happen.
But I’m a realist. As such, it definitely SEEMS like the greatest country in human history is on the cusp of a significant change one way or another in the very near future. And all because of “vibes.”
All because conservatives are scared of women, gays and brown people. Everything is so fucked up. And I still believe if Trump gets a second term that he will be so bad at his job of being an autocrat that he might be deposed in some way.
I only say this because if Trump goes full tyrant in some sort of ham-handed manner, then, yikes. It definitely seems as though we’re totally and completely fucked.
There is a quirk of the American Constitutional system that scares the ever living beejeebas out of me and that is if no one person wins the Electoral College outright that the House and Senate pick from the top THREE vote getters.
Horace Greeley
Now, you may say, lulz, so what.
But there are two issues you have to remember.
One is, both Trump and Biden are old as fuck. Second, when Horace Greeley died after the 1872 election his electoral votes were distributed amongst the other people who ran.
If, God forbid, either Trump or Biden — or both! — were knocked out of the election after the 2024 election happened….Holy Shit. Total fucking chaos. Because who what might happen to the veep of whichever candidate has shuffled off this mortal coil?
There is one added complication — not only would the House pick from the top three candidates, but each state gets only one vote made up of state delegations. Talk about potential shenanigans. Massive chaos and horse trading. The country is already on edge as it is, bullshit like this could push us over the edge.
This is all very speculative. There’s every reason to believe we won’t have to worry about any of is because we’ll be so busy worrying about if we’re going to become an autocracy or have a revolution / civil war.
I’m still smarting over some fucking Twitter liberal putting me on blast for simply believing that it won’t be the of the story if Trump wins re-election in the fall. This nattering nabob of negativism seems to think that our only choice is to “vote harder” and it’s a foregone conclusion that we’ll turn into German 1933 the moment Trump has power again.
I find this extremely aggravating. I don’t think it’s “optimistic” to suggest that SOME SORT of severe reaction will happen within Blue parts of the USA if Trump goes full tyrant. Seems pretty dark to me. Now, obviously, if Trump goes full tyrant, there’s a chance that about 1 million smug Twitter liberals will leave the country.
But that still leaves a shit ton of very angry Blues spread across the third largest nation by geography and population. I don’t want to have to depose the POTUS in a revolution then have to worry about a civil war when Red States leave the Union in protest.
That would not be fun or cool or “optimistic.”
Anyway. I am not prepared to give up if Trump wins. For me, it won’t be the end of the story, it will be a new beginning in which we will all be tested and forced to figure out what we will risk our lives and scared honor IN THE REAL WORLD to protect.
On a macro, structural basis, the “vibes” that are tearing the United States apart at the moment all go back to white people being unhappy with demographic trends. Everything from abortion to immigration boils down to — not enough sweet, sweet little white babies being born for the liking of racist, misogynistic white people who hate the browning of America and the mainstreaming of feminist ideals.
In a sense, we probably should just accept our fate — the moment ANY Republican is president, the US is going to become a Hungary-style autocratic state. ANY Republican president, no matter who that might be, will ignore democratic norms and twist and warp the wording of the Constitution to get what they want — a white Christian ethnostate.
And, yet, there is one person who might stop that from happening — malignant ding-dong Trump.
The reason why I suggest this is Trump is so bad at actually governing that given the opportunity to be an autocrat, there’s a pretty good chance that he will so piss everyone off that he could very well be deposed. (I’m not advocating anything!)
Any other Republican in his position could easily and peacefully transition the US into an autocratic state. But Trump. Oh boy. He is going to thrash around to the point that even the people who would be the core of his support — Traditionalists who would otherwise be “Good Americans” — might sit up and take notice.
It took Putin a few years to move Russia into the autocratic state it is now. Trump is so dumb and lazy — and so impatient — that he could just kind of freak out from the moment he’s in office to the point that even your most laid back (white) Traditionalists might, just might at least look the other way if there was some sort of General Strike to bring down Trump.
As of right now, at least, it definitely looks like late 2024, early 2025 is going to s u c k.
I don’t know what to tell you, folks, other than maybe “Watch out for that last step.” Now, in February of 2024, it definitely seems as though the only way we prevent Trump from being POTUS again is some sort of Black Swan event that I just can’t predict.
I continue to believe that people are looking at the potential of a Second Trump Administration all wrong. It will be so tyrannical and such an aberration compared to anything we’ve ever seen before that I don’t think it’s “optimism bias” to think the reaction to Trump’s ham-handed tyranny could be just as unprecedented.
As I keep saying, America 2025 is NOT Germany 1933.
At a minimum, it will take time for Trump to build out an SA-like infrastructure to remind Blues to keep their heads down and mouths shut. I keep musing on the idea that Trump is somehow deposed in a Glorious Revolution, then that, in turn prompts a Second American Civil War.
That, in turn, causes World War 3.
And, yet, I just can’t predict the future. No one can. And there is every reason to believe that either Biden is peacefully re-elected, or Trump really does get to be a tyrannical autocrat and we all just lulz it.
Though I do think that about 1 million smug Twitter liberals will leave the country once it becomes clear that Trump is actually going to do what he was elected to do in 2016 — be an autocrat.
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