The United States Is Tearing Itself Apart

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

All the signs are there that we’re all going to have to grab the metaphorical bug out bag and head safety within my lifetime. I don’t know exactly when it will happen or why, but it’s going to happen.

I am well aware that I’ve been pontification about this possibility for a long, long, long time and absolutely nothing happens. And I’m not really saying that “this time is different.”

I’m just saying that the centrifugal political forces are gaining in speed and power and soon there is going to be a revolution and / or a civil war. And probably WMD will be lobbed by either side against each other.

Think of it as a “slow implosion” rather than a “slow civil war.” The two sides are growing more and more extreme, even though it’s really just the MAGA cocksuckers going nuts and then Blues in a half-assed kind of way *trying* to “resist.”

I think the slack in the system will tighten up should Trump run for a third term, or clamp down on freedom of speech in a more direct way than he’s been doing. Besides suing anyone he doesn’t like, Trump really hasn’t in a ham-handed way been a real dictator against the press.

When he goes full dictator against the media, then all bets are off.

Oh, Come On, ‘Big Balls’ Being Involved In A Modern Day Reichstag Fire Is A Little Bit Too On The Nose

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

Political darkness continues to fall here in the United States. I say this in the context of that punk ass little bitch “Big Balls” being beat up in D.C. and, in turn, causing Trump to send in the military into a city that has seen its crime rate actually go down in recent years.

As such, Trump continues to dabble in direct authoritarianism by sending troops into Blue States for no damn reason. This is only going to get worse because we’re all too busy doing Tik-Tok dances to notice.

We’re going to wake up in a few years to a Max Headroom-like version of Trump as an ASI that demands we worship him as a god. Ugh. I wish I was joking. That definitely seems a real possibility at the moment.

For the moment, I seem safe. I’m just a loudmouth crank in the middle of nowhere. But as the vise begins to tighten on the lives of everyday people, ICE is going to come for me eventually — it’s inevitable.

ICE by that moment will have morphed from bothering undocumented immigrants to be a general purpose Gestapo or even SS, depending on how bad things get.

I figure I have a few more years before ICE comes for me. Right now, I’m just a kooky, loudmouth crank. But once we dive directly into Russian-style autocracy, all bets are off.

I’ll end up in a concentration camp, soon enough.

After Trump

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

As much as I struggle to believe it, cocksucker Trump is mortal and will one day shuffle off this mortal coil. (I just never see him willingly leaving office as long as he has air in his lungs.)

Which leads us to the question of what happens After Trump.

My gut reaction is if it happens sooner rather than later, J.D. Vance will become our autocrat and 20, 30, 40 years from now he’ll still be in office — somehow — and that will be that. We’ll be a clone of Russia, but for the fact that the Pod Save America people will STILL be telling people on YouTube that the latest South Park “destroyed” MAGA.

Meanwhile, there is the possibility that either the our new autocrat has to be a Trump or a woman — maybe even a Trump woman? If this is the case, then Lara Trump as our autocrat would make the most sense.

And, yet, it’s her husband Eric Trump that I think probably would pick up the mantle of MAGA. He is so absolutely loyal to his dad that I could even see Trump potentially leaving office (!) as long as Eric Trump took over for him.

Regardless, we’re totally, utterly fucked folks. This is it, the end. We’re doomed. This is the twilight of our democracy and well before 20 years from now we’ll be a full-on Russia clone.

Good luck.

Gradually….Then All At Once…Is Still Possible

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I have written a lot — A LOT –about the possibility of a civil war or revolution in the United States over the years and all I can say besides, welp, I was wrong, is we were very, very “lucky” that Trump won in 2024.

I say this because all the signs pointed towards a civil war if the winy crybabies of MAGA didn’t get their way in 2024.

But now that Trump is in power again — ugh — a lot of things are going on at the same time. On one hand, there’s a huge amount of slack in the political system when it comes to people attacking Trump. I say this in the context of South Park going after Trump viciously and people not getting upset at all. In fact, a lot of people were quite happy with the situation.

Meanwhile, Trump keeps putting pressure on our Constitutional system to see if he can break it beyond repair. It is inevitable that he defies SCOTUS at some point and or runs for a third term or whatever. His whole historical point is to, in effect destroy the United States as we’ve known it.

The questions that remain is how exactly that is going to happen and what comes after Trump. I still think there is a greater-than-zero chance that Trump finally does something so egregious that the country implodes. To the point that WMD are used domestically and the entire political map of North America is redrawn.

But we are nowhere near that happening at the moment. All I know is Trump is the tip of the spear of a MAGA counter-revolution and the country is going to be fundamentally different once he finally, at some point for some reason, leaves office.

Pick A Side: Now What

By Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

Now that our slide into MAGA autocracy has begun to accelerate, it makes you wonder what happens next. Logically, to me, the whole point of the Trump historical experiment is for him to run for, and win, a third term, which would shatter the whole Constitutional system.

Then we would all be left struggling to pick up the pieces, maybe to the point of having to call a Second Constitutional Convention to reaffirm that we are, in fact, a Constitutional Republic in the first place.

But the key thing we have to remember is the United States is no longer a republic. We are now an empire just as much as the Roman Empire. The question now is how far we will slide towards some form of “hard” authoritarianism like they have in Russia. At the moment — I just don’t know.

Once Trump shatters the existing Constitutional order just by being himself, who knows what — if anything — will replace what we’ve had since 1789. But one thing we have to remember — there’s no going back.

This is it. This is the new America. Pick a side, one way or another.

How Does The Senate Vote? — Fuck The Poor!

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

Once the Big Piece of Shit Bill passes the House soon, the next step for our evil autocratic overlords will be end free and fair elections. Then, that’s it, we circle the drain until we either have a civil war or revolution.

Once it’s clear there will be no connection between the governed and the government, the USA will finally turn into what all the fucking cocksucker MAGA people want — a white Christian ethnostate. And things are getting so bad so quickly that I have to assume that ICE will come after a harmless loudmouth crank like me soon enough.

I’ll be put into a camp and never seen again.

All of this is happening because of severe macro issues in the American political system. It seems at the moment there’s no going back. MAGA will finally get what they want and, barring something rather dramatic like a revolution and or a civil war…that’s it.

We will never have an effective Democratic president again and people will start to die in the streets while plutocrats grow more and more rich.

Though, I have to note that there is one specific issue that I just can’t game out — the looming Singularity. Once we bounce from AGI to ASI…anything is possible. It could be that a species of ASIs will take over the world and force the governments of the world to make nice and, as such, will save us from ourselves.

Who knows, really?

The Only Possible Solutions

By Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner


There are some severe macro problems facing the United States at the moment and there are only three solutions that I can see going forward.

  1. Full Blown Autocracy
    Right now, the USA is in a murky liminal political state where we are lurching towards a “hard” autocracy, but we’re not quite there yet. If we did become a real Russian-style autocracy, then that would solve a lot of our problems because, well, lulz. The plutocrats could push through even more radical transformations of the US without having to worry about their toadies in Congress getting voted out because there would be no free and fair elections. And Trump I could just be president for the rest of his life. This is the solution I think we’re going to get, but it’s not the only possible one.
  2. Civil War
    I think if we do somehow manage to keep voting free and fair and MAGA loses at the polls in a big way, that we’ll have a civil war. We almost had one in 2024, but for Trump winning. So, if MAGA loses, MAGA states will begin to leave the Union rather than face the possibility of any sort of center-Left government.
  3. Revolution
    The US is so big and diverse, I don’t know how, exactly this would happen, but I do think a center-Left revolution (which would lead to a civil war) is, at least, possible if we somehow don’t turn into a full blown militaristic autocratic state.

I Just Don’t See Republicans Allowing A Free & Fair Election In 2026

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

People keep talking about how Trump’s “Big Beautiful Bill” may cost Republicans the House in 2026 and I just don’t see it. Republicans will do everything in their power to make it nearly impossible to vote next year and so they will be protected from any consequences of their vicious, hateful Big Beautiful Bill.

And that will be that.

Once Republicans pull that fast one, they will be embolden. I suspect they will go through with efforts to replace the income tax with a VAT at some point in the near future.

A lot of macro things are going wrong at the same time and I think this is it — the USA now an autocracy and there’s little, if anything we can do about it outside of — gulp — a revolution. Since I would prefer not to live through a revolution, I guess my next best hope is somehow I find the means to bounce out of the country and never look back.

If I Have To Register With The Government Because I’m Bonkers Someone’s Going To Hear About It

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I have been very careful to hold my tongue, as it were, as Trump pushes us further and further into regular old autocracy. But with the news that JFK Jr. is floating the idea of “registering” autistic people…I’m given pause for thought.

I’m not autistic, but I am clinically bonkers.

As such, as we lurch farther and father into autocracy, it doesn’t seem like too much a stretch to think one day bonkers people like me will have to register with the government. Why this would be the case, but if they’re going to come after autistic people, then bonkers people sure as hell will be next.

I’m going to cause a ruckus every way I can if I have to register with the government. I’m not going to shut up and it could be the refusing to register could be my first actual real world “resistance.” Of course, I say this now and then I just turn around and do it anyway because I will feel pressure to do so by my far more normal relatives.

And what happens if there is criminal liability for not registering? Then what am I going to do? I guess I can at least get really angry on social media — I do that already — and continue to work on my novel.

Hopefully — hopefully — things won’t get that bad. Hopefully I won’t have to register with the government and I can finish my novel in peace.

The United States Is An Autocracy — Now What?

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

All my “hysterical doom shit” has come about, it seems. All that’s stopping Trump from doing some of the darker things I’ve worried about is he hasn’t figure out how to do them yet, or hasn’t gotten around to it yet.

So, there you are — the USA is an autocracy now.

I really need to get out of this country. I need to sell a best selling novel and get the fuck out of doge. Should that happen, I want to move somewhere hot an exotic where they speak English and have a pretty good medical system.

Or, hell, I’m so desperate, I’ll move to Great Britain if need be. I’m just done with worrying about ICE or the FBI swooping in an murdering me in cold blood because I won’t stop calling Trump a fucking cocksucker.

Anyway, we live in dark days, folks. And it’s only going to get worse.