How Worried Should We Be About Another Jan 6th-Like Event In NYC On Tuesday?

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

Well. The conditions, at least, for something pretty fucking dramatic on Tuesday are beginning to develop in NYC. MTG is set to have a protest in NYC as Trump is being arraigned, so…could she incite the crowd to march down to the courthouse to cause a ruckus?

Marjorie Taylor Greene and Donald Trump at a campaign rally in Dalton, Ga., on Jan. 4, 2021.

I honestly don’t know.

It could be an example of an example of me just thinking up a dark, hysterical scenario to make myself feel better. Or it could be that something pretty messy and tragic is about to happen AGAIN, only this time in NYC.

In general, I just don’t like the idea of MTG being in New York City with an angry MAGA crowd in front of her. At the moment, at least, it definitely seems that the actual booking will be historic, but rather mundate.

Only time will tell.

None Dare Call It Treason: What Was Malignant Ding-Dong Trump’s Motive With His Classified Documents Obstruction of Justice?

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

So. We continue to learn that the Federal government has growing evidence that ding-dong Trump was actively working to hide documents from them when they realized he had stolen them.

Now, the conventional wisdom at the moment is that it was pure vanity — Trump thought it was cool to have top secret documents and he was too stupid to care about how badly he was breaking the law.

But if there is one thing equal to how stupid Trump is, or his sense of self-preservation…it’s his greed. As such, I’m not prepared to dismiss the idea that idiot Trump realized the potential value of the classified documents he stole and he had some sense, in the back of his mind, that maybe he might be able to profit from them in some way.

This is, of course, pure speculation on my part, but I’m just not prepared to let that idiot off the hook so easy. Trump is so fucking stupid and is graded on such a fucking curve by people who should now better that it definitely makes you wonder what all his doughface defends would say if we finally, finally caught him doing a big boy crime: treason.

But, lulz, who knows with Trump. It definitely, at the moment, seems as though that idiot is going to force the issue of civil war or autocracy in 2024 and single handedly put America at the bring of collapse.

Joe Manchin For POTUS? (Uh, No)

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I have to admit that given that America is a center-Right nation with center-Left aspirations that all things being equal a Joe Manchin presidency would potentially punt the civil war or autocracy question down the road as much as eight years.

And, yet, in real terms, any attempt on his part to become president will only exacerbate the very forces he would halt if he was president. In theory, a President Manchin would be just the type of person who would please neither side and yet also sort of be able to bridge the political divide in a way that the country would avoid the existential crisis that is careening towards it.

So, lulz, there is a real chance that Manchin will throw the election to ding-dong Trump if he runs against Biden in some way. I say yet again that we have to take seriously the idea that not since the election of 1860 has America faced such an existential crisis.

I honestly don’t know which way things will go.

Mike Pence & His Republican Ilk As ‘Doughfaces’

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

According to the book, “The Field of Blood,” in the antebellum Congress, using the term “doughface” on someone might get you punched. The term refered to a Northern Democrat who sucked up to Slave Power for the sake of national unity.

The term comes from a children’s game where you were a “dough face” in an effort to scare people.

Anyway, I think we should use the term “doughface” to describe people like Mike Pence who are willing to absolutely prostrate themselves at the altar of mailigant ding-dong Donald Trump.

Of course, no one listens to me. If they did, we would be using the term “Vichy Republicans” to refer to these type of people already. I will note, however, that reading The Field of Blood reminds me of how similar today’s politics are to those of the antebellum world.

It’s somewhat eerie. I think it comes from how America is careening towards an existential choice of autocracy or civil war in late 2024, early 2025 and, as such, form follows function.

Any National Divorce Would Be Extremely…Messy

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

It definitely seems as though a lot of Americans have some sort of National Divorce on the brain. They come up with all these different maps that imagine how, exactly, such a “divorce” would actually happen. Here’s the latest one that I’ve found on Twitter.

The problem with this map is it is way too sanguine about a lot of things. There are two main elements to a National Divorce that aren’t really talked about that much. One is, by definition, millions of people would be displaced because their politics didn’t fit their state’s general political inclinations.

The second is Red States are pretty much contiguous, while Blue States aren’t. So, unless some sort of United States of Canada can come into existence to connect all the Blue States, there’s a good chance there will be a massive fucking war to build some sort of land bridge between Oregon and Minnesota and another between Michigan and the Northeast states.

I still have serious doubts that any sort of National Divorce will happen. In fact, at the moment, it definitely seems as though Trump, unto himself, pretty much is going to determine which way things go.

What Made January 6th Different?

by Shelt Garner
@shetgarner

Given how meh the MAGA movement has been when it comes to real-world political violence since January 6th, it makes you wonder how did Jan. 6 happen in the first place?

There’s a lot to unpack.

I think there are two major things to consider. One issue is it happened in the context of the passions of the 2020 election. The other issue is Trump had months to organize and rile up the base to the point that a certain small segment of that base decided to storm the Capitol.

As such, it won’t be until 2024 – 2025 that a similar dynamic would be in place and so, lulz, history will repeat itself, only potentially in a much, much more dramatic fashion. I say this because the Republican Party is radicalizing to the point that secession is a very real possibility one way or another.

Either the radicalization of Republicans pushes Blues out of the Union or the radicalization of Republicans causes Republicans to leave the Union. And any such “National Divorce” will be extremely messy because the country isn’t, on a state basis, strictly Blue or Red. There are millions of people whose political views don’t fit their state’s general political inclinations.

So, anyone who thinks there could be a peaceful National Divorce is a wilful fool.

There’s A Lot To Unpack There, MTG

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

The thing about MTG is she’s a lot more dangerous than you might think. Unlike malignant ding-dong Trump, she’s young and focused and, given the opportunity, would be able to make her fascist dreams actually come true. This tweet on her part is pure projection.

MTG is downlow one of the most dangerous pols in modern American political life. All that has to happen is she become Trump’s second term veep, before you know it, we’re all talking about living under the “Velvet Fist” of an autocratic state.

We’d all spin it by saying she’s an American “Iron Lady,” when in fact she’s just a regular old fascist. She’s not just frothy, she’s a lot more radical on a practical basis than Unfrozen Caveman Lawyer Ron DeSantis.

The whole thing is very frightening. The United States continues to careen towards a the so-called “Fourth Turning” of a choice between autocracy or civil war starting in late 2024, early 2025.

Really, Catturd?

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

Well, I think Catturd has decided to smoke some of his own frothy supply with this Tweet:

The thing about Catturd is he reminds me of people I know who are well meaning and earnest in their fascism. To the point that they don’t take the anger of people like me seriously.

This, in turn, enrages me.

Anyway, it is amazing to me that there are well meaning people who are so detached from reality that they believe somehow that the Democratic Party is literally Satanic. Meanwhile, there are a dwindling number of crimes that Trump hasn’t actually committed.

It’s a testament to the tectonic forces at play in American political life that a ding-dong like Trump would development such a cult-like following. Some seriously fucked up shit is going on on a political and historical basis.

Trump Looks Like Shit These Days — is That Malignant Ding-Dong On Ozempic?

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I don’t know anything about anything, I’m just spitballing this as always. But from the imagines of seen of Trump recently he looks like shit. Or, more specifically, he looks like he’s lost weight. Which, of course, makes me wonder if maybe he’s taking the Hollywood diet drug Ozempic.

The thinking would, of course, that Trump would want to be all svelte so he could come back tan, ready and rested like Nixon in ’68. But, as it stands, Trump just look callow and wasted.

At least in my opinion.

But given how vanity, vanity all is vanity — especially with Trump — it would make a lot — A LOT — of sense if he was Ozempic. In fact, if this was 1989, Page 6 would be atwitter with how people like Trump were using and abusing the wonder diet drug to get laid more often.

Who knows, though. Anything is possible with ding-dong Trump.

How Worried Should We Be That Trump Will Burn The Country Down Now That He’s Been Indicted?

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

It could be that it’s not so much that Trump may try to burn the country down to save his sorry ass so much that he just can’t. It could be that the dynamic surrounding Trump has changed to the point that just because he manage to almost overthrow the government, doesn’t mean he’ll ever be in a position to do it again.

I think this weekend, however, will be crucial one way or another. Trump is so unstable and unpredictable, that it could be he, out of the blue, returns to Twitter in the middle of the night and really leans into going transactional. He might say he’s not leaving Mar-a-Lago and the coppers have to come and get him out…then, wow, are we fucked.

But I’m beginning to think that things aren’t, for once, going to get that dark. I think it’ll be all be mundane if historic. The real danger comes from how, on a systemic basis, the Republican Party lives in abject fear of ding-dong Trump, even though he hasn’t been able to get people to protest for him in the real world since January 6th.

Republicans are so afraid of their base that they are going to use what hard power they have to play defense for Trump whenever they can. It will be interesting to see how all of this plays out, is all I gotta say.