Tag: Autocrats Never Lose

Why I’m Still Alarmed At The Prospect Of MAGA House Republicans Using ‘Inherent Contempt’ Against Alvin Bragg

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

The only reason why I keep babbling about the arcane idea of Congressional “inherent contempt” is hysterical MAGA Republicans in Congress seem determined to abuse their “hard” power to make the life of Alvin Bragg hell just because he wants to uphold the law.

Ugh.

Their latest idea is to ban the ability of state and local prosecutors to indict — you guessed it — former presidents. This is an absolutely bonkers idea that even if it passed the House would die in the Senate or be vetoed by Biden.

But I think that may be besides the point. The point of even looking into doing such a fucking fascist thing would be to give House Republicans the cover they need to demand Bragg come before them as part of the hearing process of writing the bill in the first place. If he keeps telling them to pound sand, they subpoena him and if he still won’t come, they sick the House Sergeant at Arms on him using inherent contempt and keep him in the tiny Capitol brig until they get what they want.

I am well aware of how fucking dark and hysterical this sounds, but, fuck, have you seen how…dark and hysterical…MAGA Republicans are these days? Something’s gotta give. America continues to careen towards something jaw-dropping in late 2024, early 2025, it’s just a matter of what it is.

At the moment, it seems we face a choice between sliding peacefully into MAGA Nazi autocracy and, well, a fucking civil war. It still could go either way at the moment.

Unfrozen Caveman Lawyer DeSantis Will Be The Canary In The Coalmine During A Possible 2024 Secession Crisis

by sheltgarner
@sheltgarner

The thing about Ron “Unfrozen Caveman Lawyer” DeSantis is but for malignant ding-dong Trump, he would be elected in 2024 and become America’s Putin. See exhibit one:

Add to this the fact that Unfrozen Caveman Lawyer is asking for millions to start his own private army at his beck and call and it definitely seems that really the only thing that stands in the way to us waking up 20 years from now wondering why DeSantis is demanding we free Canada from the “woke cancel culture mob” is, well, Trump.

But there is another way to look at things.

I still believe that if there is going to be a National Divorce, it will be when Blues refuse to bend a knee to Trump’s autocratic MAGA Nazi fascism. And, yet, I suppose it’s possible that some sort of combination of events might conspire to make it Red states, not Blue states, who decide to leave.

And if that it happen, then the issue of what would people like DeSantis handle any sort of Red secession crisis. If DeSantis has lost the GQP nomination to Trump, he will be a very establishment governor in a Red state, so if something happens and Texas and, say, South Carolina call up secessionist conventions, what DeSantis thinks about it all will hold a lot of weight.

I think, in general, if DeSantis sensed that Red states were serious about leaving the Union, he would jump in head first to joining any sort of neo-Confederate States of America.

But, like I said, I think if a secession crisis happens, it will be Blues to do it. And, also, here is another other datapoint to mull.

Something Is Up With The Special Counsel Investigation

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

It definitely seems as though it’s at least possible that it could be Jack Smith, not Bragg in NYC, who drops the first bomb on Trumplandia by indicting Trump. I only say this because whatever the fuck has been learned about Trump lying to his lawyers is so explosive that it has zoomed through the usually glacial judicial system.

What’s Jack Smith up to?

It’s all very curious.

I thought maybe Trump somehow recorded confessing to, like, I dunno, treason or something. And, yet, given that ding-dong Trump didn’t appeal his loss against Jack Smith to SCOTUS….I’m not as confident enough in that scenario to even speculate on it.

But whatever it is, it’s big.

It might be that Trump, because he’s very, very stupid, was recorded by his lawyer being pretty brazen about some sort of illegal activity. It might even be big enough that Trump gets indicted on Federal charges stemming from his theft of secret documents before NYC’s Bragg gets around to indicting him for the Stormy Daniels pay off.

Or not. Who kknows.

But I do think we need to keep an eye on Trump’s growing hysteria over his potential indictment(s). The man is crazed. It is a testament to how blase America remains that he hasn’t managed to get some of his supporters to take him up on his deranged calls for violence.

Let’s hope it stays that way.

The Fusion Of AI & AR Will Spark A $1 Trillion Service Industry

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

While we may have to suffer through a fucking “Fourth Turning” first, I do believe once that’s all sorted out that Augmented Reality paired with Artificial Intelligence with create exponential growth.

Of course, this exponential growth will happen in the context of a Petite Singularity where there may be a dwindling number of jobs for humans to actually work. It could be that we’ll have a “Her” future in the context of having a Her-like AI walk us through our AR-lives as we all sit around trying to write the Great American Novel because we’re all living off UBI.

Again, the issue for me is there is a real possibility that the Western world may be about to “go through some things” starting in late 2024, early 2025. It could be that “those things” are the United States not having a civil war, but rather becoming an inward-looking America First autocracy. That, in turn will spark WW3 that will leave about 1 billion people dead.

And, if you wanted to get all Black Mirror about it, it could be that we’ll all wake up one day, put on our AR/AI vizors and walk around the world being berated by an AI demanding we not have “woke” thoughts.

Yikes.

So, I don’t know the specifics of how this will all sort itself out, but I do know that we’re in for some pretty significant technology-driven cultural and political changes very, very soon.

‘Not Great, Bob’ — Civil War Or Autocracy Starting In Late 2024, Early 2025 Continues To Loom

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

The United States continues to cleve into two nations, one Red, one Blue. And, as I keep saying, either we become all Red (autocracy) or we have a National Divorce caused by Blues which would precipitate a civil war of some sort. As proof of this looming catastrophe, just look at this:

That someone would even think this type of bullshit up is a ping from a very, very dark future. When not even fucking libraries are spared from cleving into Red and Blue, yikes.

The worst part of all of this is I struggle, in real terms, to figure out why it’s happening so fast. But it is. There is a lot more cultural and political rot eating away at America’s stability than you might think.

And it’s going to reach a crescendo in late 2024, early 2025 as part of the 2024 presidential cycle. There are a lot — a lot — of nightmare scenarios that one might think up.

But at the moment, I think, in general, what happens is A Republican wins in 2024 and America slips peacefully into autocracy. There will be a lot of gnashing of teeth on the part of Blues, but in the end, all that will happen is about 1 million (at least) smug Twitter liberals will leave the country and setup shop in various beautiful, exotic locales where they will produce podcasts that Poors like me will have to use VPN to listen to.

Malignant Ding-Dong Trump Never Met A Form Of Stochastic Terrorism He Didn’t Like

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I don’t know what to tell you, folks. Trump continues to be a fascist thug as he grows more and more hysterical over the prospect of being indicted in New York City. The latest evidence of this can be seen below.



The thing about Trump is he is such a lazy moron that the things that he can get what he wants — his base to start political violence — by just being hysterical and posting shit like the above photo. He believes this because he’s often gotten a lot of what he wanted otherwise because of the political fear the system has in regards to him.

But as history will attest — being a Great Man of history is hard work and requires a level of cognitive ability that Trump simply doesn’t have. He’s just an avatar for the structural problems in the United States at the moment so, to date, he’s not really had to do much work.

The question is, of course, what happens when the conditions are right for another January 6th type situation. Then what. I’ve given it some thought and I fear even if my absolute worst fear happened — a series of coordinated attacks around the country with AR-15 armed MAGA psychopaths — that that would still not be enough to break the Trump fever.

Even if this happened and there was ABSOLUTE PROOF that it was done by MAGA in an effort to scare the authorities into not doing anything about Trump, the same dynamic as January 6th would happen.

The center-Left would freak out and think, “Well, THIS will be the thing that ends MAGA.” Meanwhile, the center-Right would, after a few days of angst, embrace MAGA even tighter and think up whatever they had to in an effort to gaslight those 100,000 voters across five swing states that the whole thing was some sort of Deep State false flag operation.

I mean, we all saw exactly what happened on January 6th and the Republican Party has come to believe that either they are all patriots or members of a false flag operation, depending on what helps them win an argument with people like me.

So, as I keep saying — it’s autocracy or civil war starting in late 2024, early 2025.

What Fuck Is Going On Between Trump & Jack Smith?

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

Something curious is going on between Trump and Special Council Jack Smith. Now, let me be absolutely clear — I am prone to baseless, somewhat hysterical speculation. So take all of this with a grain of salt. In other words, I’m often, if not always, wrong.

But given what the legal battle going on at the moment in the courts is about — evidence surrounding Trump lying to his lawyers about giving all the documents over to the Feds, it does make one wonder if Something Big may be involved.

And that Something Big would be maybe Trump was recorded giving his lawyers motivation for why he took the documents in the first place. If there was some sort of absolute proof — straight from Trump’s mouth — that he took the documents in part because he saw some sort of monetary upside….oh boy.

That would meet the Constitution’s metric for treason.

That is pretty bonkers to speculate being possible, even for me. And that’s saying something. So, it’s probably something a lot more mundane than that. Something interesting, but not nearly as historic.

The only reason why I think such a thing might be within the realm of possibility is Trump is SO FUCKING STUPID that I could see him, in confidence to his lawyers, saying something like, “Yeah, I thought some of those documents might be worth something.” Or, “I took the documents because I thought Putin or Kim Jung Un might find them cool.”

He really is that stupid.

My Current Concern About Malignant Ding-Dong Trump Getting Booked

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

The thing about Trump is, you just never know. And that, in real terms, is his power. We’re all on edge because Trump could just as easily successfully incite ANOTHER January 6th-like event as much as he could, well, do nothing of any note.

So, my fear at the moment when it comes to the possibility of Trump being booked is should he be indicted tomorrow (Wednesday) that between then and whenever he should be arraigned next week he uses every possible opportunity to goad his followers to do something violent.

It could be anything from him simply refusing to leave Mar-a-Lago to some sort of crazy riot in New York City whenever he goes in to get booked. Anything is possible with someone as dumb and crazed as Trump.

Hopefully, I’m just overthinking things like usual.

The Illiberal Left Is Real & A Real Fucking Problem

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

So. I was dumb and waded into the Trans movement issue on Tik-Tok and now I have people doing heated video stiches to a post I felt was rather equatable. The Left’s Trans orthodox is so absolute, so inflexible that I really worry about our future.

I’m generally supportive of Trans rights and that isn’t really the issue.

What IS the issue is how the Left has such an absolute fixed orthodoxy on the issue that a lot of Traditionalists who are coming at the situation in good faith are being driven into the arms of fucking MAGA Nazi fascists because of the Left’s freak out.

This is a real possibility, if my conversations with my Traditionalists relatives are any indication. Our small-d democratic politics collapses if one side wants to destroy or “cancel” you if you don’t tow their orthodoxy. I hate orthodoxy of any sort and so the idea that even by trying to approach the Trans issue as a pluralist will get me in trouble is really fucking annoying.

Now, something I think a lot about is contrasting and comparing the Trans movement with the African American civil rights movement. I freely admit that some of the arguments that are used against Trans people have, in the past, been used against African Americans demanding more rights.

And yet.

There is the moral element. For your typical Christian conservative, the very idea of being gay is really loaded — a sin, even — so to take this to the next level where you struggle to answer the question of “What is a woman” is a bit much for them.

We can’t just destroy Christian Traditionalists for thinking this way. Even at the height of the Civil Rights Era, there was a certain amount of give and take on what was going on.

It serves no one in a functioning democracy if you are so absolute in your orthodoxy on a subject that people who disagree with you have a credible fear of being publicly shamed.

So, to be clear — I generally support Trans rights. I just think maybe Trans right advocates could be a LITTLE BIT more flexible in their ideology.

MAGA Republicans Are Radicalizing

by Shelt Garner
@shetgarner

I continue to read up on the rise of the Nazis and the more I read, the more alarmed I become about America’s future. All the current macro trends suggest a real risk of catastrophe in late 2024, early 2025 in the context of the 2024 presidential election.

But for the grace of Jeebas America would have problem come crashing down in January 2021. The January 6th insurrection came EXTREMELY CLOSE to working and, ironically enough, it was idiot Von Papen wannabe Mike Pence who bought us four years.

As I keep saying, America at the moment is an autocracy without an autocrat. Political scientists call America an “anocracy” and I totally believe it. The Republican Party is a fascist party hidden only from view because of the nature of our electoral system. If we were a parliamentary system, it would be clear that instead two parties there was actually the fascist Republican Party and a collection of pro-democratic parties that were aligned under a Democratic Front.

What is so unsettling to me is a back-of -the envelope estimate of how bad things could get when the fucking Nazi MAGA Republicans gain power again is startling. If you factor in basic elements like race, the size of the American population and how regional differences — man, are we fucked.

As I’ve suggested before, the historical event we need to think more about is the French Revolution. If the United States buckles, that’s the only event I can think of that would be equal to it. The centrifugal forces tearing the country apart as so powerful that if we go the civil war route instead of simply shrugging and turning into a full-blown autocracy…holy shit.

I would suggest that if you factor in the WW3 that would happen because of a Second American Civil War that roughly 1 billion people could die directly and indirectly because of the “Fourth Turning” that may start in late 2024, early 2025 when the United States goes tits up because either Blues leave the Union or Reds leave the Union. (It could go either way at this point.)

But, hopefully, I suppose, we may simply peacefully and without much struggle become an America First inward-looking autocracy. The United States will leave NATO and align ourselves, instead, with nations like Russia, Turkey and Hungary.

Good times!

I hope my ICE concentration camp has Wifi.