Tag: Autocrats Never Lose

I Continue To Be Amazed That The Politically Ascendant MAGA Agitates For Civil War

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

Of all the completely nonsensical political ideas floating around at the moment, the idea that there would be a civil war started by MAGA has got to be up there. I understand and validate their rage and anger at the murder of Charlie Kirk.

Ok, I get it, your mad and hurt.

But to work yourself up into such a lather that you want to fuck up your political ascendancy by turning to political violence in the form of a civil war makes no sense whatsoever. All MAGA has to do is just cool their heels for a few years and they will get everything they want through politics — and then some.

Talk about a political circle jerk! I can’t even fathom the logic of anyone on the MAGA Right who wants a civil war. What it really sounds like is MAGA doesn’t really want a civil war, they just want an excuse to murder people like me in cold blood and not risk any consequences.

The whole idea of a MAGA – induced civil war just makes no sense! None. Zip. Nada. It seems like in their pain and anger over what happened to Charlie Kirk, they grasp at the worse possible thing they can think of doing and that turns out to be a civil war. The whole thing seems ill conceived.

Meanwhile, the it’s the center-Left that we have to worry about long-term when it comes to a civil war or revolution. If, say, Trump really tries to fuck with the 2026 and or 2028 elections in a really ham-handed manner, in a way that just can’t be spun…then, we got ourselves a problem.

Add to this the astonishing income inequality found in the American socio-economic system and holy shit are we primed and ready for a traditional center-Left revolution.

I generally find MAGA to be crybaby wussies who are all talk, so I think once they calm down a little bit they may grumbled about murdering people like me but hopefully — hopefully — they won’t get around to doing it.

Stephen Colbert Should Probably Run For President, But He Probably Won’t

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

The center-Left needs its Trump and I think Stephen Colbert would be perfect to be such a figure. I would prefer if he would, say, run for governor or Senator in an South Carolina election, but, lulz, he just wouldn’t win in a post-Charlie Kirk murder era.

Stephen Colbert

But I do find myself, occasionally daydreaming about Colbert being president. I can’t promise you he could get anything done, given how fucked up our politics are at the moment. Yet, it would be nice to have a president that the majority of the nation wasn’t embarrassed by.

Anyway, we’re all fucking doomed. MAGA — despite being politically ascendant — has civil war on the brain and they will do everything in their power to ensure that neither the 2026 nor 2028 election is free and fair. And it will be all down hill from there, I’m afraid.

You Just Can’t Please Anyone

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

Usually, the two media bubbles rarely come into direct contact. MAGA has their safe space and Blues have theirs. But, occasionally, because of events like the Charlie Kirk murder, the two media bubbles do overlap some.

And that’s when we get to directly yell at each other, usually fighting over the facts or just talking past each other in general.

This happened to me recently when some MAGA cocksucker looked at my Twitter account and said nasty things about me simply retweeting a lot of photos of beautiful women. What can I say, I love women and the female form.

We all know that if it wasn’t that, it would have been something else. If I didn’t have retweeted photos of beautiful women, they probably would have accused me of being Trans or some shit.

But all of this does get me thinking about my social media presence as I work my way towards writing a novel that is query worthy. Maybe those MAGA cocksuckers have a point — maybe I should lay off on the beautiful women. I don’t want to alarm skittish the liberal white women that make up the majority of literary agents (at least in my imagination.)

We’ll see. I always talk like this, then something happens and I think to myself, “Wait, why am I not retweeting imagines of beautiful women again?” then do it again.

The Cancel Culture Is Coming From The MAGA Right…

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

Wouldn’t you know it, because history loves irony, the MAGA Right is doing exactly what it has so worried about happening to itself — it’s trying to “cancel” anyone who doesn’t follow the party orthodoxy about MAGA martyr Charlie Kirk.

Now, this is of note to me for several different reasons. One, I have direct people in my life who are MAGA in no small part to their personal fear of being “canceled” by the woke cancel culture mob. So…lulz?

Also, we all know how this is going to play out. The infrastructure built to go after people “celebrating” Charlie Kirk’s murder will inevitably drift into a way to come after well, people like me.

People that fucking hate MAGA and aren’t afraid to say so. So, yeah, now the site may be devoted to people with the ill advised decision to celebrate Charlie Kirk’s murder, but, soon enough, anyone that MAGA doesn’t like for any reason could find themselves on those rolls.

And then, well, form follows function, we find ourselves in a camp. Ta-da!

An Idle Comparison Between Hitler and Trump

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I’ve gone back to reading about Hitler in an effort to get more context about the modern world of Trump and MAGA. From what I can tell, one key difference between Trump and Hitler is the latter had military experience and always saw himself in that context.

Also, I think, all things considered, Hitler was smarter and far more a “Great Man of History” than Trump. Ding-dong Trump, in other words, is just a symptom of what’s going on. He rides history, he doesn’t direct it.

Two things of note at this point.

One, I could totally see a situation where Trump creates an environment whereby some really horrible things happen. Think of how the King of Cambodia let the Khmer Rouge do some horrific things…just by doing nothing. (If I have my history correct.)

The same thing with Trump. I could see Trump simply letting the country collapse into revolution and / or civil war just by…doing nothing.

The second point is — we still don’t know who Trump’s successor will be. At the moment, my bet is it could be someone like Eric Trump, who is so loyal to his father that he could serve as his proxy. Daddy Trump would really be running the country and Eric would just sit around and let him.

But if it’s someone younger and more focused than Trump who takes power after ding-dong Trump, then…THEN things could lurch forward into something astonishingly bad.

Remember, the USA is about 335 million people. If we collapsed into civil war or revolution, holy shit would a lot of people die! So many people. There would probably be a race war in the South. And WMD would be used by both sides as it became clear neither side would get a quick and easy victory.

Any comparison of Trump and Hitler, of course, has to address the issue of the Jews. While, to his credit, Trump doesn’t hate Jews — his daughter is one — he sure does hate Transgendered people. So, form follows function and….some very dark things could happen.

And, don’t forget that Hitler pretty much wanted to take over the world, while Trump wants to “bring the boys home” and let China and Russia tend to things. So, as such, I could see….maybe some sort of Axis of Autocracy be formed by the USA, Russia, Hungary and Turkey? Maybe. It’s possible.

‘Endgame Enigma:’ Contemplating The United States’ Political Future

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

We seem to be moving towards a dark future, but I can’t quite figure out what exactly that dark future is. If this was any other nation, I would say this is when Trump and MAGA begin to aggressively consolidate power and turn us into something akin to a Nazi state.

But there are a lot of complications.

The US is decentralized. It has a long tradition of democracy. And it’s really diverse both ethnically and politically.

So. I don’t know. It’s tough to figure out what the ultimate endgame of all of this bullshit is. Maybe this is just the beginning of a broader process of consolidation in the sense that more has to happen.

And, remember, MAGA could get everything it wanted — and more — if it just cooled its heels. The general macro trends in the United States are moving towards fascism and tyranny. So, if MAGA would just keep their heads about them, they could probably by around 2032 get the white, theocratic ethnostate that they seem to want so bad.

But. And this is a huge but, that’s not what seems to be going on. Trump is and always has been just a symptom of broader problems in the American political system so it could be that he will feel emboldened by the Charlie Kirk murder and really get aggressive with fucking with the 2026 and 2028 elections.

If he does so, he could be playing with fire. That’s when it could be that it will be Blues, not Reds who revolt in a big, meaningful way. It’s kind of comical — given the context of MAGA’s continued political ascent. MAGA has no reason to start a civil war when our politics are so fucked up that they can get their tyranny and autocratic state….through politics!

Anyway, I’m really worried. It just seems possible that there might be some sort of civil war or revolution and the United States will bomb itself into oblivion of its own volution. There will be a World War III, a few billion people will die from a few limited, strategic nuclear exchanges here and there and….if we’re lucky humanity will unite and work on big picture problems like global climate change.

Of course, lulz, if the technological Singularity happens around 2027, then, oh boy, all bets are off one way or another.

Charlie Kirk As MAGA’s Horst Wessel

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I really do think that MAGA is American Nazism, even if it is an ideology not of expansion but of retrenchment. For the time being, I still have a First Amendment right to make such a comparison.

Horst Wessel

And I’m definitely not joking about or celebrating Charlie Kirk’s murder. His job was to do professionally what I do on this blog — give my political opinion.

But I’m talking about the “same, same, but different” dynamics of MAGAism and Nazism. The two are, in some ways, very similar. Very similar. Yes, in some ways they’re different — MAGA doesn’t want to take over the world — but in some ways they’re very similar: they both are going after the weakest elements of society in the name of the Leader.

So, back in the day, this guy named Horst Wessel died and he became THE Nazi martyr. And it doesn’t take a genius to see that Charlie Kirk is going to become something similar to MAGA. The psychological and emotional needs for both groups to have a martyr — regardless of the truth of the person’s murder — is eerily similar.

Anyway, the point is — things are going to get a lot worse now. Kirk is going to become a touchstone for MAGA going forward that is used to justify some pretty horrible things. I could see them figuring out a way to round up Trans people and put them in camps “for their own good.”

And then, presto, MAGA will expand the dragnet to regular old kooks like me and the next thing you know an ICE agent is shooting me in the back of the head in the name of Charlie Kirk. It really could happen, folks.

It’s happened before.

So I Guess The MAGA Right Is Just Going To Go With Lying About The Motives Of Charlie Kirk’s Murderer, Huh

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

This is so frustrating to write about. As I keep saying, MAGA is politically ascendant in the American political system. They’re going to get everything they want soon enough if they’re just patient.

Charlie Kirk

And, yet, here we are, with them totally ignoring the nuance of what happened to make it orthodoxy that Charlie Kirk was murdered by a radical leftist who was in a romantic relationship with a Trans person. It’s like they need this lie to exist for emotional reasons. And they say the “woke cancel culture mob” ignores the facts for emotional reasons.

Ugh.

Anyway, now the two sides are arguing over facts. The center-Left sees the nuance and says, “While he may have been living with a *potentially* Trans person, there’s no evidence he was in a relationship with them and the murderer definitely thought Kirk was too liberal.” Meanwhile, the MAGA Right is all “round up the Trans people, they’re all terrorists!”

My concern is there is going to be a breaking point not with the MAGA Right, but with the Blues. If the MAGA Right does half the things it is chomping at the bit to do, Blues might finally awake from their comatose, blase world of going to wine and cheese dinners to get, like, upset and stuff. Or, if nothing else, the traditional dynamics of a center-Left revolt / revolution might happen and everyone who is rich — conservative or not — will be given pause for thought.

But I struggle to believe any such thing will happen. And, yet, MAGA definitely looks like they’re coming after at least freedom of speech in some demonstrable manner. Potentially in some way that is some gross and ham-handed that otherwise indifferent Blues might sit up and take notice.

Who knows. I just worry. I worry that now that Charlie Kirk is a martyr to the MAGA cause that the already out-for-blood MAGA movement will begin to actually do shit in the real world to aggravate an already bad situation.

I’m Growing Alarmed For The American Trans Community

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I smell a rat. The FBI seems to be making up, out of whole cloth, some sort of connection between the person who murdered Charlie Kirk and the Trans community. It seems as though the pressure to find something, anything to fit the murder of Kirk into the required MAGA narrative is enough to cause them to just flat out lie.

The murderer’s family said point blank that he lived with them and now the FBI (and some rando FoxNews producer) are claiming he lived with a Trans girlfriend. What the what?

Add to this the growing calls to, well murder the mentally ill, and I — a member of the bonkers community — find myself growing a little worried. It doesn’t take a genius to imagine a situation where MAGA finally gets their chance to put Trans people in camps and murder them and before you know it, that particular dragnet also involves just kooks like me.

MAGA is so smug about it, too. They’re like, “Ah-ha! We have finally found what we need to murder Trans people in cold blood.”

The interesting thing to me is what happens to ICE. The purview of ICE is going to expand at some point into something more along the lines of the SS. Form follows function and all that. It’s just a matter of time.

Folks, There’s Not Going To Be A Second American Civil War Until Blues Get Enraged Enough To Start One — & Even Then, It’ll Probably Be A Revolution

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

Ok, a history lesson. The case could be made that the American Civil War started because the slave holders of the South felt that the free-labor North was sufficiently ascendant that they had no choice but to leave the Union.

And, now, we face a similar situation between the slumbering Blues and the hyperbonkers MAGA. The Blues are still pretty laid back, despite how insane MAGA has become after the tragic murder of Charlie Kirk. And, what’s more, MAGA is politically ascendant — they have no reason to resort to political violence to get what they want.

If MAGA just cools their heels for a few years, the United States will become Trumplandia and that will be that. I would even go so far as to say they don’t even have to fuck with free-and-fair elections. The macro trends of the United States point towards us becoming an autocratic, tyrannical state within a decade of our own volition.

But MAGA is fucking greedy and so it’s very possible that they will fuck with the 2026 and or the 2028 elections to the point that Blues grow enraged. Now, I have my doubts about a “National Divorce” started by Blues. A revolution, however, I could see happening.

Combine pissed off Blues with astonishing income inequality and the usual dynamics of a center-Left revolution could very well come into play. Then the two sides bomb each other into oblivion and we take 40 or more years to pull ourselves out of the rubble of what used to be the USA.

And, in the meantime, the world will move on — probably WW3 will start — and maybe, just maybe, once everything is sorted out in about 20 years, humans might collectively work on things like global climate change.

But that is obviously the most optimistic of outcomes. It could be, lulz, MAGA wins and the US, have many millions of dead, turns into a MAGA version of Iran.

Anyway….good luck?