I Still Hate MAGA, But…

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I really like Sabrina Carpenter’s music, it’s just, there’s something to be said for metaphor and all this business about getting “wet” in her latest songs makes me blanch.

It’s not the graphic nature of the songs that bothers me — I love dirty songs — it’s that there’s no metaphor. It’s just blunt dirty talk for the sake of being provocative (I think.)

So, in that sense, her songs are no better than country music songs that are absolutely literal and, also, have no metaphor.

All of this gets me thinking about what the fuck has happened to the center-Left. The economic message of the center-Left is really popular. It’s the cultural stuff that gets us in trouble.

I hate to break it to Leftist, but getting so worked up about “trans kids” just isn’t popular. And there really aren’t in real terms, that many “trans kids” to “protect.” But the way the two sides fight over this niche issue, you’d think hundreds of thousands of 8-year-olds wanted “gender affirming care.”

Whatever. I still hate MAGA with a fucking passion. I just wish the center-Left took into consideration real politics and not the politics found on BlueSky.

There Are No Quick Fixes To MAGA

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

Twitter was a twitter with a rumor last night that Trump had died. This is so dumb. Trump is going nowhere. We will be amazingly lucky if he doesn’t run for an illegal third term the way things are going, much less him dying.

But there’s an even more important point to consider — Trump is just a symptom to some pretty deep systemic problems with the United States. As such, he could die and the problems that led to him being popular in the first place would remain and someone just as bad — or worse — would take the reigns.

I’m pretty much clueless about JD Vance’s ability to press forward with the MAGA autocratic ethnostate experiment. He seems, at least, to be a far more traditional politician.

And, yet, who knows. Maybe the genii that Trump let out of the bottle can never be put back in and, by definition, Vance will be just as autocratic as Trump. It could be that we really are fucked in the sense that it’s autocrats all the way down no matter what.

I do believe that 2024 was our last free and fair election. We’re an autocratic state now and we just have a weird quirk — for the time being — where we have free speech on an individual basis. Only time will tell how long that particular issue lasts.

We Could Really Use Some ‘Radical Moderates’ Right About Now

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

It’s clear with these weird mid-decade redistricting efforts that Red States are doing that the centrifugal forces tearing the USA apart are only accelerating. The thing is, if Democrats step up and do what they should do — redistrict too — the likelihood of revolution or civil war grows significantly.

It’s all a prime example of how fucked the country is. If Republicans don’t get what they want, then they seem willing to literally destroy the country. They have become a Trump death cult equal to the Nazis and Hitler.

I continue to mull the possibility of a civil war or revolution and for the moment I have my doubts that any such thing will happen. Blues just don’t have it in them to go mano-to-mano with the absolutely terrifying Reds.

And when they ever get around to be willing to do that, that’s when the bad stuff happens. That’s when the country implodes, race wars break out in the South and WMD are used by both sides. Then we hope the “Good Guys” (Blues) win and we wait about 40 years for the country to recover while the world moves on and China takes over the world.

Sigh.

To put it another way — either the USA slides into an autocratic managed democracy peacefully or a lot and I mean A LOT of people die in a revolution / civil war that will reduce much of the United States to rubble.

Good times!

I Have To Prepare Myself To Be Detained By ICE Eventually

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I don’t know how or why it’s going to happen, but I am — have always been — a loudmouth crank and, as such, as we zoom towards full blown autocracy I’m sure to cross the State at some point.

I’m a man of peace, a man of ideas, but I’m also a man of principles. As such, if some fucking cocksucker ICE agent comes after me simply for using my 1st Amendment rights, I’m going to stand my ground.

Of course, I say that now when who knows what will happen when I’m getting the shit beat out of me by some GED failing tubby piece of shit.

And let me be clear — it’s not like I’m going to be violent or hostile in any way in this hypothetical scenario. In my imagination, they will come for me for what I post on this blog or just because I happen to be at the wrong place at the wrong time.

That’s the specific point I’m trying to make — if I’m not doing anything illegal and some fat fuck ICE agent comes for me, I’m prepared to be detained. Fuck ICE and fuck MAGA.

‘New World Order’

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

All of this is very speculative, but if you take Trump’s expressed desires to their logical conclusion, it seem inevitable there will be some sort of “New World Order” established by him soon.

What I imagine it would look like is something like this — the USA will destroy NATO and, instead, align itself with Russia, Hungary and Turkey. It will begin to pull troops out of nations across the globe, the better to police the streets of an ever-more-militarized America.

All of this will happen in the context of taxes being cut and cut and cut for the wealthy — probably to zero, the rise of AI / androids and maybe, just maybe the replacement of the entire social safety net with a very weak and low UBI. And there probably will be a 30% VAT.

That, my dear friends, seems to be our “day after tomorrow” future.

The only potential “zag” that might happen is, well, some sort of revolution / civil war. If that happened, it would be very, very nasty. I could definitely see a race war happening in the USA as well as the use of WMD throughout the country by both sides.

Anyway. That seems like one potential future for us going forward.

We Live In A Luminal Space Where We’re An Autocratic State With Free Speech

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

The thing that gives us a false sense of security in the United States is while otherwise we’re an autocratic state, we still have free speech. I can still tell ICE — and the broader Trump regime — to fuck off and not expect a knock on my door.

This leads to the question of how long that is going to last.

Give how precious free speech is to Americans and how Trump clamping directly down that would make even the most ardent MAGA person at least have pause for thought, I think it’s going to be a while.

Or, put a different way — I think that will be the last thing that Trump fucks with. Going directly after people’s right to free speech is going to be when the ash from the MAGA volcano reaches the horizon and we’re absolutely fucking doomed.

So, probably it would be during Trump’s illegal third term that that kind of thing happens. But it is going to happen. I just can’t image we will go full white Christian autocratic ethnostate and the powers that be will allow traditional freedom of speech to linger.

Of course, there is the theory that if Trump really consolidates power as much as he would like that he — or the people around him — might see clamping down on individual free speech as too much of a hassle. And, besides, it would be a pressure valve.

It is clear that the center-Left is very, very weak in the USA and there’s really nothing stopping Trump from going full autocrat (like he is now) so, at least for a historical beat longer than you might expect…maybe individual freedom of speech is a little bit safer than you might expect?

Trump Makes Me Wonder If We Live In A Simulation

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

Trump is a symptom, not a cause of a lot of pretty shitty things within the United States these days. As such, it’s not like if you took Trump out of the equation that anything would really change all that much.

Yeah, the specifics of the fascism we now live under would be different, but the general gameplan would be the same. We would still no longer be a democracy and we would still be zooming towards living in a state that is along the lines of Hungary or Russia.

Let me explain.

If Trump had never come around, Ted Cruz probably would have become president in 2016. He would probably have be a little bit slower to do some of the things that Trump has done, but, in general, now in 2025 we probably would be just about where we are now.

Trump’s great power is he has absolutely no shame and he pretty much does whatever the fuck he wants. Cruz would have done the same things, but probably in a more focused way that would, in some sense, leave us still a somewhat functioning democracy.

But, alas, Obama made fun of Trump and so here we are.

There is something about Trump that seems a little bit too-on-the-nose historically. That’s why I think he might be the by product of some sort of weird, massive simulation that we call human history and civilization — and maybe the universe?

Anyway. No one is going to save us. We’re fucked. We just have to deal with the consequences and try to survive.

The thing about Trump is he keeps pushing and pushing, trying to push us all to a breaking point where we either finally, reluctantly, fight back or just fall directly and irreversibly into the arms of tyranny.

There’s No Need For Trump To Be As Ham-handed As To Suspend Elections

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

People keep talking about how Trump is going to come up with some excuse to suspend or cancel elections in 2026 and or 2028. While I suppose it’s very possible, I’m just not buying it.

There are just too many existential risks to do such a thing, even for Trump. What is more likely to happen is elections will happen, but they won’t be free and fair. And I say this exclusively about Federal elections. I think, for the foreseeable future, in general, state and local elections will continue as they always have.

Federal elections, however, are fucked. Trump is going to do everything in his power to tip the scales so MAGA is locked in to have power for the rest of my life. America will grow poorer, more militaristic and mor inward looking.

That seems to be our fate.

Now, if you really wanted to get spunky, you might even game out a scenario where before Trump drops dead — say, during an illegal third term — he totally re-arranges the world global order in his image by destroying NATO in favor of a new alliance of the USA, Russia, Hungary and Turkey.

I still think the motherfucker is going to tear down the White House and replace it with a monstrosity that looks a lot like the Old Executive Office Building.

Two New Autocratic Moves Of Note By Trump

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

Here are two interesting autocratic moves on the part of the Trump Regime.

  1. Rummaging Through Mortgages
    Just like Nixon sicked the IRS on people back in the day, I think Trump is going to rifle through people’s mortgages in search of “irregularities” he can put them in jail for. It definitely seems as though Trump is working his way towards, say Obama or Hillary Clinton so he can finally spooge that particular wet dream out.
  2. Seizing of D.C.’s Union Station
    This is a good chokepoint for people coming in the area from outside to protest. So, when Trump finally drops the next autocratic shoe, he will be able to prevent people from coming into D.C. to protest — or more — his autocratic behavior.

‘Zombie Democracy’

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

The curious thing about everything happening politically in the United States is for the most part it’s happening in broad daylight. MAGA cocksuckers haven’t come directly for free speech — yet — so we know damn well about how Trump is consolidating power at a rapid rate.

But I think the last few weeks is when we crossed over into a “zombie” or “managed” democracy. We’re never going to have free-and-fair Federal elections again and this is it — democracy in America is finally dead.

Yes, we’ll continue to have elections and they may even be free-and-fair on a state and local level, but on a Federal basis, MAGA is well on it way to consolidating power to the point that this is it — we’re always going to have a MAGA Federal government, at least for the rest of my life.

It was nice while it lasted, I guess.