When Facts Become Partisan: A Warning Sign for American Democracy

A recent exchange on CNN between host Jake Tapper and Oklahoma Senator Markwayne Mullin highlighted a troubling phenomenon in American political discourse: the inability of public figures to agree on basic facts, even regarding matters of significant public interest like the Epstein case files.

The Erosion of Shared Reality

What made this particular disagreement so concerning wasn’t the presence of political tension—that’s expected in contemporary media—but rather the fundamental disconnect over factual information itself. When political polarization becomes so intense that verifiable facts become matters of partisan interpretation, we’ve crossed a dangerous threshold in democratic discourse.

The Epstein case represents exactly the kind of issue where factual accuracy should transcend political allegiances. The documented evidence, court records, and established timeline of events exist independently of political affiliation. Yet even here, in a case with extensive documentation and legal proceedings, partisan perspectives appear to be shaping the interpretation of basic facts.

The Gradual Collapse Theory

This erosion of shared factual understanding calls to mind Ernest Hemingway’s observation about bankruptcy in “The Sun Also Rises”: it happens “gradually, then suddenly.” The gradual phase involves the slow degradation of institutions, norms, and shared assumptions that hold a democratic system together. The sudden phase is when these accumulated weaknesses lead to rapid institutional failure.

American democracy has historically demonstrated remarkable resilience, weathering civil war, economic depression, world wars, and numerous political crises. The nation’s ability to “muddle through” has become almost axiomatic—a testament to the flexibility of democratic institutions and the pragmatic nature of American political culture.

The Stakes of Epistemic Crisis

However, the current challenge may be qualitatively different from previous crises. When political opponents can no longer agree on observable reality, the foundation for democratic deliberation begins to crumble. Democracy requires not just tolerance for differing opinions, but acceptance of common standards for determining truth and falsehood.

The fragmentation of information sources, the rise of social media echo chambers, and the increasing sophistication of disinformation campaigns have created an environment where competing versions of reality can coexist indefinitely. This epistemic crisis—the breakdown of shared ways of knowing—poses unique challenges to democratic governance.

Historical Perspective and Hope

Yet American democracy has survived previous periods of extreme polarization and disputed facts. The Civil War era, the McCarthy period, and the Vietnam War years all featured intense disagreements about fundamental questions of truth and national identity. In each case, democratic institutions eventually found ways to restore some measure of consensus and continue functioning.

The question facing contemporary America is whether these historical precedents provide adequate guidance for navigating current challenges. The speed and scale of modern information technology may have created dynamics that earlier generations never confronted.

The Path Forward

The solution likely requires recommitment to shared standards of evidence and reasoning, even amid political disagreement. This doesn’t mean abandoning legitimate debate about policy or interpretation, but rather maintaining common ground about the basic facts that inform those debates.

Whether America can once again “muddle through” this crisis may depend on the willingness of political leaders, media figures, and citizens to prioritize democratic norms over partisan advantage. The alternative—a society where facts themselves become partisan weapons—threatens the very foundation of self-governance.

The Tapper-Mullin exchange serves as a microcosm of this larger challenge. In a healthy democracy, public figures should be able to disagree vehemently about policy while maintaining shared respect for factual accuracy. When that common ground disappears, everything else becomes much more fragile.

How Does The Senate Vote? — Fuck The Poor!

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

Once the Big Piece of Shit Bill passes the House soon, the next step for our evil autocratic overlords will be end free and fair elections. Then, that’s it, we circle the drain until we either have a civil war or revolution.

Once it’s clear there will be no connection between the governed and the government, the USA will finally turn into what all the fucking cocksucker MAGA people want — a white Christian ethnostate. And things are getting so bad so quickly that I have to assume that ICE will come after a harmless loudmouth crank like me soon enough.

I’ll be put into a camp and never seen again.

All of this is happening because of severe macro issues in the American political system. It seems at the moment there’s no going back. MAGA will finally get what they want and, barring something rather dramatic like a revolution and or a civil war…that’s it.

We will never have an effective Democratic president again and people will start to die in the streets while plutocrats grow more and more rich.

Though, I have to note that there is one specific issue that I just can’t game out — the looming Singularity. Once we bounce from AGI to ASI…anything is possible. It could be that a species of ASIs will take over the world and force the governments of the world to make nice and, as such, will save us from ourselves.

Who knows, really?

The Only Possible Solutions

By Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner


There are some severe macro problems facing the United States at the moment and there are only three solutions that I can see going forward.

  1. Full Blown Autocracy
    Right now, the USA is in a murky liminal political state where we are lurching towards a “hard” autocracy, but we’re not quite there yet. If we did become a real Russian-style autocracy, then that would solve a lot of our problems because, well, lulz. The plutocrats could push through even more radical transformations of the US without having to worry about their toadies in Congress getting voted out because there would be no free and fair elections. And Trump I could just be president for the rest of his life. This is the solution I think we’re going to get, but it’s not the only possible one.
  2. Civil War
    I think if we do somehow manage to keep voting free and fair and MAGA loses at the polls in a big way, that we’ll have a civil war. We almost had one in 2024, but for Trump winning. So, if MAGA loses, MAGA states will begin to leave the Union rather than face the possibility of any sort of center-Left government.
  3. Revolution
    The US is so big and diverse, I don’t know how, exactly this would happen, but I do think a center-Left revolution (which would lead to a civil war) is, at least, possible if we somehow don’t turn into a full blown militaristic autocratic state.

Gradually…Then All At Once

By Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I’m growing a little worried about what’s going on in southern California right now. Apparently, Trump is send in a few thousand National Guard to “handle” the situation and that’s bound to only make matters worse. If anyone gets hurt — or even worse, killed — that could prompt a wave of domestic violence not seen in decades.

And given that that is kind of what Trump is itching for at the moment, it would make a lot of sense for him then to declare martial law. That’s when I worry people like me might get scooped up just for being loudmouth cranks.

Hopefully, of course, that won’t happen. Hopefully. But I do worry about things like that.

I Just Don’t See Republicans Allowing A Free & Fair Election In 2026

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

People keep talking about how Trump’s “Big Beautiful Bill” may cost Republicans the House in 2026 and I just don’t see it. Republicans will do everything in their power to make it nearly impossible to vote next year and so they will be protected from any consequences of their vicious, hateful Big Beautiful Bill.

And that will be that.

Once Republicans pull that fast one, they will be embolden. I suspect they will go through with efforts to replace the income tax with a VAT at some point in the near future.

A lot of macro things are going wrong at the same time and I think this is it — the USA now an autocracy and there’s little, if anything we can do about it outside of — gulp — a revolution. Since I would prefer not to live through a revolution, I guess my next best hope is somehow I find the means to bounce out of the country and never look back.

I Have A Bad Feeling About Trump’s ‘Big Beautiful Bill’

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

It definitely seems on a macro basis, Republicans have gotten a little too cocky for their own good. Their plan seems to be to do a huge wealth redistribution with their “Big Beautiful Bill,” then do everything in their power to make it impossible to vote the out of office.

This is not a recipe for stability long-term.

I know, I know I talk about this all the time and then nothing happens, but my “you go bankrupt gradually then all at once” o-meter is flashing red because of the Big Beautiful Bill.

This macro plot by the Republicans seems like just the one-two punch that would push us unto chaos at some point in the next few years. Republicans have gotten really cocky and at the moment, people are too interested in watching Tik-Tok videos to do anything about it.

But when our already perilous income inequality gets even worse — much worse — who knows what historical consequences their may be. Maybe not now, but eventually the chickens will come home to roost.

This *May* Be The Summer Of Our Discontent

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

It’s possible — especially if store shelves go bare — that this summer could be quite dramatic. Or not. Americans have let me down so much that I’m beginning to believe that, lulz, meh….people just refuse to risk anything in the real world because of Trump.

So, it definitely seems, at least as of now, that we’re going to drift for a few years until a crisis happens in late 2028 when Trump tries to run for a third term somehow. I really do think Trump is going to run for an illegal third term and THAT could be when the country finally buckles.

Or, maybe not.

I had all these scenarios that I wrote for years about a civil war because of Trump winning in 2024 and…nothing happened. So, we’ll see.

We Live In Peculiar Political Times

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

The United States is now an autocracy. And, yet, some of the last vestiges of the Before Times continue to linger. While Trump continues to do everything in his power to end free speech, Americans — at the moment at least — still have the ability to speak as they like and to peacefully protest.

It is only a matter of time, of course, before Trump and his MAGA Nazi toadies come after our basic rights in a full boar effort to finish the job they’ve started. I suppose we’re kind of in a liminal political space at the moment where it’s dusk, but nightfall as yet to officially arrive.

But arrive it will.

And that’s when the real test of the American populace will arrive. Trump is going to push us to the breaking point to see if we just give up or if we fight back in some way.

And, right now, I honestly doubt anyone will notice that we’ve become a legalistic autocratic state like Russia when it happens. I think the whole process will gradually happen in fits and starts to the point that in about 20 years we’ll be a Russian-style autocracy and a whole generation will assume that’s the way it’s always been.

I just don’t see Americans doing what would be needed to end this nightmare — we need a General Strike organized with the clear objective of ending MAGA tyranny once and for all. If that means we have a Second Revolution, so be it. (Not that I want that, because if it was successful, a Second Civil War would happen immediately.)

So, I continue to hope I sell a breakout hit novel so I can get the fuck out of this country and never come back. It’s inevitable that me ranting about Trump and the MAGA Nazis will come back to bite me.

Everything Is So Fucked Up

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

The issue at the moment is Trump is the spearhead of a sever macro problem in the United States — MAGA. Something like MAGA was going to happen, especially after Obama was elected. But it could just have well been the first female president, if Obama had lost to Hillary in the primaries.

It definitely feels as though the US is imploded. We’re definitely an autocracy now and, really, it’s just a matter of where we stop on the Hungary – Russia spectrum of autocracies.

All I can say is my rage over MAGA fuels my continued writing. That was the point of the first novel (now the last two novels in this specific project.) I wanted to write an allegory about America set in a small town. I got pretty far in the project until at some point I realized that I had enough backstory thought through in my mind for a few novels, so I decided to write those first instead of saving them as some sort of potential “prequel” idea.

There definitely has been an ebb and flow when it comes to this novel project over the years.

But back to how fucked up everything is — there is a greater-than-zero chance that the US will buckle and have a revolution then civil war. A lot will depend on the economy and if Trump freaks out, shoots a few people then declares martial law.

Anyway, I just want to sell a novel that is a big enough success that I can get the fuck out of this country and chill out somewhere hot an exotic for the remainder of my years.

Imagining A Second American Revolution….And Of Course, The Second Civil War That Would Come With It

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

A lot of commentors on Twitter keep saying, “We can’t go through four years of this.” Sadly, we went through four years of it last time and I think we’re probably going to live through more than four years of it this time.

But, just for “fun” let’s imagine what a revolution might look like. Well, at the moment, I can’t really game it out. I say this because there are huge protests in the States all the time and…nothing happens.

So, I think if there was an actual “Second American Revolution” it would have be a lot more dramatic that anything we’ve seen before. One way I could imagine it happening is if there were big protests, Trump ordered the troops to fire on them and then all hell broke loose and Trump imposed marital law.

Even then, I think Trump Tower would have to be stormed in a big way. Or NYC would have to be turned into a commune or something. I guess….maybe Blue States might rebel en masse against Trump and that would buckle the country to the point that Trump MIGHT be deposed.

But I think the US military would probably stay loyal to Trump, so lulz. But if Trump really went full Mad King on us and the US military decided to step in, I think it would collapse because most of the enlisted men and women would be MAGA.

Once that happened, all bets are off. The whole thing would be a massive culsterfuck. It would be far, far worse than the French Revolution and many, many, many, many, many people would die for no damn reason.

If Trump was successfully deposed, then Red States would bolt from the Union and a huge, long, protracted civil war would happen.

The truly sad thing is I’m even thinking about this bullshit. But, here we are. America is ripe for this type of shit to happen. We’ll see, I guess.