Countdown To American Fascism: Twitter Liberals Are Delusional



by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

If we have to fight this hard to beat a man who is demonstrably a moronic, incompetence tyrant, then that pretty much answers the macro political question of the era. In other words, American democracy is dead and we’re living in a new era of an autocratic “managed democracy.”

On a macro level, at least, the bad guys have won for the foreseeable future. Some pretty existential problems exist in the American body politic and there won’t be any demographic solutions for 20 to 40 years. Darkness has fallen.

I have no idea what the practical answer to any of this is. But I do know that the vast majority of Twitter liberals are living in a delusional lala land. They still think we’re living in a liberal democracy when we obviously definitely are not. The only thing I can think of is we need to stop scoring points on Twitter and start thinking about practical ways we can save what we can of civil society.

But, like I said, there are no easy answers. We’re going to have to start acting like we’re in a fascist state because, lulz, we are. Even if somehow Trump manages to self-own at just the right moment in the fall, there are at least a half-dozen younger, more focused fascists who have learn all they need to from Trump to make his vision of America a reality.

Again, the point is — a very passionate, organized 38% of the electorate has seen the last 3 1/2 years and said to themselves, “Man, I want some more of THAT.” As such, the thing that Twitter liberals are so oblivious about is the very thing that they see as a nightmare, a decent sized portion of the electorate sees as something to look forward to.

We’re just going to have to get used to living in a fascist state. We’re going to have to start preparing for when the media is purged and people are either snatched off the street or pushed out of windows. It’s going to happen, all we don’t know is the details at this point.

People are going to have to start risking things in real life in part because they’re not going to have any choice.

America As Fourth Reich



by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner


The United States is now a successor state to Nazi Germany. I say this because if it’s this much of a struggle to convenience a very passionate and organized 38% of the population that it’s a bad idea to re-election Trump, then, well, it’s over. The bad guys have won.

For the last five years, since Trump came down the escalator to announce his candidacy, I have been ranting about how Trump is an “existential threat to the Republic.” Well, I was right. The Republic is dead. No meme that Twitter liberals thought up “destroyed” House Trump. The courts never came to our rescue. In fact, no one came to our rescue. We really should just rename the United States, “Trumplandia.”

The thing about fascism is form follows function. So, it’s not some big mystery how everything will shake out in the end. And just because Ivanka is Jewish, I wouldn’t hold your breath about MAGA not turning its sights on Jewish people. They have already done this here and there and Trump’s not going to live forever. It could very well be that my calling America the Fourth Reich is nowhere near the hyperbole you might think right now.

One way or another, because autocrats never lose, Trump will “win” re-election. The, only because he’s a very incompetent fascist, a series of easy-to-predict events will happen that will allow House Trump to consolidate power. There will be a Constitutional Convention at some point soon after Trump steals the 2020 Election and American Enabling Acts will be passed because, lulz, Republicans’ abstract fears of Godless progressives destroying the sanctity of marriage is stronger than they’re willingness to defend liberty.

Really, at this point, the issue is how broad the sweep will be by ICE / PACT when they start snatching people off the street and putting them in camps across the country. Will it be a few thousand notable NeverTrumpers and former Obama Administration officials, or a far broader and deeper dragnet. This will most likely happen just after Trump has gotten German Industrialists to purge the free press. How are people going to get upset about it if they don’t know about it to begin with?

Before you say I’m being delusional or one of those libtards who thinks “Orange Man Bad,” let me point out that every night on FOX News the implications is that “someone needs to go to jail” the “spying” on the Trump campaign in 2016. (Also, if you are reading this and thinking I’m just saying “Orange Man Bad” please fuck off you shithead piece of shit.)

Anyway, I say all of this because I feel Twitter liberals are delusional. Twitter is not real life. Most people have only the vaguest notion of the political world. As long as they can raise their kids and pay their mortgage, they’re happy. And, really, they are likely not even to notice the abrupt change of evening news anchors or late night talk show hosts. “Who has time for politics?” is what they will think.

The only way they might finally, finally notice the new political clusterfuck hellscape they live in is if it gets personal. If they make a previously innocuous crack online and find themselves in the back of a van on their way to be tortured or murdered. Then they might fucking have some time for politics.

This is an existential issue and as such, it comes from existential problems in the United States. Really, I would say the seeds of America’s destruction were sown at the end of WW2. The Baby Boomers were such a huge demographic group that it was inevitable that as they grew older and more conservative that the country would, too. In hindsight, it’s obvious we were going to turn into a fascist state at some point between 2016 and 2024. It’s pure macro demographics.

As such, we have a sold 20 to 40 years of fascism ahead of us. We’re going to leave NATO, ally with Russia and change the Constitution so any pretense of being a liberal democracy will end.

This is our new normal. There may be a little bit of a pause in this immutable march towards fascism should Trump go completely bonkers at just the wrong time in the next few months, but that’s just a liberal fever dream. Trump will steal the election and then be succeeded by a series of strong men and or House Trump members.

At some point, about 40 years from, there might be a window of opportunity for some new country to pop out of the fascist goo the United States has become, but even that is debatable.

I don’t have any happy ending for you. Goodnight and good luck.

So When Will House Trump Start Pushing People Out Windows?



by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner


People continue to get pushed out of windows in modern Russia. As it is an absolute law of nature that Trump is going to brazenly steal the 2020 Election, it is inevitable that this is going to happen in the United States as well.

And, really, if it’s this much of a struggle to simply keep the United States a liberal democracy, I think it’s safe to say we’re no longer one. We’re a fascist state and the sooner we admit that to ourselves, the better. We’re beyond the point of no return. The bad guys have won. And, as such, they’re going to push people — like me! — out of windows as soon as they can safely get away with it.

The key thing for House Trump to get away with this type of bullshit is they have to eliminate the free press. Republicans’ tell on being old school fascists is how absolutely they hate the free press. They know that even as ineffectual as it is now, the free press is one of the few things stopping them from, well, pushing people like me out of windows.

So, I would say the process will happen in fits and starts, but it will happen. Soon enough there will be a purge (or destruction) of any media outlet that isn’t, say, OANN, and the whole pushing people out of windows thing will begin in earnest. I’m thinking no later than the 2022-2023 timeframe.

The United States has a shit tone of people that MAGA things should be pushed out of windows. So once the free press is dead, they may simply start snatching people off the street en mass. MAGA will embrace this. Once there’s no press to hold House Trump accountable, they’ll have free reign to use ICE or PACT to snatch people and hold them indefinitely in an ICE Camp. The infrastructure is in place, waiting to be turned on.

Probably what will happen is the snatching will happen first and only gradually will House Trump graduate to pushing people out of windows. Because, lulz, MAGA is giddy with excitement for authoritarian rule, one issue we have to ponder is what happens to the Democrat Party as a whole. It’s possible that there may be a purge of Congress at some point by ICE or PACT and we’ll be, at least on the Federal level, a one party state.

Or something like that.

This is a our future now. This is an absolute certainty.

The only addendum I might add to that absolute sure prediction is Trump is such a self-own artist that he might delay the inevitable just a tiny bit. But even that seems like a liberal fever dream at this point.

Darkness has fallen. We’re a fascist state and really it’s going to be kind of sad when all the Twitter liberals who spend so much time scoring points against House Trump on social media at last realize that Twitter is not real life and the bad guys are in control.

Something really shocking will have to happen for this not to happen. Nothing happen with impeachment that was unexpected, so there’s no reason to assume there’s any hope in avoiding people being snatched off the street or pushed out a window in Trump’s America.

Evangelicals Support Trump Because They Think He’s The Anti-Christ



by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

As you may know, American Evangelicals have an ABSOLUTE support for the state of Israel. Their support is so absolute that there’s only one thing to compare it to — their support of Donald Trump.

I see a lot of Twitter liberals think out loud about how it’s possible that 38% of the electorate could continue to support a fucking fascist misogynistic racist moronic libertine like Donald Trump. You think up all the complicated reasons you want, but when it comes to Evangelicals the answer is pretty simple: they support Trump because they think he’s the anti-Christ and, as such, will hasten the return of Jesus.

This is not something that the average Christian is likely to agree is real. They’ll bob and weave, or deflect or start talking in abstract terms about Godless progressives and their attack on the sanctity of marriage. And it’s likely that the Evangelical leaders don’t even have to at any point say any of this out loud — the Bible, in their mind, speaks for itself.

If you work on the assumption this is the case, then everything makes sense. It’s not that Evangelicals support Trump DESPITE what’s wrong with him on a personal level, they support him BECAUSE of what’s wrong with him on a personal level.

Now, I have to admit it does get comical when you call your average Christian on this. Usually what happens is they let slip something about the anti-Christ (usually suggesting they can’t vote for Biden because he’s the anti-Christ.) With just a moment’s thought, however, a secular humanist can turn the tables on such a Christian by asking a simple question, “Don’t you HAVE to have an anti-Christ for Jesus to return? Wouldn’t it make sense to vote FOR Biden if you thought he was the anti-Christ?”

Before you and point out that Trump sure does fit the definition of the anti-Christ better than Biden, suddenly your Christian interlocutor has to go somewhere, or they get really upset or they wave their hands and say everything is political and trail off into a murmur.

The point is — Christians, even the ones who really know scripture well — are only willing to entertain the idea of the anti-Christ on a political level if it means not voting for Joe Biden. But, of course, instead of a lot of rhetorical gymnastics, there’s a much simple explanation — TRUMP is the anti-Christ and that’s WHY they support him.

Anyway, it probably won’t matter since once House Trump consolidates power we’ll all be forced to worship at a Qanon Church.

Logically, Trump Would Pick Ivanka As His Second Term Veep


by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

Well, I guess Trump isn’t the political genius Maggie Haberman keeps cooing about because if we’re not hearing any chatter about Ivanka replacing Pence as his second term Veep by this point, I guess it’s not going to happen.

I say this because, lulz, Trump can’t keep a secret. If he was even thinking about doing something as logical as using Ivanka to court the sweet, sweet votes of women in the exerbs of swing states, it would have happened by now. The reason why Ivanka is better than Nikki Haley is, duh, she’s a Trump. Haley has sold her soul in hopes of either replacing Pence or being Trump’s direct successor.

But if Trump DID decide to replace Pence, I just don’t see Haley being it.

Ivanka is, at least, a “threefer.”

She’s a woman.
She’s Jewish.
She’s a Trump
(And she’s considered more moderate than her father.)


What better way to throw everything up in the air than to name the only moderate that the base will accept — Ivanka Trump?

But unless Trump simply randomly decides to do as I suggest because he’s nuts, it doesn’t look like Pence has anything to worry about.

Trump Is Playing With Fire With The Bogus Durham Investigation



by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner


It wasn’t supposed to be this way. Trump was supposed to lose the popular vote and win the Electoral College just like in 2016. Just after his acquittal by callow Senate Republicans he was giving a very loud standing ovation by these same Republicans in a private meeting.

Trump knew all he had to do was absolutely placate the MAGA base and the rest would take care of itself.

Then COVID19 happened.

Now things are a bit more tricky. Trump’s natural inculcation is to use the bullshit Durham Investigation into the origins of the TrumpRussia investigation to indict Joe Biden and be done with it. He would kill two birds with one stone — he would “prove” that TrumpRussia was a “hoax” and he would knock out Biden so he easily wins re-election.

I am fully prepared to state that this may still work. In fact, it will work. If we’ve gotten this far down the road to tyranny, then something as simple as brazenly indicting Joe Biden for political gain is a lulz. All they have to do is indict Biden a just the right moment so there’s some confusion about it all as people go to the polls. By the time everything gets straightened out, Trump will be ranting about the need for a Constitutional Convention and MAGA will simply dismiss people people’s rage at what happened as the usual “Orange Man Bad” liberals being “triggered.”

As an aside, I think we might be willing to think outside the box a little bit — what if Durham waits until AFTER the election to indict Biden and the whole thing is used as a negotiating tactic to make sure TRUMP isn’t indicted after he leaves office? The only reason why I’m not prepared to accept this as a possibility is Trump is a fucking moron and his actual personal political skill is little more than a grunt.

Anyway, there is a least a tiny chance that while indicting Biden as the “October Surprise” gets the job done, it might also be something so outrageous and on the nose that even people who otherwise “don’t have time for politics” might, at last sit up and take notice. It’s not likely, but it’s possible — I mean, if you’re cool with “tender care facilities” what’s a little election theft between fascists?

But it is possible that some pretty unexpected things might happen if Trump gets too greedy and indicts Biden directly. If he was smart — which he is not — he would get really close to Biden, but not indict Biden himself. But MAGA people are so absolute in their bloodlust when it comes to the Durham Investigation that I could totally see them lulzing this and making a significant strategic error.

I’m not prepared to get my hopes up, though. More likely than not, the country is simply too divided. And, if anything, history books will count the indictment of Biden as the moment the United States, for intents and purposes, finally became a fascist state.

I keep trying to come up with solutions or what people can do on a practical level to combat this, but I guess I’m not smart enough. Everything I can think of involves getting at least 3.5% of the population to participate in mass protests and general strikes.

The United States simply has no political history of something so big — we’re not France, after all, so lulz.

America In Brown & Red



by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner


I know way too many fucking fascists in real life. I, personally, have come to accept that not only has fascism taken over the country I love, but that Trump is going to brazenly steal the 2020 Election. What’s more, about 38% of the electorate is going to embrace this theft rather willingly.

There a number of significant macro trends that make all this possible and they all express themselves in the guise of one Donald John Trump. He’s an avatar for some pretty intractable problems in the United State’s body politic. What bothers me is a lot of Twitter liberals who should know better are deluding themselves about what’s going on.

These Twitter liberals are so busy scoring points on social media with memes they think will “destroy” House Trump, that they are totally oblivious to what’s going on in the real world. Many, many people are too busy raising their kids and paying their mortgage to “have time for politics” and, as such, they have only a vague awareness of what’s going on. All they know is, on an abstract level, Trump is protecting them from violent progressives (Communists) who want to “destroy the sanctity of marriage” and burn Federal court houses.

What’s more, their abstract fears about what these evil liberal progressives (Communists) MIGHT do are so all consuming that they honestly don’t care about the very real fascist things House Trump is actually doing right now. And so when House Trump inevitably indicts Joe Biden in late October as part of the bogus Durham Investigation, they’ll lulz it. And if they do ever get around to figuring out the whole thing was done to steal the election, it’ll be so long after the fact as to be politically pointless.

Then these very same people will simply shrug and tell people like me to “shut up if you know what’s good for you.” These Good Germans will get upset when people protest (if they do) when Trump steals the fall election in an extremely brazen fashion.

As I’ve mentioned before, what Trump wants to do is throw so much interference at the 2020 Election that we will struggle to pinpoint what, exactly what the thing that did it. That’s what he wants. He doesn’t want to do anything so absolutely brazen that American’s self-perception kicks in an people realize what he’s up to.

And, yet, with things like the Durham Investigation, he’s setting himself up to do just that. The whole thing is fucking bullshit and when Durham indicts (or whatever) Biden in late October the whole thing is going to be a little bit too on the nose for a lot of people. And, yet, there is such absolute bloodlust for just that on the part of the entire Republican Party that the whole thing may get out of control.

Not that indicting Biden isn’t going to work — it obviously will. And, generally, most people are just going to take the indictment at face value and Trump will cruise to victory. But there’s at least a greater than zero chance that people who otherwise might not care might sit up and take notice. It’s possible, not probable.

Remember those macro trends. The problems that caused Trump in the first place aren’t going anywhere. So, even if somehow we magically are able to frog walk Trump out of the White House at some point, he’s going to be seen as a political martyr by the Right. They are going to do everything in their power to bring down the Biden Administration as soon as possible.

There are no easy answers to this problem. The reason is — if Twitter liberals finally stopped trying to score points on Twitter and took the actions necessary in real fucking life to actually halt the ascent of fascism in the United States there will be blood, as they say.

Republicans have already crossed the Rubicon into fascism — they’re ready to make the jump from insane rhetoric on FOX News to murdering people in cold blood for political reasons. Should the center-Left get woke to this cold hard fact, well, I guess we’re going to have a civil war.

But I’m reluctant to say that.

The center-Left in the Untied States is so fucking weak that what’s more likely to happen is simply the bad guys will win and after the shock of Trump brazenly stealing the election wears off, we’re going to get used to people getting pushed out of windows.

That’s probably going to be the last stage in our transformation to a “managed democracy” like Russia in the sense that Trump will have to purge the media first to get away with it. Can’t very well make people mad by pushing people out windows if no body knows about it because OANN now owns CNN, now can you?

If Russia is any indication, what will happen is pop culture in the Unites States will decouple completely from politics. Only people like me will scream at the top of our lungs as to what’s going on (and get pushed out a window for doing it.) The average person might take note that suddenly CNN and FOX news are indistinguishable, but that’s about it.

Because of macro trends, this is the future of America. There might be the occasional hiccup because Trump is such a fucking incompetent, moronic self-own artist, but the general we have to wait until the Graying of America crosses the Browning of America before any of this changes. And, given that the entire point of MAGA is to STOP the Browning of America, lulz, maybe it will never happen.

I don’t have any answers as to how to prevent any of this. I would, however, suggest that we’re now in the part of America’s transition to a fascist state where you what you do in real life matters. Scoring points, or thinking up a powerful meme doesn’t mean shit when Little Green Men are snatching people off the street or, later, pushing people out windows.

I used to think Americans weren’t Russians and, by definition, would not allow a fascist, autocratic “managed democracy” to happen here. But I realize now I was being naive. It can –and will — happen here.

Phone Polling Adventures


by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner


As we lurch towards Trump finalizing his fascist consolidation of power in the United States, I find myself becoming a sucker for political phone polls. Something about this small — but important — aspect of recently bygone era when what the population of the country actually thought is appealing.

One thing I’ve noticed is most of the polls I’m getting are obviously from Republicans. All of the polls I’ve taken recently were pretty fucking warped. They don’t seem like polls at all, but rather being used as a focus group for Republican oppo research.

But none of it matters.

The Durham Investigation is going to indict Biden in late October. If that doesn’t work, the slowing of the mail will. And if THAT doesn’t work, the Russians will live up to their part of the bargain associated with Trump removing 1/3 of our troops from Germany and hack directly into our election systems.

As I keep saying, we really, really need to accept that the United States is now a fascist state. The whole snatching people off the street will soon enough be pushing people out of windows.

There is no hope.

Fascist America: Everyone Needs To Do A Gut Check



by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner


The fascists have won. I say that because Trump is assembling about a dozen different ways he’s going to steal the 2020 Election. If it’s not the Durham Investigation indicting Joe Biden the weekend before the election, it’ll be the post office essentially becoming an arm of the Trump Campaign. And those are just the most obvious ones. There will not be a free and fair election.

And, even if somehow Trump manages to self-own to such an extent that Biden actually does manage to be win the electoral vote, Trump is going to challenge the certification of the popular vote at ever stage. In the end, his criminality and his insanity will fuse and, well, lulz, he’s not going anywhere.

So, with that in mind, if you’re not MAGA, you need to do a gut check as to what you believe. It is very, very easy to write a witty tweet that goes viral. But it’s going to be a lot different when ICE starts snatching people off the street or pushing people out windows in the real world.

What do you believe on an existential level? Are you really willing to face indefinite incarceration in an ICE camp or the risk of simply being pushed out a window for your opposition to Trump’s fascist tyranny? Nearly everyone can talk a good talk on social media, but when you’re shoved into an unmarked van by a member of PACT or ICE, you might simply turn into a quivering mess.

There’s going to come a moment very, very soon — probably in 2021 — when we’re going to find out who is willing to pledge their “lives and scared honor” for the America that existed for about 240 years before Trump. While a few bonkers people like me, with nothing to lose, will take a stand and tell Trump’s goons to fuck off — and be murdered accordingly — most people are going to take the advice of MAGA people who will tell them, “If you know what’s good for you, you’ll shut up.”

I don’t have any easy answers for you. I can’t tell you in practical terms what to do or how to prevent the inevitable from happening. I hate violence and I hate guns. Usually, it takes a war of some sort to end a fascist regime. There’s no one to invade us. I mean, who’s going to do it? The EU?

All I can tell you is the final official transformation of the United States into a fascist state is going to happen in fits and starts and then EXTREMELY RAPIDLY. Get out of the country if you can. Start thinking about where you might hide.

But the issue is — ranting on social media about Trump simply isn’t going to cut it anymore. You’re going to have to think about your career, your life and your family in the real world. Fascism is the ultimate “cancel culture,” if you will.

Darkness has fallen. There’s no going back. If it’s not Trump who does it, it’ll be Mike Pomepo or Tom Cotton. The macro trends simply aren’t on our side. And while there may be rolling political violence this fall and winter, I just don’t see there being any type of organized civil war. Though, I would note the only way we’re ever, EVER getting rid of Trump is the country will have to be on the verge of a revolution. That’s the only way I can think of that the political fault lines might shift just long enough to physically frog walk Trump out of the Oval Office.

Even then, this would be only a brief reprieve. Trump would immediately become a political martyr in the eyes of MAGA and he’ll find some fascist ghost writer to write his own “Mien Kampf.”

We’ve reached the end of the United States as we’ve known it.

Why Trump’s Taxes Will Be A Big Deal, No Matter What

Taxes, what taxes?
Shelton Bumgarner

by Shelton Bumgarner
@bumgarls

Ahhh, Trump’s ever-elusive taxes. I don’t know exactly what’s going on in the Federal courts right now to give you a detailed explanation, but I enough to get some sense of the significance. Really, at this point, the best case scenario for House Trump is they’re able to successfully slow-walk the whole thing past the Senate trial. Once Trump’s acquitted, House Trump can pretty much tell the rule of law to fuck off and do whatever the fuck they want. No power grab will be too brazen as we lurch towards the 2020 election which will, by definition, be neither free nor fair.

But let’s suppose SCOTUS rules one way or another in time for it to be relevant. Let’s go through the possible endgames.

SCOTUS Punts
If Justice Roberts simply punts the issue, then that’s a pretty big decision. Trump will have either cough his taxes up, or not. Either decision will be a massive turning point in not only House Trump’s political history, but the nation in general. More on this in a second.

SCOTUS Rules In House Trump’s Favor
Justice Roberts takes the case and fascist Republicans’ vision of a remaking the Judiciary finally pay off the way they crave, then Trump’s a Putin-style authoritarian. He’s above the law. Game over.

SCOTUS Rules Against House Trump
Like I mentioned, all this only matters if it happens in time to influence the existing impeachment process. Otherwise, lulz. So, let’s say the House Trump attempt to slow walk fails. In a 5-4 vote, Trump’s ordered to release his taxes immediately.

Trump Ignores This
While the dipshit MAGA fuckheads would spin this as a mere “process crime,” in fact, it would be the biggest Constitutional Crisis since the end of the Civil War. If Trump simply ignored this ruling, it would likely be thrown into the impeachment pot as “obstruction of SCOTUS.” For the average dumbass MAGA person who just hates black people and women, I guess they’ll feel free to overlook this situation until Trump’s acquitted and the ICE camps can be weaponized.

Trump Abides By This
If Trump weirdly does the right thing and releases his taxes, this just might save his sorry ass. If everything we’re afraid of is in them, is in them, it would be such an explosion that House Democrats would realize they had to dig into the taxes to sort out exactly the astonishing scope of Trump’s criminality. By the time the dust settles, it’s Feburary 2020, “let the people decide” is a Republican mantra and Trump is free to get Peter Thiel to bribe individual Electors. Or not. There’s a small chance it would be this taxes that might tip the political scale against him in the Senate. But I find that dubious.

It’s more likely to be Trump completely losing his shit or MAGA anti-impeachment violence that would ultimately cook Trump’s political goose.