Category: Cold Civil War

I’m Growing Alarmed For The American Trans Community

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I smell a rat. The FBI seems to be making up, out of whole cloth, some sort of connection between the person who murdered Charlie Kirk and the Trans community. It seems as though the pressure to find something, anything to fit the murder of Kirk into the required MAGA narrative is enough to cause them to just flat out lie.

The murderer’s family said point blank that he lived with them and now the FBI (and some rando FoxNews producer) are claiming he lived with a Trans girlfriend. What the what?

Add to this the growing calls to, well murder the mentally ill, and I — a member of the bonkers community — find myself growing a little worried. It doesn’t take a genius to imagine a situation where MAGA finally gets their chance to put Trans people in camps and murder them and before you know it, that particular dragnet also involves just kooks like me.

MAGA is so smug about it, too. They’re like, “Ah-ha! We have finally found what we need to murder Trans people in cold blood.”

The interesting thing to me is what happens to ICE. The purview of ICE is going to expand at some point into something more along the lines of the SS. Form follows function and all that. It’s just a matter of time.

Folks, There’s Not Going To Be A Second American Civil War Until Blues Get Enraged Enough To Start One — & Even Then, It’ll Probably Be A Revolution

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

Ok, a history lesson. The case could be made that the American Civil War started because the slave holders of the South felt that the free-labor North was sufficiently ascendant that they had no choice but to leave the Union.

And, now, we face a similar situation between the slumbering Blues and the hyperbonkers MAGA. The Blues are still pretty laid back, despite how insane MAGA has become after the tragic murder of Charlie Kirk. And, what’s more, MAGA is politically ascendant — they have no reason to resort to political violence to get what they want.

If MAGA just cools their heels for a few years, the United States will become Trumplandia and that will be that. I would even go so far as to say they don’t even have to fuck with free-and-fair elections. The macro trends of the United States point towards us becoming an autocratic, tyrannical state within a decade of our own volition.

But MAGA is fucking greedy and so it’s very possible that they will fuck with the 2026 and or the 2028 elections to the point that Blues grow enraged. Now, I have my doubts about a “National Divorce” started by Blues. A revolution, however, I could see happening.

Combine pissed off Blues with astonishing income inequality and the usual dynamics of a center-Left revolution could very well come into play. Then the two sides bomb each other into oblivion and we take 40 or more years to pull ourselves out of the rubble of what used to be the USA.

And, in the meantime, the world will move on — probably WW3 will start — and maybe, just maybe, once everything is sorted out in about 20 years, humans might collectively work on things like global climate change.

But that is obviously the most optimistic of outcomes. It could be, lulz, MAGA wins and the US, have many millions of dead, turns into a MAGA version of Iran.

Anyway….good luck?

America Seems To Have Civil War On The Brain At The Moment

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I think all of us need to calm the fuck down. There’s not going to be a civil war. There’s not going to be a revolution. At least, not anytime soon.

As I keep saying, I could see one happening in 2026 or 2028 if Trump really aggressively fucked with the elections. That’s the kind of thing that would piss Blues off enough that there might be a civil war or revolution on their part.

But, really, I think all this talk of civil war — which, honestly, I don’t know how much is genuine and how much is produced by Russian bots — says more about the hysterical nature of MAGA than anything else. MAGA is so overwrought in their rhetoric these days that they grasp for the absolute worst thing they can think of, which just happens to be a civil war.

As it stands, MAGA has absolutely no reason to start a civil war. They, as a political movement, are ascendant and, lulz, why would they want to risk losing a civil war? So, really, all this civil war talk on the part of MAGA is more about them daydreaming about being able to murder people like me in cold blood without any legal ramifications.

That’s it — MAGA talks about civil war because they want to murder center-Left people without having to go to prison.

But, as of right now, at least, Blues, who would actually start a civil war in self-defense, seem willing to take the continued abuse by MAGA cocksuckers. When Blues decide they’ve had enough and fight fire with fire, THEN we have a civil war or revolution.

To say it would be horrible is an understatement. There might be a race war in the South. Both sides would use WMD. Many millions of people would die in some potentially horrific ways.

Hopefully, neither Reds nor Blues will have any reason to actually go for each other’s throats in the real world. Hopefully.

‘Sad Individual’

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

A MAGA-type who is one of the few remaining MAGA Facebook friends I have called me a “sad individual” for not engaging his occasional stray comment on my anti-MAGA rants.

As I told him in my response — I don’t engage him because I like him. If I didn’t like him, I would engage him and then we would inevitable start screaming at each other and one of us would unfriend the other.

So, there you go.

He was also upset that I hadn’t “done anything for my fellow man.”

This was, I have to say, kind of stings. I’m kind of too poor to do anything for “my fellow man.” If I had money, then, yeah, I would donate to the poor or something. In fact, I would probably be something of a patron of the arts if I had more than just enough money to feed myself.

Anyway.

MAGA Has Lost Its Fucking Mind

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

It’s clear that after the tragic death of Charlie Kirk we’ve crossed a political Rubicon. MAGA doesn’t care about the motives of the murderer and simply see the murder as an excuse to rile themselves up against people like me.

As I’ve written before, at the present moment, it appears if we have a civil war or revolution it will happen because Blues are goaded into doing it by the ascendant MAGA Right. The whole thing would be tragic and horrible and I don’t want it. But, then people didn’t want the first Civil War and that happened, so…lulz?

Anyway, it’s all very sad.

We seem to be careening towards a dark and turbulent future and the only thing I can possibly see that might prevent us from either turning into a Russian-style autocracy or having a civil war / revolution would be the technological Singularity.

That’s supposed to happen around 2027, right? If that happened so soon, that would change everything. Then we would, rather than wanting to murder each other in cold blood, be thinking about how to deal with ASI or ASIs running around.

When something as potentially ominous as a tech Singularity is your only hope, you’ve got a problem.

Charlie Kirk Died Because He…Wasn’t…Conservative…Enough

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

Some fucking MAGA people need to touch grass. They are so absolutely blinded by ideology that they can’t process simple facts: the person who murdered Charlie Kirk did so because Kirk wasn’t conservative *enough.*

And, yet, here we are, with MAGA…blaming college?

I suppose it was inevitable that something, anything but what really happened would be blamed because MAGA wallows in grievance culture to the point of absurdity.

And MAGA keeps moving the goals posts. And now, with the tragic murder of Charlie Kirk, the goal posts have been moved to — civil war or nothing. Rather than admit that maybe they’re just upset and need some time to reflect on what has happened, MAGA has now staked out a bonkers position and they demand everyone follow them there.

But I will admit that I think should there ever be a civil war / revolution that the death of Charlie Kirk will be remembered as a milestone in that direction. MAGA has completely lost it’s collective fucking mind and I just don’t see how we get back to where we were.

Now, given current conditions, if there was a civil war or revolution, it would not be the MAGA Right that did it. It would be the Blues who were absolutely goaded into it in the name of self-defense. Then all the nightmare scenarios of a race war in the South, the use of WMD by both sides, all that bullshit would happen and we would spend decades, generations pointing fingers.

We’ve Cross A Rubicon

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I don’t know what is going to ultimately happen because of the murder of Charlie Kirk, but whatever it is, it’s not good. The Far Right is now completely crazed and bonkers to the point that they’re comping at the bit to, well, murder people like me in cold blood.

That I even have to think like that is a “Not great, Bob,” type situation.

But, here we are.

The Far Right, which apparently set the agenda for all of MAGA these days, really wants a civil war. They literally want the right to murder people like me. Now, obviously, a lot of this rhetoric is just bullshit. Pure and simple bullshit. They just think of the worst possible thing that might possibly happen and they grasp for the term “civil war.”

I just don’t think the Far Right people who want a civil war really understand how bad such an event would be. There would be a race war in the South. WMD would be used — by both sides. Given the population of the Unites States — 335 million at last count — millions upon millions of people would probably die if there was a civil war.

AND, what’s more, there’s no assurance that Reds would win a civil war. In fact, if push comes to shove, Blues definitely are better positioned to win a civil war for various reasons.

So. I don’t want any violence, political or otherwise. I just want everyone to calm the fuck down.

Well, Bari Weiss Could Be The Queen Of All (News) Media Before It’s Over With

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

Oh boy. Now that Paramount SkyDance is on the cusp of buying Warner Bros Discovery, my own concerns about the fate of CNN are coming to the fore. Now, first and foremost, there will be a bloodbath should CNN and CBS be combined. Many, many people will lose their jobs at both news institutions.

Bari Weiss

But there is also the issue of Free Press impresario Bari Weiss. She is probably going to be in control of the unified CBS / CNN if the deal goes through. It’s very possible that a big chunk of the news ecosystem is going to lurch into the MAGA adjacent world of the Free Press.

It could be that under the guidance of Weiss that CBS / CNN will make a go at being a lot more like FoxNews to the point that only MSBNC will be left as any sort of “normal” news channel.

Ugh.

This Charlie Kirk Thing Is Just Horrible & Dumb: The FBI Is The Gang That Can’t Shoot Straight

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

What the fuck is going on with the FBI. They are supposed to be good at finding people like whomever shot Charlie Kirk but…lulz?

Anyway. I just want the guy found some we can have some closure. So we can move on to the next disaster, whatever that might be.

I continue to wonder what is going to happen if, magically, a Democrat wins the presidency in 2028. Now, obviously, that isn’t going to happen because we’re going to be a full-blown autocracy by that point, but if it did happen, what happens to FBI Director Kash?

Only someone like AOC would have the guts to just fire the motherfucker and start all over again. And, like I keep saying, we’re so totally fucked. The political and cultural vandalism that Trump has engaged just in the last few months is going to take at least a generation to correct and that’s if things go perfectly.

And they’re not going to go perfectly.

Anyway. It was nice living in a liberal democracy while it lasted.

I Really Need To Wait A While Before I Start To Work On The Second Draft Of This Scifi Dramedy Novel…But I Don’t Wanna

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

It’s just been a few days since I wrapped up — with the aid of AI — the first draft of this scifi dramedy I’ve been working on. You’re supposed to wait about a month before you start on the second draft, but, lulz, I just can’t bring myself to do it. I’m going to start to work pretty hard on the second draft very soon.

You’re also supposed to read and watch as much as you can during this pause between drafts. But that, too, is tough. It’s just difficult for me to consume any other media besides what I, myself, create.

So, here I am, just twiddling my fingers while I wait for a few days to have elapsed so I can get back to things. I still have a lingering tooth issue that I’m really worried will flair up and be a SERIOUS distraction. So, that’s another reason to jump back into things.

I really do need to force myself to watch the very bad movie “Subservience” because of how similar, in a way, it is to the novel. But I just can’t bring myself to do it. The movie seems designed for the audience to just watch hot people do hot shit and the connection between my novel and that movie isn’t THAT close. You kind of have to squint to see any similarities.

Anyway. I really like the novel I’ve come up with and I don’t THINK there will be too many structural changes that could slow me down. The one big structural change I had thought about — moving the novel’s location from a city to a small town repeatedly got shot down by my AI “literary consultants.”

Ugh. But they’ve saved me a lot of time by telling me not to do that. So, there you go. I’m hoping to start at least doing some development on the second draft really soon.