Anocracy In America

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

It definitely seems as though the United States has hit a political iceberg and it well on its way to sinking into the icy seas of fascism. But, at the same time, I just don’t know.

It could go either way.

It could be that some sort of off ramp happens because of an unexpected black swan event and America will just muddle through and all my dystopian hellscape scenarios will be seen as laughable. But there is a greater-than-zero chance that This Is It.

It could be that we’re very, very fucked and late 2024, early 2025 will see some unpreceded things happen one way or another. The spectrum ranges from civil war because Trump loses the 2024 president election to Trump winning in 2025, and being such an idiotic tyrannical madman in 2025 that he is somehow deposed and when that happens…there is a civil war.

But lulz, who knows.

I think there remains a really good chance that everything is going to work out fine. I definitely hope that is going to happen.

But things are still too far out at the moment. I can’t make any sort of prediction for sure one way or another. It could be that WW3 breaks out, or it could be that something akin to a civil war breaks out because of what’s going on at the Texas border.

Only time will tell.

Time To Nationalize The Texas National Guard

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

President Biden needs to nip this particular issue in the bud and nationalize the Texas National Guard. That would eliminate Texas’ ability to define SCOTUS and also kind of smoke out how serious Texas is at the moment about being dickheads to the Federal government.

The longer this festers, the worst it’s going to get.

There is a risk, of course, that America is so fucked that if Biden does national the Texas National Guard, that that, unto itself, will only cause the crisis to grow more severe because self-proclaimed “militias” will swarm to the site and then, lulz, we have another insurrection.

What The Fuck Is Wrong With America?

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I try to be as fact-based as possible. I like to think I calls’em like I sees’em. And, at the moment, in general, the U.S. economy SEEMS to be doing pretty well. And, yet, despite the cold hard facts that this is the case, I have conservatives very close to me who are so busy bitching about how the CDC should be arrested en mass that they totally refuse to admit that the Biden Economy is doing well.

It’s all very, very frustrating for a number of different reasons. It shouldn’t be like this. And, what’s more, conservatives shouldn’t be able to hate on Biden and his economy just because of “vibes” while at the same time being enraged at what the CDC did during the pandemic because of all this allegedly concrete “data” they feel they found “doing their own research.”

It’s shit like this that makes me think that we’re careening towards a very, very dark future starting in late 2024, early 2025. I would prefer not to become a domestic political refugee because of “vibes.”

And, yet, it definitely seems as though the United States has lost it’s mind. We’re now so divided — because of macro political and demographic issues — that we seem totally, and completely fucked going forward.

Give All The Russian Spies Who May Read This Blog, I Find Any Serious Homegrown ‘Secession’ Talk Dubious

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I don’t KNOW that Russian — and Chinese — spies read this blog, but sometimes, some of the things I see in my Webstats make me scratch my head. Anyway, I suspect much of the “Texit” talk on social media at the moment is just talk on the part of Russian paid trolls.

We aren’t near the tipping point that will happen either in late 2024 when Trump loses or at some point after January 2025 if Trump wins and is deposed for being a bonkers MAGA tyrant.

Otherwise, I think we can just cool it with any sort of secession talk on the part of Texas — or anyone else.

How Seriously Should We Take ‘Texit?’

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

While we’re slowly reaching a tipping point whereby Texas may be the first to leave the Union, I have serious doubts about it happening, like, NOW.


So, as such, the timing isn’t right for Texit. We need the passions of the 2024 election to enter the “Silly Season” before such things might become a reality. At the moment, all this Texit talk is just that — talk.

Get back to me when there is suddenly a man rush between Texas and South Carolina to see which one can hold the first Secession Convention. If such a thing happens, it will either be in late 2024 after Trump loses, or sometime in 2025 – 2026 should Tyrant Red King Trump be deposed somehow.

We Are All Catturd

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner


I can only get so worked up about whatever bullshit Catturd blathers on about because I know a few subtle changes to my personal history and I probably would be him!

Besides his fascist, MAGA polemical elements, one a personal basis he seems like just a dude who has figured out how to serve an audience. And, really, that’s what all writers want to do.

But I will note that one thing I find really annoying about Catturd is his, “Oh, little old me?” bullshit. He is so sincere in his support of what is a very fucked up, racist, misogynistic fascist political movement that is very grating on my nerves.

I have a least one person in my own life like him and that person really pissed me off, too. Anyway, in the end, Catturd will probably be seen as a quirk of our antebellum world.

We Need That ‘Black Swan’ Event Really Bad, Folks

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

Oh boy.

I can remember talking to a minor member of The Powers That Be in late 2019 and we both agreed that Trump was going to win re-election without much trouble. The COVID happened.

So, I dunno.

It will be interesting to see if some sort of “Black Swan” event happens that throws what seems inevitable, up into the air and nobody knows what is going to happen.

I think the key thing to remember is that 2024 – 2025 may be one of the most momentous, fucked up periods of time in American — if not global — history.

Is Unfrozen Caveman Governor Ron DeSantis Going To Drop Out?

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

As of right now, it seems as though Ron “I’m just waiting for bad to happen to Trump” DeSantis is in it to win it. Not that he will. It’s all very curious. He’s just not very good at retail politics.

But it will be interesting to see what happens next. I think, for the moment, he’s going to linger until he is defeated in South Carolina, then he will pull the plug. So, I suppose we have a few more weeks or months of him pretending he has a chance at winning.

Should We Expect A Tay-Tay Bay-Bay Boom?

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

The thing about Tay-Tay’s most recent relationship is how….fucking normal it is. Her relationship to a big lug football player is like the long-dead heteronormative monoculture crawling out of its grave in one last gasp. She’s not dating a woman. She’s not dating a trans man. Or any other variations one might think up.

He’s just a big lug with a good personality who treats her well.

That’s it. Nothing that MAGA should object to.

And YET, those fucking MAGA idiots are so consumed with their thirst for fascist power that they hate on Tay-Tay…because she wants people to vote? THAT is enough get MAGA riled up?

Those guys are so fucking pathetic.

But all this does make you wonder if maybe there might be a little bit of a Tay-Tay Bay-Bay Boom if she settles down and drops a few kids. Ms. Swift is a grow-ass woman, she can do what she likes, but, relative to her fan base, she’s a little old to still to be single sans a family.

Would any of that fan base decide to have a baby if Tay-Tay had one? I dunno. It’s difficult to game out. It could go either way. But Oprah is the closest we have to judge Tay-Tay against and she never had kids at the top of her popularity.

And, yet, whatever. I don’t care. Just come out with a rock album, Tay-Tay.

Could The Start Of WW3 In 2024 Be The ‘Black Swan’ Event That Prevents A Trump Win?

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

At the moment, malignant ding-dong Trump has an air of invincibility and inevitability about around him. He’s going to win and we either turn into a MAGA-themed autocracy, or we have a revolution then civil war.

But I can’t predict the future and there is always a chance that some sort of “Black Swan” event could happen that would give us an off ramp just like the pandemic did in 2020. Of all the possible Black Swan events that might happen, something that might be marketed as WW3 is definitely among them at the moment.

If, say, Iran and Pakistan nuked each other. Or if the DPRK went at it with the ROK that would be enough for the American press to say, “Buckle up, America, WW3 has started.”

That, in turn, would cause a rally-round-the flag movement (at least at first) and that would help Biden. A lot would depend on WHEN WW3 happened. The later it happened, the more it would help Biden and potentially allow us to avoid a dystopian hellscape.