Tag: Autocrats Never Lose

The Fascist MAGA Right Doesn’t See The Biden Administration As Legitimate

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

The key thing we have to accept is the fascist MAGA Right is not only politically ascendant, but also fucking bloodthirsty. They have finally reached the point, it seems, where they’re willing to physically hurt people in the real world if they don’t get what they want.

The fascist MAGA Right clearly wants to murder people like me in cold blood if I stand in their way. Now, obviously, it’s all couched in the context of their anger being rhetorical.

But just on the face of it, it seems as though in the fascist MAGA Right mind, anyone who has power who isn’t them isn’t legitimate. By definition. They are craven and want absolute autocratic power to the fullest extent that society will give them.

And all of that leaves me very alarmed going forward. These facts leave me worried that even if we defeat the fascist MAGA Right in November, there will be a civil war because on a structural basis the Republican Party at the state level is so radicalized that they will leave the Union in protest.

Who knows. I can’t predict the future. I am very, very worried.

I Will Admit That As I’ve Gotten Older, I’ve Become More … Traditional

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

These days, I find myself seething more and more about MAGA and how ascendant fascism is in the United States. And, yet, at the same time, I have to admit to myself that I get grumpy with some of the more extreme elements of the center-Left co-coalition that I absolutely am forced to be a part of because I fucking hate MAGA so much.

This came to my attention because someone looked at my rant about a podcast I did some time ago. And the person was in Austin, so they probably are in some way connected to or know the people I was ranting about.

I stand by the rant — even if I was in a fucking bad mood when I wrote it. I think a clearer description of what makes me annoyed would be this, “I think we should have some form of National Service to gently nudge men and women to be forced to deal with people they don’t like in the real world.”

All the other bullshit I said about “traditional masculinity” was just me being in a bad mood. Whatever, fuck you. I do believe in the power of the nuclear family, which, apparently is some sort of radical idea to some Leftists. But I mean well. The worst thing anyone every said about me was, I was a “delusional jerk with a good heart.”

Could be a lot worse.

Anyway — I still think Ezra Klein is going to bounce if Trump is re-elected. He’s just too wealthy and has a vested interest to smell his own farts in the south of France while I get shot in the back of the head by an ICE agent.

Oh boy

I’ve written a great deal about this.

Trump’s Inevitable Third Term

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

It is inevitable that if Trump wins in the fall that he will be allowed to run for a third term. Probably what will happen is a “creative” interpretation of the Constitution by SCOTUS as is meant by a president being limited to two terms.

Or, it could be, that Trump is so lazy and dumb that he just runs without care for what SCOTUS has to say. It would be an “official act” for him to break the Constitution, so lulz.

In short, the USA is far, far more unstable than any of us realize. I want peace, but I am worried.

‘American Terminators?’

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

If things get as dark as I fear and the USA collapses into chaos, war and destruction, it would make a lot of sense if two ideas fuse together — LLMs and all those androids that Boston Dynamics is working on.

So, as the war between Blue and Red drags on and more and more of the country is consumed by hate, I could see Blue and Red essentially using “Terminators” on each other. This is a very, very dark scenario. I do not want it happen, but it has to be broached.

The USA is on the cusp of collapse for macro historical reasons. This is a prime example of “you go bankrupt gradually, then all at once.”

And, yet, there is a real possibility that I’m overthinking all of this. It’s possible that Agenda 2025 will be implemented peacefully, about 1 million smug wealthy liberals will leave the country and that will be that.

Only time will tell.

We Have To Talk About That Kamala Harris Blind Item Rumor

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

A long time ago, maybe years ago, I saw a blind item about Kamala Harris that stunned me — allegedly, she made a sex-tape with her former beau Montel Williams. Or something like that, it was a long time ago, but who it was with isn’t as important as the rumor — imagine what would happen if there WAS a Harris sex tape.

I do not believe one exists. I think it’s all bullshit. But given how, well, fucking hateful Trump is — and how he’s already tipped his hand on how he’s going to attack her dating history — one can just imagine him ranting about the existence of a non-existent sex tape.

Then we all have to think about such a sex tape for the next few months while the future of our fading democracy hangs in the balance. Ugh.

Again — I do not believe it’s real. Most, maybe all, blind items are fake. But it is a testament to how white knuckled and hateful Trump is that if Harris became the president or nominee he would probably latch on to the idea that a Harris sex tape DID exist.

Deposing Trump

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

First, some context: I do not see myself as any sort of “revolutionary.” I just love to run scenarios. So, relative to me, this is just running the, “How would you depose Trump?” scenario. I mean no harm. I don’t actually want any of this to happen in the real world.

But I do love a good scenario, so here goes.

The key thing to remember is to remember both how decentralize the USA is on an existential basis and how Godawful dumb and lazy Trump is. So, if Trump manages to become POTUS again — which looks like he is as of right now — his natural inclination will be to go “full tyrant” within moments of being sworn in.

This is where things get….uhhh….interesting.

Way, way, way, WAY too many people — especially older well-meaning white liberals on Facebook — seem to think just posting a sick burn of Trump on social media means jack shit. It does not. It just makes you look like a fool. So, if Trump really does go “full tyrant,” well, some one somewhere is going to have to risk some “lives and sacred honor” in the real world.

In general, it seems like easiest course of action for Blues if Trump goes full tyrant would be a General Strike — people in Blue States just don’t go to work until their conditions are met.

I could see the main condition being Trump and his veep stepping down (if the Speaker of the House is a Democrat) or in some way forcing SCOTUS to “review” their decision about the 14th Amendment and Trump. But even if the “good guys” won this initial victory, a civil war would break out because Texas, etc., would be enraged that Trump had to step down.

And that doesn’t begin to address how Trump would not leave office easily. A lot of people would get hurt because he would send Red National Guard troops into Blue States — even if there was no General Strike!

So, let’s call the whole thing off. Rather than any talk of “deposing” Trump, just leave the country if you can.

‘General Strike’

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

All I got when it comes to “deposing” Tyrant Trump, should it come to that, is a Blue General Strike. If the general American economy cratered because Blues — and specifically women — just didn’t show up to work for a few days, maybe the U.S. Military might be…persuaded…to get SCOTUS to review its 14th Amendment ruling about Trump?

Maybe?

Anything that happened would have to have a thin veneer of legality to it. But, of course, even if Trump just quit, him being forced out would cause a civil war because Reds would leave the Union — even if they were ok with the new MAGA veep turned POTUS.

(Talk about surreal.)

Though, I suspect if Trump were deposed that….arrangements….would be made so a non-MAGA POTUS would become president soon afterwards. I don’t want any of this to happen because….uhhh…the whole thing would be a total catastrophe.

2025: Dictatorship In America

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

The key issue whenever you think about what Trump might do if he wins is how stupid and lazy he is. It is clear that autocracy has the historical momentum at this point and the US — at least the Red parts — have decided that our future lies with some sort of white Christian ethnostate.

But — and this “but” is key — the person history has designated to turn America into the inevitable is so fucking dumb and lazy that he could very well be deposed soon after he starts to go full tyrant (probably through a Blue General Strike.)

Or something. Something like that.

I’m just some rando in the middle of nowhere, but I do love to run scenarios, so you get this bit of drivel that no one should read or take seriously. I can’t predict the future, but, on a macro basis, it definitely seems as though Something Bad is going to happen one way or another in the USA starting in late 2024, early 2025.

At the moment, I would guess it will go something like this — Trump wins, goes full tyrant, gets deposed then a civil war happens when Red States leave the Union. But that’s just one of a variety of scenarios that exist on a pretty wide spectrum.

Anyway. Who knows what is going to happen. I am very worried, I must admit. Very, very worried.

Why The USA Could Buckle

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

The key thing to think about going forward is how decentralized the USA is. We have all these states that are semi-autonomous. So, if Trump goes full tyrant on us, it’s easy to imagine Blue states saying “fuck that” and uniting against him. As such, it would be Blues — not Reds — who start a civil war.

Remember, as I keep saying, it makes no sense for Reds to start a civil war — they’re the ascendant ones. Meanwhile, Blues have the population, economic power and skilled workers and yet politically keep getting shat upon by idiot Reds.

So if the Heritage Foundation and Project 2025 happens in the early days of 2025, Blue states — probably starting with California — could very well start to leave the Union. And going forward in any civil war, the Bear State Republic would be the “arsenal of democracy.”

Now, remember, none of this would happen in a vacuum. The DPRK could whiz a few H-bombs our way if we buckle. WW3 will happen if the USA is too busy consuming itself to keep the global peace — about 2 billion people could die from limited nuclear exchanges around the globe.

What’s more, there is STILL a chance that if Trump either loses or wins and is deposed — by a General Strike? — that it is Reds who leave the Union and start a civil war.

Bottomline — revolution / civil war is a very real possibility now in the USA starting at any point after the November election.