Tag: We Are So Fucked

‘Slip On Ice’ — Lyrics To An Anti-ICE Protest Song.

(I know nothing about music, but I can write poetry that could be used as lyrics. So, someone do something with this. Just give me credit.)

Slip On Ice
lyrics by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner
2026
this winter is of our
discount discontent
here we are
the world is growing hot
and we’re full of snot
so all I gotta say is
slip on ice
slip on ice
slip on ice

the man won’t let say
what’s in my heart
so all I got is the reach around
I’m nothing more than an
upside down clown
telling the powers that be
what’s in my heart, you see
slip on ice
slip on ice
slip on ice

Public Enemy told us
to fight the power
but I won’t glower
I just tell the ice all around me
to slip on off into
the darkness ’cause
all I gotta say is
slip on ice
slip on ice
slip on ice

Well, At Least The USA Has Its Size Going For It In The Fight Against MAGA Fascism

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

While ICE really, really wants to have severe mission creep and become America’s SS, there is a problem in the near term: the USA is huge and decentralized. There just aren’t enough ICE agents to ben an effective SS on a per capita basis.

Add to this situation how decentralized the country is, in general and, lulz, we are probably going to be in this luminal space politically for some time to come.

What is going to be really interesting is what the U.S. Military will do if push comes to shove. Something truly extraordinary will have to happen for the American military to do anything domestically on a political basis.

And, yet, the whole point of Trump as a political historical figure is to destroy everything so…lulz? It could be that the ultimate endgame of MAGA and Trump is Trump starts a civil war and the military feels absolutely compelled to step in in some capacity.

Then you endup with President James Mattis as the leader of some sort of junta that rules the country until a Third Republic can be founded through a Constitutional Convention.

As A Principled, Loudmouth Crank, I Have To Accept The Possibility That ICE Is Going One Day Murder Me In Cold Fucking Blood

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

Not that I think it’s going to happen anytime soon, but I do feel like it’s potentially inevitable that ICE is going to murder me in cold blood at some point. Either because I’m just at the wrong place at the wrong time — like Renee Good — or because of mission creep them turning into America’s SS.

I like to think of myself as something of a survivor, though.

So, I guess this is post is me just psyching myself up to game out what the fuck I’m going to do. But I do know that my gut tells me if ICE came into my neighborhood I would definitely, if nothing else, film them with my smartphone.

Bastards.

And, as such, I would be putting myself in a position where a fascist ICE thug might murder me for just doing something as simple as that.

Of course, the darker option is ICE turns into the American SS and they murder me for, well, being a loudmouth crank. Just for writing my thoughts out on this blog. I’ve already started to imagine what it will be like if ICE agents came knocking on my door and dragged me away into the night for calling them fucking cocksuckers online.

We live in interesting times.

America Needs A General Strike — Too Bad It’s Just Not Going To Happen Anytime Soon

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

It’s said you can bring down any government with just 5% of the population participating in a revolt. And, all things considered, the USA definitely needs a General Strike right about now.

But, alas, it’s just not going to happen.

Because of our K-shaped economy, the Powers That Be would just fire anyone who participated in a General Strike (at least in Right to Work States) and go about their merry business. The only thing I can possibly see that might provoke the type of macro freak out necessary for a General Strike would be if the AI Bubble popped in a really big way.

And, of course, more people being shot in the face by ICE for being at the wrong place at the wrong time.

But, for now, I think it’s safe to say Trump and fucking fascist MAGA have the upper hand and will continue to have it for the foreseeable future. Maybe if Trump really brazenly fucks with the 2026 and or 2028 elections…THEN, MAYBE we might see the average American getting all Bulls On Parade, but for now, it’s all a lulz.

Life In Fascist America, 2026

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

The thing about America right now is it’s in something of a luminal space, politically. It’s more an anocracy than an autocracy. We still have some basic rights that the regime doesn’t feel it can attack…but there is definitely a creeping sense of autocracy.

The interesting thing about the American variant of fascism in 2026 is how it’s a movement of decline and retraction, rather than expansion. It’s not like Trump, for all his “I must own Greenland” wants to take over the world.

The key thing to remember is Trump is not a traditional “Great Man.” It’s not like he’s bending history to his will. He is a symptom, not a cause of what the fuck is wrong with the United States at the moment. He’s very much a transitional figure.

I still contend that the whole point of Trump as a public figure is to destroy the existing American Constitutional order to the point that we have to convene a new Constitutional Convention to give people renewed faith and confidence in having a constitution at all.

The old system is failing and a new system is, in fits and starts, being born. In a sense, you could say what we’re witnessing is either the true demise of American democracy or the breached birth of the Third American Republic.

Just don’t know how things are going to work out.

My Take On Events In Minnesota

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

Here’s what I think is happening after the tragic murder of Renee Good at the hands of a ICE thug in Minnesota. Trump really wanted to get ahead of things, so the moment he learned what happened, he put out the word as to what the orthodoxy on the subject would be.

The rest took care of itself.

Trump wants to divide us so he can run roughshod over civil society and he’s doing a great job at the moment of just that. So much so, that I’m beginning to doubt that anyone will do anything of note if Trump really fucks with the 2026 midterms.

Sure, people like me will get upset, but, in general the average person, especially “Good Americans” will just bothsides everything or do whataboutism and Trump will effectively cement us as a zomibe democracy — a managed democracy like they have in Hungary.

As such, I don’t see us having a civil war or revolution this year. We’re just going to slide further and further into autocracy. To the point that when Trump runs for an illegal third term in 2028 it will be a lulz for most people, but not me.

Second American Civil War (or Revolution), 2026?

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I have pontificated so much on the possibility of a civil war or revolution to the point that it’s kind of silly for me to talk about it. But, let’s do it anyway.

I just don’t think there will be a civil war in the United States in 2026. Americans are not French and, as such, they are very, very docile. It takes a lot — A LOT — to rile them up.

The only possible way I could maybe, just maybe see a civil war (or revolution) in the USA this year is if Trump actively fucked with the 2026 midterms to the point that he invoked the Insurrection Act or even declared martial law. If he declared martial law and tried to actually cancel the 2026 midterms, then, yes, we will have a civil war in the second half of this year.

But, otherwise, I just don’t see it.

Now, while we’re on the subject, I do think that if Trump ran for an illegal third term in 2028, then, yeah, that would cause a civil war or revolution. Big time. But, at the same time, I think Trump’s personal historical reason to exist on a macro basis is to destroy the existing Constitutional order to the point that we may have to convene a Constitutional Convention to fix things once he finally, finally leaves the stage.

But all of that is very, very speculative.

I will note that I have long thought that if there’s a civil war, it will because Blues have had enough, not because of Reds — why would Reds want a civil war, they’re politically ascendant.

Anyway, I can’t predict the future.

The Long-Predicted Vibe Shift Has, At Last, Happened

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

It definitely seems as though the long, long, long predicted vibe shift has happened. We’re in a new era, it seems. Something shifted in our collective consciousness between Christmas and January.

To the point that just in the first few days of 2026, all hell broke loose both domestically and abroad.

Anyway, who knows what all this means.

I do think that 2026 is going to be a pretty monumental year. Usually odd-numbered years are shit, but I think this year is going to be very turbulent and shocking in ways none of us can predict.

I Just Don’t Think We’re Ever Having Free-And-Fair Elections Again In My Lifetime

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

Trump is not governing like he ever expects Republicans to ever be out of office again. And, as such, I think this is it. The USA as we’ve known it for 250 years is over. The end, no more.

For the rest of my life, the USA will become poorer and more introverted while the wealthy grow richer and richer. I will also note that I think Trump’s historical purpose is to destroy the Constitutional system to the point that we are forced to hold a Constitutional Convention — at some point — to fix things.

Just imagine of Trump ran for an illegal third term and some (Red) states put him on the ballet, while some (Blue) states did not. If that’s not a recipe for a revolution and or civil war, I don’t know what is.

But, then, I think, Trump and MAGA would finally get what they wanted — the total destruction of what’s left of liberal democracy in America.

Hollywood Is Cooked, I Fear

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

If macro, megatrends continue the path they’re on now — Hollywood is totally cooked. To the point that within 10 years, young would-be starlets will go not to Los Angeles and Hollywood, but, instead to New York City and the lights of Broadway.

“Hollywood” as we know it, will be replaced with high quality AI generate media that is indistinguishable from what humans produce today. My go-to scenario is you will be able to come home from work (if those still exist for humans), tell your Knowledge Navigator what you want to see and it will whip up, on the fly, a new Star Wars movie with you as the hero and everything will be only vaguely connected to the broader Star Wars universe.

I’m not being all that original at this point to pontificate on such things, but I do think the only way Hollywood as we current know it exists in 10 to 20 years is specific legal carveouts for humans. That’s it, without carveouts, Hollywood as we know is a sinking ship.

But we live in an era — at the moment — when weak-willed plutocrats run the show in an autocratic social environment, so I have my doubts that even Hollywood could convince, say, Elon Musk, that it is worth saving.