Tag: Autocrats Never Lose

Is Tucker Carlson Going To Run For President ?

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

The firing of Tucker Carlson by Fox News has the potential to be far more historic than you might think. The way is cleared for Carlson to run for president in 2024. He apparently hates Trump and what better way to get his revenge than to cockblock Trump’s fascist dreams?

And, yet, Carlson is a coward and a bully — a total chickshit — so it seems possible that he’ll just pop up on NewsMax and that will be that. But the absolute stranglehold that Carlson has on the MAGA base is rivaled only by the big olde orange ding-dong himself Trump.

As such, Carlson has the means, motive and opportunity to run for — and win — the presidency in 2024. Carlson is everything that the MAGA base thought they were going to get with Trump but didn’t get because he’s a lazy idiot. Of course, Carlson doesn’t have any practical governing experience so, lulz, he probably will be a total disaster like Trump, but he’s young enough that he could definitely learn on the job.

Do I think Carlson will run?

Probably not. There’s too much money to be made being a NewsMax talking head. But the next few months could be very…interesting. It’s a least possible that the 2024 election will be far, far more unpredictable and unstable than any of us could have possibly predict.

I’m getting a strong 1860 vibe off of 2024. Though, I have to admit that I’m beginning to think all my hysterical predictions about a civil war are just that — “hysterical doom shit.” I think we’ll just get a Republican POTUS and slip gradually, and peacefully, into a Russian-style autocracy.

Republicans Are So Blinded By Their Anti-Abortion Rights Fervor That They’re Willing to Burn The Country To The Ground

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

It definitely seems as though SCOTUS is going to outlaw one of the two major abortion pills — responsible for most abortions — this Friday. This would be horrible politics for Republicans, but, lulz, they don’t care. Such a decision by SCOTUS late on a Friday would be yet another H-bomb dropped on the American political system.

But, again, Republicans just don’t give a shit.

Because of the rot in our politics, Republicans know that they’re ascendant and they’re going to get what they want soon enough: a total ban on not just abortion, but any form of birth control.

And when that happens?

Because abortion rights are at their heart an economic issue, the continued restriction of such rights would be very, very corrosive and would increase how Red and Blue states are receding from each other at an alarming rate.

But here we are — all the momentum is with the most extreme elements of the Republican Party. So, lulz, either we have some sort of National Divorce or we turn into an autocracy. Who knows which choice we’ll make.

America Is Careening Towards A Very Dark Fate In Late 2024, Early 2025

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

The two sides are set. No amount of wishful thinking is going to change that on a systemic basis America is very, very fucked. The cancer of fascism has consumed the Republicans to the point that, by definition, our next Republican POTUS will be our first autocrat.

Republicans go out of their way to to make it clear that they don’t believe in American democracy at all. Your establishment Republican will tell you point blank that America is a “constitutional republic” not a democracy.

The issue is — it doesn’t matter if Trump is the GQP nominee or not, America will peacefully transition into autocracy if 2024 – 2025 unless something unexpected happens. What that “unexpected” event might be, I don’t know. But America at the moment is an autocracy without an autocrat. All we need is a Republican as POTUS.

I just don’t have any hope about America’s future. We need to accept that we are careening towards an existential choice of autocracy or civil war in late 2024, early 2025. I can’t predict the future so obviously something might happen to allow us to punt our political problems down the road another election cycle…but I have my doubts.

Liberals Really Need To Stop Thinking Their Outrage Over Rightwing Hypocrisy Means Jack Shit

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

The die has been cast — the conditions now exist for either autocracy or a civil war starting in late 2024, early 2025. I suppose there is a minor chance that somehow we punt our problems down the road one more election cycle, but I’m not feeling too confident.

I say this because no matter who wins in 2024, one side or the other could very well feel compelled to leave the Union at the state level. And it really all depends on a combination of Trump and how bad things have gotten on a systemic basis within the Republican Party.

If Trump somehow magically manages NOT to steal / win the 2024 election, it’s easy to imagine him ranting about secession, even if it’s obliquely. That, unto itself, could be enough for Red states to begin the process of secession, probably starting with Texas. Though, of course, Texas might defer to South Carolina out of a sense of history. (Anything is possible.)

Meanwhile, if Trump wins in 2024 — which he could very well do, given that pretty much 40,000 swing voters in five states decide everything — his incoming agenda could be so God awful radical that Blue states are faced with the choice of bending a knee to autocracy or leaving the Union. If that choice did occur, my bet is that Blues will ultimately bend a knee because it’s too easy for all the smug Twitter liberals who would otherwise be the leadership of Blue America to simply decamp to the four corners of the world.

There is the chance that a Not Trump Republican wins the nomination and the 2024 election and such an outcome would grease the wheels of our transition into autocracy such that, lulz, we wake up in 20 years to the US invading Canada free it of the “woke cancel culture mob.”

I wish I was kidding.

Anyway, the key thing for me of late is liberas on Twitter continue to think fascist MAGA Nazis care one lick about hypocrisy. For instance, Clarence Thomas could have eaten someone as a kid, Yellowjackets style, and there would not be a peep from the Right about him needing to resign. MAGA Nazis are so craven, so power hungry, that they’re willing to accept any crime, any hypocrisy….ANYTHING…from someone on their side if it furthers their MAGA Nazi agenda.

So, lulz. That’s all I got, folks. Get ready.

‘Maude:’ Pop Culture in The Post-Dobbs Era

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

Gradually, since there was an abortion storyline on the primetime TV show “Maude,” the issue of abortion became extremely taboo in pop culture. Even when, all things considered, it made a lot of sense for a story to broach the subject, TV and movies did everything in their power to dodge the issue.

So, when the Amazon Prime TV show Daisy Jones & The Six prominently featured abortion, I started to wonder if things have changed because of the Dobbs ruling. Is it possible that now that abortion is again a political football that it’s ok to address the issue?

If this is true, it would be very paradoxical. You would think that while abortion was legal that it would be ok to talk about it frankly in pop culture. Nope. In the years since Maude — and Roe V. Wade — it became nearly absolutely impossible for fiction — especially TV and movies — to even so much as get anywhere near the topic.

And, yet, here we are in an new era where abortion rights are receding and you have a mainstream work of pop culture like Daisy Jones & The Six talk about in a very direct manner.

Maybe I’m overthinking things. It could be that lulz, nothing matters and nothing has changed. But I do think the long-term effects of the Dobbs decision on pop culture aren’t known yet.

Well, They Have A Point

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I’m a big fan of the New York Times Pitchbot Twitter account, so when I saw the following, I felt a bit sheepish.

He made a point of referencing his tweet above, then pointing out this real hot take, below.

I feel rather sheepish because, lulz, I’ve made a similar point on the blog of late. I usually mention this when I get annoyed not so much at the Trans movement, but the meta element of it all — they are so touchy about people conforming to their media narrative orthodoxy that they really do drive a lot of well meaning Traditionalists into the arms of fucking MAGA fascists.

I find the complaint of the otherwise stellar New York Times Pitchbot a bit murky. The issue of overzealous liberal-progressives is a real problem (at least with the Traditionalists in my life) so I don’t quite know how to address his complaint.

Anyway. What do I know.

The War of ‘Vibes:’ What To Make Of MAGA’s Fucking Freak Out Over Bud Light & Dylan Mulvaney

So. What to make of this particular kerfuffle. I could care less that Bud Light has decided to work with trans “influencer” Dylan Mulvaney. So what. I don’t see how it’s hurting anyone. And, yet, from the way MAGA “thought leaders” talk about the situation, you’d think Jesus wouldn’t come back unless Something Is Done about this particular situation.

Unlike the more concrete issues of abortion and gun control, much of the controversy over “woke” companies working with the Transgender movement is just…vibes. White (male) Christians are big fucking crybabies and anything they forces them to maybe step outside their comfort zone makes them freak the fuck out.

They don’t like what they don’t like because they don’t like it.

Now, I’ve written a lot before about how there is a specific meta issue with all of this that really fucking bugs me — the fact that there is something of a Trans orthodoxy that is so strict that a lot of well-meaning feel they have no choice but to support fascism.

But I can honestly say I had no clue who Dylan Mulvaney was until MAGA people began to freak out. MAGA has made it pretty clear on Twitter what is going on — they want to make Dylan Mulvaney so “problematic” that Bud Light has to pull out of their work with her.

This is very frothy logic and it definitely comes across as MAGA though leaders sucking their own cocks. The two sides are so siloed in their echo chambers at this point that all the ranting on the part of MAGA about Mulvaney does is make Blues like her more and Reds hate her more.

MAGA is willing to hurt their own macro goals simply because on a tactical basis they can’t handle someone disagreeing with them. And one of the cornerstone elements of MAGA is MAGA is run by the very elites that the average MAGA person hates.

But I suppose it’s inevitable that if there is some sort of MAGA revolution, that we’ll reach the “revolution eating its own young” phase of things.

Any. Fuck MAGA.

I’m Beginning To Grow Concerned About Gun Violence In America On a Personal Basis

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I now, for the first time, find myself dwelling on what I would do if some whack job started shooting while I’m out. I know in the abstract that this is rather ridiculous, but I also realize that gun violence in the United States is so completely out of hand that I probably need to begin to psych myself up for the possibility that the bullets may start flying.

The fear reminds me of a short story concept I have in which everyone is handed a gun at 18 and you’re required to be packing at all times, no matter what. That definitely seems like the future we’re careening towards — at least in Red States.

Guns are definitely an issue that continues to tear the country apart. If you want to know how Red or Blue a state — or a person — is, figure out their views on common sense gun control. The issue is, of course, that on a systemic basis Republicans continue to lurch towards getting their autocratic future where voting is a lulz and fuck you woke libtard.

When MAGA catches that particular car, that will be the moment of truth to determine one way or another if the United States becomes an autocracy with permanent white Christian minority rule or we have a civil war. It could go either way at this point.

And as I keep ranting about — it all depends on Trump.

Which direction the country goes will ultimately fall in Trump’s lap. He could, unto himself, cause a civil war to happen either by winning or by losing! I’m coming to believe Blues just don’t have it in them to be so bold as to serve papers on a National Divorce. It will be too easy for the would-be leadership of a Blue Nation to simply decamp to the south of France to produce their smug out-of-touch podcasts.

I don’t know. Everything is so muddled at this point. I really don’t want a civil war. I have a novel to try to sell.

The Current State of Abortion Politics Perfectly Sums Up Why America is Very, Very Fucked

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

The bonkers state of affairs on the abortion front is a prime example of how America is facing the existential choice of autocracy or civil war in late 2024, early 2025.

The reason is — the Republican Party continues to lose support because of Trump and yet the base of the GQP is so potent that they continue to cling on to the least-popular of agendas. If the United States was a functioning democracy, there would come a point of crisis, a tipping point, where Republicans would finally realize they have to adjust their policy positions so they can get back to winning elections again.

But we are not a functioning democracy and the Republican Party is fascist.

As such, I just don’t know how our democracy makes it through the passions of the 2024 election. We’re either going to stop being a democracy and voting will be moot as MAGA consolidates power or we have some sort of National Divorce which prompts a Second American Civil War. Either Trump loses and we have a civil war because Reds leave the Union or Trump wins and we have a civil war because Blues leave the Union.

Republicans hate democracy and they are so beholden to their autocracy loving base that they see democracy as a means to an end — their victory and permanent rule as white minority Christians.

There are no easy answers. No easy solutions. But I will note that I’m almost always wrong, so lulz, who knows.

Will There Be A ‘MAGA Revolution’ Starting In 2024?

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

America is spinning out of control so fast that I sometimes think all that we don’t know if it will be MAGA or Blues that decide to leave the Union starting in late 2024, early 2025. I spend a lot of time assuming that if such a thing happens, it will be Blues who do it.

And, yet MAGA sure does enjoy mentally masturbating about Red states leaving the Union. So, yet again, let’s contemplate what a “MAGA Revolution” might look like in the context of the 2024 presidential election cycle. The issue for me is, MAGA really is fading in popularity to some extent. Or, to put it another way, that core 38% of the Republican base has such a stranglehold on Republicans that when the time comes that, unto itself, might be enough to cause Red states to leave the Union.

The key thing that would prompt Reds, rather than Blues, to leave the Union would be if ding-dong Trump won or not. If Trump won the 2024 election — which definitely seems he will one way or another — then the possibility that Blues will begin to leave the Union increases significantly.

But if Trump somehow loses, then I could see a situation where he rants and rants and rants about how yet another election was “stolen” from him and he, as such, causes Red states like Texas, etc, to begin the process of leaving the Union via secessionist conventions.

Marjorie Taylor Greene and Donald Trump at a campaign rally in Dalton, Ga., on Jan. 4, 2021.

If it has to happen, then of course I want the onus of secession to be on Reds. Then Blues get to keep the USA brand and we have every moral obligation to keep the Union together, just like we did during the first American Civil War. But something I have to keep reminding myself whenever I run these Second American Civil War scenarios is I just can’t predict the future to any specific degree.

There’s every reason to believe that if there was a National Divorce that it would be successful for various reasons. And, what’s worse, the DPRK could aggravate things by lobbing a few H-Bombs our way as we’re in the middle of tearing ourselves apart. And, what’s worse, if the US is having a civil war, WW3 would, by definition, begin to happen around the world.

But we have to appreciate that on a systemic basis, the Republican Party is chomping at the bit to either turn the United States into an autocracy or force the issue of a National Divorce. And that existential choice will come to a head one way or another as part of the 2024 election. At the moment, I just don’t see how Trump doesn’t win in 2024, which would cause Blues to think about leaving the Union.

And, yet, I just can’t predict the future — I sure did a bad job of it in 2020 — so I suppose something could happen that causes Trump to lose the 2024 election and, as such, prompts discussion within MAGA Reds about leaving the Union. It really could, at the moment, go either way.