There Is A Small Chance I May Reach The Midpoint Of The First Draft Of My Scifi Dramedy Novel By Sept. 1st

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I try not to make any hard and fast predictions about my writing since I did it for years and only came up with one not-good-enough-to-query novel when all I was said and done.

But just looking at the number of scenes I have remaining in the first half of the outline, it definitely seems at l least possible that I might wrap the first half of the novel up by Sept. 1st.

Things really are moving that fast.

But, remember, this is just the first draft. Once I sit down to write the beta release, the one someone else is going to actually read, then the dynamic changes. I won’t use AI anymore and I’m going to have to write my own scene summaries. Things are going to slow down dramatically.

I am still pondering how to make my hero more proactive in the second half of the novel. I let AI write much of the outline and the part I haven’t really read that much is the second half. So, hopefully, but just me looking over the outline I will figure out a way to make my hero more proactive.

But, in general, I am very pleased with this novel. It’s about as good as it’s going to get, I think, in some ways, at least on a structural basis. And I’ve managed to keep it “personal” in the latter part of the novel. It doesn’t veer off into a political tirade like the original premise did.

Whenever I Generate ‘Buzz,’ I Wonder Why

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I talk primarily about three thing on this blog: technology, politics and my long, long, long struggle to write a query-worthy novel.

And because, like, no one reads this thing, whenever someone pops up in my Webstats who clearly heard about this blog from a third party it makes me wonder why. What, exactly, did I write about to generate “buzz,” however small.

As it stands, I have no idea why anyone might come to this blog. I usually can’t see what keyword someone used to find the blog, but I often do see that people can through Instagram, which is usually a sign that someone was searching for my name and came in that way.

Anyway, it’s generally flattering when someone searches for my out of the blue. Though, of course, the way things are going it’s growing more and more ominous — ICE is going to probably track me down soon enough and push me out a a window or something.

Struggling To Make My Hero Less Passive

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I’m zooming through the “fun and games” part of this novel I’m working on and will soon cross the midpoint into the “bad guys close in” part of the novel. But I have a problem, not only do I not really know what happens in this part of the novel because I got AI to finish my outline, according to AI, my hero is “too passive.”

What I think is going to happen is once I actually thoughtfully read the second half of the novel, there will be a lot — a lot — of changes. My own vision, not just the vision of the AIs I’ve been using, will take shape and I’ll hopefully be able to make my hero a lot more proactive.

But, if nothing else, doing it the way I’ve been doing it has ensured I keep the momentum of the writing of the novel. I really want to wrap the first draft of the novel up by the end of the year, so I can turn around and write the second draft. Writing the second draft is going to be a lot — A LOT — slower because I refuse to use any AI (within reason) to actually write it.

I’m going to use my AI-enabled “vomit” draft as a guide for the entire, 100% AI free second draft. And that’s when my native writing — bad or otherwise — will shine. Only time will tell if my actual writing ability sucks too much natively for me to ever query anything I write to a literary agent.

The Dangers Of AI In Novel Writing

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

Because I’m working on the first “vomit” draft of this novel, I’m letting AI write some scenes because I know I’m going to rewrite them anyway. But my reasoning for allowing it to do this doesn’t make me feel any better.

I know, in a sense, that I’m just kicking a lot of work down the road. When I sit down to write the second draft without AI, I’m going to have to know the story inside and out.

I’m prepared to do that, but I’m afraid I’m going to be so spoiled from just handing things over to AI whenever I don’t feel like writing, like I did in the first draft process, that I will grow discouraged.

I don’t think that will happen because I’m going to be so self-conscious of that possibility going into the second draft process. But I have to admit that I’m very pleased how things are going at the moment with this first draft. I’m zooming through the first draft’s outline at quite an impressive clip.

Only time will tell if I can keep that speed of progress up going forward.

‘A Lot Of People Are Saying…’

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I keep having to recalculate my “hysterical doom shit” about the future of what’s left of America’s democracy. Trump said in the last few days that “A lot of people are saying we need a dictator,” and that leads me to believe we definitely won’t have free-and-fair Federal elections in 2026, much less 2028.

So, this is it.

We’re now a dictatorship and that just happens to have zombie elections on a regular basis. We’re now no better than Hungary or even Russia. The key question is, of course, do we go full Russia or do we linger around Hungary?

At the moment, that’s something of an open question.

I think a lot of it depends on who replaces Trump. If it’s JD Vance, then I think we might, just might linger in the Hungary zone. But if it’s someone who is far more craven and focused on absolute power, then, lulz, we zoom towards the Russia model and I endup in some sort of gulag.

That, or I get pushed out a window.

Fuck MAGA, bunch of cocksuckers.

Stephen Colbert Is A Viable Presidential Candidate Because He Has a ‘Hook’

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

The thing about California Governor Gavin Newsom is he doesn’t have a “hook.” He’s a what-you-see-is-what-you-get political figure. Great looking, smart and driven. He doesn’t really have any quirk that would give him the persona needed to be president.

Now, if you could plop Newsom into the South somehow, then you’ve got yourself a really great candidate.

That’s why if there was some magical way to force Stephen Colbert run for Senator from South Carolina and have him actually win, then, wow, would he be a great political figure.

But there’s a lot wrong with that dream.

First, I don’t think he wants to do such a thing. Second, he probably wouldn’t win and third, lulz, who said anything about us having free-and-fair Federal election in 2028?

So, we’re stuck with what we’ve got. A wane, feckless Democratic opposition that can’t shoot straight and a MAGA leader who is a malignant ding-dong with a death-cult like following.

Things Are Politically Spinning Out Of Control In The USA

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

For a variety of macro political reasons, the MAGA Right simply can not, will not be placated. They want to turn the USA into a white Christian autocratic ethnostate as fast as possible.

And, really, at the moment, there doesn’t seem to be anything that is going to stop them. I suppose if there was some sort of civil war or revolution that might give the MAGA Right at least pause for thought.

But, in general, that isn’t going to happen — I hope — and so we have to accept that the USA is transforming into a very dark zombie version of itself. We will be — or are — an autocratic state in all but name at this point and it’s only going to get far, far worse.

There just doesn’t seem to be any way to stop it, baring significant upheaval in a way not seen since the Civil War.

In fact, the only thing I could possible see causing the type of reaction against the MAGA Right that is needed is if Trump, like, started to seize or brazenly purge the major broadcast networks. And not in the round about way he’s been doing — it would have to be at his express direction.

Or if Trump started to round up people — like me! — for what I said online, then, yeah, that would catch people’s attention because freedom of speech is so native to the American experience.

But…who knows. Who knows what is going to happen.

I’m Now In The ‘Fun & Games’ Part Of The First Draft Of This Scifi ‘Dramedy’ I’m Developing & Writing

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I have a lot of work to do between this first draft I’m working on and the second draft. Like, I have to figure out the mensural cycle of an android so women readers want get angry that a smelly boy could not figure out something so simple.

Ugh.

But, in general, things are moving at a nice little clip. I just can’t allow myself to get overwhelmed like I have so much in the past. I have to just chill out and let myself slip into the mood of writing without being worn down by feeling like I’ve been spinning my wheels.

One thing that has been a real pain is the AIs I’ve been using to lay out the first draft scene summaries act like they’ve never seen the movie Her and want my bot to be a lot more clinical and robotic than I want her to be. I want her to be like Sam from Her — warm and human like.

I’m really spending a lot of time gaming out what my bot’s very human persona will be in the second draft. But, for the time being, this is the first “vomit” draft and I just write whatever I want.

It’s because I’m going to have to spend so much more extra time on the second draft that it could be a year from now before I query this damn thing. That, and my life is about to change in some pretty fundimental ways and that is going to suck.

The MAGA Right’s Fixation On Sydney Sweeney

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

Not since the worst of the 2016 campaign slugfest silly season have I seen the MAGA Right go nuts. These days, two things have them completely consumed — Sydney Sweeney’s ass and the Cracker Barrel rebrand.

Let’s talk about Sweeney. Unlike Taylor Swift who was aghast that the Nazi MAGA Right tried to claim her as their “own,” Sweeney seems ok with that to a degree. She stays silent, at least.

A lot of why the MAGA Right loves her so much is they’re fucking Nazis and they like that she’s blonde. It also helps that she is all T&A as well. But the case could be made that it’s more about her being blonde than anything else.

MAGA Nazis sure do hate black and brown people. Someone on Twitter said that there were two reasons for MAGA: rich people did not want to pay taxes and conservative men couldn’t get laid.

I would suggest a third issue — racism and bigotry, pure and simple.

And that all comes about because of race insecurity. (Conservative) white people are freaking out that the USA will be minority majority soon and they would rather burn the country — and our democracy — to the ground than accept it. They really, really want a white Christian ethnostate.

I just have no solution to this problem, folks. These are macro issues we’re dealing with and there’s just no easy solution. Either we slide into autocracy or we have a revolution / civil war.

The Coming Age of Replicants: A Timeline for Humanoid Labor

We appear to be on a trajectory toward creating literal Replicants from Blade Runner, possibly by 2040. This isn’t science fiction anymore—it’s an emerging technological reality that deserves serious consideration.

Beyond the “Androids Can’t Be Plumbers” Fallacy

Many people dismiss the potential of humanoid robots with arguments like “androids will never be plumbers.” This perspective fundamentally misses the point. The primary purpose of advanced androids—our real-world Replicants—will be precisely to replace humans in demanding, manual labor jobs like plumbing, construction, and manufacturing.

Once we move beyond the initial phases of development, the entire design philosophy will shift toward creating robots capable of handling the physical demands that humans currently endure in blue-collar work.

The Dual Focus of Replicant Development

Current trends suggest that future humanoid robots will be designed with two primary applications in mind:

  1. Intimate companionship – Meeting social and emotional needs
  2. Manual labor – Performing dangerous, difficult, or undesirable physical work

These two sectors will likely drive the majority of research, development, and design refinement in humanoid robotics.

Timeline and Implications

Barring any dramatic technological breakthroughs, I estimate we’ll see functional Replicants within the next 15-20 years. This timeline assumes steady progress in current areas like materials science, artificial intelligence, and robotics engineering.

However, if we experience a technological Singularity—a point where AI advancement accelerates exponentially—this timeline could compress dramatically. In that scenario, we might see Replicants emerge within a decade.

Looking Forward

Whether we reach this milestone in 10 years or 20, we’re likely witnessing the early stages of a fundamental shift in how society organizes labor and human relationships. The question isn’t whether we’ll create Replicants, but how quickly we’ll adapt to their presence in our world.