Category: The Resistance

MTG Keeps Proving My Theory Of The Case About The Nature Of A Second American Civil War Starting In Late 2024, Early 2025

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I can’t predict the future, but I have for years now written about how I believe if there is an actual civil war, it won’t be some sort of mass freak out by AR-15 toting MAGA morons. It’s going to be a proper old school civil war with a secession crisis and the whole she-bang.

Just look at this tweet by Marjorie Taylor Greene:

The above words definitely seem to indicate that Republicans have secession on the brain if they don’t get what they want. And I still think that if there is a Secession Crisis in late 2024, early 2025 because Trump loses that Texas will be the first state to call up a secessionist convention.

Though I suppose it’s possible that Texas might defer to South Carolina out of a sense of historical symmetry. Of course, given the large African American population in South Carolina secession MIGHT be a hard sell in that state, even though apparently most of the Republicans in that state think “the South Shall Rise Again.”

But we’re still too far out — I just don’t know the specifics of any so-called “Fourth Turning.” The issue I just can’t predict is how serious Republicans are about leave the Union in a National Divorce if Trump doesn’t win. It could be all talk, even if Trump is going to be ranting at the top of his lungs that there should be a National Divorce so he doesn’t have to go to prison.

All I can tell you is — any National Divorce or subsequent 2ACW is going to be very, very, very messy and will probably prompt World War 3 while it’s at it. Hold on tight, things might be bumpy starting in late 2024, early 2025.

Republicans Painting Democrats as ‘Baby Killers’ May Lead To Severe, Dark Consequences

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

Something very alarming is beginning to become a mainstream tenant of faith for Republicans — the idea that Democrats are “baby killers.” Republicans probably are doing this at the moment just because it’s a convenient way to juice the base and appeal to low information voters, but long term, oh fucking boy.

The notion that Democrats as a group advocate murdering babies is just the type of dehumanizing tactic that might lead to God-only-knows-what at some point in the future. It’s very similar, of course, to the Blood Libel that the Nazis committed against the Jews.

Do I think things might get that bad? I guess…not? I just don’t know. I can’t game things out that much. But it’s definitely a “Not great, Bob,” type of situation when you have a major political party in a failing democracy accusing the membership of its rivals of something so heinous.

My fear is, of course, that MAGA will go septic and the next thing you know, MAGA Republicans will be in power again and they’ll start rounding up center-Left people in the name of “saving babies.”

Shiver. What a dark and tragically possible future.

It’s Definitely Looking Like My So-Called ‘Hysterical Doom Shit’ About Our Fate Might Not Be So Far Off

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

You have to admire “Mueller, She Wrote.” The proprietors of that account think that all of our political problems will be magically solved because of this or that court case. Somehow, using rainbows and unicorn farts, Trump and MAGA will fade away because someone swoops in an “saves” us.

Fuck that — we are so fucking screwed.

I can’t predict the future, of course, so it’s very possible that something might happen between now and late 2024, early 2025 that makes a “third way” viable. But I’m not going to fucking hold my breath. If it happens, it’s not going to be because someone “saved” us — it will be because of something totally unpredictable and totally out of our control.

As it stands, either we slide peacefully into autocracy as a result of Trump winning in 2024, or we have a massive fucking civil war domestically and a world war internationally. The world is primed and ready for Something Bad to happen a lot sooner than you might think.

I mean, we fucking have MAGA people running around with “Trump or Death” flags just as fucking Nazis are also walking around. If that isn’t an indication that we’re in a bumpy political ride in the near term, I don’t know what does. We have to stop thinking that either our law or a politics function like they used to.

We have to begin to prepare for the absolute fucking worst — be it autocracy or civil war / revolution. It’s a hard pill to swallow, but it is a very cold, hard reality. No one is going to save us. Get ready.

Qanon’s Fixation On Tom Hanks Is Totally Fucking Bonkers

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

Tom Hanks is not perfect. He’s human like all of us, and, yet, apparently in the minds of the fucking Qanon cocksuckers, he’s some sort of evil villian, lurking in the shadows. My current theory as to why this is goes like this — given Hanks’ all-American persona, the freaks of Qanon think that if they can get you to think the worst of him, they can convince you of anything else.

Like I said — Hanks isn’t perfect.

He’s apparently had a long-running affair with a much-younger woman, or something like that. But, in general, what I understand about him is he does pretty much live up to his persona. As much as anyone could be expect to, at least.

Anyway. I don’t think we really take the fucking Qanon bullshit threat seriously enough. Those fuckers are growing in power and if we’re not careful, they’re going to fucking go septic and a lot of innocent people will endup in campus. The fact that I might be among them has not escaped my attention. Even though, of course, we all know that Qanon is just warmed over old school anti-semitism

It definitely will be interesting to see how things play out with Qanon between now and late 2024, early 2025..

We Live In A ‘Wrong & Strong’ Era

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

This is a problem that I don’t know how to fix — we live in an era whereby people often have some very ill-conceived hot takes that they’re willing to fight to the death to defend.

It’s even to make just existing a real struggle. I can’t seem to go a day without someone pretty much just spouting bullshit, but bullshit in such a strident way that it makes you question your sanity.

While MAGA is the biggest example of this, the Left is not immune. I’ve come across some pretty batshit insane Leftist views. And don’t get me started on all the bullshit writing advice that I’ve had to endure the last few years. UGH. It’s enraging.

But, in a way, what’s worse is when the polity we’re supposed to have collapses because some pretty basic issues are so loaded that no one is willing to talk about them. The two sides views on everything from abortion to guns to global climate change are now so absolute and unchanging that it’s best not to even mention them if you don’t want a screaming match to break out.

I know from my own personal life that my MAGA-friendly relatives — whom I love dearly — pretty much have stopped talking to me about politics these days because I simply review to toe the fucking MAGA line.

UGH.

Anyway, fucking late 2024, early 2025 could be so fucking insane that few, if any of us, get out alive.

I Can’t Predict The Future, But I Am…Worried About America’s Political Future

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I continue to grow more and more alarmed about what may happen in late 2024, early 2025. I say this because I just can see any sort of “third way” like what happened in 2020.

This is it — in 2024, we either slip peacefully into a MAGA-themed autocracy or we have a civil war (Reds) or revolution (Blues.) I definitely don’t want any of these scenarios to happen — I just want to punt things down the road again –but that just doesn’t seem a viable option.

In fact, if anything, the MAGA Right continues to make it clear, time and again, that we could spend all this energy to defeat Trump, only to have him turn around and demand a civil war so he, personally, can avoid prison.

That’s the element to all of this that way too many well-meaning Blues miss. They think that by just defeating Trump at the polls that everything will be ok for another four years, when, in fact, we just find ourselves facing the prospect of a “National Divorce.”

There remains one thing I can’t game out — how much of all this talk of violence on the part of MAGA and how much if it is real? I think, in a sense, we’re asking the wrong question. I don’t think on an individual basis that MAGA idiots have it in them to run around shooting people (thank God.)

But I do think that on a institutional basis that MAGA Republican state legislatures *DO* have it in them to call up Secessionist Conventions if Trump loses in 2024 — probably starting with Texas and then going to South Carolina.

Anyway, pray, is all I gotta say. Pray that I’m wrong and somehow we aren’t careening towards a catastrophe, even though it looks like we are at the moment.

Lazy Observations About Vivek Ramaswamy’s Talking Points

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I still find it curious that Vivek Ramaswamy hasn’t managed to gain significant popularity in the polls, since he makes all the right people angry. And, yet, here we are. Trump is just as popular as ever and Vivek continues to poll in the single digits.

Here are some very lazy observations about his talking points — I’ve done no research and I’m just doing it off the top of my head.

The most notable talking point to me is how Vivek never misses an opportunity to slip in a reference to a National Divorce. I think this gives us a pretty good sense of the audience he’s trying to reach. He is scooping up the fears and concerns of the far far Right and trying to validate them in an effort to pry some of them off of Trump.

All this talk about a National Divorce — no matter how chipper he may be as he says it — has only managed to make people like me more concerned about what will happen if malignant ding-dong Trump manages to lose the 2024 election. I can’t predict the future, but it definitely seems as though there is simply no way to avoid a massive, historic political event of some sort involving the 2024 presidential election.

Meanwhile, the other thing I hear a lot from Vivek is always pivoting to “the future” whenever some stupid thing that Trump comes up in conversation. I get what he’s trying to do. Not only does it allow him to dodge questions about the past, it gives him a bright, sunny “Morning Again In America” type vibe, even if it’s from a fucking fascist POV.

Lastly, the other issue he keeps blathering about is not only raising the voting age to 25, but requiring young people to take a civics test to vote. Not only is this fascist, but it’s also ironic given that Vivek has repeatedly shown that HE can’t pass basic American civics.

Anyway. We’re fucked. Good luck!

An Astonishing Number Of People Will Have To Die Each Day During The Next Pandemic For Us To Have The Political Will To Do Anything About It

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I can tell you from what the conservatives in my family — whom I love dearly — have told me that a massive number of people will have to start dying each day for any sort of political response to a new pandemic to happen. It could be as high as 10,000 people a day before we can get our act together.

I don’t know, it might even be more — 20,000? 30,000? 50,000?

There is now a strict orthodoxy within traditional conservative ranks that under no circumstances can there ever be any sort of lockdown or restricts imposed because of a health emergency.

So, things will have to grow rather apocalyptic before there is any collective action when we have the next pandemic. I have this on my mind at the moment because I’m growing nervous that this fall and winter might be really bad in regards to COVID.

At the moment, it definitely seems as though, lulz, we’re just going to let people die needlessly, no matter how bad things get this COVID season. Ugh. Everything is so dumb.

America May Destroy Itself Over ‘Vibes’

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

It’s clear from talking to my conservative relatives that the thing at very absolute forefront of their minds isn’t policy — it’s vibes. They usually don’t know why they’re angry, just that they are. This “vibe” anger is so potent that most of the country thinks we’re in a recession when we are not, in fact, in a recession.

As such, I don’t know how much credence I give to people who think that we can only have a civil war / revolution if there is some sort of economic element to it. Even though abortion is definitely an economic issue, I think civil war (Reds) / revolution (Blues) could happen just because of vibes.

This “vibe” civil war / revolution we’re careening towards appears in all sorts of ways. One conspicuous way this expresses itself is when MAGA people online say the most ridiculous things about Trump — things they do not, in fact, believe — just so they can “own the libs” and do some virtue signalling to their fellow MAGA cult members.

So dumb.
This particular dumb technique on the part of MAGA cocksuckers really has become rather absurd. It’s totally bonkers and dumb. It’s one of those things, though, that makes me very uneasy.

Given a few more months to marinate and the passions of a presidential election, it definitely seems as though “vibes” will be enough to ultimately destroy the United States — or at least put in it a very precarious position while we figure out if we’re going to become a MAGA autocracy or a have a civil war / revolution.

A Populist Recipe For Disaster

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I continue to grow alarmed with how otherwise normal, sane people have bought into the populist bullshit that ding-dong Trump keeps pushing. A growing number of people have serious misgivings about the honesty of “the elites” to the point that they are willing to vote for a fucking fascist like Trump.

It definitely seems as though we’re careening towards a very, very, very dark situation in late 2024, early 2025. Of course, there is always a possibility that we’ll find some sort of “third way” or off ramp before things get as bad as I fear, but, lulz, I doubt it.

Some severe macro forces are a play at the moment. While I still believe The Fourth Turning is nothing more than astrology for dudes, I do think the idea that some sort of catastrophic event may occur around 2025 has some merit to it. All signs point to a massive clusterfuck in late 2024, early 2025 because we just can’t keep punting our problems down the road any more.

It’s officially put up or shut up time.

Any major change in America’s political system will cause a series of cascading events that will probably lead to WW3. It doesn’t matter if we turn into an inward looking autocracy of blood and soil or if we have some sort of civil war / revolution — if the United States is distracted, then the entire post WW2 global order will be at risk.

There doesn’t seem to be any way to stop it all. We just have to prepare for something dramatic to happen in less than two years. Whatever it is that happens, I think will mark the end of the silly “woke” era that we’ve been living in. It’s difficult to get too up set over the misuse of pronouns when you’re hiding from ICE agents or dodging missiles.

But we’ll see, I suppose.