Category: Cold Civil War

The Idea Of A Civil War or Revolution Because Of Trump Is Just Too Profound To Comprehend in Late 2023

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

Talk about projection.

At the moment, now, in late 2023, I’m not prepared to predict that all of my hysterical doom shit might actually happen starting in late 2024, early 2025. It’s just not easy to comprehend that the greatest nation in the world might collapse into civil war / revolution because malignant ding-dong Trump goes full tyrant.

The only reason why I think it’s possible is the Republican Party has so radicalized that any additional pressure on our political system might be enough for the whole thing to come crashing down. We’re dealing with macro demographic and political trends that definitely SEEM to all be heading towards some sort of climax in late 2024, early 2025.

But it could that, just like in 2020, we manage to punt our problems down the road another four years and all my dire predictions will look rather silly. And that’s the outcome I want. It’s not like I *want* the United States to turn into a MAGA-themed autocracy or have a revolution / civil war.

All I can say is, wait and see. Everything is still up in the air and could go either way.

‘Direct Action’

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

Now, let me be clear — I’m not advocating anything. I’m just musing about how bad things might get under a second Trump Administration and what might be the reaction.

The key thing to remember is how difficult it is to rile Americans up. It was only because of a series of things going wrong at the same time that there was so much upheaval in the late 60s and early 70s. And even then the moment the Draft ended, most (white) people calmed down and just wanted to boogie on the dance floor.

And, yet, at the core of the Trump problem is he loves to piss all over anything sacred. He can’t help himself. The moment he realizes something is special or protected in the minds of a group, the first thing he does is go out of his way to hurt the feelings of that very group.

So, it’s well within the realm of possibility that Trump in a second term would literally “lock her up.” He could literally arrest not just Hillary Clinton, but any number of other well respected Blues. And he would do it in the most ham-handed, gross way that would cause Blues to grow enraged. And all off this would be happening in the context of him sending in the U.S. Military to Blue areas of the country by invoking the Insurrection Act.

But I’m still not 100% sure that would be enough for any sort of General Strike. It could be that rather than doing anything about Trump, so many smug Twitter liberals will leave the country that we Poors will be left to fend for ourselves. It could be that Trump will somehow manage to fall just below the level of tyranny that would cause national direct action against his rule.

Yet, as I said, Trump has a knack for shitting on anything a group holds sacred. So if Trump goes full tyrant and his toadies start to act on his fascist, autocratic tendencies in a way that is difficult for Blues — and even some Reds — to process, we’re going to the show.

It is at least possible that some Trump’s tyranny could result in some unpreceded events to happen. And, yet, if Trump was somehow deposed, that would just lead to Red States wanting to leave the Union.

I don’t know what to tell you. Things might get really bumpy 2025.

Never Forget The Truth About Fox News

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

A lot of people lose sight of what’s going on with Fox News. The so-called “news” channel is popular specifically because of all the lying it does. It’s popular because it gives its audience what it wants.

In fact, their biggest crisis of late has come with they told the truth — that Trump lost Arizona. It was when they called Arizona for Biden that people started to flee them for NewsMax and ONANN.

As such, that’s a far bigger issue than you might think. This means there is a huge portion of the electorate that doesn’t want the truth — they want MAGA lies fed to them on a regular basis and if they don’t get those lies, they will go somewhere that will give them to them.

So, I dunno what to tell you. There’s just not much we can do about any of this. All the macro conditions continue to be there for Something Bad to happen in the United States starting in late 2024, early 2025. But I can’t predict the future.

Who knows.

Join You In The Trump Branded ICE Concentration Camp In 2025

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

The thing that so many well-meaning Traditionalist miss about their dreams of deporting several million undocumented people from the US is if you build out that much infrastructure you can use it for OTHER people as well.

That is the crux of how delusional so many conservative Traditionalists are. They live in a la-la land where only brown people they don’t like will be put in concentration camps and deported. They are willfully ignorant of how gays, Jews, the mentally ill and “liberals” will ALSO be put in these camps simply because the means to do so will exist.

And that will be the moment when the “Good Americans” will have to make a decision, at last, as to if they have *any* Red Line when it comes to Trump. I hope I’m wrong about all of this. I really do. I hope everyone gets to laugh at me for my “hysterical doom shit” when Biden wins re-election and, lulz, Trump just drifts into historical obscurity.

But…oh boy. It definitely SEEMS as though late 2024, early 2025 is IT. Some really fucking disturbing things may happen on a macro scale that we simply have never seen before.

The MAGA Right Is So Bonkers

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I don’t know what to tell you when it comes to people like Matt Walsh. They now seem to think that embracing fascism is the best way to “own the libs.” They talk a good talk about being fascist and wanting a civil war if they don’t get what they want but…I dunno. Actually putting all their bonkers words into action in the real world is kind of risky.

The key thing is people like Walsh stake out the most extreme position possible then double and triple down when they get any pushback because they think they’re “owning the libs” by doing so.

But all of this obscures the fact that there really is a crisis of masculinity in America. It’s just too bad that we, as a nation, can’t have a serious non-insane discussion about how to help young (white) men get better income and to not feel threatened by both the browning of America and women having more economic, sexual and political agency.

We can’t have that type of discussion because people like Walsh’s grift is based on tapping into the rage of young (white) men. If we actually tried to help young (white) men live in a new, changing world, then, welp, they wouldn’t have as much power, now would they.

It all goes back to how the greatest nation in the world may destroy itself over fucking “vibes.”

The Proof is In The Pudding When It Comes To Civil War

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

For some time now, the MAGA Right has lobbed the threat of a “civil war” at anyone who dare oppose them. Then, of course, they turn around and claim it’s Blues who want a civil war. It’s all very curious.

The issue of a Second American Civil War is difficult to game out because what idiot MAGA people mean by using the term and what will actually happen are two different things. What MAGA MEANS by using the term “civil war” is “I’m so worked up about the browning of America and the increased economic, sexual and political agency of women I’m daydreaming about being able to murder people I disagree with politically without being charged.”

But in reality, I….just don’t know. As I’ve said before, there are two ways we’ll have a civil war — either because Trump loses and he demands a National Divorce because he wants to stay out of prison, OR Trump is re-elected and he’s so ham-handed in his tyranny that he gets deposed….which leads to Red States leaving the Union.

There is a HUGE difference between blathering on about a civil war on Fox News and actually risking your life for what you believe in in the real world. And, at this point, I just don’t know.

There are just too many different ways things could work out. It could be that even if Trump does lose and he demands a National Divorce, no one will listen to him and, lulz, we punt our structural political problems down the road another four years.

And it could be that so many smug Twitter liberals leave the country when Trump is re-elected that, welp, that’s it. Trump will be a Red King over Blue states and that will be that — America will join Turkey, Hungary and Russia as an autocratic state.

All I know is that 2024 – 2025 will be lit.

Things Are Stabilizing Again With This Novel

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

While I continue to fall apart, I’ve managed to pause my physical decline long enough for me to stabilize the first act of the third draft of my first novel…again. It’s been a real struggle, but I *think* I have a pretty good sequence of events laid out.

I continue to want to work on some other ideas. I’ve got three solid scifi concepts rolling around in my mind that I may piviot to whenever I need to king of chill out for a little while. But I have got to get out of the first act of this novel ASAP.

If I’m going to work on the rest of the novel — which I’ve written twice already — I’m going to have to get out of the first act. The clock is ticking. And there continue to be a lot — A LOT — of known unknowns that could either slow me down or dramatically change the context of the years’ long project with little or no notice.

I really — REALLY — need to wrap this third draft up by no later than April 1st if I’m going to query in the fall….just as America makes a decision as to if it’s going to become a MAGA-themed autocracy or fall into revolution / civil war.

Good times!

Talk About Projection

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner


Fox News is at it again. They definitely seem to want to spark a civil war for no other reasons than “vibes.” They — and the rest of the MAGA Right — spend all their fucking time blathering about how Blues are going to “force” them into a civil war and then they come out with bullshit like this.

Ugh.

I don’t know what to tell you. It definitely seems as though we’re careening towards a very dark future in late 2024, early 2025. The seeds are being sown for a civil war or revolution at some point within the next 18 months or so. I definitely don’t want any such thing to happen, but we have to accept that it’s very possible.

Get ready.

Burn, Hollywood, Burn — The Great Disruption

A MidJourney 6 generated image.

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

The latest version of MidJourney is alarmingly-good at producing high-res images. And it’s only a matter of time before those still images are put together to create the moving picture — movies. But for the fact that politically the United States may collapse into chaos in late 2024, early 2025, I would say that Hollywood’s goose is cooked.

At least the human part of it.

But just like the development of TV was delayed by WW2, it’s possible that an American Second Civil War / WW3 may delay the roll out of AI. It could be that not until that particular political clusterfuck is sorted out that before AGI is reached and we have to deal with the economic implications of all that.

I just don’t know. I can’t predict the future.

Future Headlines: April 2025 — Stewart Takes Command

WASHINGTON D.C. — In a stunning historic series of events, the House of Representatives yesterday named comedian Jon Stewart as Speaker of the House. Within moments of this surreal vote, a joint statement by Speaker Stewart and the Joint Chiefs of Staff declared that because of the 14th Amendment both the presidency and the vice presidency were officially vacant.

See reportage of the beginning of World War 3 on pages 1, 2, 3, 4, 5.

In line with this decision, Speaker Stewart was sworn in as 47th President of the United States in a nod to the legal theory that Trump was never president in the first place. The Red State reaction to these stunning turn of events was swift. Last night saw the a majority of the Red Southern states call up secessionist conventions.

The Commonwealth of Virginia, however, was wracked with such political violence that no decision could be made about calling such a convention there.

Meanwhile, the nation was gripped with the fear of a race war in the South because of the massive political difference between Red whites and Blue African Americans. A number of notable Southern African American politicians call for peace and calm. But the rage of the African American community within much of the South was proving difficult to contain as massive crowds attempted to obstruct the ability for secessionist conventions to be held at all.

Now-President Jon Stewart gave an address to the nation from the Oval Office making it clear that any attempt on the part of Red States to secede was illegal and would be dealt with in an appropriate manner.

“We defeated secession once, we can do it again,” President Stewart said.

The nation now waits to see what happens next.