We’re Not Sleepwalking, We’re *Racing* Towards Autocracy

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I saw a headline somewhere in which it said we were “sleepwalking” into autocracy. Baby, we ain’t “sleepwalking” to anything, we’re zipping towards autocracy. Probably a very Russian-style autocracy that likes to pretend it’s a democracy with a thin veneer of legalism, but, lulz, is just a regular old autocracy.

As of right now, at least, it seems like we’re going to slouch straight into autocracy without the blink of an eye. There’s currently nothing to stop Trump from crashing the global economy, declaring martial law and then running for an illegal third term.

Nothing. Not a thing.

And, as I’ve said before, I think that’s his historical point — to either destroy our Second Republic so a new one can be founded, or destroy it so we can turn straight into an autocracy.

Given macro trends, here’s what I suspect is going to happen — the USA is going to be an autocracy for AT LEAST 20 years starting now and then once enough Baby Boomers die, gradually, some sort of true resistance movement will begin to take hold and at some point, maybe around 2060, we’ll snap back into a functioning democracy.

But that’s kind of iffy.

It could be that, lulz, this is it. We’re just going to be an autocracy for the rest of time. We just did not have it in us to protect the democracy republic we said we loved so much.

A Perfect Storm

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

This summer, it seems as though we are determined to careen directly into a techno-government-economic perfect story clusterfuck. All three of those elements of our society could be “disrupted” in a big way for various reasons and it will all happen at the same, exact time.

The key thing everyone is missing, of course, is Trump would rather murder people in cold blood than relinquish power. And, what’s more, the press is so beholden and co-opted by the fascist Trump MAGA regime that whatever protests there are would have been REALLY BIG and last for a LONG TIME before they would be willing to give them the proper attention.

Though, I suppose if the Social Security Administration collapses then there is a good chance that Trump will be in SERIOUS TROUBLE….but not enough to be deposed. We’re suck with the fucker for the rest of his life.

So, lulz, my prediction is if there are some protests that Trump will just declare martial law and that will be that. That will give him the excuse he needs to start shooting people or rounding them up and maybe even going so far as to end regular elections — at least on the Federal level.

There’s a chance that he will let state and local elections continue as either a safety valve for discontent or make them so unfree and fair that they’re moot anyway.

Meanwhile, as all of this is happening, what might otherwise be a moderate recession might become a severe one as AI causes a huge disruption. The economy will stumble as huge swaths of it are revolutionized by extensive AI use.

At the moment, it seems as though programming and advertising will be two sectors that will be really disrupted in a huge way. They will either contract or be so revolutionized that thousands — millions? — of people simply will not be able to find a job in those fields anymore because of AI.

A lot of people are so wrapped up with how excited they are about the new developments in AI that they totally miss the cold, hard reality of this new world: I just don’t see how many jobs will be left in any number of fields because the changes are just happening too quickly.

‘Rebound Boyfriend’ — Lyrics To A Punk Song

(Verse 1)
Dumped him? Great. I’m on the clock.
Tears and drama? I don’t give a… shock.
Empty space? I’ll fill the void.
Rebound boyfriend, unemployed.

(Chorus)
Rebound boyfriend! Yeah, that’s my name.
Temporary fix, it’s all the same.
No commitment, just a quick release.
Rebound boyfriend, find some peace.

(Verse 2)
Your ex is garbage, a total waste.
I’ll be your chaos, at a faster pace.
Cheap thrills, and a dirty scene.
Rebound boyfriend, gasoline.

(Chorus)
Rebound boyfriend! Yeah, that’s my name.
Temporary fix, it’s all the same.
No commitment, just a quick release.
Rebound boyfriend, find some peace.

(Bridge)
Screaming loud, no time to think.
Another drink, another blink.
Then I’m gone, a distant blur.
Rebound boyfriend, what’s it worth?

(Chorus)
Rebound boyfriend! Yeah, that’s my name.
Temporary fix, it’s all the same.
No commitment, just a quick release.
Rebound boyfriend, find some peace.

(Outro)
Rebound! Rebound! Gone!
Next heartbreak, moving on!

Now To Read Through The First Act Of This Thriller I’m Still Working On

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

So now I’m going to read through the first act of the fourth draft of this novel and try to give it some consistency on more granular level. I’ve fixed things on a macro structural basis, so now I need go through and make sure there is a cohesive flow to things.

All of this is happening in the context of me having a really good scifi novel I want to start working on. The scifi novel doesn’t have any of the problems the thriller has when it comes to potential marketability. It’s very much in the same vein as The Martian in style, if not substance.

It’s about an AI that wants to be “a real boy” and I think if I put my mind to it I can develop and write a first draft at a pretty fast clip. But I really need to focus.

And, yet, there is a part of me that really wants to throw everything at the thriller. It’s a passion project for a number of reasons. I’ve been working on it for so long that it’s almost become a part of my identity. But at this point I just want to finish the fucking the one way or another and go through the process of trying to query it.

Even though, even if I’m successful, I could be nearly 60 before the fucking thing is in people’s hands. AND, WHAT’S MORE, all of this is happening in the context of a potential hard Singularity that will make any human-created art moot.

But, sometimes, you just gotta belive.

A Mild Disturbance In The Force

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I like to think that I have “the knack” to a limited degree and I feel a tinge of something out of sorts in the universe. I don’t know what it is, but I feel like something I don’t know about is happening that I would find of interest if I did know about it.

Then, for some reason, I also find myself thinking about South Korea — specifically Seoul — and the late, great Annie Shapiro. I still can’t believe that woman is dead. It just blows my mind. She was so manipulative and crafty that I STILL have a 10% belief that she faked her death for some reason.

She really was that sneaky.

And, yet, all indications are that she did, in fact die. At a very young age, too. It’s all very sad.

But I also think of Seoul and all the crazy things that happened to me there. It’s been so long ago that I was last in Seoul that if I ever go back, oh boy, will things be very, very different.

Which makes me feel kind of sad. But I’m also a lot different than I was when I was in Seoul. I’m older, wiser and the whole context of any new time in Seoul would be so different as to make the trip nearly moot.

As it stands, the only way I would ever probably live in Korea long-term would be if there was a war between the Koreas, South Korea won and suddenly there was a absolute need for as many English teachers as possible in what was once North Korea.

Otherwise, lulz, I probably can just visit at some point in the future. (When, I don’t know….maybe when I sell my novel?)

But I wonder what I’m feeling that is making me tinkle in my psyche. I wonder what’s going on just outside my vision.

Of ‘The Flashing Bride’ On Tik-Tok

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

So, there is a lot of hubbub on Tik-Tok about an extremely attractive blonde bride flashing her underwear as part of her wedding party pictures. She’s clearly having a great deal of fun and her underwear is floral so it’s not like she’s trying hide the fact that she has it on.

Now, I validate all the “concern” on the part of plebes like me about this situation. (I’m very poor.) I get it, I understand. But there is some context to what happened that I feel needs to be addressed.

First, there no proof that she’s American. I think she might be European. Second, she is very, very hot. Like, model hot. Thirdly, she was having a great deal of fun with everyone else in the picture. So, lulz, she may have just gotten wrapped up in the moment and was like, “YOLO.’ And, lastly, wealthy people (which she clearly is) have a whole different moral system that poor people like me.

Take, for instance, the fact that Kaia Gerber and Cara Delevingne clearly at some point in the past were dating and there was not a peep from even the celebrity media about how it was going on as it happened. The two love birds were so brazen that even Taylor Swift got involved, giving them a two-person sweater to wear.

And, yet, not a peep from the celebrity press about this bombshell relationship — Gerber is Cindy Crawford’s daughter.

Anyway, some of the people on Tik-Tok are really up in arms about “the Flashing Bride.” There are so many other, bigger, issues to worry about I wouldn’t get too upset about it. So she flashed some people. So what.

We’re Stuck With Fucking Trump For The Rest of His Fucking Life, Baring A Revolution (Ugh)

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

Despite all the gnashing of teeth by liberals and progressives, Trump simply is going nowhere for as long as he lives. He’s going to be president for life. I don’t know, exactly, he’ll do it, but he will.

He’s going to destroy everything before he shuffles off this mortal coil and it will take decades — generations maybe — for us to sort things out afterwards. I think that’s Trump’s historical purpose — to destroy the Second American Republic founded by Lincoln.

What happens after that, I don’t know.

Probably some sort of dystopian techno-autocracy is my best guess. Maybe the Singularity will come while Trump’s still alive and Elon Musk will upload Trump’s into the cloud and he’ll be our Max Headroom-style AI overlord.

Now, obvious, we might have a revolution — especially if Social Security checks stop being cut on time — but then we’d have a civil war and I really would prefer not to have either one of those things happen.

I just want to live in a traditional liberal (Western) democracy. But that is not to be because we just don’t have to grit to fight back against Trump. We’re totally fucked. Totally, completely fucked at least for the rest of my life.

Leave the country if you have the means.

OpenAI Just Dropped An H-Bomb On The Commercial Modeling Industry

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I have long said that we’re one severe — or not so severe — recession away from our greedy corporate overlords thinking AI was “just good enough” to eliminate many, many jobs.

Well, just recently we got closer to that being reality in one part of the economy: the commercial modeling industry. The examples I’ve seen of the new image rendering software from OpenAI are stunning — it can create models (who aren’t real) out of whole cloth AND generate text and other imagines.

So, what’s the point of paying a photographer, a model and all the other elements of an ad campaign when you can just use OpenAI? That has got to be a billion dollar industry, at least, that may have just gone…poof!

Now, instead of all those people being paid and that money going throughout the economy, some jackass CEO will casually mumble something about “get an intern to do it on OpenAI” and that will be that.

What happens next will be a good example of how us finding out how quickly it will take for industry to adopt some revolutionary technology. I think, for the moment, the use of this image technology won’t be that wide spread — at least for a few weeks, maybe.

But the moment we slip into any sort of recession, the fucking apocalypse is going to happen for all those people associated with commercial photography.

Rethinking Social Media: Introducing the ‘Gawker’ Concept

March 26, 2025

In today’s rapid-fire digital world, online conversations can often feel shallow, fragmented, or buried under endless, disconnected comment sections. What if there was a platform designed from the ground up to encourage more thoughtful interaction, deeper collaboration, and context-rich discussions?

Over some brainstorming sessions, my friend Orion and I have been fleshing out an idea for a hypothetical social media service tentatively called Gawker. The name itself hints at a core principle: maybe users should observe (“gawk”) a bit, understand the environment, before jumping into the fray.

Inspired by the Past, Built for the Future

Gawker draws inspiration from unlikely sources: the structure of old-school Usenet newsgroups (remember TIN?) and the collaborative power of modern tools like Google Docs. The idea isn’t to recreate the past, but to leverage its strengths in a sleek, modern interface.

The Core Components: Posts and Groups

  1. The Group: This is the heart of Gawker. Think of it like a Usenet newsgroup, a Reddit subreddit, or a G+ Circle, but supercharged. Groups can be public or private, created easily and on-the-fly for any topic, project, or community imaginable – from family updates to global news discussions. They are designed to be numerous and potentially ephemeral, spun up and deleted as needed.
  2. The Post: Within a Group, a Post isn’t just a status update; it’s a full page, a canvas for ideas and discussion.

The Killer Feature: Inline Interaction

This is where Gawker truly diverges. Instead of comments relegated to the bottom, interaction happens inline, directly within the Post content, visualized much like Google Docs:

  • Inline Threading: See a sentence or paragraph you want to discuss? Highlight it and “Spawn Thread.” This creates a distinct, threaded conversation (like Usenet) attached precisely to that point in the Post, keeping debate focused and contextual. Different contributors’ comments could be color-coded.
  • Inline Editing: Especially in smaller or private Groups focused on collaboration, permissions could allow users to directly edit the Post content itself, working together on a shared document in real-time.

This flexible model allows Groups to tailor their interaction style – pure discussion via threads, collaborative editing, or a mix of both.

Earning Your Voice: The Reputation System

To encourage thoughtful participation and manage potential trolling, Gawker would incorporate a point-based reputation system:

  • Getting Started: New users might receive a starting pool of points (N), allowing them to participate immediately but on a probationary basis.
  • Building Trust: Positive contributions – insightful posts, helpful comments, upvotes/endorsements (perhaps weighted more heavily from trusted friends in private groups) – earn points.
  • Consequences: Trolling, spamming, or other negative behavior, flagged by users or moderators, leads to point deductions. Lose enough points, and posting privileges are temporarily revoked.
  • Redemption: Users who lose privileges would need to “prove themselves” again, likely through demonstrating positive, albeit perhaps limited, interactions to earn back points and regain full access.

Gamification & Moderation

We even tossed around the idea of making this system more visible – perhaps a leaderboard showcasing users with high reputation scores? Maybe even tangible rewards like merchandise credits for top contributors? While this could strongly incentivize good behavior, it also carries risks like encouraging “point farming” over genuine discussion, shifting focus from quality to quantity. Careful balancing would be essential.

Robust moderation tools would be available for Group creators, with defaults for casual users. For very large, important public Groups, a small, potentially paid editorial staff might even be employed to help manage discussions.

Bridging Worlds

Gawker aims high: to provide intimate spaces for friends and family (competing with Facebook) and dynamic forums for public discourse (competing with Twitter/X). Features allowing content or discussions to transparently move from a private to a public context (with clear labeling and user consent) could help bridge these worlds.

The Vision

Gawker is envisioned as a platform where context matters, where discussion is woven directly into the content, and where participation is earned through positive contribution. By blending elements of collaborative documents, threaded forums, and a social reputation system, the hope is to create a richer, potentially more civil and productive online environment.

I Got Nothing Against The FBI

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

While my rhetoric about the FBI may have grown a bit more heated of late, it’s more about me fucking hating what Trump is doing to it than anything else. My sole encounter with the FBI — when I talked to one of the PR people about an element of my novel — was quite pleasant.

It’s because I trust and like the FBI that I’ve grown so fucking angry over what’s going on with it. It’s being corrupted and turned into a fucking arm of the Trump campaign.

Anyway. Live long and prosper, guys. You deserve better.