Mulling Late 2024, Early 2025

Well, At Least The First Scene Of This Third Draft is Rock-Solid

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

If nothing else, I know how this novel opens. I have one scene — the first — that is where I want it to be. Everything else is totally fluid to an absurd level. I don’t know how much of all of this is I still have a lot of learning to do about storytelling and how much of it is I’m too much of a perfectionist.

Regardless, I’ve kind of given myself a half-deadline of early next week to kind of get things locked down one way or another.

Rage Against The Machine: Plotting A Glorious Revolution In Early 2025

by Ender

To My Fellow New Lincolnites

I love scenarios. So, let’s game how out Radical Moderates might topple Tyrant Trump when it becomes clear that he’s going full tyrant. This is just for fun. I mean no harm. And, besides, no one takes me seriously or listens to me, anyway. Lulz!

General Strike
If New Lincolnites and Radical Moderates of all political stripes could organize some sort of General Strike that would be the first indication that Tyrant Trump was in trouble. I would appeal to women. I would make it clear to women that Tyrant Trump wanted to ban abortion — and contraception of any sort — and if they just didn’t show up to work then maybe malignant ding-dong Tyrant Trump might sit up and taken notice.

Take Trump Tower

I hate violence, so this is just me spit-balling. But if you could organize the “taking of Trump Tower” that would be way to fucking rattle Tyrant Trump’s cage. Burn the shithole to the ground. Hopefully without anyone getting hurt.

Seize New York City

If you could somehow have a general uprising in New York City to the point that you had something along the lines of a “Free City” that, too, would be a way to hobble Tyrant Trump’s attempts to size control. Again, I don’t want anyone to get hurt! This is just a daydream!

Co-opt The U.S. Military

Our best best to topple ding-dong Tyrant Trump is to co-opt the U.S. Military. Get all the talking heads on TV to beg the U.S. Military to ignore Tyrant Trump’s orders. Given that the U.S. Military on an institutional basis just doesn’t want to get involved….you invoke your secret weapon.

Invoke The 14th Amendment

It is clear that Trump can’t even *be* president because of his involvement in the January 6th Insurrection. So, while you’re crippling the country with a Women’s Strike, you appeal to the U.S. Military by saying, “You’re still acting legally by toppling Trump because he can’t even be POTUS because of the 14th Amendment.”

Demand A Constitutional Convention

Another goal of the General Strike (Women’s Strike) would be a Constitutional Convention. And it would be organized in a way not to give MAGA the ability to fuck things up. (Having the U.S. Military on your side is pretty cool.)

The Absence of A MAGA SA Is Curious

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I kind of have this on the brain because I’m reading about the first 100 days of Nazi rule, but it’s very, very curious that for all their hateful plotting that both Agenda47 and Project 2025 have pretty big hole in their autocratic designs — no SA.

See, it was the Nazi paramilitary group the SA that was crucial to browbeating the 48% of the German population that didn’t support the Nazis. And, yet, as far as I can tell, there is no one central paramilitary arm of MAGA that Tyrant Trump can turn to in early 2025.

It seems as though Tyrant Trump believes that what the Nazis used the SA for he can use the regular old U.S. Military to do. And…I have my doubts on that front. If things get REALLY FUCKING BAD, I could totally see the U.S. Military either slow walking things are turning around and deposing Tyrant Trump outright. (Maybe under the guise of the 14the Amendment?)

It is the lack of an organized national American SA that gives me…hope? If MAGA just assumes that they can rely on the U.S. Military to be their goons, then, well, I think the Good Guys have a fighting chance.

What Is To Be Done: Tyrant Trump’s Plot Against America

To My Fellow New Lincolnites,

It is a little known fact that the right of revolution is enshrined in the U.S. Constitution. I’m a man of peace and of ideas. I hate violence of any sort. And yet these are times that try men’s souls, as Thomas Paine would tell us. It is clear that concentrations camps will be to Trump’s vengeful second term what “the wall” was to his first.

This is of personal interest to me because the same infrastructure used to put “millions” of undocumented people in concentration camps could be used against “vermin” like…me. The thing that gives me a growing sense of frustration is how oblivious the usual suspect nattering nabobs of negativism are to the fact that maybe there are *no* institutions that will step up to save us.

We will have to save ourselves.

The problem we face is there is a certain political momentum to the MAGA Nazi movement that is difficult to defeat using traditional methods. It’s like we’ve all just collectively given up, much like the Roman Empire did in its last few decades. Or, to put a more modern spin on things — freedom loving people are going to appease themselves into a corner.

“What is to be done,” was the question Lenin asked in the years leading up to the Russian Revolution. And I ask that question now, “What is to be done?” I just don’t have a ready answer for you because it seems — as of late 2023 — that it is a historical inevitability that Trump will win a second term and we’re just going to have to sort things out after that.

My fear is that Trump will attempt to use the legal magic pixie dust of the Insurrection Act to knock heads and the U.S. Military will balk at playing the part of some sort of later day SA. There is some sort of “Glorious Revolution” that deposes malignant ding-dong Trump, which, in turn provokes a Secession Crisis as Red States — who want a MAGA Nazi state — get upset and demand a National Divorce.

Before you know it, not only are WMD being used by both sides on U.S. soil, but fucking WW3 has broken out and about 1 billion people die as a number of nuclear-tipped regional conflicts turn hot. If we’re lucky, after a lot of tragic, needless death and destruction “the Good Guys” — people who believe in liberal democracy — win and we have some sort of Second Reconstruction in the context of a complete realignment of the global order — a New World Order, if you will.

But all of that is extremely speculative.

Remember, major historical events are value free while you’re living through them. There is no narrative. I mean, in 1942, your average American had no idea how WW2 was going to end. And, really, all things considered, WW2 ended in a very clean cut way — for the most part — such that The Good Guys won and the Bad Guys lost.

So, predicting what will happen starting in late 2024, early 2025 is impossible. We could very well just punt our problems down the road another four years and all my “hysterical doom shit” will be just that — hysterical doom shit. But I do think we need to think seriously about what the fuck we’re going to do when Trump makes good on his pledge to mass deport people.

And that doesn’t even begin to address what we’re going to do if Trump goes full tyrant and attempts to establish an actual military dictatorship. AND, Trump is fucking old, so it might not even be him who ultimately transitions us from an anocracy into a full Russian-style autocracy.

I dunno. I just dunno.

Keep the faith.

Yours in freedom,

Ender.

I’m Growing Worried About Trump’s Potential Second Term

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

The thing I’m beginning to worry about is what are we going to do if Trump goes full tyrant? Anything? If Trump opens concentration camps for “illegal immigrants” it’s easy to imagine him flipping a switch and deciding to put people like ME in a camp.

Once you have that infrastructure built out, you can do anything with it.

Slouching Towards Trump Tyranny

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

It is still possible that Trump will lose in 2024 and simply slip into the darkness. But at the moment he has a 50 / 50 chance of winning. As such, we have to take the possibility that Trump will get a second term and be given the opportunity to go full tyrant.

And it’s happening in broad daylight. Trump is telegraphing to all of us exactly what he plans to do once he has the opportunity. What will be interesting to see is what the reaction will be on the part of not just the general population, but the U.S. Military.

In fact, both Agenda47 and Project 2025 both rely on the assumption that people will meekly accept Tyrant Trump corrupting the administration of law and justice in his second term. But what if the populace reacts dramatically to Tyrant Trump at the same time the U.S. Military balks at being Tyrant Trump’s goons?

The key element that Trump and his ilk miss is they don’t have an SA. They don’t have a paramilitary group to knock heads. They think they can use the U.S. Military to serve that purpose by using the Insurrection Act. I have my doubts, however.

So it’s possible that Tyrant Trump might be deposed by the U.S. Military, probably under the guise that he’s not supposed to be POTUS in the first place because of the 14th Amendment.

And, yet, I suppose because form follows function, either ICE is weaponized into some sort of SS or Tyrant Trump very soon — within his first 100 days — organizes some sort of national SA-like organization that would knock heads as he consolidates power.

I’m very worried because I know that it will be people like me who will find myself having my head bashed in by ICE or some sort of MAGA-nationalized Patriot Front.

Pray.

Agenda 47: A Fork In The Road

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I’ve been so fixated on the Project 2025 conspiracy that I was totally oblivious to the real conspiracy — Agenda 47. While, as I understand it, Project 2025 is the theory for our looming autocratic Christian ethnostate, Agenda 47 is the conspiracy that is actually doing the nuts-and-bolts work to make that nightmare a reality.

Now, obviously, there is the issue of Trump having to win first for any of this to matter. And he could still lose. Which, of course, opens the possibility that he might, unto himself, cause a civil war in an effort to stay out of prison.

But for the sake of argument, we have to accept that there is a pretty good chance that malignant ding-dong Trump is going to be the next POTUS. As such, Agenda 47 may play a huge role in the future of the United States.

We have to accept that everything that was bad about Trump’s first term will be taken to a severe next level during his second administration. It’s going to suck really, really bad. There are two things to remember about this situation. One is, it won’t happen in a political vacuum. In other words, Trump can try to strangle American democracy all he wants to — there is a good chance people will fight back.

And two, the whole thing is a setup for whomever happens to be Trump’s successor. It’s Trump’s successor who will be our long-term autocrat. The person who starts to really lean into the America First vision of a white Christian ethnostate.

All I want to do is be a traditionally published author. And here I am, worried I’ll be shot dead by ICE at some point after starting in 2025.

What The Fuck Is To Be Done About Would Be Tyrant Trump?

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

The thing about Trump is you just never know. That’s his power. The uncertainty. It is a testament to how the man continues to stumble through history — and is not a Great Man — that he can be so fucking lazy and yet get so far.

The people who support him don’t love him, they love “idea” of him. In that sense, Trump is — and always has been -a symptom rather than a cause. Unlike a true Great Man Of History, he simply rides the wave of history rather than divert it to according to his will.

As such, Trump could just as easily start a Second American Civil War in 2024 by demanding a National Divorce to stay out of prison as he is to just slink away after a defeat, never to be seen again. If that — unlikely — event happened, we would at least punt our severe structural problems down the road another four years.

I just have no idea what is going to happen next with Trump. He has all the signs of going full tyrant if he is re-elected in 2024. And, yet, who the fuck knows? I know I don’t. I can’t predict the future.

But I am worried. Very worried.

It Is Inevitable That MAGA Will Come After The Jews

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I’m not Jewish, but I feel I have a vested interest in their status in society as we careen towards a fucking MAGA Nazi fascist state because what happens to them will inevitably happen *to me*. I’m an odd ball, a freaky weirdo who has no idea what the “right” thing to do is relative to people who want a white Christian ethnostate. And as an American drunk loudmouth crank, I’ve had the luxury of living in a liberal democracy up to this point.

But if reading about the first 100 days of Nazi rule in 1933 has taught me anything, it’s that MAGA, once Project 2025 kicks in, will inevitably put me in a camp and do go only knows what to me. And because political form follows political function, it’s also inevitable that for all their desire to cling as tightly as possible to the Jews because they think Israel existing means Jesus will come back….MAGA is going to turn on the Jews.

And when they do, they’re going to come after freaky weirdo non-Jews like me. The Nazis hated not only Jews, but pretty much anyone who was a weirdo — LIKE ME. And I’m a loudmouth crank who refuses to shut the fuck up, so I’m bound to find myself on the wrong side of Project 2025. Fuck those guys. Fucking fascist pigs.

To me, the question of MAGA turning on the Jews is only a matter of time. It is the natural progression of the MAGA Nazi movement whenever the Dear Leader Tyrant Trump is no more. There are already signs that MAGA is going to do that now, with the rising incidents of anti-Jewish violence across the country. Which, I must note, Americans continue to be pretty chill with, which is very alarming to me.

Anyway. No one listens to me. And when they do listen to me, they often get mad. So, lulz. Maybe I should learn Ham Radio.